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8787 Locust Ave #24
B- Composite 66.71
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.0/15.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,000

8787 Locust Ave #24 · Fontana, CA 92335
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 624 sqft · Manufactured · 122 Days on market
Built 1964 Fair condition $159/sqft · 8% above area Est $92k · 8% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this cozy 1-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home located in the heart of Fontana. This well-cared-for home offers a comfortable layout with thoughtful updates already in place, while leaving room for future personalization. An open living and dining area creates a welcoming space that flows into a charming kitchen, featuring a cooktop and newly installed sink and faucet, with room to add an oven and refrigerator to suit your needs. The bathroom has been refreshed with a new vanity, toilet, and shower head, and includes a convenient shower/tub combination. The bedroom offers generous storage with an entire wall of built-in closets and drawers. A separate laundry room includes a newer washer and dryer—both included in the sale—and provides direct access to the backyard. Outside, enjoy a small front porch, a low-maintenance side yard accented with white rock landscaping and mature fruit trees, plus a storage shed for added convenience. A two-car carport completes the home. Situated in a community that offers a pool and a clubhouse with tables and a kitchen, this home is a wonderful opportunity for buyers looking for affordability, functionality, and the chance to make it their own.

Key facts

  • New vanity
  • Charming kitchen
  • Refreshed bathroom

Tags

OPEN LIVING AND DINING AREACHARMING KITCHENREFRESHED BATHROOMNEW VANITYSHOWER TUB COMBINATIONBUILT-IN CLOSETS AND DRAWERS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $99k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $733 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $99k).
  • Recommended offer: $87k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.2% vs local median 3.2% in Fontana — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#415 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, commute A-, employment A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, cost of living F.
  • Fontana Unified (suburban): math 25% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #156 of 517 in CA (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 115 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.3% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 122 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $64k; list at $99k implies a 55% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $87,120 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 122 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.81%
Cap rate
15.17%
Cash-on-cash
31.71%
DSCR
2.41
GRM
4.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$91,945
List price
$99,000
Delta
7.67%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.34% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.9%
Equity multiple
2.06×
Total profit
$29,459
Equity at exit
$14,761
10-year hold
IRR
33.2%
Equity multiple
3.92×
Total profit
$81,049
Equity at exit
$8,560

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92335

Rents YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
115
Price-to-rent
4.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,793 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$519
Tax est. 1.5%
$124 /mo · $1,485/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$377
Net cashflow
$733

Break-even live

Break-even rent $866
Max offer price $99,000
Occupancy floor 54%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,750
Closing costs
$2,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
200 S Linden Ave Rialto, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 772 $1,679 $2.17 43d 13 0.26mi
17923 Arrow Blvd Fontana, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 850 $1,925 $2.26 1d 1 0.46mi
18215 Foothill Blvd Fontana, CA 1.0 1.0 599 $1,682 $2.81 43d 1 0.74mi
380 N Linden Ave Rialto, CA 3.0 1.0–2.5 815 $1,713 $2.10 16d 1 0.76mi
210 N Beechwood Ave Rialto, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 794 $1,650 $2.08 21d 7 1.19mi
8185 Palmetto Ave Fontana, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 580 $1,575 $2.72 2d 5 1.35mi
8919 Mango Ave Fontana, CA 1.0 1.0 500 $1,650 $3.30 15d 2 1.40mi
8998 Mango Ave Unit I Fontana, CA 1.0 1.0 692 $1,650 $2.38 21d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,000 Active 122 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,000 Active 121 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,000 Active 120 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,000 Active 119 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,000 Active 117 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,000 Active 116 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,000 Active 113 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,000 Active 112 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,000 Active 111 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $99,000 Active 108 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    pricedays on market $99,000 Active 107 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $104,999 Active 106 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $104,999 Active 105 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $104,999 Active 104 DOM
  15. 2026-04-14
    price $104,999 1211-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1211 chars)

