🏷️ Likely Rental
317 18th Ave E · Seattle, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 86°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 11 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- Schools +6.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1,995,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 6 units. confirmed
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks
The Wiltona Apartments consist of six oversized three-bedroom residences. Originally constructed in 1916, the property offers a level of charm and craftsmanship rarely replicated in modern construction. Combining classic architectural appeal with generously sized 1,374 square foot units, the Wiltona presents a rare opportunity for investors seeking stable long-term ownership, rental upside, and enduring demand in one of Seattle’s premier multifamily markets. Building systems include radiant heat served by a gas boiler, a combination of updated and legacy electrical panels, and upgraded double-pane vinyl windows. Additional tenant amenities include four off-street parking spaces, commo
Key facts
- 4,800 sq ft lot
- Built 1916
- Listed 43 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6 × 3-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $2.00M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($39k/yr) — positive. Per door: $543/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($21k rent vs $2.00M).
- Recommended offer: $1.94M (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 1.6% in Seattle — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#166 in WA, #4,033 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Seattle Public Schools (urban): math 64% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #19 of 291 in WA (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 142 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $21,110/mo this rent would consume 148% of the median local household income ($172k/yr) (locally 755% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $14k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $60k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($1.94M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $377k; list at $2.00M implies a 429% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1916 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1916 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.00%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $2,609,823
- List price
- $1,995,000
- Delta
- -23.56%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.95% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-116,770
- Equity at exit
- $297,461
- IRR
- 4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.29×
- Total profit
- $161,500
- Equity at exit
- $172,491
Cash invested: $558,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Seattle
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+52
ZIP-level market 98112
- Rents YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 142
- Price-to-rent
- 47.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $21,110 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$10,462
- Tax from tax record
- −$2,126 /mo · $25,513/yr
- Insurance
- −$831
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$4,433
- Net cashflow
- $3,258
Break-even live
6-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6× units | 3 | — | $21,108 |
| #1 | 3 | — | $3,518 |
| #2 | 3 | — | $3,518 |
| #3 | 3 | — | $3,518 |
| #4 | 3 | — | $3,518 |
| #5 | 3 | — | $3,518 |
| #6 | 3 | — | $3,518 |
| Total (6 units) | $21,110 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $498,750
- Closing costs
- $59,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-17status $1,995,000 Pending 43 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $1,995,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $1,995,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $1,995,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $1,995,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $1,995,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $1,995,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $1,995,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $1,995,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $1,995,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $1,995,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $1,995,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $1,995,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $1,995,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $1,995,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $1,995,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $1,995,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-05$1,995,000 Active
-
1988-08-01soldstatus $377,300
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $25,513 · $2,126/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $25,513 · $2,126/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥86°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 11 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $253,320
- − Mortgage interest
- −$111,751
- − Property taxes
- −$25,513
- − Insurance
- −$9,975
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$20,266
- − Management
- −$20,266
- − Depreciation
- −$58,036
- Taxable income
- $7,513
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,803
- After-tax cash flow
- $37,287/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Seattle Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 5307710
- Math proficiency
- 64% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 72% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,695
- Composite
- 60.76/100
- National rank
- #1649
- State rank
- #19 of 291 in WA
Livability — Seattle
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #166
- US rank
- #4033
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Seattle, WA
- County
- King County · 2,251,916 people
- City population
- 706,262
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,921
- Household income
- $171,572
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 755.0
Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,576,485 people
- By 2030
- 2,803,316 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 3,255,921 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 3,706,444 · +43.9%
- By 2075
- 4,746,063 · +84.2%
- By 2100
- 5,407,730 · +109.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Asian 10% Two or more races 8% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 6% Lithuanian 4% Italian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 3% Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · King
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1537.83%
- Current HPI
- 262.4214
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.95%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
+428.8% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Listed $1,995,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1988-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $377,300 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.6%/yrLatest (2025): $25,513 · -11.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…