322 Bowfin Ct · Poinciana, FL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.73%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +5.2/30.0
- Appreciation +4.3/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.2/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$355,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This lot is only a short drive to 2 NEWER VARIETY STORES and about 4.9 miles from POINCIANA COMMUNITY PARK. The first phase of the park opened October 12, 2013 and features a dog park, picnic facilities, restrooms, basketball court, sport fields - multipurpose and baseball. This lot is also about 7.8 miles from the COMMUNITY ACTIVITY CENTER CAMPUS with COMMUNITY POOL and REMODELED FITNESS CENTER. And, this lot is approximately 8.7 miles from the MEDICAL CENTER that opened July 29, 2013 and added an expansion, with 2 additional floors, in November, 2015, and is currently working on another expansion. Also, about 9 miles away, is the GYM AND AQUATIC CENTER that opened May 13, 2017. The facility is approximately 16,000 sq. ft, with a GYM, FITNESS ROOM and LOCKER ROOM. There are also MEETING ROOMS and a KITCHEN. The exterior features a FITNESS TRAIL, MULTI PURPOSE LAWN AREA, PAVILION and POOL. The POOL has a 12 FOOT DEEP DIVE AREA with TWO BOARDS and also 8 LAP LANES. The TOLL ROAD ON RAMP off of CYPRESS PARKWAY, is about 10.4 miles away. DON'T LET THIS ONE GET AWAY! COME INSPECT THIS LOT TODAY!
Key facts
- Large island
- Granite countertops
- Walk-in pantry
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lease restrictions in place; Home warranty provided
- Financial info: Total monthly fees $90 (total annual fees $1,080)
- HOA & community: HOA: Association of Poinciana Villages (monthly fee $90); Association amenities include pool, fitness center, playground, park, tennis courts, basketball court, trails, recreation facilities, cable TV and internet; Deed restrictions and special community restrictions; Pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Attached garage with garage door opener; 2-car garage
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available and connected; Cable available and connected; Fiber optics; Phone available; Broadband/high-speed internet available; Underground utilities; Sprinkler meter; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single family residence; One-story; Pre-construction (projected completion April 30, 2026); Northeast-facing entry
- Construction: Block, concrete and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; New construction by LGI Homes Florida - LLC (Builder model: Coral)
- Exterior features: Covered front and rear porches; Patio; Lighting; Private mailbox; Sidewalk; Sliding doors; Sprinkler meter; In-ground pool; Mature landscaping with trees; Landscaped lot; Paved surfaces; Public maintained road; Irrigation equipment
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Ice maker; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Exhaust fan; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 5 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric heating; Heat pump; Central air; Attic fan
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; High ceilings; Kitchen open to family room; Open floorplan; Pest guard system; Solid wood cabinets; Stone countertops; Thermostat; Walk-in closets; Window treatments; Blinds; Double-pane ENERGY STAR windows; Smoke detector(s)
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry room with washer and electric dryer hookups; Inside utility / family room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath land listed at $356k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-813 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $238k (33.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $220k (38.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $220k (38.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#859 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Polk (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #62 of 73 in FL (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Laurel Elementary School (math 26% / reading 34%, grade F, #1,882 of 2,144 statewide, top 88%, 1,058 students, 50% FRL); Lake Marion Creek Middle School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #522 of 571 statewide, top 93%, 1,044 students, 58% FRL); New Beginnings High School (math 5% / reading 8%, grade F, #655 of 667 statewide, top 98%, 753 students, 66% FRL, charter) — zoned schools at 58% FRL track the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 20% at this address vs 41% district-wide (-21 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Polk average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 1155 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 10,384 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (1,716 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.5%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Polk County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 227 days — a 12% lower offer ($313k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $96k; list at $356k implies a 271% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 227 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 38% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.62% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- -9.79%
- DSCR
- 0.56
- GRM
- 13.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.48% appreciation · 1.14% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.10×
- Total profit
- $-90,147
- Equity at exit
- $77,807
- IRR
- -19.0%
- Equity multiple
- -0.40×
- Total profit
- $-139,476
- Equity at exit
- $74,985
Cash invested: $99,652 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34759
- Home prices YoY
- -0.5%
- Rents YoY
- 1.1%
- Active inventory
- 1155
- Price-to-rent
- 13.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,198 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,866
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$445 /mo · $5,338/yr
- Insurance
- −$148
- HOA
- −$90
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$462
- Net cashflow
- $-813
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-567 | -5% $-690 | +0% $-813 | +5% $-936 | +10% $-1,059 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-987 | -5% $-900 | +0% $-813 | +5% $-726 | +10% $-639 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-634 | -0.5pp $-723 | base $-813 | +0.5pp $-905 | +1.0pp $-999 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $88,975
- Closing costs
- $10,677
