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125 Brownstone Dr
D+ Composite 48.86
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +6.3/15.0
  • DSCR +5.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.3/10.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$250,000

125 Brownstone Dr · Sunrise Lake, PA 18337
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,296 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 204 Days on market
Built 1977 0.74 ac lot $193/sqft · at area comps Est $244k · at est. $85/mo HOA · 3% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this warm and well-cared-for 4-bedroom, 2-bath home nestled in the peaceful Sunrise Lake community. Set on a spacious 0.74-acre lot and offering 2,640 sq ft of total living space, this home provides the perfect blend of comfort, privacy, and potential. Enjoy the serenity of nature with your backyard directly bordering state gamelands--a rare and desirable feature offering privacy, beautiful views, and direct access to outdoor recreation. Inside, the home has been loved and nurtured by its current owners, making it a wonderful space to create your own memories. The layout is ideal for family living, with ample room to relax, gather, and grow. The unfinished basement offers an excellent opportunity to customize--create a game room, home office, in-law suite, or additional living space to suit your needs. Sought-after Sunrise Lake community, you'll also enjoy access to lake amenities, community events, and a welcoming neighborhood vibe.

Key facts

  • Unfinished basement
  • Lake amenities
  • 0.74 acre lot

Tags

SUNRISE LAKE COMMUNITYUNFINISHED BASEMENTLAKE AMENITIES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $233 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $250k).
  • Recommended offer: $220k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#962 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment D, health & safety D, amenities F.
  • Delaware Valley SD (rural): math 41% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #121 of 539 in PA (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 290 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 213 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($93k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pike County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 204 days — a 12% lower offer ($220k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $180k; 39% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $220,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 204 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.03%
Cap rate
7.41%
Cash-on-cash
4.00%
DSCR
1.18
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$243,590
List price
$250,000
Delta
2.63%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
106 Pumice Ct Ct 0.32mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,320 (+2%) 3mo $280,000 $212 70
102 Brownstone Dr 0.22mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,386 (+7%) 4mo $250,000 $180 70
103 Truman Ct 0.45mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,296 (0%) 18mo $250,000 $193 59
30 Brownstone Dr 0.25mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,125 (-13%) 15mo $186,000 $165 46
105 Lead Ct 0.44mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,372 (+6%) 23mo $259,000 $189 45
104 Gristmill Ter 0.60mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,168 (-10%) 7mo $270,000 $231 45
177 Stateway Dr 0.67mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,421 (+10%) 6mo $255,000 $179 39
138 Overbrook Run 0.60mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,227 (-5%) 22mo $180,000 $147 38
135 Overbrook 0.54mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,438 (+11%) 17mo $275,000 $191 37
174 Sunrise Dr 0.45mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,470 (+13%) 24mo $276,000 $188 32
220 Sunrise Dr 0.67mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,126 (-13%) 12mo $291,500 $259 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.0%
Equity multiple
0.63×
Total profit
$-25,562
Equity at exit
$37,276
10-year hold
IRR
-0.6%
Equity multiple
0.96×
Total profit
$-2,770
Equity at exit
$21,615

Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18337

Home prices YoY
-22.0%
Active inventory
290
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,580 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax from tax record
$304 /mo · $3,652/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$85
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$542
Net cashflow
$233

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,284
Max offer price $250,000
Occupancy floor 86%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,500
Closing costs
$7,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
137 Sunset Dr Milford, PA 3.0 2.0 1532 $2,300 $1.50 15d 1 0.49mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$85 · $1,020/yr

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $250,000 Active 204 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $250,000 Active 203 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $250,000 Active 202 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $250,000 Active 201 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $250,000 Active 199 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $250,000 Active 198 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $250,000 Active 195 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $250,000 Active 194 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $250,000 Active 193 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $250,000 Active 190 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $250,000 Active 189 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $250,000 Active 188 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $250,000 Active 187 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $250,000 Active 186 DOM
  15. 2026-02-06
    status Active 958-char remark
    Show marketing remark (958 chars)

    Welcome to this warm and well-cared-for 4-bedroom, 2-bath home nestled in the peaceful Sunrise Lake community. Set on a spacious 0.74-acre lot and offering 2,640 sq ft of total living space, this home provides the perfect blend of comfort, privacy, and potential. Enjoy the serenity of nature with your backyard directly bordering state gamelands--a rare and desirable feature offering privacy, beautiful views, and direct access to outdoor recreation. Inside, the home has been loved and nurtured by its current owners, making it a wonderful space to create your own memories. The layout is ideal for family living, with ample room to relax, gather, and grow. The unfinished basement offers an excellent opportunity to customize--create a game room, home office, in-law suite, or additional living space to suit your needs. Sought-after Sunrise Lake community, you'll also enjoy access to lake amenities, community events, and a welcoming neighborhood vibe.

