500 N G St · Madera, CA
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.18%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 38 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 40 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.5/30.0
- ARV discount +11.7/15.0
- DSCR +5.5/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$244,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Attention investors! Step back in time with this early California Spanish Bungalow....full of classic charm and original details. Featuring two bedrooms, one bath, formal living and dinning rooms, fireplace, breakfast nook, and a indoor laundry, this home is ready to be restored to its former glory. Located in central Madera, it sits on a very nice corner lot with a one car detached garage.This charmer has amazing potential. Just needs some TLC.
Key facts
- Breakfast nook
- Indoor laundry
- Corner lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $245k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $189 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $229k (6.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $229k (6.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 3.9% in Madera — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,053 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Madera Unified (urban): math 22% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #1,095 of 1,400 in CA (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 102 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,346 units permitted in Madera County in 2024 (8 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Madera County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($241k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $39k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1939 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1939 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.31%
- DSCR
- 1.15
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $270,213
- List price
- $244,900
- Delta
- -9.37%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1313 De Cesari Ave | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,431 (+8%) | 4mo | $413,000 | $289 | 60 |
| 1313 De Cesari Ave | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,431 (+8%) | 4mo | $413,000 | $289 | 60 |
| 611 Foster Ave | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 | 1,440 (+8%) | 6mo | $412,000 | $286 | 57 |
| 821 Austin Ave | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (+5%) | 6mo | $294,999 | $211 | 54 |
| 821 Austin Ave | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (+5%) | 6mo | $294,999 | $211 | 54 |
| 602 Bruce | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,476 (+11%) | 4mo | $374,000 | $253 | 54 |
| 315 S J | 0.60mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,391 (+5%) | 3mo | $175,000 | $126 | 53 |
| 517 Fairview Ave | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 | 1,210 (-9%) | 0mo | $355,000 | $293 | 51 |
| 311 S K St | 0.61mi | 3/2.5 | 1,450 (+9%) | 4mo | $350,000 | $241 | 47 |
| 901 Bloker St | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,426 (+7%) | 6mo | $380,000 | $266 | 46 |
| 120 N N St | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,188 (-10%) | 8mo | $290,000 | $244 | 43 |
| 200 S A St | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,508 (+14%) | 2mo | $278,000 | $184 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.75% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.66×
- Total profit
- $-23,549
- Equity at exit
- $36,515
- IRR
- 2.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.18×
- Total profit
- $12,381
- Equity at exit
- $21,174
Cash invested: $68,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 93637
- Rents YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 102
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,286 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,284
- Tax from tax record
- −$230 /mo · $2,764/yr
- Insurance
- −$102
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$480
- Net cashflow
- $189
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $61,225
- Closing costs
- $7,347
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1409 Roberts Ave Madera, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1128 | $2,250 | $1.99 | 20d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 314 S N St Madera, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,475 | $1.64 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1101 Nebraska Ave Madera, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1380 | $2,095 | $1.52 | 13d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1712 Howard Rd Madera, CA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1281 | $2,046 | $1.60 | 1d | 4 | 1.05mi |
| 801 N Granada Dr Madera, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1224 | $2,050 | $1.67 | 1d | 3 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-11status Pending 455-char remark
Show marketing remark (455 chars)
Attention investors! Step back in time with this early California Spanish Bungalow....full of classic charm and original details. Featuring two bedrooms, one bath, formal living and dinning rooms, fireplace, breakfast nook, and a indoor laundry, this home is ready to be restored to its former glory. Located in central Madera, it sits on a very nice corner lot with a one car detached garage.This charmer has amazing potential. Just needs some TLC.
-
2026-05-09status Active 455-char remark
Show marketing remark (455 chars)
Attention investors! Step back in time with this early California Spanish Bungalow....full of classic charm and original details. Featuring two bedrooms, one bath, formal living and dinning rooms, fireplace, breakfast nook, and a indoor laundry, this home is ready to be restored to its former glory. Located in central Madera, it sits on a very nice corner lot with a one car detached garage.This charmer has amazing potential. Just needs some TLC.
