13640 SE Highway 212 #8 · Happy Valley, OR 97015

$109,900

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,488 sqft · Other public records · 21 Days on market

Built 2003

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Schools +3.2/10.0
• Rent growth +3.1/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Don’t miss out on this beautifully maintained, move-in-ready home built in 2003. Inside, you will find a bright and spacious open layout where the kitchen flows seamlessly into the main living areas, while the back deck provides a quiet outdoor retreat for relaxing or entertaining. As part of this desirable Shadow Brook neighborhood, you will enjoy fantastic community perks including exclusive access to a recreation room, pool, and a quiet place for your daily walk. Combining turn-key convenience with excellent neighborhood amenities and a highly accessible location just minutes away from Fred Meyer, New Seasons, Restaurants and more!

Key facts

• Accessible location
• Recreation room
• Open layout

Tags

• OPEN LAYOUT
• BACK DECK
• RECREATION ROOM
• POOL
• ACCESSIBLE LOCATION

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $110k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $979 ($12k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
• Recommended offer: $108k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 17.0% vs local median 2.5% in Happy Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 76/100 on livability (#76 in OR, #3,386 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
• North Clackamas SD 12 (suburban): math 29% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #22 of 58 in OR (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Verne A Duncan Elementary School (math 8% / reading 34%, grade F, #353 of 412 statewide, top 87%, 407 students, 32% FRL); Happy Valley Middle School (math 41% / reading 56%, grade C-, #29 of 128 statewide, top 22%, 1,021 students, 25% FRL); Clackamas High School (math 52% / reading 67%, grade C+, #23 of 143 statewide, top 19%, 1,224 students, 27% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 120 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 946 units permitted in Clackamas County in 2024 (188 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Clackamas County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.5% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $108,251 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.96% ✓
• Cap rate: 16.98%
• Cash-on-cash: 38.18%
• DSCR: 2.70
• GRM: 4.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.48% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 33.7%
• Equity multiple: 2.41×
• Total profit: $43,445
• Equity at exit: $16,386

10-year hold

• IRR: 40.3%
• Equity multiple: 4.69×
• Total profit: $113,622
• Equity at exit: $9,502

Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 28 Tenant-Leaning
• State Oregon: 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

SB608 (2019): statewide rent cap (7% + CPI) and just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr. Portland has relocation assistance ordinance.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 97015

• Rents YoY: 2.5%
• Active inventory: 120
• Price-to-rent: 4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,153 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$576
• Tax from tax record: −$100 /mo · $1,199/yr
• Insurance: −$46
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$452
• Net cashflow: $979

Break-even live

Break-even rent $914

Max offer price $109,900

Occupancy floor 50%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $27,475
• Closing costs: $3,297
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 9 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
13300 SE Hubbard Rd Clackamas, OR	3.0	1.0–2.0	818	$1,987	$2.43	2d	6	0.29mi
12301 SE Hubbard Rd Clackamas, OR	2.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	936	$1,523	$1.63	10d	4	0.69mi
13898 SE Rogers Ln Clackamas, OR	3.0	2.0	1488	$2,599	$1.75	43d	1	0.84mi
14439 SE Oregon Trail Dr Clackamas, OR	3.0	2.0	1650	$2,615	$1.58	1d	1	0.95mi
14095 SE Summerfield Loop Happy Valley, OR	3.0	2.5	1453	$2,695	$1.85	43d	1	1.10mi
14712 SE Misty Dr Happy Valley, OR	2.0	1.0–2.0	955	$1,988	$2.08	2d	13	1.21mi
14154 SE Summerfield Loop Unit 14194 Happy Valley, OR	3.0	2.5	1125	$2,250	$2.00	24d	1	1.23mi
14194 SE Summerfield Loop Happy Valley, OR	3.0	2.5	1125	$2,250	$2.00	24d	1	1.23mi
13120 SE 128th Ave Happy Valley, OR	3.0	2.5	1861	$2,900	$1.56	43d	1	1.27mi

Listing history 9 events

1. 2026-06-13
   statusdays on market $109,900 Pending 21 DOM
2. 2026-06-09
   days on market $109,900 Active 19 DOM
3. 2026-06-08
   days on market $109,900 Active 18 DOM
4. 2026-06-07
   days on market $109,900 Active 17 DOM
5. 2026-06-05
   days on market $109,900 Active 14 DOM
6. 2026-06-03
   days on market $109,900 Active 13 DOM
7. 2026-06-02
   days on market $109,900 Active 12 DOM
8. 2026-06-02
   remarks 643-char remark
9. 2026-06-02
   listed $109,900 Active 11 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,199 · $100/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,199 · $100/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 14 unhealthy d/yr today · 16 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $25,841
• − Mortgage interest: −$6,156
• − Property taxes: −$1,199
• − Insurance: −$550
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,067
• − Management: −$2,067
• − Depreciation: −$3,197
• Taxable income: $10,605
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,545
• After-tax cash flow: $9,205/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: North Clackamas SD 12
• NCES district ID: 4108830
• Math proficiency: 29% ▼ -14.00%
• Reading proficiency: 43% ▼ -13.00%
• Median HH income: $60,217
• Composite: 32.1/100
• National rank: #5807
• State rank: #22 of 58 in OR

Livability — Happy Valley

• Score: 76/100
• State rank: #76
• US rank: #3386

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A- Cost of living F Crime A Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Clackamas County · 361,406 people
• City population: 34,567
• Metro: Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
• Population (ZIP): 24,433
• Household income: $87,333
• Rent vs Own: 36.0% rent · 64.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 1166.0

Population outlook (Clackamas County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 458,456 people
• By 2030: 485,185 · +5.8%
• By 2040: 532,932 · +16.2%
• By 2050: 574,445 · +25.3%
• By 2075: 665,497 · +45.2%
• By 2100: 697,488 · +52.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (66%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 66% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 12% Asian 11% Black 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 13%
• Common ancestry: Italian 4% Scotch-Irish 4% Lithuanian 3%
• Foreign-born: 15% · Canada, China, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 74% English-only · Spanish 11% Chinese 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Clackamas

• 2024 margin: Lean D (+9.7) · D 53.4% · R 43.6% · Other 3.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -0.6pp no change · 2008: 10.4pp · 2024: 9.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+11.1 2016: D+6.1 2012: D+3.5 2008: D+10.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -170.50%
• Current HPI: 295.7295
• Rent YoY: ▲ 2.48%
• Metro: Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.05%
• F500 in state: 2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Consumer Goods	1	$51B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-05-21 Listed $109,900 RMLS

Property tax history

+3.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,199 · +3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.