  16. 2026-02-06
    price $250,000 958-char remark
    Show marketing remark (958 chars)

    Welcome to this warm and well-cared-for 4-bedroom, 2-bath home nestled in the peaceful Sunrise Lake community. Set on a spacious 0.74-acre lot and offering 2,640 sq ft of total living space, this home provides the perfect blend of comfort, privacy, and potential. Enjoy the serenity of nature with your backyard directly bordering state gamelands--a rare and desirable feature offering privacy, beautiful views, and direct access to outdoor recreation. Inside, the home has been loved and nurtured by its current owners, making it a wonderful space to create your own memories. The layout is ideal for family living, with ample room to relax, gather, and grow. The unfinished basement offers an excellent opportunity to customize--create a game room, home office, in-law suite, or additional living space to suit your needs. Sought-after Sunrise Lake community, you'll also enjoy access to lake amenities, community events, and a welcoming neighborhood vibe.

  17. 2025-12-10
    status Pending 958-char remark
    Show marketing remark (958 chars)

    Welcome to this warm and well-cared-for 4-bedroom, 2-bath home nestled in the peaceful Sunrise Lake community. Set on a spacious 0.74-acre lot and offering 2,640 sq ft of total living space, this home provides the perfect blend of comfort, privacy, and potential. Enjoy the serenity of nature with your backyard directly bordering state gamelands--a rare and desirable feature offering privacy, beautiful views, and direct access to outdoor recreation. Inside, the home has been loved and nurtured by its current owners, making it a wonderful space to create your own memories. The layout is ideal for family living, with ample room to relax, gather, and grow. The unfinished basement offers an excellent opportunity to customize--create a game room, home office, in-law suite, or additional living space to suit your needs. Sought-after Sunrise Lake community, you'll also enjoy access to lake amenities, community events, and a welcoming neighborhood vibe.

  18. 2025-12-05
    price $235,000 958-char remark
    Show marketing remark (958 chars)

    Welcome to this warm and well-cared-for 4-bedroom, 2-bath home nestled in the peaceful Sunrise Lake community. Set on a spacious 0.74-acre lot and offering 2,640 sq ft of total living space, this home provides the perfect blend of comfort, privacy, and potential. Enjoy the serenity of nature with your backyard directly bordering state gamelands--a rare and desirable feature offering privacy, beautiful views, and direct access to outdoor recreation. Inside, the home has been loved and nurtured by its current owners, making it a wonderful space to create your own memories. The layout is ideal for family living, with ample room to relax, gather, and grow. The unfinished basement offers an excellent opportunity to customize--create a game room, home office, in-law suite, or additional living space to suit your needs. Sought-after Sunrise Lake community, you'll also enjoy access to lake amenities, community events, and a welcoming neighborhood vibe.

  19. 2025-11-28
    price $244,000 958-char remark
    Show marketing remark (958 chars)

    Welcome to this warm and well-cared-for 4-bedroom, 2-bath home nestled in the peaceful Sunrise Lake community. Set on a spacious 0.74-acre lot and offering 2,640 sq ft of total living space, this home provides the perfect blend of comfort, privacy, and potential. Enjoy the serenity of nature with your backyard directly bordering state gamelands--a rare and desirable feature offering privacy, beautiful views, and direct access to outdoor recreation. Inside, the home has been loved and nurtured by its current owners, making it a wonderful space to create your own memories. The layout is ideal for family living, with ample room to relax, gather, and grow. The unfinished basement offers an excellent opportunity to customize--create a game room, home office, in-law suite, or additional living space to suit your needs. Sought-after Sunrise Lake community, you'll also enjoy access to lake amenities, community events, and a welcoming neighborhood vibe.

  20. 2025-11-08
    price $245,000 958-char remark
    Show marketing remark (958 chars)

    Welcome to this warm and well-cared-for 4-bedroom, 2-bath home nestled in the peaceful Sunrise Lake community. Set on a spacious 0.74-acre lot and offering 2,640 sq ft of total living space, this home provides the perfect blend of comfort, privacy, and potential. Enjoy the serenity of nature with your backyard directly bordering state gamelands--a rare and desirable feature offering privacy, beautiful views, and direct access to outdoor recreation. Inside, the home has been loved and nurtured by its current owners, making it a wonderful space to create your own memories. The layout is ideal for family living, with ample room to relax, gather, and grow. The unfinished basement offers an excellent opportunity to customize--create a game room, home office, in-law suite, or additional living space to suit your needs. Sought-after Sunrise Lake community, you'll also enjoy access to lake amenities, community events, and a welcoming neighborhood vibe.

  21. 2025-11-07
    price $255,000 958-char remark
    Show marketing remark (958 chars)

    Welcome to this warm and well-cared-for 4-bedroom, 2-bath home nestled in the peaceful Sunrise Lake community. Set on a spacious 0.74-acre lot and offering 2,640 sq ft of total living space, this home provides the perfect blend of comfort, privacy, and potential. Enjoy the serenity of nature with your backyard directly bordering state gamelands--a rare and desirable feature offering privacy, beautiful views, and direct access to outdoor recreation. Inside, the home has been loved and nurtured by its current owners, making it a wonderful space to create your own memories. The layout is ideal for family living, with ample room to relax, gather, and grow. The unfinished basement offers an excellent opportunity to customize--create a game room, home office, in-law suite, or additional living space to suit your needs. Sought-after Sunrise Lake community, you'll also enjoy access to lake amenities, community events, and a welcoming neighborhood vibe.

