3910 S Santiam Hwy · South Lebanon, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 11 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$180,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment opportunity on a spacious 0.46-acre lot in the heart of Lebanon! This 1,074 sq. ft. home is a blank canvas ready for your vision and updates. Positioned for convenience with easy access to town, shopping, Hwy 20, and Hwy 34, it perfectly balances rural appeal with city proximity. The property is equipped with a well and two septic systems (buyer to verify condition). An older manufactured home is on-site but holds no value. Sold strictly AS-IS; Seller will not do any repairs. Buyer to perform all due diligence regarding land use and assume responsibility for debris/personal property removal. Cash, or rehab loans. Don't miss this high-potential project!
Key facts
- Easy access to town
- Two septic systems
- Well
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $265 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
- Recommended offer: $175k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#280 in OR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D, crime D.
- Lebanon Community SD 9 (town): math 27% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #26 of 58 in OR (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 246 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 311 units permitted in Linn County in 2024 (60 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Linn County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $88k; list at $180k implies a 106% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.31%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $359,988
- List price
- $180,000
- Delta
- -50.00%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.55% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-9,234
- Equity at exit
- $26,839
- IRR
- 6.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.53×
- Total profit
- $26,624
- Equity at exit
- $15,563
Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97355
- Rents YoY
- 4.5%
- Active inventory
- 246
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,910 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$944
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$225 /mo · $2,700/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$401
- Net cashflow
- $265
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $45,000
- Closing costs
- $5,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 362 Seven Oaks Ln Lebanon, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1513 | $2,250 | $1.49 | 43d | 2 | 0.14mi |
| 3463 Snow Bird Dr Lebanon, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1621 | $2,200 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 86 Weldwood Dr Lebanon, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1222 | $1,650 | $1.35 | 43d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 26 Sand Ridge Ct Lebanon, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1696 | $2,345 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 2656 S Main Rd #107 Lebanon, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1402 | $1,950 | $1.39 | 43d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 300 Sand Ridge Ct Lebanon, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 944 | $1,525 | $1.61 | 43d | 6 | 1.23mi |
| 2180 Franklin St Lebanon, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 862 | $1,695 | $1.97 | 43d | 6 | 1.24mi |
| E Airport Rd Lebanon, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 993 | $1,710 | $1.72 | 43d | 14 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $180,000 Active 46 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $180,000 Active 45 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $180,000 Active 44 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $180,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $180,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $180,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $180,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $180,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $180,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $180,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $180,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $180,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $180,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $180,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $180,000 Active 27 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $180,000 Active 26 DOM
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2026-05-08status Active 677-char remark
Show marketing remark (677 chars)
Great investment opportunity on a spacious 0.46-acre lot in the heart of Lebanon! This 1,074 sq. ft. home is a blank canvas ready for your vision and updates. Positioned for convenience with easy access to town, shopping, Hwy 20, and Hwy 34, it perfectly balances rural appeal with city proximity. The property is equipped with a well and two septic systems (buyer to verify condition). An older manufactured home is on-site but holds no value. Sold strictly AS-IS; Seller will not do any repairs. Buyer to perform all due diligence regarding land use and assume responsibility for debris/personal property removal. Cash, or rehab loans. Don't miss this high-potential project!
-
2026-05-08price $180,000 677-char remark
Show marketing remark (677 chars)
Great investment opportunity on a spacious 0.46-acre lot in the heart of Lebanon! This 1,074 sq. ft. home is a blank canvas ready for your vision and updates. Positioned for convenience with easy access to town, shopping, Hwy 20, and Hwy 34, it perfectly balances rural appeal with city proximity. The property is equipped with a well and two septic systems (buyer to verify condition). An older manufactured home is on-site but holds no value. Sold strictly AS-IS; Seller will not do any repairs. Buyer to perform all due diligence regarding land use and assume responsibility for debris/personal property removal. Cash, or rehab loans. Don't miss this high-potential project!
-
2026-05-08price $180,000 677-char remark
Show marketing remark (677 chars)
Great investment opportunity on a spacious 0.46-acre lot in the heart of Lebanon! This 1,074 sq. ft. home is a blank canvas ready for your vision and updates. Positioned for convenience with easy access to town, shopping, Hwy 20, and Hwy 34, it perfectly balances rural appeal with city proximity. The property is equipped with a well and two septic systems (buyer to verify condition). An older manufactured home is on-site but holds no value. Sold strictly AS-IS; Seller will not do any repairs. Buyer to perform all due diligence regarding land use and assume responsibility for debris/personal property removal. Cash, or rehab loans. Don't miss this high-potential project!
-
2026-05-07status Active 677-char remark
Show marketing remark (677 chars)
Great investment opportunity on a spacious 0.46-acre lot in the heart of Lebanon! This 1,074 sq. ft. home is a blank canvas ready for your vision and updates. Positioned for convenience with easy access to town, shopping, Hwy 20, and Hwy 34, it perfectly balances rural appeal with city proximity. The property is equipped with a well and two septic systems (buyer to verify condition). An older manufactured home is on-site but holds no value. Sold strictly AS-IS; Seller will not do any repairs. Buyer to perform all due diligence regarding land use and assume responsibility for debris/personal property removal. Cash, or rehab loans. Don't miss this high-potential project!
-
2026-04-13status Pending 677-char remark
Show marketing remark (677 chars)
Great investment opportunity on a spacious 0.46-acre lot in the heart of Lebanon! This 1,074 sq. ft. home is a blank canvas ready for your vision and updates. Positioned for convenience with easy access to town, shopping, Hwy 20, and Hwy 34, it perfectly balances rural appeal with city proximity. The property is equipped with a well and two septic systems (buyer to verify condition). An older manufactured home is on-site but holds no value. Sold strictly AS-IS; Seller will not do any repairs. Buyer to perform all due diligence regarding land use and assume responsibility for debris/personal property removal. Cash, or rehab loans. Don't miss this high-potential project!
