🏗️ New Construction
1509 B Claremont · Marble Falls, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 59.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.3/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1,495
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
MOVE IN SPECIAL * * * * 1ST MONTH FREE WITH 12 MONTH LEASE * * * * Beautifully remodeled single-story duplex tucked away at the back of the neighborhood. This duplex features new floors, fresh paint, and a modern kitchen with granite countertops. All appliances stay, including the refrigerator, stove, dishwasher, and microwave. Enjoy the convenience of a 1-car garage with opener and dedicated washer/dryer connections. Prime location near Home Depot, Office Depot, and more. Available for a quick move in!
Key facts
- 1-car garage
- Modern kitchen
- Granite countertops
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $1k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $836 ($10k/yr) — positive. Per door: $418/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $1k).
- Recommended offer: $1k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 2.7% in Marble Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#367 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: crime C-, schools D, employment D.
- Marble Falls ISD (town): math 32% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #511 of 826 in TX (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.6%/yr); 752 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 891 units permitted in Burnet County in 2024 (76 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,132/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($74k/yr) (locally 354% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Burnet County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($1k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 237.8% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 59% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.12%
- DSCR
- 1.67
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $237,015
- List price
- $1,495
- Delta
- -99.37%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.09×
- Total profit
- $5,728
- Equity at exit
- $35,340
- IRR
- 8.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.58×
- Total profit
- $38,296
- Equity at exit
- $20,493
Cash invested: $66,364 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78654
- Home prices YoY
- -31.8%
- Rents YoY
- -0.6%
- Active inventory
- 752
- Price-to-rent
- 0.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,132 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,243
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$296 /mo · $3,555/yr
- Insurance
- −$99
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$658
- Net cashflow
- $836
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $3,132 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,566 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,566 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,132 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $59,254
- Closing costs
- $7,110
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 717 Claremont Pkwy Unit A Marble Falls, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2254 | $1,400 | $0.62 | 43d | 1 | 0.11mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-17days on market $1,495 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $1,495 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $1,495 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $1,495 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $1,495 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $1,495 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $1,495 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $1,495 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $1,495 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $1,495 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $1,495 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $1,495 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $1,495 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-04-20$1,495 Active 515-char remark
Show marketing remark (515 chars)
MOVE IN SPECIAL * * * * 1ST MONTH FREE WITH 12 MONTH LEASE * * * * Beautifully remodeled single-story duplex tucked away at the back of the neighborhood. This duplex features new floors, fresh paint, and a modern kitchen with granite countertops. All appliances stay, including the refrigerator, stove, dishwasher, and microwave. Enjoy the convenience of a 1-car garage with opener and dedicated washer/dryer connections. Prime location near Home Depot, Office Depot, and more. Available for a quick move in!
-
2012-03-14soldstatus
-
2012-01-19soldstatus
-
2007-01-26soldstatus
-
2007-01-26soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 59% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $37,584
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,277
- − Property taxes
- −$3,555
- − Insurance
- −$1,185
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,007
- − Management
- −$3,007
- − Depreciation
- −$6,895
- Taxable income
- $6,659
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,598
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,438/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marble Falls ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4829010
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,663
- Composite
- 30.3/100
- National rank
- #6278
- State rank
- #511 of 826 in TX
Livability — Marble Falls
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #367
- US rank
- #7802
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Marble Falls, TX
- County
- Burnet County · 35,210 people
- City population
- 20,650
- Metro
- Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,650
- Household income
- $74,130
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 354.0
Population outlook (Burnet County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 50,492 people
- By 2030
- 52,995 · +5.0%
- By 2040
- 57,528 · +13.9%
- By 2050
- 61,444 · +21.7%
- By 2075
- 71,098 · +40.8%
- By 2100
- 74,634 · +47.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 24%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Burnet
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+55.7) · D 21.7% · R 77.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.6pp toward R · 2008: -44.1pp · 2024: -55.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+55.7 2020: R+53.1 2016: R+56.8 2012: R+54.6 2008: R+44.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -118.02%
- Current HPI
- 252.9861
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.62%
- Metro
- Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Listed $1,495 HLMLS as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2012-03-14 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2012-01-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2007-01-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2007-01-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+6.1%/yrLatest (2026): $6,029 · -1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…