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128 Ivy Ridge Ct #128
C Composite 56.39
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.5/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +6.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.3/15.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$70,000

128 Ivy Ridge Ct #128 · Smyrna, DE 19977
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 924 sqft · SingleFamily · 298 Days on market
Built 1984 Good condition $76/sqft · at area comps Est $67k · at est. $685/mo HOA · 42% of rent ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Don't miss out on this one!!! Move in Ready! Location!!! Completely renovated inside and out. Holly Hill estates is a beautiful community. New kitchen, new bathrooms, new floor, new roof. 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, open concept. Immediate occupancy upon park approval. Don't let this one get away! Call for a showing today!

Key facts

  • Built 1984
  • Listed 297 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $70k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $105 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 3.5% in Smyrna — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#29 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Smyrna School District (rural): math 22% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #16 of 26 in DE (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 220 active listings in the ZIP; 1,201 units permitted in Kent County in 2024 (116 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kent County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 298 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 42% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 71% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $61,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 298 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.30%
Cap rate
8.10%
Cash-on-cash
6.45%
DSCR
1.29
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$66,711
List price
$70,000
Delta
4.93%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
93 Ivy Ridge Ct #93 0.08mi 2/2.0 924 (0%) 12mo $49,900 $54 86
184 Hemlock Way 0.11mi 2/2.0 924 (0%) 14mo $62,000 $67 84
222 Laurel Ln #222 0.20mi 2/2.0 924 (0%) 10mo $52,000 $56 83
158 Hemlock Way #158 0.07mi 3/2.0 (+1) 924 (0%) 14mo $68,600 $74 80
227 Laurel Ln #227 0.17mi 2/1.0 924 (0%) 10mo $41,500 $45 80
122 Ivy Ridge Ct #122 0.06mi 2/2.0 980 (+6%) 17mo $65,000 $66 73
24 Spruce Ct #24 0.26mi 3/2.0 (+1) 980 (+6%) 1mo $62,900 $64 72
68 Juniper Ct #68 0.16mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,056 (+14%) 16mo $37,000 $35 50
223 Laurel Ln #223 0.19mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,056 (+14%) 12mo $22,500 $21 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.7%
Equity multiple
0.79×
Total profit
$-4,190
Equity at exit
$10,437
10-year hold
IRR
4.6%
Equity multiple
1.35×
Total profit
$6,797
Equity at exit
$6,052

Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
70 Landlord-Friendly
State Delaware
70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Court of Common Pleas hears L&T; moderate-paced. No state rent control.

ZIP-level market 19977

Home prices YoY
-29.1%
Active inventory
220
Price-to-rent
3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,613 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax est. 1.5%
$88 /mo · $1,050/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$685
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$339
Net cashflow
$105

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,479
Max offer price $70,000
Occupancy floor 88%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,500
Closing costs
$2,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$685 · $8,220/yr

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $70,000 Active 298 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $70,000 Active 297 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $70,000 Active 296 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $70,000 Active 295 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $70,000 Active 294 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $70,000 Active 292 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $70,000 Active 291 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $70,000 Active 289 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $70,000 Active 288 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $70,000 Active 287 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $70,000 Active 286 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $70,000 Active 283 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $70,000 Active 281 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $70,000 Active 280 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $70,000 Active 279 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $70,000 Active 278 DOM
  17. 2025-11-04
    price $70,000 322-char remark
    Show marketing remark (322 chars)

    Don't miss out on this one!!! Move in Ready! Location!!! Completely renovated inside and out. Holly Hill estates is a beautiful community. New kitchen, new bathrooms, new floor, new roof. 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, open concept. Immediate occupancy upon park approval. Don't let this one get away! Call for a showing today!

  18. 2025-08-25
    listed $74,000 Active 322-char remark
    Show marketing remark (322 chars)

    Don't miss out on this one!!! Move in Ready! Location!!! Completely renovated inside and out. Holly Hill estates is a beautiful community. New kitchen, new bathrooms, new floor, new roof. 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, open concept. Immediate occupancy upon park approval. Don't let this one get away! Call for a showing today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 71% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,353
− Mortgage interest
−$3,921
− Property taxes
−$1,050
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,548
− Management
−$1,548
− HOA
−$8,220
− Depreciation
−$2,036
Taxable income
$679
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$163
After-tax cash flow
$1,101/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This single-family home is move-in ready with a fresh exterior, new kitchen and bathrooms, and efficient HVAC. It offers a good investment opportunity with potential for further improvements.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace air conditioning unit — Ensures efficient cooling and heating
  • Both Install new window treatments — Improves energy efficiency and aesthetics
  • Both Add landscaping around the foundation — Enhances curb appeal and property value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace air conditioning unit — Ensures efficient cooling and heating
  • Both Install new window treatments — Improves energy efficiency and aesthetics
  • Both Add landscaping around the foundation — Enhances curb appeal and property value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Smyrna School District
NCES district ID
1001620
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -25.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -17.00%
Median HH income
$61,704
Composite
27.67/100
National rank
#6915
State rank
#16 of 26 in DE

Livability — Smyrna

Score
69/100
State rank
#29
US rank
#8702

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
27,164

Population outlook (Kent County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
194,477 people
By 2030
204,351 · +5.1%
By 2040
222,135 · +14.2%
By 2050
236,483 · +21.6%
By 2075
266,327 · +36.9%
By 2100
275,335 · +41.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Black 29% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Hispanic 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Kent

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.2% · R 48.2% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-7.8pp toward R · 2008: 9.8pp · 2024: 2.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.0 2020: D+4.1 2016: R+4.9 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+9.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -110.14%
Current HPI
267.998
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-5.4% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2025-11-04 Price Changed $70,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-08-25 Listed $74,000 BRIGHT MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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