-
2026-04-13historical Active under Contract 677-char remark
Show marketing remark (677 chars)
Great investment opportunity on a spacious 0.46-acre lot in the heart of Lebanon! This 1,074 sq. ft. home is a blank canvas ready for your vision and updates. Positioned for convenience with easy access to town, shopping, Hwy 20, and Hwy 34, it perfectly balances rural appeal with city proximity. The property is equipped with a well and two septic systems (buyer to verify condition). An older manufactured home is on-site but holds no value. Sold strictly AS-IS; Seller will not do any repairs. Buyer to perform all due diligence regarding land use and assume responsibility for debris/personal property removal. Cash, or rehab loans. Don't miss this high-potential project!
-
2026-04-10price $215,000 677-char remark
Show marketing remark (677 chars)
Great investment opportunity on a spacious 0.46-acre lot in the heart of Lebanon! This 1,074 sq. ft. home is a blank canvas ready for your vision and updates. Positioned for convenience with easy access to town, shopping, Hwy 20, and Hwy 34, it perfectly balances rural appeal with city proximity. The property is equipped with a well and two septic systems (buyer to verify condition). An older manufactured home is on-site but holds no value. Sold strictly AS-IS; Seller will not do any repairs. Buyer to perform all due diligence regarding land use and assume responsibility for debris/personal property removal. Cash, or rehab loans. Don't miss this high-potential project!
-
2026-04-09$215,000 Active 677-char remark
Show marketing remark (677 chars)
Great investment opportunity on a spacious 0.46-acre lot in the heart of Lebanon! This 1,074 sq. ft. home is a blank canvas ready for your vision and updates. Positioned for convenience with easy access to town, shopping, Hwy 20, and Hwy 34, it perfectly balances rural appeal with city proximity. The property is equipped with a well and two septic systems (buyer to verify condition). An older manufactured home is on-site but holds no value. Sold strictly AS-IS; Seller will not do any repairs. Buyer to perform all due diligence regarding land use and assume responsibility for debris/personal property removal. Cash, or rehab loans. Don't miss this high-potential project!
-
2026-03-21price $285,000 677-char remark
Show marketing remark (677 chars)
Great investment opportunity on a spacious 0.46-acre lot in the heart of Lebanon! This 1,074 sq. ft. home is a blank canvas ready for your vision and updates. Positioned for convenience with easy access to town, shopping, Hwy 20, and Hwy 34, it perfectly balances rural appeal with city proximity. The property is equipped with a well and two septic systems (buyer to verify condition). An older manufactured home is on-site but holds no value. Sold strictly AS-IS; Seller will not do any repairs. Buyer to perform all due diligence regarding land use and assume responsibility for debris/personal property removal. Cash, or rehab loans. Don't miss this high-potential project!
-
2025-12-18$315,000 Active 677-char remark
Show marketing remark (677 chars)
Great investment opportunity on a spacious 0.46-acre lot in the heart of Lebanon! This 1,074 sq. ft. home is a blank canvas ready for your vision and updates. Positioned for convenience with easy access to town, shopping, Hwy 20, and Hwy 34, it perfectly balances rural appeal with city proximity. The property is equipped with a well and two septic systems (buyer to verify condition). An older manufactured home is on-site but holds no value. Sold strictly AS-IS; Seller will not do any repairs. Buyer to perform all due diligence regarding land use and assume responsibility for debris/personal property removal. Cash, or rehab loans. Don't miss this high-potential project!
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1994-06-28soldstatus $87,500
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1992-09-25soldstatus $65,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 11 unhealthy d/yr today · 13 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,921
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,083
- − Property taxes
- −$2,700
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,834
- − Management
- −$1,834
- − Depreciation
- −$5,236
- Taxable income
- $335
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$80
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,100/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lebanon Community SD 9
- NCES district ID
- 4107380
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,264
- Composite
- 29.83/100
- National rank
- #6418
- State rank
- #26 of 58 in OR
Livability — South Lebanon
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #280
- US rank
- #18823
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- South Lebanon, OR
- County
- Linn County · 70,700 people
- Metro
- Albany-Lebanon, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,292
- Household income
- $68,595
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1051.0
Population outlook (Linn County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 127,026 people
- By 2030
- 129,540 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 132,780 · +4.5%
- By 2050
- 133,614 · +5.2%
- By 2075
- 129,061 · +1.6%
- By 2100
- 112,224 · -11.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Slovak 3% Portuguese 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Linn
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.4) · D 36.2% · R 60.6% · Other 3.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.4pp · 2024: -24.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.4 2020: R+23.4 2016: R+27.8 2012: R+17.2 2008: R+11.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -528.42%
- Current HPI
- 221.8977
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.55%
- Metro
- Albany-Lebanon, OR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
+176.9% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Relisted — RMLS
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $180,000 RMLS
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $180,000 WVMLS
- 2026-05-07 Relisted — WVMLS
- 2026-04-13 Pending — RMLS
- 2026-04-13 Contingent — WVMLS
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $215,000 WVMLS
- 2026-04-09 Listed $215,000 RMLS
- 2026-03-21 Price Changed $285,000 WVMLS
- 2025-12-18 Listed $315,000 WVMLS
- 1994-06-28 Sold (Public Records) $87,500 Public Records
- 1992-09-25 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $351 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…