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515 Ofarrell St 46-Plex
A- Composite 81.91
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.4/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0

$7,000,000

515 Ofarrell St · San Francisco, CA 94102
None bd · None ba · 25,896 sqft · MultiFamily · 137 Days on market
Built 1926 Good condition 4,534 sqft lot $270/sqft · 17% below area Est $8.41M · 17% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 46 units. confirmed

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks MLS

First time on the market in 48 years - a once-in-a-generation investment opportunity. The Beverly, located at 515 O'Farrell Street, is a 46-unit mixed-use asset comprised of 45 studio apartments and one ground-floor commercial unit, ideally situated in the heart of San Francisco. The property is within walking distance to Union Square, national name-brand hotels, BART, cable cars, and offers immediate access to multiple MUNI bus lines. The residential component features 45 well-laid-out studio units, offering efficient layouts and strong rental demand. The ground floor includes a large laundromat servicing both residential and commercial clientele. Additional highlights include a roof deck with panoramic views and 7 parking spaces. Capital improvements include elastomeric roof coating, furnace improvements, and ongoing upgrades to the sprinkler system. This concrete building is not subject to San Francisco's soft-story retrofit program.

Key facts

  • Parking spaces
  • Concrete building
  • 4,534 sq ft lot

Tags

GROUND-FLOOR COMMERCIAL UNITROOF DECK WITH PANORAMIC VIEWSPARKING SPACESCONCRETE BUILDING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 45×?bd/1ba + 1×?bd/?ba units multifamily listed at $7.00M. Condition is rated good.
  • This rent per unit runs 38% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $20k ($246k/yr) — positive. Per door: $445/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($87k rent vs $7.00M).
  • Recommended offer: $6.16M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 2.2% in San Francisco — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in CA, #3,143 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • San Francisco Unified (urban): math 50% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #322 of 1,400 in CA (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Lilienthal (Claire) Elementary (669 students, 19% FRL); Giannini (A.P.) Middle (1,192 students, 34% FRL); Lowell High (2,632 students, 37% FRL) — zoned schools average 30% FRL vs 49% district-wide (19 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 80 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 750 units permitted in San Francisco County in 2024 (688 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $384k of equity ($48k loan paydown + $336k appreciation (4.8% local appreciation)).
  • San Francisco County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (4.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $1.96M cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$616k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 137 days — a 12% lower offer ($6.16M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $6,160,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 137 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.25%
Cap rate
9.81%
Cash-on-cash
12.54%
DSCR
1.56
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$8,409,843
List price
$7,000,000
Delta
24.85%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
12 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
970 Post St 0.28mi 27/— 22,310 (-14%) 3mo $6,400,000 $287 61
815 Ofarrell St 0.27mi 3/— 19,650 (-24%) 2mo $5,500,000 $280 61
1900 Washington St 0.81mi 25/— 25,920 (+0%) 13mo $11,595,000 $447 54
1501-1519 Polk St 0.57mi 8/— 23,890 (-8%) 10mo $7,950,000 $333 52
1257 Bush St 0.35mi 1/— 23,666 (-9%) 27mo $5,900,000 $249 49
725 Van Ness Ave 0.48mi 5/— 23,520 (-9%) 34mo $4,600,000 $196 42
924 Fulton St 1.16mi 17/— 20,240 (-22%) 5mo $7,750,000 $383 36
77-83 9th St 0.61mi 10/— 22,670 (-12%) 23mo $6,500,000 $287 32
1700 Octavia St 0.76mi 16/— 22,300 (-14%) 20mo $8,425,000 $378 26

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.8% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.3%
Equity multiple
2.45×
Total profit
$2,838,836
Equity at exit
$3,880,823
10-year hold
IRR
22.8%
Equity multiple
4.82×
Total profit
$7,496,568
Equity at exit
$6,627,737

Cash invested: $1,960,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City San Francisco
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+57
SF Rent Ordinance + Eviction Protections; relocation $10k+; one of strictest in US.
Balanced market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
2 active · 1 under contract
Months of supply
6.0 mo (17%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$6,875,000 ($237/sqft)
Median days on market
64 d
This list price
50% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+37.0% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 94102