-
2026-05-08status Pending 455-char remark
Show marketing remark (455 chars)
Attention investors! Step back in time with this early California Spanish Bungalow....full of classic charm and original details. Featuring two bedrooms, one bath, formal living and dinning rooms, fireplace, breakfast nook, and a indoor laundry, this home is ready to be restored to its former glory. Located in central Madera, it sits on a very nice corner lot with a one car detached garage.This charmer has amazing potential. Just needs some TLC.
-
2026-05-01price $244,900 455-char remark
Show marketing remark (455 chars)
Attention investors! Step back in time with this early California Spanish Bungalow....full of classic charm and original details. Featuring two bedrooms, one bath, formal living and dinning rooms, fireplace, breakfast nook, and a indoor laundry, this home is ready to be restored to its former glory. Located in central Madera, it sits on a very nice corner lot with a one car detached garage.This charmer has amazing potential. Just needs some TLC.
-
2026-04-21status Active 455-char remark
Show marketing remark (455 chars)
Attention investors! Step back in time with this early California Spanish Bungalow....full of classic charm and original details. Featuring two bedrooms, one bath, formal living and dinning rooms, fireplace, breakfast nook, and a indoor laundry, this home is ready to be restored to its former glory. Located in central Madera, it sits on a very nice corner lot with a one car detached garage.This charmer has amazing potential. Just needs some TLC.
-
2026-04-07status Pending 455-char remark
Show marketing remark (455 chars)
Attention investors! Step back in time with this early California Spanish Bungalow....full of classic charm and original details. Featuring two bedrooms, one bath, formal living and dinning rooms, fireplace, breakfast nook, and a indoor laundry, this home is ready to be restored to its former glory. Located in central Madera, it sits on a very nice corner lot with a one car detached garage.This charmer has amazing potential. Just needs some TLC.
-
2026-04-02$284,000 Active 455-char remark
Show marketing remark (455 chars)
Attention investors! Step back in time with this early California Spanish Bungalow....full of classic charm and original details. Featuring two bedrooms, one bath, formal living and dinning rooms, fireplace, breakfast nook, and a indoor laundry, this home is ready to be restored to its former glory. Located in central Madera, it sits on a very nice corner lot with a one car detached garage.This charmer has amazing potential. Just needs some TLC.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,764 · $230/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,764 · $230/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 18% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 38 unhealthy d/yr today · 40 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,432
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,718
- − Property taxes
- −$2,764
- − Insurance
- −$1,224
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,195
- − Management
- −$2,195
- − Depreciation
- −$7,124
- Taxable loss
- −$1,789
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$429
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,700/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Madera Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0623340
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,446
- Composite
- 27.2/100
- National rank
- #12454
- State rank
- #1095 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Madera
- Score
- 51/100
- State rank
- #1053
- US rank
- #25190
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Madera, CA
- County
- Madera County · 133,170 people
- City population
- 109,650
- Metro
- Madera, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,785
- Household income
- $71,724
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1537.0
Population outlook (Madera County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 157,915 people
- By 2030
- 159,604 · +1.1%
- By 2040
- 163,454 · +3.5%
- By 2050
- 167,071 · +5.8%
- By 2075
- 171,182 · +8.4%
- By 2100
- 162,781 · +3.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 74% Two or more races 20% White 17% Black 4% Asian 2% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 70%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Russian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 51% English-only · Spanish 46% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Madera
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.8) · D 38.4% · R 59.2% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.5pp toward R · 2008: -13.3pp · 2024: -20.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.8 2020: R+11.6 2016: R+17.3 2012: R+19.4 2008: R+13.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -315.84%
- Current HPI
- 305.5444
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.75%
- Metro
- Madera, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
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Price history
-13.8% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Pending — FRESNOMLS
- 2026-05-09 Relisted — FRESNOMLS
- 2026-05-08 Pending — FRESNOMLS
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $244,900 FRESNOMLS
- 2026-04-21 Relisted — FRESNOMLS
- 2026-04-07 Pending — FRESNOMLS
- 2026-04-02 Listed $284,000 FRESNOMLS
Property tax history
+26.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,764 · -0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…