3542 Wericoba Dr · Macon-Bibb County, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 66.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor opportunity in Macon. Two-bedroom one bath bungalow with recent renovations completed, including new plumbing, updated electrical, and a metal roof. Property is being sold as is. Ideal for investors, rehabbers, or buy and hold strategies. Convenient access to major roads, shopping, and downtown Macon.
Key facts
- Updated electrical
- New plumbing
- Metal roof
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $312 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($958 rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 5.4% in Macon-Bibb County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Bibb County (urban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #161 of 174 in GA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 207 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 154 units permitted in Bibb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($30k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bibb County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 137 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask is 11438% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $20k; list at $75k implies a 275% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 137 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.80%
- DSCR
- 1.79
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $31,528
- List price
- $75,000
- Delta
- 137.89%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 524 Ormond Ter | 0.06mi | 2/1.0 | 820 (+5%) | 9mo | $33,000 | $40 | 82 |
| 569 Grenada Ter | 0.13mi | 2/1.0 | 832 (+6%) | 2mo | $43,000 | $52 | 82 |
| 533 Lynmore Cir | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 | 792 (+1%) | 15mo | $55,000 | $69 | 79 |
| 534 Lynmore Ave | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (+10%) | 10mo | $55,000 | $64 | 65 |
| 3441 Antioch Hts | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 897 (+15%) | 1mo | $75,000 | $84 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.03% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.46×
- Total profit
- $9,652
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 21.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.02×
- Total profit
- $42,365
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31206
- Rents YoY
- 5.0%
- Active inventory
- 207
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $958 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$21 /mo · $247/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$201
- Net cashflow
- $312
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 24 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3423 Flamingo Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1048 | $895 | $0.85 | 43d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 534 Lynmore Ave Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $925 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 558 Cleveland St Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $925 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 837 Newberg Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 966 | $750 | $0.78 | 43d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 614 Cleveland St Macon, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $800 | $1.23 | 43d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1148 N Beddingfield Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1076 | $825 | $0.77 | 43d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 4196 Mikado Ave Unit B Macon, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 890 | $900 | $1.01 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 4196 Mikado Ave Unit A Macon, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 897 | $950 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1156 Triple Hill Dr Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $875 | $0.89 | 13d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 3238 Somerset Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $975 | $0.89 | 13d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1164 Newberg Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,195 | $1.09 | 43d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 3149 Somerset Dr Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 897 | $745 | $0.83 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1089 Brisbane St Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,075 | $1.32 | 13d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 672 Bowden St Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1076 | $900 | $0.84 | 20d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 906 Thomas St Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $650 | $0.81 | 43d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 806 Armory Dr Unit B Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $975 | $0.89 | 43d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 3080 Rice Mill Rd Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $950 | $0.86 | 43d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 3080 Rice Mill Rd Unit C-1 Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $925 | $0.84 | 20d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 3080 Rice Mill Rd Unit M-5 Macon, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $750 | $0.86 | 43d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 955 Putnam St Unit 1 Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,199 | $1.26 | 43d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1332 Hillridge Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,050 | $1.00 | 13d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 3778 Spencer Cir Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,300 | $1.50 | 20d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 663 Williams St Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 911 | $980 | $1.08 | 43d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 771 Harold St Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,250 | $1.32 | 13d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $75,000 Active 137 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $75,000 Active 136 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $75,000 Active 135 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $75,000 Active 134 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $75,000 Active 133 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $75,000 Active 131 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $75,000 Active 130 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $75,000 Active 128 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $75,000 Active 127 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $75,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $75,000 Active 125 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $75,000 Active 121 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $75,000 Active 120 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $75,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $75,000 Active 118 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $75,000 Active 117 DOM
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2026-05-01$650
-
2026-04-30price $75,000 311-char remark
Show marketing remark (311 chars)
Investor opportunity in Macon. Two-bedroom one bath bungalow with recent renovations completed, including new plumbing, updated electrical, and a metal roof. Property is being sold as is. Ideal for investors, rehabbers, or buy and hold strategies. Convenient access to major roads, shopping, and downtown Macon.
-
2026-04-30price $75,000 311-char remark
Show marketing remark (311 chars)
Investor opportunity in Macon. Two-bedroom one bath bungalow with recent renovations completed, including new plumbing, updated electrical, and a metal roof. Property is being sold as is. Ideal for investors, rehabbers, or buy and hold strategies. Convenient access to major roads, shopping, and downtown Macon.
-
2026-02-02$85,000 New 311-char remark
Show marketing remark (311 chars)
Investor opportunity in Macon. Two-bedroom one bath bungalow with recent renovations completed, including new plumbing, updated electrical, and a metal roof. Property is being sold as is. Ideal for investors, rehabbers, or buy and hold strategies. Convenient access to major roads, shopping, and downtown Macon.
-
2026-02-02$85,000 Active 311-char remark
Show marketing remark (311 chars)
Investor opportunity in Macon. Two-bedroom one bath bungalow with recent renovations completed, including new plumbing, updated electrical, and a metal roof. Property is being sold as is. Ideal for investors, rehabbers, or buy and hold strategies. Convenient access to major roads, shopping, and downtown Macon.
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2021-08-26soldstatus $20,000 Sold
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2021-07-30status Under Contract
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2021-07-06price $24,900
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2021-05-05$25,900 New
-
2014-07-11soldstatus $3,000
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2014-07-11soldstatus $3,000
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2014-05-16$3,800
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2014-05-16$3,800
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $247 · $21/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $690 · $58/mo
- Expected delta
- +$443/yr (+$37/mo · 179.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,493
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$247
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$919
- − Management
- −$919
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $2,649
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$636
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,102/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bibb County
- NCES district ID
- 1300420
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,426
- Composite
- 12.13/100
- National rank
- #9654
- State rank
- #161 of 174 in GA
Livability — Macon-Bibb County
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- County
- Bibb County · 164,332 people
- City population
- 143,186
- Metro
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,310
- Household income
- $30,042
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1335.0
Population outlook (Bibb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 148,772 people
- By 2030
- 145,904 · -1.9%
- By 2040
- 139,404 · -6.3%
- By 2050
- 131,603 · -11.5%
- By 2075
- 111,050 · -25.4%
- By 2100
- 83,346 · -44.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 76% White 12% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Bibb
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.4) · D 61.0% · R 38.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.4pp toward D · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: 22.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.4 2020: D+23.8 2016: D+20.2 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+18.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -80.17%
- Current HPI
- 148.6765
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.03%
- Metro
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+1873.7% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Listed for Rent $650 FMLS
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $75,000 GAMLS
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $75,000 FMLS
- 2026-02-02 Listed $85,000 FMLS
- 2026-02-02 Listed $85,000 GAMLS
- 2021-08-26 Sold (MLS) $20,000 GAMLS
- 2021-07-30 Pending — GAMLS
- 2021-07-06 Price Changed $24,900 GAMLS
- 2021-05-05 Listed $25,900 GAMLS
- 2014-07-11 Sold (MLS) $3,000 CGMLS
- 2014-07-11 Sold (MLS) $3,000 MGMLS
- 2014-05-16 Listed $3,800 CGMLS
- 2014-05-16 Listed $3,800 MGMLS
Property tax history
+10.2%/yrLatest (2025): $247 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…