Home prices YoY
2.7%
Active inventory
80
Price-to-rent
307.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$87,170 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$36,709
Tax est. 1.5%
$8,750 /mo · $105,000/yr
Insurance
$2,917
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$18,306
Net cashflow
$20,489

46-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
1× unit 0 0 $1,895
Total (46 units) $87,170

Break-even live

Break-even rent $61,235
Max offer price $7,000,000
Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $25,326 -5% $22,908 +0% $20,489 +5% $18,070 +10% $15,651
Rent -10% $13,602 -5% $17,046 +0% $20,489 +5% $23,932 +10% $27,375
Rate -1.0pp $24,014 -0.5pp $22,269 base $20,489 +0.5pp $18,675 +1.0pp $16,830

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$1,750,000
Closing costs
$210,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
555 Ofarrell St San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.0 394 $2,495 $6.33 38d 1 0.06mi
516 Ellis St San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 359 $2,195 $6.11 2d 1 0.10mi
540 Leavenworth St San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 354 $2,595 $7.33 9d 1 0.11mi
737 Post St San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 515 $5,010 $9.72 2d 13 0.18mi
650 Ellis St San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.0 359 $2,195 $6.11 2d 2 0.22mi
755 Ofarrell St San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 370 $2,980 $8.04 2d 3 0.23mi
1028 Market St San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 675 $6,054 $8.96 2d 9 0.24mi
735 Taylor St San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 193 $2,345 $12.15 19d 1 0.30mi
925 Geary St San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 375 $3,145 $8.39 2d 4 0.31mi
655 Powell St San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 396 $4,295 $10.85 2d 3 0.46mi
750 Golden Gate Ave San Francisco, CA 3.0 1.0–2.5 681 $2,280 $3.35 93d 1 0.61mi
1520 Gough St San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 377 $4,395 $11.64 2d 2 0.68mi
390 1st St San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 676 $8,161 $12.07 2d 12 1.07mi
1023 3rd St San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 674 $11,094 $16.45 2d 18 1.43mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $7,000,000 Active 137 DOM
  2. 2026-08-06
    days on market $7,000,000 Active 135 DOM
  3. 2026-08-05
    days on market $7,000,000 Active 134 DOM
  4. 2026-08-04
    days on market $7,000,000 Active 133 DOM
  5. 2026-08-03
    pricedays on market $7,000,000 Active 132 DOM
  6. 2026-07-31
    days on market $10,500,000 Active 129 DOM
  7. 2026-07-30
    days on market $10,500,000 Active 128 DOM
  8. 2026-07-30
    days on market $10,500,000 Active 127 DOM
  9. 2026-07-28
    days on market $10,500,000 Active 126 DOM
  10. 2026-07-26
    days on market $10,500,000 Active 124 DOM
  11. 2026-07-24
    days on market $10,500,000 Active 122 DOM
  12. 2026-07-23
    days on market $10,500,000 Active 121 DOM
  13. 2026-07-22
    days on market $10,500,000 Active 120 DOM
  14. 2026-07-21
    days on market $10,500,000 Active 119 DOM
  15. 2026-07-20
    days on market $10,500,000 Active 118 DOM
  16. 2026-07-18
    days on market $10,500,000 Active 116 DOM
  17. 2026-07-18
    days on market $10,500,000 Active 115 DOM
  18. 2026-07-16
    days on market $10,500,000 Active 114 DOM
  19. 2026-07-15
    days on market $10,500,000 Active 113 DOM
  20. 2026-07-14
    days on market $10,500,000 Active 112 DOM
  21. 2026-07-13
    days on market $10,500,000 Active 111 DOM
  22. 2026-07-13
    days on market $10,500,000 Active 110 DOM
  23. 2026-07-11
    days on market $10,500,000 Active 109 DOM
  24. 2026-07-10
    days on market $10,500,000 Active 108 DOM
  25. 2026-07-09
    days on market $10,500,000 Active 107 DOM
  26. 2026-07-07
    days on market $10,500,000 Active 105 DOM
  27. 2026-07-06
    days on market $10,500,000 Active 104 DOM
  28. 2026-07-06
    days on market $10,500,000 Active 103 DOM
  29. 2026-07-05
    days on market $10,500,000 Active 102 DOM
  30. 2026-07-03
    days on market $10,500,000 Active 101 DOM
  31. 2026-07-02
    days on market $10,500,000 Active 100 DOM
  32. 2026-07-01
    days on market $10,500,000 Active 99 DOM
  33. 2026-06-30
    days on market $10,500,000 Active 98 DOM
  34. 2026-06-29
    days on market $10,500,000 Active 97 DOM
  35. 2026-06-28
    days on market $10,500,000 Active 96 DOM
  36. 2026-06-27
    days on market $10,500,000 Active 95 DOM
  37. 2026-06-26
    days on market $10,500,000 Active 94 DOM
  38. 2026-06-24
    days on market $10,500,000 Active 92 DOM
  39. 2026-06-22
    days on market $10,500,000 Active 90 DOM
  40. 2026-06-21
    days on market $10,500,000 Active 89 DOM
  41. 2026-06-18
    days on market $10,500,000 Active 86 DOM
  42. 2026-06-17
    days on market $10,500,000 Active 85 DOM
  43. 2026-06-16
    days on market $10,500,000 Active 84 DOM
  44. 2026-06-15
    days on market $10,500,000 Active 83 DOM
  45. 2026-06-13
    days on market $10,500,000 Active 81 DOM
  46. 2026-06-13
    days on market $10,500,000 Active 80 DOM
  47. 2026-06-09
    days on market $10,500,000 Active 77 DOM
  48. 2026-06-08
    days on market $10,500,000 Active 76 DOM
  49. 2026-06-07
    days on market $10,500,000 Active 75 DOM
  50. 2026-06-04
    days on market $10,500,000 Active 72 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥79°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 8/10 Severe 15 unhealthy d/yr today · 15 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$1,046,040
− Mortgage interest
−$392,109
− Property taxes
−$105,000
− Insurance
−$35,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$83,683
− Management
−$83,683
− Depreciation
−$203,636
Taxable income
$142,928
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$34,303
After-tax cash flow
$211,564/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $129,480–$388,440 screening

