4565 Shiwassee Dr NW #154 · Walker, MI
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$61,600
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Your brand new 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home is waiting for you to move in! This comfortable home features premium entry doors, a modern bathroom, as well as new brand name appliances. In the community, enjoy with your friends and family all the amenities we have to offer such as a playground, a library, and community events. This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
Key facts
- Modern bathroom
- Premium entry doors
- Built 2026
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: List price $61,100
Exterior
- Home design: Spec unit (new construction inventory); Address: 4565 Shiwassee Dr NW #154, Walker, MI 49534
- Exterior features: Living area approximately 1216
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms (total, including full baths)
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Active listing status
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $62k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $937 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $62k).
- Recommended offer: $61k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 24.6% vs local median 4.1% in Walker — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#188 in MI, #4,765 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: amenities F, health & safety F.
- Kenowa Hills Public Schools (suburban): math 33% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #205 of 540 in MI (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.9%/yr); 111 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,253 units permitted in Kent County in 2024 (969 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $426 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kent County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.9% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.80% ✓
- Cap rate
- 24.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 65.21%
- DSCR
- 3.90
- GRM
- 3.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $80,256
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1123 Marvin Ct NW Lot 46 | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (0%) | 2mo | $75,000 | $62 | 89 |
| 4676 Gardens Blvd NW | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,210 (-0%) | 8mo | $58,000 | $48 | 85 |
| 4598 Gardens Blvd NW | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,293 (+6%) | 6mo | $94,900 | $73 | 80 |
| 135 Shapell Ln NW | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,371 (+13%) | 9mo | $90,000 | $66 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.87% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 69.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.40×
- Total profit
- $58,612
- Equity at exit
- $9,185
- IRR
- 75.4%
- Equity multiple
- 10.76×
- Total profit
- $168,275
- Equity at exit
- $5,326
Cash invested: $17,248 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49534
- Home prices YoY
- -28.4%
- Rents YoY
- 7.9%
- Active inventory
- 111
- Price-to-rent
- 3.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,725 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$323
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$77 /mo · $924/yr
- Insurance
- −$26
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$362
- Net cashflow
- $937
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,400
- Closing costs
- $1,848
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 511 Hampton Ln NW Walker, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 763 | $1,519 | $1.99 | 2d | 5 | 1.06mi |
| 306 Manzana Ct NW Walker, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 683 | $1,392 | $2.04 | 2d | 52 | 1.27mi |
| 680 Lake Michigan Dr NW Unit O-686 Grand Rapids, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,375 | $1.53 | 2d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 680 Lake Michigan Dr NW Unit O-682 Grand Rapids, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,275 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 680 Lake Michigan Dr NW Unit O-680 Grand Rapids, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,399 | $1.55 | 11d | 1 | 1.30mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-03days on market $61,600 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $61,600 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-01pricedays on market $61,600 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $61,100 Active 12 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,704
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,451
- − Property taxes
- −$924
- − Insurance
- −$308
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,656
- − Management
- −$1,656
- − Depreciation
- −$1,792
- Taxable income
- $10,917
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,620
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,628/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos
This move-in-ready manufactured home features modern amenities and a well-maintained exterior, making it an excellent investment for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
- Both New flooring in bathrooms — Modernizes bathrooms and adds value
- Both New kitchen appliances — Modernizes kitchen and adds value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both New flooring in bathrooms — Modernizes bathrooms and adds value ↑
- Both New kitchen appliances — Modernizes kitchen and adds value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kenowa Hills Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2620280
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,387
- Composite
- 34.36/100
- National rank
- #5221
- State rank
- #205 of 540 in MI
Livability — Walker
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #188
- US rank
- #4765
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Walker, MI
- County
- Kent County · 533,805 people
- City population
- 33,350
- Metro
- Grand Rapids-Kentwood, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,719
- Household income
- $81,657
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 415.0
Population outlook (Kent County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 712,484 people
- By 2030
- 748,618 · +5.1%
- By 2040
- 814,777 · +14.4%
- By 2050
- 868,556 · +21.9%
- By 2075
- 966,487 · +35.7%
- By 2100
- 967,975 · +35.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 20% Romanian 12% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kent
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.4) · D 51.8% · R 46.5% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.8pp toward D · 2008: 0.5pp · 2024: 5.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.4 2020: D+6.1 2016: R+3.1 2012: R+7.9 2008: D+0.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -107.59%
- Current HPI
- 270.866
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.87%
- Metro
- Grand Rapids-Kentwood, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…