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4129 Plaza St
C Composite 55.34
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.0/30.0
  • DSCR +7.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$145,000

4129 Plaza St · Jackson, MS 39206
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,500 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 11 Days on market
Built 1954 0.47 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

The subject has recently been updated: new doors, windows, baths, FWA/CAC, flooring, drywall, and paint.

Key facts

  • New drywall
  • New doors
  • New baths

Tags

NEW DOORSNEW WINDOWSNEW BATHSNEW FLOORINGNEW DRYWALLNEW PAINT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport with direct access (1 carport space)
  • Security: Dead bolt locks
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-family house; Multi/split levels; Move-in ready
  • Construction: Lap siding; Composition roof; Conventional foundation; Built (year source: assessor)
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Partial fencing; Barn(s); City lot, interior, rectangular and sloped

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Free‑standing range; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: 1 bedroom (main level)
  • Flooring: Linoleum
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air (electric)
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Dead bolt locks; Energy Star qualified windows with aluminum frames; Primary bedroom located downstairs; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookups in kitchen; Electric dryer hookup; Laundry located inside on the main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $285 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, employment F, health & safety F.
  • Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: North Jackson Elementary School (math 7% / reading 25%, grade F, #270 of 375 statewide, top 72%, 383 students, 100% FRL); Kirksey Middle School (math 7% / reading 13%, grade F, #152 of 179 statewide, top 88%, 247 students, 100% FRL); Callaway High School (math 3% / reading 10%, grade F, #191 of 197 statewide, top 97%, 923 students, 100% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 119 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $145,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.09%
Cap rate
8.65%
Cash-on-cash
8.42%
DSCR
1.37
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$76,500
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4189 Del Rosa Dr 0.24mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,550 (+3%) 7mo $83,000 $54 68
216 Pine Ridge Rd 0.48mi 3/1.5 1,421 (-5%) 5mo $124,900 $88 63
130 Wacker Dr 0.32mi 3/1.0 1,302 (-13%) 1mo $35,000 $27 63
4816 Maplewood Dr 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,510 (+1%) 6mo $76,720 $51 62
670 Piermont St 0.49mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,467 (-2%) 3mo $79,900 $54 62
415 E Northside Dr 0.69mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,486 (-1%) 1mo $50,000 $34 56
729 Heather Ln 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,570 (+5%) 6mo $70,000 $45 54
4636 Normandy Dr 0.64mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,556 (+4%) 5mo $39,900 $26 51
684 Heather Ln 0.71mi 3/1.5 1,400 (-7%) 6mo $50,000 $36 49
3923 Azalea Dr 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,694 (+13%) 1mo $99,900 $59 49
540 Meadowview Dr 0.62mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,610 (+7%) 6mo $69,000 $43 45
4025 Carol Dr 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,316 (-12%) 7mo $67,500 $51 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.83% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.7%
Equity multiple
0.86×
Total profit
$-5,629
Equity at exit
$21,620
10-year hold
IRR
5.8%
Equity multiple
1.43×
Total profit
$17,346
Equity at exit
$12,537

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39206

Home prices YoY
-10.3%
Rents YoY
2.8%
Active inventory
119
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,576 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$139 /mo · $1,669/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$331
Net cashflow
$285

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,215
Max offer price $145,000
Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 26 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
200 Stillwood Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1088 $1,300 $1.19 14d 1 0.51mi
200 Stillwood Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1088 $1,300 $1.19 43d 1 0.51mi
214 Melbourne Rd Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1207 $1,500 $1.24 43d 1 0.52mi
220 Melbourne Rd Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1744 $1,350 $0.77 43d 1 0.53mi
815 Berwood Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1248 $1,300 $1.04 43d 1 0.58mi
4426 Desoto St Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1079 $1,250 $1.16 23d 1 0.60mi
4426 Desoto St Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1079 $1,250 $1.16 14d 1 0.60mi
341 E Northside Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1732 $1,775 $1.02 23d 1 0.65mi
612 Heather Ln Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1642 $1,675 $1.02 23d 1 0.65mi
4858 Sheridan Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,550 $1.19 23d 1 0.71mi
320 Lawrence Rd Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1270 $1,400 $1.10 14d 1 0.75mi
320 Lawrence Rd Jackson, MS 4.0 1.5 1270 $1,400 $1.10 23d 1 0.75mi
521 Launcelot Rd Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1346 $1,423 $1.06 43d 1 0.80mi
508 Benning Rd Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1216 $1,400 $1.15 14d 1 0.83mi
508 Benning Rd Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1216 $1,400 $1.15 43d 1 0.83mi
622 Naples Rd Jackson, MS 4.0 2.5 2210 $1,650 $0.75 23d 1 0.86mi
963 Pine Lake Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.5 1196 $1,050 $0.88 43d 1 0.90mi
4091 Pine Hill Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1551 $3,000 $1.93 23d 1 0.91mi
701 Cedarhurst Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1419 $1,250 $0.88 23d 1 0.95mi
724 Meadowbrook Rd Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1593 $2,150 $1.35 43d 1 1.02mi
4220 Council Cir Jackson, MS 3.0 2.5 1780 $1,850 $1.04 23d 1 1.03mi
4056 Redwing Ave Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1678 $1,850 $1.10 43d 1 1.07mi
4627 Estelle Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1489 $1,475 $0.99 23d 1 1.11mi
3611 N State St Jackson, MS 3.0 2.5 1540 $1,800 $1.17 43d 1 1.38mi
20 N Hill Pkwy Jackson, MS 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1046 $1,100 $1.05 14d 31 1.44mi
5421 Crepe Myrtle Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 1.5 1079 $1,295 $1.20 23d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $145,000 Active 11 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $145,000 Active 10 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $145,000 Active 9 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $145,000 Active 8 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $145,000 Active 6 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $145,000 Active 5 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $145,000 Active 3 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $145,000 Active 2 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    price $145,000 Active 1 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    remarks 104-char remark
  11. 2026-06-07
    listed $135,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,669 · $139/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,669 · $139/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,906
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$1,669
− Insurance
−$725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,513
− Management
−$1,513
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable income
$1,147
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$275
After-tax cash flow
$3,142/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jackson Public School District
NCES district ID
2802190
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$33,234
Composite
10.89/100
National rank
#9755
State rank
#112 of 130 in MS

Livability — Jackson

Score
68/100
State rank
#66
US rank
#9695

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jackson, MS
County
Hinds County · 167,040 people
City population
140,204
Metro
Jackson, MS
Population (ZIP)
23,257
Household income
$42,686
Rent vs Own
54.0% rent · 46.0% own
Severe rent burden
1554.0

Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
242,528 people
By 2030
241,113 · -0.6%
By 2040
235,557 · -2.9%
By 2050
226,946 · -6.4%
By 2075
199,995 · -17.5%
By 2100
164,165 · -32.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (85%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 85% White 9% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Hinds

2024 margin
Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -22.38%
Current HPI
194.5873
Rent YoY
▲ 2.83%
Metro
Jackson, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-06 Listed $135,000 MLSU
  • 2023-09-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2019-01-29 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2018-03-21 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2018-02-14 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2015-02-10 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2013-11-13 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2006-05-08 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2002-11-17 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1995-04-28 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1986-09-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+0.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,669 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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