This multi-family property is in good condition with a good condition score of 75. It offers a prime location and has the potential for further value increases through cosmetic updates and maintenance.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Deep clean common areas — A thorough cleaning of common areas can improve the overall impression and attract more tenants or buyers.
  • Rental Update HVAC filters — Fresh air and a clean HVAC system can improve tenant satisfaction and reduce maintenance costs.
  • Both Install energy-efficient windows — Energy-efficient windows can reduce utility costs and improve the home's energy rating, increasing its value.
  • Both Add modern lighting fixtures — Modern lighting fixtures can enhance the aesthetic appeal and increase the home's value for both resale and rental purposes.

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

Zoned Schools

Elementary Redding Elementary Middle Marina Middle High Galileo High

Schools (NCES district)

District
San Francisco Unified
NCES district ID
0634410
Math proficiency
50% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$81,249
Composite
50.14/100
National rank
#4088
State rank
#322 of 1400 in CA
B Composite livability gradescore 76/100

Livability — San Francisco

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3143

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A+ Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Francisco, CA
County
San Francisco County · 1,030,936 people
City population
827,552
Metro
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
Population (ZIP)
35,976
Household income
$60,431
Rent vs Own
92.0% rent · 8.0% own
Severe rent burden
9% of renters

Population outlook (San Francisco County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,030,936 people
By 2030
1,110,409 · +7.7%
By 2040
1,270,010 · +23.2%
By 2050
1,435,001 · +39.2%
By 2075
1,779,074 · +72.6%
By 2100
1,966,767 · +90.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.77)
Race & ethnicity
White 31% Asian 28% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 13% Black 9% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
41% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
52% English-only · Spanish 16% Chinese 10% Vietnamese 5%

Political lean MEDSL · San Francisco

2024 margin
Solid D (+64.8) · D 80.3% · R 15.5% · Other 4.1%
2008→2024 swing
-5.7pp toward R · 2008: 70.5pp · 2024: 64.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+64.8 2020: D+72.5 2016: D+76.1 2012: D+70.2 2008: D+70.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-03-24 Listed $10,500,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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