145 Carter St · Camden, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.6/30.0
- DSCR +9.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Discover this charming, fully renovated 3-bedroom, 1-bath home that's move-in ready! Step inside to find stunning new wood floors, new air and heat unit fresh paint throughout, and modern fixtures that create a welcoming atmosphere. The kitchen features brand-new appliances, making meal prep a breeze. Enjoy the spacious backyard, perfect for entertaining guests or relaxing outdoors. This delightful home offers comfort, style, and everything you need—schedule your tour today before it's gone!
Key facts
- 0.57 acre lot
- Parking
- Built 1950
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $321 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $113k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 4.9% in Camden — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#364 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Camden Fairview School District (town): math 9% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #229 of 238 in AR (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 131 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Ouachita County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ouachita County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.45%
- DSCR
- 1.51
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $67,898
- List price
- $120,000
- Delta
- 76.74%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2820 Apple Ave | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,080 (+5%) | 3mo | $55,000 | $51 | 59 |
| 453 Fairview Rd | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,104 (+7%) | 2mo | $8,000 | $7 | 51 |
| 209 Ouachita 365 | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 924 (-10%) | 5mo | $18,000 | $19 | 50 |
| 580 Oxford | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,120 (+8%) | 19mo | $111,000 | $99 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.03×
- Total profit
- $914
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 10.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.80×
- Total profit
- $26,852
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71701
- Home prices YoY
- -20.5%
- Active inventory
- 131
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,296 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$24 /mo · $290/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$272
- Net cashflow
- $321
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $120,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $120,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $120,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $120,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $120,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $120,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $120,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $120,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $120,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $120,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $120,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $120,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-05-05price $120,000 502-char remark
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
Discover this charming, fully renovated 3-bedroom, 1-bath home that's move-in ready! Step inside to find stunning new wood floors, new air and heat unit fresh paint throughout, and modern fixtures that create a welcoming atmosphere. The kitchen features brand-new appliances, making meal prep a breeze. Enjoy the spacious backyard, perfect for entertaining guests or relaxing outdoors. This delightful home offers comfort, style, and everything you need—schedule your tour today before it's gone!
-
2026-04-06$110,000 New Listing 502-char remark
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
Discover this charming, fully renovated 3-bedroom, 1-bath home that's move-in ready! Step inside to find stunning new wood floors, new air and heat unit fresh paint throughout, and modern fixtures that create a welcoming atmosphere. The kitchen features brand-new appliances, making meal prep a breeze. Enjoy the spacious backyard, perfect for entertaining guests or relaxing outdoors. This delightful home offers comfort, style, and everything you need—schedule your tour today before it's gone!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $290 · $24/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $768 · $64/mo
- Expected delta
- +$478/yr (+$40/mo · 164.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,555
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$290
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,244
- − Management
- −$1,244
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $1,963
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$471
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,376/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Camden Fairview School District
- NCES district ID
- 0506060
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 15% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,854
- Composite
- 9.43/100
- National rank
- #9853
- State rank
- #229 of 238 in AR
Livability — Camden
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #364
- US rank
- #22245
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Camden, AR
- City population
- 17,883
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,883
Population outlook (Ouachita County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 21,485 people
- By 2030
- 19,947 · -7.2%
- By 2040
- 16,990 · -20.9%
- By 2050
- 14,431 · -32.8%
- By 2075
- 10,003 · -53.4%
- By 2100
- 7,418 · -65.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Black 39% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Ouachita
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.1) · D 39.5% · R 58.6% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.2pp toward R · 2008: -10.9pp · 2024: -19.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.1 2020: R+13.5 2016: R+10.4 2012: R+8.6 2008: R+10.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -44.10%
- Current HPI
- 171.0106
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
||
| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
|
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Price history
+9.1% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $120,000 CARMLS
- 2026-04-06 Listed $110,000 CARMLS
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $290 · +10.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…