  22. 2025-10-31
    price $265,000 958-char remark
    Show marketing remark (958 chars)

    Welcome to this warm and well-cared-for 4-bedroom, 2-bath home nestled in the peaceful Sunrise Lake community. Set on a spacious 0.74-acre lot and offering 2,640 sq ft of total living space, this home provides the perfect blend of comfort, privacy, and potential. Enjoy the serenity of nature with your backyard directly bordering state gamelands--a rare and desirable feature offering privacy, beautiful views, and direct access to outdoor recreation. Inside, the home has been loved and nurtured by its current owners, making it a wonderful space to create your own memories. The layout is ideal for family living, with ample room to relax, gather, and grow. The unfinished basement offers an excellent opportunity to customize--create a game room, home office, in-law suite, or additional living space to suit your needs. Sought-after Sunrise Lake community, you'll also enjoy access to lake amenities, community events, and a welcoming neighborhood vibe.

  23. 2025-10-13
    price $269,999 958-char remark
    Show marketing remark (958 chars)

    Welcome to this warm and well-cared-for 4-bedroom, 2-bath home nestled in the peaceful Sunrise Lake community. Set on a spacious 0.74-acre lot and offering 2,640 sq ft of total living space, this home provides the perfect blend of comfort, privacy, and potential. Enjoy the serenity of nature with your backyard directly bordering state gamelands--a rare and desirable feature offering privacy, beautiful views, and direct access to outdoor recreation. Inside, the home has been loved and nurtured by its current owners, making it a wonderful space to create your own memories. The layout is ideal for family living, with ample room to relax, gather, and grow. The unfinished basement offers an excellent opportunity to customize--create a game room, home office, in-law suite, or additional living space to suit your needs. Sought-after Sunrise Lake community, you'll also enjoy access to lake amenities, community events, and a welcoming neighborhood vibe.

  24. 2025-09-29
    listed $285,000 Active 958-char remark
    Show marketing remark (958 chars)

    Welcome to this warm and well-cared-for 4-bedroom, 2-bath home nestled in the peaceful Sunrise Lake community. Set on a spacious 0.74-acre lot and offering 2,640 sq ft of total living space, this home provides the perfect blend of comfort, privacy, and potential. Enjoy the serenity of nature with your backyard directly bordering state gamelands--a rare and desirable feature offering privacy, beautiful views, and direct access to outdoor recreation. Inside, the home has been loved and nurtured by its current owners, making it a wonderful space to create your own memories. The layout is ideal for family living, with ample room to relax, gather, and grow. The unfinished basement offers an excellent opportunity to customize--create a game room, home office, in-law suite, or additional living space to suit your needs. Sought-after Sunrise Lake community, you'll also enjoy access to lake amenities, community events, and a welcoming neighborhood vibe.

  25. 2004-11-24
    soldstatus $180,250

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,652 · $304/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,801 · $317/mo
Expected delta
+$149/yr (+$12/mo · 4.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,955
− Mortgage interest
−$14,004
− Property taxes
−$3,652
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,476
− Management
−$2,476
− HOA
−$1,020
− Depreciation
−$7,273
Taxable loss
−$1,196
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$287
After-tax cash flow
$3,087/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Delaware Valley SD
NCES district ID
4207530
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
66% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$64,202
Composite
46.95/100
National rank
#2359
State rank
#121 of 539 in PA

Livability — Sunrise Lake

Score
67/100
State rank
#962
US rank
#10528

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sunrise Lake, PA
County
Pike County · 15,799 people
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
15,799
Household income
$93,149
Rent vs Own
14.2% rent · 85.8% own
Severe rent burden
275.0

Population outlook (Pike County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
53,548 people
By 2030
51,622 · -3.6%
By 2040
46,490 · -13.2%
By 2050
40,372 · -24.6%
By 2075
31,951 · -40.3%
By 2100
26,821 · -49.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Black 4% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Iranian 2% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pike

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.1) · D 37.6% · R 61.6%
2008→2024 swing
-19.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.2pp · 2024: -24.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.1 2020: R+19.0 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+11.0 2008: R+4.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -54.81%
Current HPI
194.0604
Rent YoY
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+38.7% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-06 Relisted PWMLS
  • 2026-02-06 Price Changed $250,000 PWMLS
  • 2025-12-10 Pending PWMLS
  • 2025-12-05 Price Changed $235,000 PWMLS
  • 2025-11-28 Price Changed $244,000 PWMLS
  • 2025-11-08 Price Changed $245,000 PWMLS
  • 2025-11-07 Price Changed $255,000 PWMLS
  • 2025-10-31 Price Changed $265,000 PWMLS
  • 2025-10-13 Price Changed $269,999 PWMLS
  • 2025-09-29 Listed $285,000 PWMLS
  • 2004-11-24 Sold (Public Records) $180,250 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2026): $3,652 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…