207 2nd Ave NW · Kenmare, ND
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,289 – $2,393
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +6.6/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Here is an opportunity to renovate a home in Kenmare, ND! This home is being sold as is in its current condition. The home features 3 bedrooms and 1.75 baths. There are a total of 3 bedrooms and ¾ bathroom upstairs. The main floor has a living room, kitchen, and one full bathroom. The basement is unfinished. The home does need a considerable amount of work to be livable and will not qualify for FHA or VA financing.
Key facts
- 5 year old roof
- Updated pex plumbing
- Newer furnace
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Concrete parking; 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; 2 stories
- Construction: Below-grade finished area present
- Exterior features: Public water; Public sewer; Rural residential zoning
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Oven; Refrigerator
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating; Propane heating
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Range; Oven; Refrigerator; Full unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $465 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#120 in ND) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, health & safety D, amenities F.
- Kenmare 28 (rural): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #89 of 169 in ND (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 123 units permitted in Ward County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($552 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.1% local appreciation)).
- Ward County population projected at +76% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (3.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $80k implies a 220% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.56% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.92%
- DSCR
- 2.11
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $128,160
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 423 1st Ave NW | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,836 (+3%) | 8mo | $194,900 | $106 | 77 |
| 213 NE 1st Ave | 0.22mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,798 (+1%) | 14mo | $130,000 | $72 | 70 |
| 111 1st Ave SE | 0.28mi | 2/1.2 (-1) | 1,904 (+7%) | 16mo | $26,361 | $14 | 52 |
| 209 1st Ave NE | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 | 1,946 (+9%) | 24mo | $38,000 | $20 | 48 |
| 112 6th Ave NE | 0.60mi | 3/1.8 | 1,742 (-2%) | 22mo | $125,000 | $72 | 46 |
| 622 N Central Ave | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 1,942 (+9%) | 22mo | $25,000 | $13 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.1% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.77×
- Total profit
- $39,640
- Equity at exit
- $36,381
- IRR
- 31.4%
- Equity multiple
- 5.43×
- Total profit
- $99,131
- Equity at exit
- $56,424
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Dakota
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 58746
- Home prices YoY
- 2.8%
- Active inventory
- 10
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,247 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax from tax record
- −$68 /mo · $820/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$262
- Net cashflow
- $465
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,900 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $79,900 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $79,900 Active 25 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $79,900 Active 24 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $79,900 Active 22 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $79,900 Active 21 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $79,900 Active 18 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $79,900 Active 17 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $79,900 Active 16 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $79,900 Active 14 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $79,900 Active 12 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $79,900 Active 11 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $79,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-22$79,900 Active
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2024-04-29soldstatus Closed 425-char remark
Show marketing remark (425 chars)
Here is an opportunity to renovate a home in Kenmare, ND! This home is being sold as is in its current condition. The home features 3 bedrooms and 1.75 baths. There are a total of 3 bedrooms and ¾ bathroom upstairs. The main floor has a living room, kitchen, and one full bathroom. The basement is unfinished. The home does need a considerable amount of work to be livable and will not qualify for FHA or VA financing.
-
2024-04-29soldstatus $25,000
Show marketing remark (425 chars)
Here is an opportunity to renovate a home in Kenmare, ND! This home is being sold as is in its current condition. The home features 3 bedrooms and 1.75 baths. There are a total of 3 bedrooms and ¾ bathroom upstairs. The main floor has a living room, kitchen, and one full bathroom. The basement is unfinished. The home does need a considerable amount of work to be livable and will not qualify for FHA or VA financing.
-
2024-04-08status Pending 425-char remark
Show marketing remark (425 chars)
Here is an opportunity to renovate a home in Kenmare, ND! This home is being sold as is in its current condition. The home features 3 bedrooms and 1.75 baths. There are a total of 3 bedrooms and ¾ bathroom upstairs. The main floor has a living room, kitchen, and one full bathroom. The basement is unfinished. The home does need a considerable amount of work to be livable and will not qualify for FHA or VA financing.
-
2024-03-08$25,000 Active 425-char remark
Show marketing remark (425 chars)
Here is an opportunity to renovate a home in Kenmare, ND! This home is being sold as is in its current condition. The home features 3 bedrooms and 1.75 baths. There are a total of 3 bedrooms and ¾ bathroom upstairs. The main floor has a living room, kitchen, and one full bathroom. The basement is unfinished. The home does need a considerable amount of work to be livable and will not qualify for FHA or VA financing.
-
2020-09-18soldstatus 448-char remark
Show marketing remark (448 chars)
Looking for a great opportunity to rebuild/renovate a single family home near the river and downtown Kenmare, ND? Located just 45 minutes from Minot, this is a wonderful community with a K-12 school, golf coarse, pharmacy, park, pool and much more. The home features three bedrooms, two bathrooms a large yard with mature trees and an attached garage. This is a HUD Home, Sold As-Is Case 401-141305 www. HUDHomestore.com. www. chronossolutions.com
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2020-08-11$16,341 448-char remark
Show marketing remark (448 chars)
Looking for a great opportunity to rebuild/renovate a single family home near the river and downtown Kenmare, ND? Located just 45 minutes from Minot, this is a wonderful community with a K-12 school, golf coarse, pharmacy, park, pool and much more. The home features three bedrooms, two bathrooms a large yard with mature trees and an attached garage. This is a HUD Home, Sold As-Is Case 401-141305 www. HUDHomestore.com. www. chronossolutions.com
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2015-08-20soldstatus
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2015-07-16soldstatus
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2015-05-20$75,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast ND · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $820 · $68/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $820 · $68/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,965
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$820
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,197
- − Management
- −$1,197
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $4,551
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,092
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,482/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kenmare 28
- NCES district ID
- 3810180
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,420
- Composite
- 39.3/100
- National rank
- #8176
- State rank
- #89 of 169 in ND
Livability — Kenmare
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #120
- US rank
- #10142
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kenmare, ND
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,583
Population outlook (Ward County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 92,683 people
- By 2030
- 104,825 · +13.1%
- By 2040
- 131,945 · +42.4%
- By 2050
- 163,134 · +76.0%
- By 2075
- 256,561 · +176.8%
- By 2100
- 354,426 · +282.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 37% Scottish 3% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Ward
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.4) · D 25.5% · R 72.8% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.2pp toward R · 2008: -19.2pp · 2024: -47.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.4 2020: R+44.9 2016: R+47.7 2012: R+30.8 2008: R+19.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.10%
- Current HPI
- 113.7062
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.09%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Utilities / Construction | 1 | $6B |
|
||
Price history
+6.5% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $79,900 MMLS
- 2024-04-29 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
- 2024-04-29 Sold (MLS) — MMLS
- 2024-04-08 Pending — MMLS
- 2024-03-08 Listed $25,000 MMLS
- 2020-09-18 Sold (MLS) — MMLS
- 2020-08-11 Listed $16,341 MMLS
- 2015-08-20 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2015-07-16 Sold (MLS) — MMLS
- 2015-05-20 Listed $75,000 MMLS
Property tax history
+3.8%/yrLatest (2024): $820 · -5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…