    Welcome to this cozy 1-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home located in the heart of Fontana. This well-cared-for home offers a comfortable layout with thoughtful updates already in place, while leaving room for future personalization. An open living and dining area creates a welcoming space that flows into a charming kitchen, featuring a cooktop and newly installed sink and faucet, with room to add an oven and refrigerator to suit your needs. The bathroom has been refreshed with a new vanity, toilet, and shower head, and includes a convenient shower/tub combination. The bedroom offers generous storage with an entire wall of built-in closets and drawers. A separate laundry room includes a newer washer and dryer—both included in the sale—and provides direct access to the backyard. Outside, enjoy a small front porch, a low-maintenance side yard accented with white rock landscaping and mature fruit trees, plus a storage shed for added convenience. A two-car carport completes the home. Situated in a community that offers a pool and a clubhouse with tables and a kitchen, this home is a wonderful opportunity for buyers looking for affordability, functionality, and the chance to make it their own.

  16. 2026-02-16
    listed $110,000 Active 1211-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1211 chars)

    Welcome to this cozy 1-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home located in the heart of Fontana. This well-cared-for home offers a comfortable layout with thoughtful updates already in place, while leaving room for future personalization. An open living and dining area creates a welcoming space that flows into a charming kitchen, featuring a cooktop and newly installed sink and faucet, with room to add an oven and refrigerator to suit your needs. The bathroom has been refreshed with a new vanity, toilet, and shower head, and includes a convenient shower/tub combination. The bedroom offers generous storage with an entire wall of built-in closets and drawers. A separate laundry room includes a newer washer and dryer—both included in the sale—and provides direct access to the backyard. Outside, enjoy a small front porch, a low-maintenance side yard accented with white rock landscaping and mature fruit trees, plus a storage shed for added convenience. A two-car carport completes the home. Situated in a community that offers a pool and a clubhouse with tables and a kitchen, this home is a wonderful opportunity for buyers looking for affordability, functionality, and the chance to make it their own.

  17. 2022-09-16
    soldstatus $64,000 Closed Sale 406-char remark
    Show marketing remark (406 chars)

    Single wide 1 bedroom, 1 bath with new interior paint, laminate floor throughout. Updated bathroom tub. Storage space/ laundry room. Clubhouse with access to community pool. One of the owners has a real estate brokers license, representing himself. Buyer needs to be approved by the park manager. Property to be sold AS IS Condition, Owner has never lived on property. Square footage includes laundry room.

  18. 2022-07-24
    status Pending Sale 406-char remark
    Show marketing remark (406 chars)

    Single wide 1 bedroom, 1 bath with new interior paint, laminate floor throughout. Updated bathroom tub. Storage space/ laundry room. Clubhouse with access to community pool. One of the owners has a real estate brokers license, representing himself. Buyer needs to be approved by the park manager. Property to be sold AS IS Condition, Owner has never lived on property. Square footage includes laundry room.

  19. 2022-07-17
    status Active 406-char remark
    Show marketing remark (406 chars)

    Single wide 1 bedroom, 1 bath with new interior paint, laminate floor throughout. Updated bathroom tub. Storage space/ laundry room. Clubhouse with access to community pool. One of the owners has a real estate brokers license, representing himself. Buyer needs to be approved by the park manager. Property to be sold AS IS Condition, Owner has never lived on property. Square footage includes laundry room.

  20. 2022-07-15
    status Pending Sale 406-char remark
    Show marketing remark (406 chars)

    Single wide 1 bedroom, 1 bath with new interior paint, laminate floor throughout. Updated bathroom tub. Storage space/ laundry room. Clubhouse with access to community pool. One of the owners has a real estate brokers license, representing himself. Buyer needs to be approved by the park manager. Property to be sold AS IS Condition, Owner has never lived on property. Square footage includes laundry room.

  21. 2022-07-01
    price $69,900 406-char remark
    Show marketing remark (406 chars)

    Single wide 1 bedroom, 1 bath with new interior paint, laminate floor throughout. Updated bathroom tub. Storage space/ laundry room. Clubhouse with access to community pool. One of the owners has a real estate brokers license, representing himself. Buyer needs to be approved by the park manager. Property to be sold AS IS Condition, Owner has never lived on property. Square footage includes laundry room.

