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79 County Road 1461
B Composite 74.9
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$95,000

79 County Road 1461 · Corning, AR 72422
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,568 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 48 Days on market
Built 1977 0.51 ac lot $61/sqft · 23% below area Est $123k · 23% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Owner in process of completing remodel and is unfinished. New metal roof (old roof completely removed) will need end caps finished. New electrical panel installed, new central heat & air installed. This house needs to be completed and could be done quickly. Home sits on half an acre and located in a very quiet neighborhood. Seller is motivated.

Key facts

  • All-electric home
  • County water
  • Metal roof

Tags

HVAC SYSTEMMETAL ROOFALL-ELECTRIC HOMECOUNTY WATERSEPTIC SYSTEM

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Parking pads with rear entry
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic; Electric (Co-Op)
  • Home design: Rock and frame exterior
  • Construction: Metal roof; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Gravel road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range
  • Flooring: Tile; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heat; Central electric cooling
  • Interior features: Tile and laminate floors; Office/Study

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $250 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $92k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 7.0% in Corning — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#38 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Corning School District (town): math 33% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #123 of 238 in AR (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Clay County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($657 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.8% local appreciation)).
  • Clay County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $55k; list at $95k implies a 73% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $92,150 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.21%
Cap rate
9.45%
Cash-on-cash
11.28%
DSCR
1.50
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$123,246
List price
$95,000
Delta
-22.92%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

1.83% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.2%
Equity multiple
1.81×
Total profit
$21,631
Equity at exit
$36,590
10-year hold
IRR
17.9%
Equity multiple
3.34×
Total profit
$62,240
Equity at exit
$52,023

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72422

Home prices YoY
1.0%
Active inventory
44
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,148 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax est. 1.5%
$119 /mo · $1,425/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$241
Net cashflow
$250

Break-even live

Break-even rent $831
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $316 -5% $283 +0% $250 +5% $217 +10% $184
Rent -10% $159 -5% $205 +0% $250 +5% $295 +10% $341
Rate -1.0pp $298 -0.5pp $274 base $250 +0.5pp $225 +1.0pp $200

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $95,000 Active 48 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $95,000 Active 47 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $95,000 Active 46 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $95,000 Active 45 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $95,000 Active 44 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $95,000 Active 42 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $95,000 Active 41 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $95,000 Active 38 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $95,000 Active 37 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $95,000 Active 36 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $95,000 Active 32 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $95,000 Active 31 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $95,000 Active 30 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,000 Active 29 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $95,000 Active 28 DOM
  16. 2026-04-24
    listed $95,000 New Listing 739-char remark
  17. 2022-12-01
    soldstatus $54,900 352-char remark
    Show marketing remark (352 chars)

    Owner in process of completing remodel and is unfinished. New metal roof (old roof completely removed) will need end caps finished. New electrical panel installed, new central heat & air installed. This house needs to be completed and could be done quickly. Home sits on half an acre and located in a very quiet neighborhood. Seller is motivated.

  18. 2022-12-01
    soldstatus $54,900
    Show marketing remark (352 chars)

    Owner in process of completing remodel and is unfinished. New metal roof (old roof completely removed) will need end caps finished. New electrical panel installed, new central heat & air installed. This house needs to be completed and could be done quickly. Home sits on half an acre and located in a very quiet neighborhood. Seller is motivated.

  19. 2022-10-14
    listed $59,900 352-char remark
    Show marketing remark (352 chars)

    Owner in process of completing remodel and is unfinished. New metal roof (old roof completely removed) will need end caps finished. New electrical panel installed, new central heat & air installed. This house needs to be completed and could be done quickly. Home sits on half an acre and located in a very quiet neighborhood. Seller is motivated.

  20. 2020-05-27
    soldstatus $35,000
  21. 1989-02-14
    soldstatus $34,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,771
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$1,425
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,102
− Management
−$1,102
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$1,583
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$380
After-tax cash flow
$2,621/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Corning School District
NCES district ID
0500009
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$28,919
Composite
28.73/100
National rank
#6679
State rank
#123 of 238 in AR

Livability — Corning

Score
71/100
State rank
#38
US rank
#6594

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
4,302

Population outlook (Clay County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
13,564 people
By 2030
12,834 · -5.4%
By 2040
11,498 · -15.2%
By 2050
10,325 · -23.9%
By 2075
8,228 · -39.3%
By 2100
6,675 · -50.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 6%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Clay

2024 margin
Solid R (+61.6) · D 18.3% · R 79.9% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-47.3pp toward R · 2008: -14.3pp · 2024: -61.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+61.6 2020: R+60.3 2016: R+29.8 2012: R+29.1 2008: R+14.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.83%
Current HPI
191.7305
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+179.4% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $95,000 CARMLS
  • 2022-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $54,900 Public Records
  • 2022-12-01 Sold (MLS) $54,900 NEABOR MLS
  • 2022-10-14 Listed $59,900 NEABOR MLS
  • 2020-05-27 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
  • 1989-02-14 Sold (Public Records) $34,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $42 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…