118 Broad St · Shelby, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investment property with considerable potential. Brand new 30 year architectural shingle roof.
Key facts
- 0.35 acre lot
- Built 1925
- Listed 80 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: City water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Site-built construction; One story; Zoned R6
- Construction: Vinyl exterior; Crawl space foundation; Built on site
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.35 acres; Paved road access; Publicly maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: No kitchen appliances specified
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Single-level home (one story); Crawl space foundation; No built-in appliances listed
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $432 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $89k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 2.9% in Shelby — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#52 in NC, #4,349 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, employment F.
- Cleveland County Schools (rural): math 47% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #76 of 178 in NC (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 199 active listings in the ZIP; 461 units permitted in Cleveland County in 2024 (38 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cleveland County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.37% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.47%
- DSCR
- 1.87
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $197,067
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 214 Morrison St | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (-1%) | 8mo | $215,000 | $179 | 73 |
| 515 Broad St | 0.33mi | 2/2.0 | 1,221 (+1%) | 7mo | $179,999 | $147 | 73 |
| 1214 Patterson St | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,237 (+2%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $182 | 70 |
| 1212 Patterson St | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,236 (+2%) | 4mo | $221,000 | $179 | 68 |
| 1104 Silver St | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,090 (-10%) | 1mo | $210,000 | $193 | 64 |
| 804 Broad St | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 | 1,126 (-7%) | 3mo | $180,000 | $160 | 61 |
| 508 Clegg St | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,236 (+2%) | 5mo | $220,000 | $178 | 59 |
| 111 Morton St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,100 (-9%) | 6mo | $75,500 | $69 | 54 |
| 1325 Eastview Ext | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,136 (-6%) | 0mo | $185,000 | $163 | 53 |
| 600 Legrand St | 0.41mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,335 (+10%) | 4mo | $205,000 | $154 | 49 |
| 506 Legrand St | 0.47mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,335 (+10%) | 3mo | $209,999 | $157 | 47 |
| 304 Grice St | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,032 (-15%) | 7mo | $130,000 | $126 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.45×
- Total profit
- $12,080
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- 20.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.72×
- Total profit
- $45,849
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28152
- Home prices YoY
- -34.4%
- Active inventory
- 199
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,301 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$59 /mo · $704/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$273
- Net cashflow
- $432
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $95,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $95,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $95,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $95,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $95,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $95,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $95,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $95,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $95,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $95,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $95,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $95,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $95,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $95,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $95,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $95,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $95,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-03-30$95,000 Active
-
2025-07-07$125,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $704 · $59/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $779 · $65/mo
- Expected delta
- +$75/yr (+$6/mo · 10.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,617
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$704
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,249
- − Management
- −$1,249
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $3,854
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$925
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,255/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cleveland County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3700900
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,501
- Composite
- 40.03/100
- National rank
- #3823
- State rank
- #76 of 178 in NC
Livability — Shelby
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #52
- US rank
- #4349
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Shelby, NC
- County
- Cleveland County · 83,736 people
- City population
- 26,134
- Metro
- Shelby, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,134
- Household income
- $57,806
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 768.0
Population outlook (Cleveland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 93,671 people
- By 2030
- 91,157 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 85,519 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 79,708 · -14.9%
- By 2075
- 68,317 · -27.1%
- By 2100
- 57,145 · -39.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Black 22% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cleveland
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+35.0) · D 32.2% · R 67.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.1pp toward R · 2008: -19.9pp · 2024: -35.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+35.0 2020: R+32.8 2016: R+30.6 2012: R+20.5 2008: R+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -116.69%
- Current HPI
- 223.0302
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Shelby, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
-24.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-30 Listed $95,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-07 Listed $125,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+5.4%/yrLatest (2025): $704 · +121.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…