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207 2nd Ave NW
A- Composite 83.83
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.6/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$79,900

207 2nd Ave NW · Kenmare, ND 58746
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,780 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 27 Days on market
Built 1915 8,276 sqft lot Est $128k · 38% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Here is an opportunity to renovate a home in Kenmare, ND! This home is being sold as is in its current condition. The home features 3 bedrooms and 1.75 baths. There are a total of 3 bedrooms and ¾ bathroom upstairs. The main floor has a living room, kitchen, and one full bathroom. The basement is unfinished. The home does need a considerable amount of work to be livable and will not qualify for FHA or VA financing.

Key facts

  • 5 year old roof
  • Updated pex plumbing
  • Newer furnace

Tags

DES LACS LAKE VIEWSWOOD FLOORSUPDATED PEX PLUMBINGNEWER FURNACENEWER WATER HEATER5 YEAR OLD ROOF

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Concrete parking; 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; 2 stories
  • Construction: Below-grade finished area present
  • Exterior features: Public water; Public sewer; Rural residential zoning

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Oven; Refrigerator
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating; Propane heating
  • Interior features: Dishwasher; Range; Oven; Refrigerator; Full unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $465 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $79k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#120 in ND) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, health & safety D, amenities F.
  • Kenmare 28 (rural): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #89 of 169 in ND (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 123 units permitted in Ward County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($552 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.1% local appreciation)).
  • Ward County population projected at +76% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (3.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $25k; list at $80k implies a 220% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $78,701 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.56%
Cap rate
13.27%
Cash-on-cash
24.92%
DSCR
2.11
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$128,160
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
423 1st Ave NW 0.19mi 3/2.0 1,836 (+3%) 8mo $194,900 $106 77
213 NE 1st Ave 0.22mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,798 (+1%) 14mo $130,000 $72 70
111 1st Ave SE 0.28mi 2/1.2 (-1) 1,904 (+7%) 16mo $26,361 $14 52
209 1st Ave NE 0.22mi 3/1.0 1,946 (+9%) 24mo $38,000 $20 48
112 6th Ave NE 0.60mi 3/1.8 1,742 (-2%) 22mo $125,000 $72 46
622 N Central Ave 0.37mi 3/1.0 1,942 (+9%) 22mo $25,000 $13 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.1% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
31.2%
Equity multiple
2.77×
Total profit
$39,640
Equity at exit
$36,381
10-year hold
IRR
31.4%
Equity multiple
5.43×
Total profit
$99,131
Equity at exit
$56,424

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Dakota
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 58746

Home prices YoY
2.8%
Active inventory
10
Price-to-rent
5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,247 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax from tax record
$68 /mo · $820/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$262
Net cashflow
$465

Break-even live

Break-even rent $659
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 58%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,900 Active 27 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $79,900 Active 26 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $79,900 Active 25 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,900 Active 24 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $79,900 Active 22 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $79,900 Active 21 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $79,900 Active 18 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,900 Active 17 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $79,900 Active 16 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $79,900 Active 14 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $79,900 Active 12 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $79,900 Active 11 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $79,900 Active 10 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $79,900 Active 9 DOM
  15. 2026-05-22
    listed $79,900 Active
  16. 2024-04-29
    soldstatus Closed 425-char remark
    Show marketing remark (425 chars)

    Here is an opportunity to renovate a home in Kenmare, ND! This home is being sold as is in its current condition. The home features 3 bedrooms and 1.75 baths. There are a total of 3 bedrooms and ¾ bathroom upstairs. The main floor has a living room, kitchen, and one full bathroom. The basement is unfinished. The home does need a considerable amount of work to be livable and will not qualify for FHA or VA financing.

  17. 2024-04-29
    soldstatus $25,000
    Show marketing remark (425 chars)

    Here is an opportunity to renovate a home in Kenmare, ND! This home is being sold as is in its current condition. The home features 3 bedrooms and 1.75 baths. There are a total of 3 bedrooms and ¾ bathroom upstairs. The main floor has a living room, kitchen, and one full bathroom. The basement is unfinished. The home does need a considerable amount of work to be livable and will not qualify for FHA or VA financing.

