4807 Cottonwood Dr · Huntsville, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 15.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.1/30.0
- DSCR +8.2/10.0
- ARV discount +6.9/15.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$127,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
RECENTLY UPDATED HOME!Conveniently located to Memorial Parkway & Schools with a Covered Front Porch,a Laundry Room that is heated/cooled, Central HVAC,this 3 Bedroom/1 Full Bath home has Laminated Flooring & Ceiling Fans throughout,the Kitchen has updated counter tops & appliances, A Dining Room & a Patio in the treed backyard.
Key facts
- 0.43 acre lot
- Parking
- Built 1960
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $127k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $280 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $127k).
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 3.8% in Huntsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#3 in AL, #1,082 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Huntsville City (urban): math 21% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #48 of 129 in AL (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Rolling Hills Elementary School (math 4% / reading 17%, grade F, #565 of 627 statewide, top 90%, 483 students, 86% FRL); Jemison High School (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #242 of 305 statewide, top 80%, 843 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 76% FRL vs 46% district-wide (29 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 11% at this address vs 34% district-wide (-22 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Huntsville City average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 337 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $878 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.46%
- DSCR
- 1.42
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $125,280
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4807 Cottonwood Dr | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 914 (+6%) | 1mo | $132,000 | $144 | 90 |
| 4810 Cottonwood Dr | 0.03mi | 3/1.5 | 915 (+6%) | 9mo | $139,900 | $153 | 79 |
| 2408 Tuxedo Dr NW | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 881 (+2%) | 16mo | $90,000 | $102 | 71 |
| 2219 Evans Ave | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 860 (-0%) | 10mo | $125,000 | $145 | 65 |
| 2214 NW Evans Ave | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 883 (+2%) | 9mo | $80,000 | $91 | 62 |
| 2205 Evans Ave | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 895 (+4%) | 9mo | $135,000 | $151 | 58 |
| 2239 Norwood Dr | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (+11%) | 6mo | $50,000 | $52 | 56 |
| 2215 NW Atkins Dr | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 900 (+4%) | 17mo | $138,000 | $153 | 52 |
| 2136 Evans Ave NW | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 864 (0%) | 21mo | $115,000 | $133 | 50 |
| 2228 Kamis Cir NW | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 967 (+12%) | 13mo | $144,000 | $149 | 48 |
| 6102 Geronimo Cir | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 957 (+11%) | 17mo | $145,000 | $152 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.81×
- Total profit
- $-6,750
- Equity at exit
- $18,936
- IRR
- 0.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.04×
- Total profit
- $1,575
- Equity at exit
- $10,981
Cash invested: $35,560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35810
- Home prices YoY
- -23.5%
- Rents YoY
- -0.1%
- Active inventory
- 337
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,360 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$666
- Tax from tax record
- −$75 /mo · $901/yr
- Insurance
- −$53
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$286
- Net cashflow
- $280
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,750
- Closing costs
- $3,810
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2433 Shepherd Dr NW Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,300 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 2415 Vining Ave NW Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1079 | $1,250 | $1.16 | 14d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 4802 Proctor Cir NW Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 6000 Cherokee Hills Dr NW Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1086 | $1,600 | $1.47 | 23d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 2200 Norwood Dr NW Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1060 | $1,150 | $1.08 | 23d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 4114 Blue Spring Rd NW Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 23d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 2207 Norwood Dr NW Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,295 | $1.27 | 14d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 6022 Belgrade Dr NW Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1015 | $1,320 | $1.30 | 23d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 2117 Griffith Dr NW Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,095 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 3103 Sonya Dr NW Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1101 | $1,399 | $1.27 | 23d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 2519 Birchfield St NW Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1125 | $1,195 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 6207 Belgrade Dr NW Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $1,395 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 4005 Memorial Pkwy NW Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,375 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 3729 Millbrae Dr NW Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,458 | $1.39 | 14d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 3706 Wilbanks Dr NW Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 3707 Lakewood Dr NW Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 3410 Elizabeth St NW Apt 7 Huntsville, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $799 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 3410 Elizabeth St NW Unit 5 Huntsville, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $799 | $1.18 | 23d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 3410 Elizabeth St NW Unit 2 Huntsville, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $850 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2219 Jonathan Dr NW Apt C Huntsville, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 850 | $850 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 3601 Fay St NW Huntsville, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 972 | $1,195 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 2401 Mount Vernon Rd NW Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,045 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 102 Winchester Rd NW Huntsville, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,110 | $1.31 | 44d | 4 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-04-18status Pending
-
2026-04-14$127,000 Active
-
2025-10-01soldstatus $114,000 Sold 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
RECENTLY UPDATED HOME!Conveniently located to Memorial Parkway & Schools with a Covered Front Porch,a Laundry Room that is heated/cooled, Central HVAC,this 3 Bedroom/1 Full Bath home has Laminated Flooring & Ceiling Fans throughout,the Kitchen has updated counter tops & appliances, A Dining Room & a Patio in the treed backyard.