  22. 2022-06-14
    price $79,900 406-char remark
    Show marketing remark (406 chars)

    Single wide 1 bedroom, 1 bath with new interior paint, laminate floor throughout. Updated bathroom tub. Storage space/ laundry room. Clubhouse with access to community pool. One of the owners has a real estate brokers license, representing himself. Buyer needs to be approved by the park manager. Property to be sold AS IS Condition, Owner has never lived on property. Square footage includes laundry room.

  23. 2022-06-02
    listed $89,900 Active 406-char remark
    Show marketing remark (406 chars)

    Single wide 1 bedroom, 1 bath with new interior paint, laminate floor throughout. Updated bathroom tub. Storage space/ laundry room. Clubhouse with access to community pool. One of the owners has a real estate brokers license, representing himself. Buyer needs to be approved by the park manager. Property to be sold AS IS Condition, Owner has never lived on property. Square footage includes laundry room.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 27 unhealthy d/yr today · 32 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,520
− Mortgage interest
−$5,546
− Property taxes
−$1,485
− Insurance
−$495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,722
− Management
−$1,722
− Depreciation
−$2,880
Taxable income
$7,671
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,841
After-tax cash flow
$6,950/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This mobile home requires moderate repairs and updates to improve its condition and value. Key areas for improvement include the kitchen, bathroom, exterior siding, and HVAC unit. Upgrading these elements will significantly enhance its resale and rental potential.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor kitchen cabinets — existing cabinets
  • Minor bathroom vanity — new vanity
  • Minor bathroom toilet — new toilet
  • Minor bathroom shower head — new shower head
  • Minor kitchen sink and faucet — new sink and faucet
  • Moderate exterior siding — visible wear
  • Moderate interior walls — average condition
  • Moderate HVAC unit — visible
  • Moderate landscaping — visible

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale update kitchen cabinets — modernizing kitchen
  • Resale update bathroom vanity — modernizing bathroom
  • Both update HVAC unit — improves comfort and energy efficiency
  • Both landscape — enhances curb appeal and property value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen cabinets · existing cabinets Minor $500–3,000
bathroom vanity · new vanity Minor $500–3,000
bathroom toilet · new toilet Minor $500–3,000
bathroom shower head · new shower head Minor $500–3,000
kitchen sink and faucet · new sink and faucet Minor $500–3,000
exterior siding · visible wear Moderate $3,000–15,000
interior walls · average condition Moderate $3,000–15,000
HVAC unit · visible Moderate $3,000–15,000
landscaping · visible Moderate $3,000–15,000
Total estimated repair cost · 9 items $14,500–75,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale update kitchen cabinets — modernizing kitchen
  • Resale update bathroom vanity — modernizing bathroom
  • Both update HVAC unit — improves comfort and energy efficiency
  • Both landscape — enhances curb appeal and property value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fontana Unified
NCES district ID
0613920
Math proficiency
25% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
71% ▲ 30.00%
Median HH income
$53,912
Composite
41.31/100
National rank
#3510
State rank
#156 of 517 in CA

Livability — Fontana

Score
64/100
State rank
#415
US rank
#14177

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A- Cost of living F Crime B- Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fontana, CA
County
San Bernardino County · 2,030,291 people
City population
203,028
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
97,511
Household income
$77,949
Rent vs Own
51.8% rent · 48.2% own
Severe rent burden
3437.0

Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,300,329 people
By 2030
2,378,907 · +3.4%
By 2040
2,523,137 · +9.7%
By 2050
2,642,388 · +14.9%
By 2075
2,880,769 · +25.2%
By 2100
2,909,436 · +26.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (84%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 84% Two or more races 13% White 8% Black 4% Asian 2% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 74%
Common ancestry
Italian 1%
Foreign-born
34% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
27% English-only · Spanish 69% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -804.67%
Current HPI
507.5862
Rent YoY
▲ 2.34%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+16.8% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-14 Price Changed $104,999 CRMLS
  • 2026-02-16 Listed $110,000 CRMLS
  • 2022-09-16 Sold (MLS) $64,000 CRMLS
  • 2022-07-24 Pending CRMLS
  • 2022-07-17 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2022-07-15 Pending CRMLS
  • 2022-07-01 Price Changed $69,900 CRMLS
  • 2022-06-14 Price Changed $79,900 CRMLS
  • 2022-06-02 Listed $89,900 CRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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