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 27 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 308 Bass Ct Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1614 | $2,100 | $1.30 | 5d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 1364 Congo Dr Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1667 | $1,750 | $1.05 | 5d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1701 Pilchard Dr Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1720 | $2,050 | $1.19 | 25d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 303 Shad Way Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1930 | $1,999 | $1.04 | 25d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 301 Shad Way Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2134 | $2,000 | $0.94 | 23d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1658 Redfin Dr Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1661 | $1,810 | $1.09 | 5d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1660 Redfin Dr Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1661 | $1,975 | $1.19 | 5d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1662 Redfin Dr Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1852 | $1,940 | $1.05 | 25d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1402 Kissimmee Ct Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1800 | $1,850 | $1.03 | 23d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1630 Tench Ct Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1944 | $1,995 | $1.03 | 5d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1243 Amazon Ln Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1580 | $1,835 | $1.16 | 5d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 459 Rio Grande Ln Poinciana, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $1,745 | $0.87 | 25d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 205 Dogfish Ln Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1578 | $1,680 | $1.06 | 15d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 241 Grouper Ct Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1762 | $2,000 | $1.14 | 25d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 352 Kingfish Dr Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1670 | $1,950 | $1.17 | 25d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 116 Sail Way Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1661 | $1,805 | $1.09 | 13d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 610 Alafia Pl Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1636 | $2,200 | $1.34 | 25d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1707 Sail Ct Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1823 | $2,015 | $1.11 | 5d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 202 Snapper Way Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1670 | $2,050 | $1.23 | 5d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1884 Snapper Dr Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1682 | $1,985 | $1.18 | 16d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 310 Dogfish Way Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $1,950 | $1.15 | 25d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 104 Herring Ln Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1699 | $1,925 | $1.13 | 5d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1851 Superior Ct Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1661 | $1,800 | $1.08 | 25d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 5 Flatfish Dr Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $2,150 | $1.30 | 25d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1907 Manatee Dr Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1803 | $1,795 | $1.00 | 25d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1912 Manatee Dr Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1420 | $1,995 | $1.40 | 25d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1951 Michigan Dr Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1562 | $2,060 | $1.32 | 15d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $90 · $1,080/yr
- Likely covers
- poolgym
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $355,900 Active 227 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $355,900 Active 224 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $355,900 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $355,900 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $355,900 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $355,900 Active 219 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $355,900 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $355,900 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $355,900 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $355,900 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $355,900 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $355,900 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $355,900 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $355,900 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-05-22status Active
-
2026-05-08status Pending
-
2026-04-17price $355,900
-
2026-04-10price $349,900
-
2026-04-09price $355,900
-
2026-01-09price $358,900
-
2025-10-23$354,900 Active
-
2024-06-12soldstatus $96,000
-
2021-05-13soldstatus $29,000
-
2021-04-30soldstatus $29,000 Closed 1108-char remark
Show marketing remark (1108 chars)
This lot is only a short drive to 2 NEWER VARIETY STORES and about 4.9 miles from POINCIANA COMMUNITY PARK. The first phase of the park opened October 12, 2013 and features a dog park, picnic facilities, restrooms, basketball court, sport fields - multipurpose and baseball. This lot is also about 7.8 miles from the COMMUNITY ACTIVITY CENTER CAMPUS with COMMUNITY POOL and REMODELED FITNESS CENTER. And, this lot is approximately 8.7 miles from the MEDICAL CENTER that opened July 29, 2013 and added an expansion, with 2 additional floors, in November, 2015, and is currently working on another expansion. Also, about 9 miles away, is the GYM AND AQUATIC CENTER that opened May 13, 2017. The facility is approximately 16,000 sq. ft, with a GYM, FITNESS ROOM and LOCKER ROOM. There are also MEETING ROOMS and a KITCHEN. The exterior features a FITNESS TRAIL, MULTI PURPOSE LAWN AREA, PAVILION and POOL. The POOL has a 12 FOOT DEEP DIVE AREA with TWO BOARDS and also 8 LAP LANES. The TOLL ROAD ON RAMP off of CYPRESS PARKWAY, is about 10.4 miles away. DON'T LET THIS ONE GET AWAY! COME INSPECT THIS LOT TODAY!
-
2021-03-23status Pending 1108-char remark
Show marketing remark (1108 chars)
This lot is only a short drive to 2 NEWER VARIETY STORES and about 4.9 miles from POINCIANA COMMUNITY PARK. The first phase of the park opened October 12, 2013 and features a dog park, picnic facilities, restrooms, basketball court, sport fields - multipurpose and baseball. This lot is also about 7.8 miles from the COMMUNITY ACTIVITY CENTER CAMPUS with COMMUNITY POOL and REMODELED FITNESS CENTER. And, this lot is approximately 8.7 miles from the MEDICAL CENTER that opened July 29, 2013 and added an expansion, with 2 additional floors, in November, 2015, and is currently working on another expansion. Also, about 9 miles away, is the GYM AND AQUATIC CENTER that opened May 13, 2017. The facility is approximately 16,000 sq. ft, with a GYM, FITNESS ROOM and LOCKER ROOM. There are also MEETING ROOMS and a KITCHEN. The exterior features a FITNESS TRAIL, MULTI PURPOSE LAWN AREA, PAVILION and POOL. The POOL has a 12 FOOT DEEP DIVE AREA with TWO BOARDS and also 8 LAP LANES. The TOLL ROAD ON RAMP off of CYPRESS PARKWAY, is about 10.4 miles away. DON'T LET THIS ONE GET AWAY! COME INSPECT THIS LOT TODAY!