-
2025-09-24historical Contingent 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
RECENTLY UPDATED HOME!Conveniently located to Memorial Parkway & Schools with a Covered Front Porch,a Laundry Room that is heated/cooled, Central HVAC,this 3 Bedroom/1 Full Bath home has Laminated Flooring & Ceiling Fans throughout,the Kitchen has updated counter tops & appliances, A Dining Room & a Patio in the treed backyard.
-
2025-07-30historical 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
RECENTLY UPDATED HOME!Conveniently located to Memorial Parkway & Schools with a Covered Front Porch,a Laundry Room that is heated/cooled, Central HVAC,this 3 Bedroom/1 Full Bath home has Laminated Flooring & Ceiling Fans throughout,the Kitchen has updated counter tops & appliances, A Dining Room & a Patio in the treed backyard.
-
2025-07-18$114,900 Active 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
RECENTLY UPDATED HOME!Conveniently located to Memorial Parkway & Schools with a Covered Front Porch,a Laundry Room that is heated/cooled, Central HVAC,this 3 Bedroom/1 Full Bath home has Laminated Flooring & Ceiling Fans throughout,the Kitchen has updated counter tops & appliances, A Dining Room & a Patio in the treed backyard.
-
2021-01-06soldstatus $120,000
-
2014-05-15soldstatus $15,000 62-char remark
Show marketing remark (62 chars)
3 Bedroom house close to Universities, Hospitals and shopping.
-
2014-05-15soldstatus 62-char remark
Show marketing remark (62 chars)
3 Bedroom house close to Universities, Hospitals and shopping.
-
2014-02-21$16,800 62-char remark
Show marketing remark (62 chars)
3 Bedroom house close to Universities, Hospitals and shopping.
-
2014-02-21$16,800 62-char remark
Show marketing remark (62 chars)
3 Bedroom house close to Universities, Hospitals and shopping.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $901 · $75/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $901 · $75/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,317
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,114
- − Property taxes
- −$901
- − Insurance
- −$635
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,305
- − Management
- −$1,305
- − Depreciation
- −$3,695
- Taxable income
- $1,362
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$327
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,035/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Huntsville City
- NCES district ID
- 0101800
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,264
- Composite
- 28.84/100
- National rank
- #6647
- State rank
- #48 of 129 in AL
Livability — Huntsville
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #1082
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Huntsville, AL
- County
- Madison County · 380,832 people
- City population
- 220,435
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,843
- Household income
- $51,233
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1223.0
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 392,086 people
- By 2030
- 409,788 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 440,557 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 460,990 · +17.6%
- By 2075
- 502,872 · +28.3%
- By 2100
- 513,623 · +31.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 69% White 18% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 0%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.0) · D 44.7% · R 53.7% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.0pp toward D · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -9.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.0 2020: R+8.0 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+14.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -61.00%
- Current HPI
- 198.9629
- Rent YoY
- ▬ -0.05%
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+656.0% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-18 Pending — VMLS
- 2026-04-14 Listed $127,000 VMLS
- 2025-10-01 Sold (MLS) $114,000 VMLS
- 2025-09-24 Contingent — VMLS
- 2025-07-30 Delisted — VMLS
- 2025-07-18 Listed $114,900 VMLS
- 2021-01-06 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
- 2014-05-15 Sold (MLS) — MRMLS
- 2014-05-15 Sold (MLS) $15,000 VMLS
- 2014-02-21 Listed $16,800 MRMLS
- 2014-02-21 Listed $16,800 VMLS
Property tax history
+11.3%/yrLatest (2024): $901 · +13.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…