808 Bronco Ln · Fayetteville, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 73.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Good investment opportunity! Brick ranch style home located in the Ponderosa neighborhood. Home features 3 bedrooms, 1.5 bathrooms, living room, eat-in kitchen and single carport. Situated on large corner lot and has an outside storage shed. Please be aware this sale is subject to NCGS Chapter 1 Article 29A and the procedures for private partition sales. An accepted offer will be treated as a starting bid and will begin the 10-day upset bid period. The buyer's due diligence period will not begin until the upset bid period expires. If the buyers bid is upset, all due diligence and earnest money will be refunded.
Key facts
- 0.28 acre lot
- Parking
- Built 1972
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport; 1 covered parking space; 1-car carport
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Subdivision: PONDEROSA
- Construction: Brick and vinyl siding construction
- Exterior features: Corner lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 5 total rooms
- Flooring: Laminate; Tile; Wood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump (heating)
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Storage
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Crawl space
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $109k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $412 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $109k).
- Recommended offer: $96k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 4.9% in Fayetteville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#45 in NC, #4,031 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Cumberland County Schools (urban): math 32% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #126 of 178 in NC (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Westover Middle (math 20% / reading 30%, grade F, #396 of 475 statewide, top 84%, 784 students, 100% FRL); Westover High (math 42% / reading 39%, grade F, #387 of 535 statewide, top 73%, 1,202 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 55% district-wide (45 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 280 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,125 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $754 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 211 days — a 12% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 73% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 211 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.40% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.18%
- DSCR
- 1.72
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $191,700
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 843 Bedrock Dr | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,370 (+7%) | 1mo | $180,000 | $131 | 79 |
| 714 Bronco Ln | 0.17mi | 3/1.5 | 1,380 (+8%) | 0mo | $199,900 | $145 | 77 |
| 814 Maverick Ct | 0.13mi | 3/1.5 | 1,188 (-7%) | 7mo | $177,500 | $149 | 75 |
| 5318 Flagstone Ct | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,270 (-1%) | 7mo | $175,000 | $138 | 70 |
| 5512 Mesa Dr | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,328 (+4%) | 3mo | $140,000 | $105 | 66 |
| 301 Summer Hill Rd | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,316 (+3%) | 3mo | $217,900 | $166 | 65 |
| 284 Bonanza Dr | 0.38mi | 3/1.5 | 1,164 (-9%) | 1mo | $184,800 | $159 | 65 |
| 5305 Tabor Ct | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,232 (-4%) | 7mo | $187,500 | $152 | 61 |
| 342 Summer Hill Rd | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 | 1,409 (+10%) | 2mo | $210,000 | $149 | 51 |
| 5701 Comstock Ct | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (+10%) | 6mo | $227,500 | $163 | 50 |
| 5705 Yellowstone Ct | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,131 (-12%) | 8mo | $179,000 | $158 | 47 |
| 6425 Freeport Rd | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 | 1,404 (+10%) | 7mo | $210,000 | $150 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.01% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.28×
- Total profit
- $8,611
- Equity at exit
- $16,252
- IRR
- 16.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.36×
- Total profit
- $41,512
- Equity at exit
- $9,424
Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28303
- Home prices YoY
- -25.4%
- Rents YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 280
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,529 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$572
- Tax from tax record
- −$180 /mo · $2,156/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$321
- Net cashflow
- $412
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,250
- Closing costs
- $3,270
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6033 Santa Fe Dr Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1325 | $1,500 | $1.13 | 23d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 833 Fresno Dr Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1512 | $1,300 | $0.86 | 23d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 890 Bedrock Dr Fayetteville, NC | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1484 | $1,650 | $1.11 | 23d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 6213 Sabine Dr Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1092 | $1,175 | $1.08 | 23d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 338 Summer Hill Rd Fayetteville, NC | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1474 | $1,550 | $1.05 | 23d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 425 Dunmore Rd Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1724 | $1,800 | $1.04 | 23d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 5408 Cardigan Ct Fayetteville, NC | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $1,800 | $1.06 | 23d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 390 Summer Hill Rd Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1535 | $1,990 | $1.30 | 23d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 5414 Plateau Rd Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1116 | $1,595 | $1.43 | 23d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 3639 Dornoch Dr Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,025 | $1.02 | 23d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 5410 Laramie Ct Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1446 | $1,600 | $1.11 | 13d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 3633 Dornoch Dr Apt E Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,025 | $1.02 | 23d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 3627 Dornoch Dr Apt A Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,025 | $1.02 | 23d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 3627 Dornoch Dr Apt E Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $950 | $0.95 | 23d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 5650 Netherfield Pl Fayetteville, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1025 | $1,410 | $1.37 | 13d | 38 | 0.86mi |
