8 Oakland Dr · Gloversville, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This lovely 3 bed 1 bath cape cod offers a fenced in yard, off street parking and partially finished basement.
Key facts
- 4,791 sq ft lot
- Built 1950
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $103 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#70 in NY, #1,048 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment F.
- Gloversville City School District (town): math 26% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #565 of 590 in NY (top 96%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Boulevard School (math 24% / reading 35%, grade F, #1,729 of 2,108 statewide, top 84%, 568 students, 72% FRL); Gloversville Middle School (math 6% / reading 35%, grade F, #664 of 729 statewide, top 91%, 548 students, 70% FRL); Gloversville High School (math 82% / reading 77%, grade A-, #518 of 1,100 statewide, top 51%, 697 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools average 71% FRL vs 54% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 173 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 112 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $11k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Fulton County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.40%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $131,040
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Clyde St | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 1,125 (-4%) | 3mo | $103,000 | $92 | 70 |
| 22 Woodward Ave | 0.43mi | 2/1.5 | 1,230 (+5%) | 3mo | $149,000 | $121 | 67 |
| 6 Woodward Ave | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,100 (-6%) | 1mo | $140,000 | $127 | 62 |
| 48 Saratoga Blvd | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,137 (-3%) | 18mo | $156,900 | $138 | 60 |
| 6 East Blvd | 0.11mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,080 (-8%) | 19mo | $95,000 | $88 | 59 |
| 125 Cherry St | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,056 (-10%) | 4mo | $90,000 | $85 | 58 |
| 120 East Blvd | 0.45mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,200 (+3%) | 15mo | $180,000 | $150 | 56 |
| 194 Prospect Ave | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,018 (-13%) | 16mo | $125,000 | $123 | 54 |
| 62 3rd Ave | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,209 (+3%) | 3mo | $135,000 | $112 | 50 |
| 22 Almond St | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,332 (+14%) | 12mo | $73,000 | $55 | 44 |
| 139 5th Ave | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,332 (+14%) | 5mo | $105,000 | $79 | 43 |
| 19 York St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,050 (-10%) | 18mo | $105,000 | $100 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.18×
- Total profit
- $61,040
- Equity at exit
- $89,998
- IRR
- 24.0%
- Equity multiple
- 7.25×
- Total profit
- $174,821
- Equity at exit
- $194,084
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12078
- Home prices YoY
- 12.2%
- Active inventory
- 173
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,177 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$262 /mo · $3,144/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$247
- Net cashflow
- $103
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $159 | -5% $131 | +0% $103 | +5% $74 | +10% $46 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $10 | -5% $56 | +0% $103 | +5% $149 | +10% $196 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $153 | -0.5pp $128 | base $103 | +0.5pp $77 | +1.0pp $50 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Fremont St Gloversville, NY | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 1612 | $1,425 | $0.88 | 45d | 3 | 0.91mi |
| 4 Fruit St Unit 2 Gloversville, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $995 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 130 Spring St Gloversville, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $995 | $1.05 | 45d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-03-06status Pending
-
2026-03-05$99,900 Active
-
2019-11-25soldstatus $90,000
-
2019-11-19soldstatus $90,000 Closed (Final Sale) 110-char remark
Show marketing remark (110 chars)
This lovely 3 bed 1 bath cape cod offers a fenced in yard, off street parking and partially finished basement.
-
2019-09-27status Pend (Under Cntr) 110-char remark
Show marketing remark (110 chars)
This lovely 3 bed 1 bath cape cod offers a fenced in yard, off street parking and partially finished basement.
-
2019-08-20price $89,500 110-char remark
Show marketing remark (110 chars)
This lovely 3 bed 1 bath cape cod offers a fenced in yard, off street parking and partially finished basement.
-
2019-07-26$94,500 New 110-char remark
Show marketing remark (110 chars)
This lovely 3 bed 1 bath cape cod offers a fenced in yard, off street parking and partially finished basement.
-
2018-07-23status Pend (Under Cntr)
-
2018-07-23historical
-
2018-07-17$89,900 New
-
2016-01-11historical
-
2015-09-09$93,500 Active
-
2014-12-11historical
-
2014-06-10$97,500
-
2014-03-03historical
-
2013-09-02$98,300
-
2004-03-29soldstatus $70,500
-
2000-10-11soldstatus $52,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,144 · $262/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,144 · $262/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,127
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$3,144
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,130
- − Management
- −$1,130
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable loss
- −$279
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$67
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,297/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gloversville City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3612270
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,775
- Composite
- 28.2/100
- National rank
- #6806
- State rank
- #565 of 590 in NY
Livability — Gloversville
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #70
- US rank
- #1048
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,087
Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 51,132 people
- By 2030
- 49,114 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 44,373 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 39,321 · -23.1%
- By 2075
- 28,503 · -44.3%
- By 2100
- 19,268 · -62.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Romanian 4% Iranian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Fulton
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+35.9) · D 32.1% · R 67.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.6pp toward R · 2008: -9.2pp · 2024: -35.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+35.9 2020: R+31.4 2016: R+35.5 2012: R+10.5 2008: R+9.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 34.22%
- Current HPI
- 315.1368
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+92.1% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-06 Pending — Global MLS
- 2026-03-05 Listed $99,900 Global MLS
- 2019-11-25 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
- 2019-11-19 Sold (MLS) $90,000 Global MLS
- 2019-09-27 Pending — Global MLS
- 2019-08-20 Price Changed $89,500 Global MLS
- 2019-07-26 Listed $94,500 Global MLS
- 2018-07-23 Pending — Global MLS
- 2018-07-23 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2018-07-17 Listed $89,900 Global MLS
- 2016-01-11 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2015-09-09 Listed $93,500 Global MLS
- 2014-12-11 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2014-06-10 Listed $97,500 Global MLS
- 2014-03-03 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2013-09-02 Listed $98,300 Global MLS
- 2004-03-29 Sold (Public Records) $70,500 Public Records
- 2000-10-11 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.5%/yrLatest (2025): $3,144 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…