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215 Doney Run
B- Composite 66.22
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.7/10.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,900

215 Doney Run · Weatherly, PA 18255
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 950 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 30 Days on market
Built 1881 5,271 sqft lot $95/sqft · 30% below area Est $142k · 37% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great Opportunity To Own A 3 Bedroom Home In The Heart Of Weatherly At An Affordable Price! Tucked into the hillside and offering a surprising amount of living space across multiple levels, this property is ideal for buyers looking to build equity, investors searching for a value-add opportunity, or anyone looking for a full-time residence with character and potential. The main level features a spacious living room that flows directly into the kitchen area, creating an open feel with plenty of natural light. Upstairs find two bedrooms and a full bath, while the finished third floor provides an additional bedroom or flexible bonus space perfect for guests, office use, or storage. Full baseme

Key facts

  • Wooded backdrop
  • Finished third floor
  • Conveniently located

Tags

FINISHED THIRD FLOORCOVERED FRONT AND SIDE PORCHESWOODED BACKDROPCONVENIENTLY LOCATED

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: 2-story home; R2 zoning; Above-grade finished area reported
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Full dirt-floor basement
  • Exterior features: Porch; Patio; Property on a cul-de-sac; Sloped lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen with island
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 5
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Oil hot water heating with baseboard; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Attic; Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen island; Storage; Traditional floorplan
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $135 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $89k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#1,488 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools B+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
  • Weatherly Area SD (rural): math 22% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #415 of 539 in PA (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 180 units permitted in Carbon County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Carbon County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $40k; list at $90k implies a 125% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1881 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $88,551 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1881 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.17%
Cap rate
8.99%
Cash-on-cash
9.62%
DSCR
1.43
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$141,712
List price
$89,900
Delta
-36.56%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
106 Butz St 0.13mi 2/1.0 992 (+4%) 15mo $43,000 $43 70
730 E Main St 0.75mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,056 (+11%) 2mo $175,000 $166 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.3%
Equity multiple
0.77×
Total profit
$-5,887
Equity at exit
$13,404
10-year hold
IRR
3.4%
Equity multiple
1.25×
Total profit
$6,225
Equity at exit
$7,773

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18255

Home prices YoY
-14.9%
Active inventory
19
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,053 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax from tax record
$121 /mo · $1,455/yr
Insurance
$37
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$221
Net cashflow
$135

Break-even live

Break-even rent $882
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 82%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $186 -5% $161 +0% $135 +5% $110 +10% $84
Rent -10% $52 -5% $94 +0% $135 +5% $177 +10% $219
Rate -1.0pp $181 -0.5pp $158 base $135 +0.5pp $112 +1.0pp $88

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-10
    days on market $89,900 Active 30 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,900 Active 29 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,900 Active 28 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,900 Active 27 DOM
  5. 2026-06-05
    days on market $89,900 Active 24 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,900 Active 22 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,900 Active 21 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,900 Active 20 DOM
  9. 2026-05-30
    days on market $89,900 Active 19 DOM
  10. 2026-05-11
    listed $99,000 Active 1246-char remark
  11. 2026-04-22
    listed $99,000 Active 1246-char remark
  12. 2006-04-28
    soldstatus $40,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,455 · $121/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,455 · $121/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥92°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,637
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$1,455
− Insurance
−$1,247
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,011
− Management
−$1,011
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable income
$262
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$63
After-tax cash flow
$1,561/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Weatherly Area SD
NCES district ID
4225140
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -33.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -20.00%
Median HH income
$48,177
Composite
30.07/100
National rank
#6348
State rank
#415 of 539 in PA

Livability — Weatherly

Score
60/100
State rank
#1488
US rank
#19254

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Weatherly, PA
City population
4,310
Population (ZIP)
4,310

Population outlook (Carbon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
61,643 people
By 2030
59,840 · -2.9%
By 2040
55,413 · -10.1%
By 2050
50,843 · -17.5%
By 2075
43,326 · -29.7%
By 2100
37,126 · -39.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 14% Polish 3% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Carbon

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.8) · D 32.2% · R 67.0%
2008→2024 swing
-36.7pp toward R · 2008: 1.9pp · 2024: -34.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.8 2020: R+32.0 2016: R+34.1 2012: R+6.9 2008: D+1.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -32.36%
Current HPI
185.3029
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+124.8% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Listing Removed GLVRMLS
  • 2026-05-20 Price Changed $89,900 PMAR
  • 2026-05-20 Price Changed $89,900 GLVRMLS
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $99,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $99,000 PMAR
  • 2006-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,455 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…