687 Majestic Dr · Bloomingdale, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 95.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +10.3/15.0
- Cash flow +9.5/30.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- DSCR +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$376,129
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
The Benson plan by Horizon Home Builders in Buckingham Plantation!! South Guyton off of HWY 30 close to everything, I95, Hyundai Plant, Gulfstream, Pooler, Savannah, South Effingham School District. The Benson Plan offer 2,371 sq. ft. - 4 BR/2.5 BA open floor plan with study. Beautiful owner's suite with ensuite bathroom with private water closet, separate tiled shower with bench, double sinks with Quartz tops! Beautiful open kitchen with Quartz counters and tiled backsplash, pendant lights over kitchen island, click-lock vinyl plank on first floor in main living spaces, electric fireplace with shiplap accent in family room. Enjoy your evenings on the covered front porch or the 12 x 19 covered back porch. Estimated Completion September 2026
Key facts
- Double sinks
- Owner's suite
- Ensuite bathroom
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $376k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-259 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $339k (10.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $299k (20.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $299k (20.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 4.1% in Bloomingdale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#344 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Effingham County (rural): math 49% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #16 of 174 in GA (top 9%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 399 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 836 units permitted in Effingham County in 2024 (46 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($102k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Effingham County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($354k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 95% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.96%
- DSCR
- 0.87
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $401,080
- List price
- $376,129
- Delta
- -6.22%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 681 Majestic Dr | 0.00mi | 4/2.5 | 2,371 (0%) | 3mo | $371,403 | $157 | 98 |
| 106 Buckingham Dr | 0.40mi | 4/3.0 | 2,345 (-1%) | 4mo | $415,000 | $177 | 74 |
| 305 Windsor Rd | 0.40mi | 4/2.0 | 2,329 (-2%) | 9mo | $449,900 | $193 | 69 |
| 108 Sam's Dr | 0.70mi | 4/2.5 | 2,392 (+1%) | 12mo | $369,900 | $155 | 56 |
| 318 Saint Johns Rd | 0.66mi | 4/2.5 | 2,285 (-4%) | 11mo | $405,000 | $177 | 54 |
| 102 Little Ben Ct | 0.66mi | 4/3.0 | 2,585 (+9%) | 1mo | $403,983 | $156 | 52 |
| 108 Little Ben Ct | 0.67mi | 4/3.0 | 2,585 (+9%) | 1mo | $402,678 | $156 | 51 |
| 131 South Effingham Plantation Dr | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,510 (+6%) | 12mo | $415,000 | $165 | 50 |
| 102 Sam's Dr | 0.71mi | 4/3.0 | 2,138 (-10%) | 2mo | $379,000 | $177 | 47 |
| 139 S Effingham Plantation Dr | 0.48mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,704 (+14%) | 2mo | $584,000 | $216 | 45 |
| 110 Sam's Dr | 0.71mi | 4/2.5 | 2,618 (+10%) | 12mo | $389,900 | $149 | 39 |
| 645 Nease Rd | 0.74mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,078 (-12%) | 5mo | $369,900 | $178 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.26×
- Total profit
- $-77,412
- Equity at exit
- $56,082
- IRR
- -14.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.16×
- Total profit
- $-88,439
- Equity at exit
- $32,521
Cash invested: $105,316 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31312
- Home prices YoY
- -26.6%
- Active inventory
- 399
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,994 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,972
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$470 /mo · $5,642/yr
- Insurance
- −$157
- HOA
- −$25
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$629
- Net cashflow
- $-259
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $94,032
- Closing costs
- $11,284
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 604 Majestic Dr Guyton, GA | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2936 | $3,000 | $1.02 | 23d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 135 Sams Dr Guyton, GA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2738 | $2,800 | $1.02 | 21d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 102 Old Mill Rd Guyton, GA | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2950 | $2,700 | $0.92 | 23d | 1 | 1.07mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $25 · $300/yr
- Likely covers
- waterelectricpool
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $376,129 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $376,129 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $376,129 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $376,129 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $376,129 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $376,129 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $376,129 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $376,129 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $376,129 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $376,129 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $376,129 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $376,129 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $376,129 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $376,129 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $376,129 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $376,129 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-04-17$376,129 Active 750-char remark
Show marketing remark (750 chars)
The Benson plan by Horizon Home Builders in Buckingham Plantation!! South Guyton off of HWY 30 close to everything, I95, Hyundai Plant, Gulfstream, Pooler, Savannah, South Effingham School District. The Benson Plan offer 2,371 sq. ft. - 4 BR/2.5 BA open floor plan with study. Beautiful owner's suite with ensuite bathroom with private water closet, separate tiled shower with bench, double sinks with Quartz tops! Beautiful open kitchen with Quartz counters and tiled backsplash, pendant lights over kitchen island, click-lock vinyl plank on first floor in main living spaces, electric fireplace with shiplap accent in family room. Enjoy your evenings on the covered front porch or the 12 x 19 covered back porch. Estimated Completion September 2026
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 95% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,923
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,069
- − Property taxes
- −$5,642
- − Insurance
- −$1,881
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,874
- − Management
- −$2,874
- − HOA
- −$300
- − Depreciation
- −$10,942
- Taxable loss
- −$9,659
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,318
- After-tax cash flow
- $-795/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Effingham County
- NCES district ID
- 1301980
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,503
- Composite
- 42.56/100
- National rank
- #3195
- State rank
- #16 of 174 in GA
Livability — Bloomingdale
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #344
- US rank
- #17885
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Effingham County · 68,439 people
- City population
- 8,899
- Metro
- Savannah, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,991
- Household income
- $101,750
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 97.0
Population outlook (Effingham County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 67,399 people
- By 2030
- 72,297 · +7.3%
- By 2040
- 81,602 · +21.1%
- By 2050
- 89,494 · +32.8%
- By 2075
- 105,976 · +57.2%
- By 2100
- 111,943 · +66.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Black 11% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Effingham
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+49.1) · D 25.2% · R 74.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.6pp toward D · 2008: -50.7pp · 2024: -49.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+49.1 2020: R+49.5 2016: R+55.6 2012: R+51.2 2008: R+50.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -74.77%
- Current HPI
- 205.9899
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Savannah, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Listed $376,129 Hive MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…