-
2021-03-22status Pending 1108-char remark
Show marketing remark (1108 chars)
This lot is only a short drive to 2 NEWER VARIETY STORES and about 4.9 miles from POINCIANA COMMUNITY PARK. The first phase of the park opened October 12, 2013 and features a dog park, picnic facilities, restrooms, basketball court, sport fields - multipurpose and baseball. This lot is also about 7.8 miles from the COMMUNITY ACTIVITY CENTER CAMPUS with COMMUNITY POOL and REMODELED FITNESS CENTER. And, this lot is approximately 8.7 miles from the MEDICAL CENTER that opened July 29, 2013 and added an expansion, with 2 additional floors, in November, 2015, and is currently working on another expansion. Also, about 9 miles away, is the GYM AND AQUATIC CENTER that opened May 13, 2017. The facility is approximately 16,000 sq. ft, with a GYM, FITNESS ROOM and LOCKER ROOM. There are also MEETING ROOMS and a KITCHEN. The exterior features a FITNESS TRAIL, MULTI PURPOSE LAWN AREA, PAVILION and POOL. The POOL has a 12 FOOT DEEP DIVE AREA with TWO BOARDS and also 8 LAP LANES. The TOLL ROAD ON RAMP off of CYPRESS PARKWAY, is about 10.4 miles away. DON'T LET THIS ONE GET AWAY! COME INSPECT THIS LOT TODAY!
-
2020-05-11$29,000 Active 1108-char remark
Show marketing remark (1108 chars)
This lot is only a short drive to 2 NEWER VARIETY STORES and about 4.9 miles from POINCIANA COMMUNITY PARK. The first phase of the park opened October 12, 2013 and features a dog park, picnic facilities, restrooms, basketball court, sport fields - multipurpose and baseball. This lot is also about 7.8 miles from the COMMUNITY ACTIVITY CENTER CAMPUS with COMMUNITY POOL and REMODELED FITNESS CENTER. And, this lot is approximately 8.7 miles from the MEDICAL CENTER that opened July 29, 2013 and added an expansion, with 2 additional floors, in November, 2015, and is currently working on another expansion. Also, about 9 miles away, is the GYM AND AQUATIC CENTER that opened May 13, 2017. The facility is approximately 16,000 sq. ft, with a GYM, FITNESS ROOM and LOCKER ROOM. There are also MEETING ROOMS and a KITCHEN. The exterior features a FITNESS TRAIL, MULTI PURPOSE LAWN AREA, PAVILION and POOL. The POOL has a 12 FOOT DEEP DIVE AREA with TWO BOARDS and also 8 LAP LANES. The TOLL ROAD ON RAMP off of CYPRESS PARKWAY, is about 10.4 miles away. DON'T LET THIS ONE GET AWAY! COME INSPECT THIS LOT TODAY!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 73% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,377
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,936
- − Property taxes
- −$5,338
- − Insurance
- −$1,780
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,110
- − Management
- −$2,110
- − HOA
- −$1,080
- − Depreciation
- −$10,353
- Taxable loss
- −$16,330
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,919
- After-tax cash flow
- $-5,837/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Polk
- NCES district ID
- 1201590
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,979
- Composite
- 34.74/100
- National rank
- #5132
- State rank
- #62 of 73 in FL
Livability — Poinciana
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #859
- US rank
- #21760
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Poinciana, FL
- County
- Polk County · 740,051 people
- City population
- 91,336
- Metro
- Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,568
- Household income
- $69,373
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1186.0
Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 752,975 people
- By 2030
- 804,621 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 906,117 · +20.3%
- By 2050
- 1,000,476 · +32.9%
- By 2075
- 1,197,520 · +59.0%
- By 2100
- 1,271,518 · +68.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 55% White 21% Two or more races 20% Black 19%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 38% Cuban 6% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 3% Romanian 2% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 49% English-only · Spanish 48% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Polk
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -20.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.7 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+14.1 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.48%
- Current HPI
- 276.6861
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.14%
- Metro
- Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+1127.2% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-08 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $355,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $349,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-09 Price Changed $355,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-09 Price Changed $358,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-23 Listed $354,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-06-12 Sold (Public Records) $96,000 Public Records
- 2021-05-13 Sold (Public Records) $29,000 Public Records
- 2021-04-30 Sold (MLS) $29,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-03-23 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-03-22 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-05-11 Listed $29,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+20.9%/yrLatest (2025): $364 · +18.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…