| 513 Roundtree Dr Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1337 | $1,775 | $1.33 | 23d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 3619 Dornoch Dr Apt A Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,025 | $1.02 | 13d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 246 Partners Way Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,295 | $1.18 | 23d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 726 Windy Hill Cir Unit 726-C Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,099 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 230 Sawtooth Dr Fayetteville, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1040 | $1,550 | $1.49 | 13d | 14 | 0.92mi |
| 709 Windy Hill Cir Unit 709-D Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,099 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 111 Grande Oaks Dr Fayetteville, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1205 | $1,645 | $1.37 | 13d | 46 | 0.94mi |
| 716 Windy Hill Cir Unit 716-A Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,025 | $0.93 | 23d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 718 Windy Hill Cir Unit 718-B Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,099 | $1.00 | 13d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 422 Jamestown Ave Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1409 | $1,650 | $1.17 | 13d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 422 Jamestown Ave Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1409 | $2,000 | $1.42 | 23d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 6471 Yadkin Rd Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $750 | $0.83 | 23d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3050 Plantation Garden Blvd Fayetteville, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1158 | $1,781 | $1.54 | 13d | 58 | 1.02mi |
| 6467 Yadkin Rd Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $850 | $0.94 | 23d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1000 Antietam Crk Dr Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1059 | $1,700 | $1.61 | 23d | 14 | 1.08mi |
| 513 Lumberly Ln Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1124 | $1,295 | $1.15 | 23d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1429 Bozeman Loop Fayetteville, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1001 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 13d | 24 | 1.12mi |
| 267 Waterdown Dr Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1307 | $1,325 | $1.01 | 23d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 3311 Woodhill Ln Fayetteville, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1195 | $1,730 | $1.45 | 13d | 42 | 1.15mi |
| 5725 Ivanhoe Ct Fayetteville, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 962 | $1,300 | $1.35 | 13d | 6 | 1.16mi |
| 824 Danish Dr Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1310 | $1,400 | $1.07 | 23d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 6445 Independence Pl Dr Fayetteville, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1106 | $1,779 | $1.61 | 13d | 18 | 1.20mi |
| 295 Warton Ln Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1307 | $1,325 | $1.01 | 13d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1025 Hirschfeld Dr Fayetteville, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1112 | $1,935 | $1.74 | 13d | 17 | 1.23mi |
| 741 Galloway Dr Fayetteville, NC | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1551 | $1,750 | $1.13 | 13d | 1 | 1.24mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $109,000 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $109,000 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $109,000 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $109,000 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $109,000 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $109,000 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $109,000 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $109,000 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,000 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,000 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $109,000 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $109,000 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $109,000 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,000 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $109,000 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-02-13status Active
-
2025-06-03status Pending
-
2025-04-24status Active
-
2024-11-01status Pending
-
2024-09-13$109,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,156 · $180/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,156 · $180/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 73% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,352
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,106
- − Property taxes
- −$2,156
- − Insurance
- −$545
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,468
- − Management
- −$1,468
- − Depreciation
- −$3,171
- Taxable income
- $3,438
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$825
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,113/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cumberland County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3700011
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,168
- Composite
- 31.0/100
- National rank
- #6096
- State rank
- #126 of 178 in NC
Livability — Fayetteville
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #45
- US rank
- #4031
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fayetteville, NC
- County
- Cumberland County · 265,314 people
- City population
- 226,118
- Metro
- Fayetteville, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,965
- Household income
- $58,223
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1370.0
Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 330,855 people
- By 2030
- 333,523 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 335,583 · +1.4%
- By 2050
- 335,325 · +1.4%
- By 2075
- 342,853 · +3.6%
- By 2100
- 340,698 · +3.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 39% Black 37% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 4% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.4) · D 56.1% · R 42.7% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.3pp toward R · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 13.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.4 2020: D+16.6 2016: D+16.0 2012: D+19.7 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -77.14%
- Current HPI
- 226.5097
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.01%
- Metro
- Fayetteville, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
||
| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
|
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Price history
5 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-13 Relisted — LPRMLS
- 2025-06-03 Pending — LPRMLS
- 2025-04-24 Relisted — LPRMLS
- 2024-11-01 Pending — LPRMLS
- 2024-09-13 Listed $109,000 LPRMLS
Property tax history
+5.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,156 · +47.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…