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4610 Weeping Willow Ave
B- Composite 67.76
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$80,000

4610 Weeping Willow Ave · Sebring, FL 33870
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 644 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 46 Days on market
Built 1960 4,200 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor special with great potential! This 644 sq. ft. home includes an added bedroom and updated kitchen cabinets, offering a solid starting point for your next project. With the right vision, this property can be transformed into a great rental or resale opportunity!!! Bring your ideas and make it your own! Being sold AS-IS! Cash or renovation financing preferred!

Key facts

  • 4,200 sq ft lot
  • Built 1960
  • Listed 45 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property zoned M1S; Total lot about 0.1 acre (approximately 0 to less than 1/4 acre)
  • Financial info: Lease restrictions apply
  • HOA & community: No association fees; association approval required; Pets allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: No carport spaces listed
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Public utilities
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; North-facing
  • Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof; Block foundation; Built as a single-story home
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot dimensions approximately 40 x 105

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
  • Flooring: Tile
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Range and refrigerator included; Tile flooring; Central heating and central air
  • Laundry & utility: No laundry features listed

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $338 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $78k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 4.3% in Sebring — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#618 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Highlands (other): math 45% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #54 of 73 in FL (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.3%/yr); 475 active listings in the ZIP; 980 units permitted in Highlands County in 2024 (80 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $11k; list at $80k implies a 627% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $77,600 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.34%
Cap rate
11.36%
Cash-on-cash
18.08%
DSCR
1.80
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.4%
Equity multiple
1.24×
Total profit
$5,386
Equity at exit
$11,928
10-year hold
IRR
13.0%
Equity multiple
1.90×
Total profit
$20,195
Equity at exit
$6,917

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33870

Home prices YoY
-20.0%
Rents YoY
-0.3%
Active inventory
475
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,071 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax from tax record
$56 /mo · $673/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$225
Net cashflow
$338

Break-even live

Break-even rent $644
Max offer price $80,000
Occupancy floor 64%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $80,000 Active 46 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $80,000 Active 45 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $80,000 Active 44 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $80,000 Active 43 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $80,000 Active 42 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $80,000 Active 40 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $80,000 Active 37 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $80,000 Active 36 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $80,000 Active 35 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $80,000 Active 34 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $80,000 Active 29 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $80,000 Active 28 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $80,000 Active 27 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $80,000 Active 26 DOM
  15. 2026-05-04
    listed $80,000 Active
  16. 2026-04-17
    listed $80,000 Active 369-char remark
    Show marketing remark (369 chars)

    Investor special with great potential! This 644 sq. ft. home includes an added bedroom and updated kitchen cabinets, offering a solid starting point for your next project. With the right vision, this property can be transformed into a great rental or resale opportunity!!! Bring your ideas and make it your own! Being sold AS-IS! Cash or renovation financing preferred!

  17. 1980-02-01
    soldstatus $11,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$673 · $56/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$673 · $56/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,858
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$673
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,029
− Management
−$1,029
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable income
$2,920
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$701
After-tax cash flow
$3,350/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Highlands
NCES district ID
1200840
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$35,276
Composite
36.42/100
National rank
#4672
State rank
#54 of 73 in FL

Livability — Sebring

Score
66/100
State rank
#618
US rank
#11992

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Highlands County · 98,898 people
City population
50,797
Metro
Sebring-Avon Park, FL
Population (ZIP)
25,195
Household income
$49,942
Rent vs Own
31.3% rent · 68.7% own
Severe rent burden
994.0

Population outlook (Highlands County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
99,674 people
By 2030
99,615 · -0.1%
By 2040
99,342 · -0.3%
By 2050
98,242 · -1.4%
By 2075
93,291 · -6.4%
By 2100
79,894 · -19.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Hispanic / Latino 22% Black 13% Two or more races 10% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 5%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
80% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Highlands

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.8) · D 29.3% · R 70.1%
2008→2024 swing
-22.7pp toward R · 2008: -18.1pp · 2024: -40.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.8 2020: R+34.4 2016: R+32.0 2012: R+23.0 2008: R+18.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -68.68%
Current HPI
273.9861
Rent YoY
▼ -0.29%
Metro
Sebring-Avon Park, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+627.3% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $80,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $80,000 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 1980-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $11,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $673 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…