  18. 2024-04-08
    status Pending 425-char remark
    Show marketing remark (425 chars)

    Here is an opportunity to renovate a home in Kenmare, ND! This home is being sold as is in its current condition. The home features 3 bedrooms and 1.75 baths. There are a total of 3 bedrooms and ¾ bathroom upstairs. The main floor has a living room, kitchen, and one full bathroom. The basement is unfinished. The home does need a considerable amount of work to be livable and will not qualify for FHA or VA financing.

  19. 2024-03-08
    listed $25,000 Active 425-char remark
    Show marketing remark (425 chars)

    Here is an opportunity to renovate a home in Kenmare, ND! This home is being sold as is in its current condition. The home features 3 bedrooms and 1.75 baths. There are a total of 3 bedrooms and ¾ bathroom upstairs. The main floor has a living room, kitchen, and one full bathroom. The basement is unfinished. The home does need a considerable amount of work to be livable and will not qualify for FHA or VA financing.

  20. 2020-09-18
    soldstatus 448-char remark
    Show marketing remark (448 chars)

    Looking for a great opportunity to rebuild/renovate a single family home near the river and downtown Kenmare, ND? Located just 45 minutes from Minot, this is a wonderful community with a K-12 school, golf coarse, pharmacy, park, pool and much more. The home features three bedrooms, two bathrooms a large yard with mature trees and an attached garage. This is a HUD Home, Sold As-Is Case 401-141305 www. HUDHomestore.com. www. chronossolutions.com

  21. 2020-08-11
    listed $16,341 448-char remark
    Show marketing remark (448 chars)

    Looking for a great opportunity to rebuild/renovate a single family home near the river and downtown Kenmare, ND? Located just 45 minutes from Minot, this is a wonderful community with a K-12 school, golf coarse, pharmacy, park, pool and much more. The home features three bedrooms, two bathrooms a large yard with mature trees and an attached garage. This is a HUD Home, Sold As-Is Case 401-141305 www. HUDHomestore.com. www. chronossolutions.com

  22. 2015-08-20
    soldstatus
  23. 2015-07-16
    soldstatus
  24. 2015-05-20
    listed $75,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast ND · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$820 · $68/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$820 · $68/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,965
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$820
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,197
− Management
−$1,197
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable income
$4,551
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,092
After-tax cash flow
$4,482/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kenmare 28
NCES district ID
3810180
Math proficiency
40% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$54,420
Composite
39.3/100
National rank
#8176
State rank
#89 of 169 in ND

Livability — Kenmare

Score
67/100
State rank
#120
US rank
#10142

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Kenmare, ND
Population (ZIP)
1,583

Population outlook (Ward County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
92,683 people
By 2030
104,825 · +13.1%
By 2040
131,945 · +42.4%
By 2050
163,134 · +76.0%
By 2075
256,561 · +176.8%
By 2100
354,426 · +282.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 37% Scottish 3% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · Ward

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.4) · D 25.5% · R 72.8% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-28.2pp toward R · 2008: -19.2pp · 2024: -47.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.4 2020: R+44.9 2016: R+47.7 2012: R+30.8 2008: R+19.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.10%
Current HPI
113.7062
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.09%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+6.5% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $79,900 MMLS
  • 2024-04-29 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
  • 2024-04-29 Sold (MLS) MMLS
  • 2024-04-08 Pending MMLS
  • 2024-03-08 Listed $25,000 MMLS
  • 2020-09-18 Sold (MLS) MMLS
  • 2020-08-11 Listed $16,341 MMLS
  • 2015-08-20 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2015-07-16 Sold (MLS) MMLS
  • 2015-05-20 Listed $75,000 MMLS

Property tax history

+3.8%/yr

Latest (2024): $820 · -5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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