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18218 Paradise Mountain Rd Spc 80 Lot 80
B+ Composite 75.03
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$195,900

18218 Paradise Mountain Rd Spc 80 Lot 80 · Valley Center, CA 92082
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,786 sqft · Manufactured public records · 290 Days on market
Built 2003 9,590 sqft lot $110/sqft · 22% below area Est $251k · 22% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

2003 LOVELY HOME BOTH INSIDE AND OUTSIDE!! 1786 esf. Offered for only $229,000!! 3 Bedroom, 2 Bath. This stunning home is a must see with a wood burning fireplace, large living areas, and special touches such as a lovely kitchen, a large dining area, great for family gatherings, 3 bedrooms, a large soaking tub in the primary bath, plus much more. There is a covered front deck that is perfect for sitting and enjoying the quiet and the beautiful wildlife that live here in Skyline Ranch. Also, a back covered deck perfect for privacy and Bar-B-ques. This home is located in Skyline Ranch Country Club, a premier Senior Park that sits in Valley Center. Currently offering free golf to all residents, full clubhouse use, dog park, gym, senior community, and more. Skyline Ranch is a land leased park where the monthly space rent is 1750.00. Please come and see this amazing home.

Key facts

  • Dog park
  • Covered front deck
  • Back covered deck

Tags

WOOD BURNING FIREPLACELARGE DINING AREACOVERED FRONT DECKBACK COVERED DECKSKYLINE RANCH COUNTRY CLUBDOG PARK

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $196k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($22k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $196k).
  • Recommended offer: $172k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.4% vs local median 2.5% in Valley Center — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 52/100 on livability (#1,017 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment A+, housing B; Watch: commute C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Valley Center-Pauma Unified (rural): math 16% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #367 of 517 in CA (top 71%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 165 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 11,759 units permitted in San Diego County in 2024 (7,244 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($127k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • San Diego County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $55k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 290 days — a 12% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $33k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $150k; 31% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $172,392 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 290 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.94%
Cap rate
17.41%
Cash-on-cash
39.72%
DSCR
2.77
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$250,617
List price
$195,900
Delta
-21.83%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
12 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
18218 Paradise Mountain Rd #203 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,784 (-0%) 0mo $275,000 $154 94
18218 Paradise Mountain Rd Spc 89 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,770 (-1%) 2mo $215,000 $121 92
18218 Paradise Mountain Rd Spc 18 Spc 18 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,792 (+0%) 11mo $285,000 $159 85
18218 Paradise Mountain Rd #144 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,680 (-6%) 12mo $170,000 $101 75
18218 Paradise Mountain Rd #20 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,832 (+3%) 21mo $110,000 $60 73
18218 Paradise Mtn Spc 47 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,560 (-13%) 12mo $100,000 $64 69
18218 Paradise Mountaind Rd #174 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,532 (-14%) 10mo $149,000 $97 68
18218 Paradise Mtn Rd #59 0.37mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,680 (-6%) 3mo $249,900 $149 66
18218 Paradise Mountain Rd Spc 200 Spc 200 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 2,038 (+14%) 11mo $105,000 $52 63
18218 Paradise Mountain Rd Spc 11 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,560 (-13%) 21mo $180,000 $115 61
18218 Paradise Mountain Rd Spc 150 0.13mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,536 (-14%) 8mo $267,500 $174 59
18218 Paradise Mountain Rd Spc 79 0.13mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,530 (-14%) 10mo $115,000 $75 57

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
36.0%
Equity multiple
2.53×
Total profit
$83,838
Equity at exit
$29,209
10-year hold
IRR
42.7%
Equity multiple
5.04×
Total profit
$221,722
Equity at exit
$16,938

Cash invested: $54,852 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92082

Active inventory
165
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,809 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,027
Tax from tax record
$85 /mo · $1,016/yr
Insurance
$82
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$800
Net cashflow
$1,815

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,511
Max offer price $195,900
Occupancy floor 47%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$48,975
Closing costs
$5,877
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 35 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $195,900 Active 290 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $195,900 Active 289 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $195,900 Active 288 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $195,900 Active 287 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $195,900 Active 285 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $195,900 Active 284 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $195,900 Active 281 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $195,900 Active 280 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $195,900 Active 279 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $195,900 Active 276 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $195,900 Active 275 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $195,900 Active 274 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $195,900 Active 273 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $195,900 Active 272 DOM
  15. 2025-09-01
    listed $229,000 Active 881-char remark
    Show marketing remark (881 chars)

    2003 LOVELY HOME BOTH INSIDE AND OUTSIDE!! 1786 esf. Offered for only $229,000!! 3 Bedroom, 2 Bath. This stunning home is a must see with a wood burning fireplace, large living areas, and special touches such as a lovely kitchen, a large dining area, great for family gatherings, 3 bedrooms, a large soaking tub in the primary bath, plus much more. There is a covered front deck that is perfect for sitting and enjoying the quiet and the beautiful wildlife that live here in Skyline Ranch. Also, a back covered deck perfect for privacy and Bar-B-ques. This home is located in Skyline Ranch Country Club, a premier Senior Park that sits in Valley Center. Currently offering free golf to all residents, full clubhouse use, dog park, gym, senior community, and more. Skyline Ranch is a land leased park where the monthly space rent is 1750.00. Please come and see this amazing home.

  16. 2019-04-12
    soldstatus $150,000 Closed Sale 1142-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1142 chars)

    Beautiful 2003 3br/2ba Palm Harbor home at Skyline Ranch 55/45 age park. Vaulted ceilings, drywall (no paneling), Skylites, neutral carpeting, tile flooring, open spacious floor plan and more. Kitchen has lots of counter space & tons of storage. Separate dining area. Master BR has adjoining bath with walk in shower & garden tub. Private patio area. Covered carports on each side of home. Storage sheds plus add'l storage under deck. FREE GOLF!!! RV parking on availability. See Supplement. Includes Kitchen appliances, kitchen breakfast bar, separate dining area, skylites/sola tubes, blinds, golf course view and beautiful side yard perfect for entertaining. .. .too much to list here. Newer Water Heater. Skyline Ranch is a 55/45 age gated mobile home park of 222 homes located in Valley Center, CA located just minutes from Valley View Casino and Bates Nut Farm. About an hour to beaches, downtown, mountains and desert. Owner may carry on approved credit. ·. Neighborhoods: Skyline Ranch Country Club Complex Features: , ,, ,, ,, ,, Equipment: Range/Oven, Shed(s) Other Fees: 0 Sewer: Sewer Connected Topography: LL

  17. 2019-04-12
    soldstatus $150,000 Sold 1142-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1142 chars)

    Beautiful 2003 3br/2ba Palm Harbor home at Skyline Ranch 55/45 age park. Vaulted ceilings, drywall (no paneling), Skylites, neutral carpeting, tile flooring, open spacious floor plan and more. Kitchen has lots of counter space & tons of storage. Separate dining area. Master BR has adjoining bath with walk in shower & garden tub. Private patio area. Covered carports on each side of home. Storage sheds plus add'l storage under deck. FREE GOLF!!! RV parking on availability. See Supplement. Includes Kitchen appliances, kitchen breakfast bar, separate dining area, skylites/sola tubes, blinds, golf course view and beautiful side yard perfect for entertaining. .. .too much to list here. Newer Water Heater. Skyline Ranch is a 55/45 age gated mobile home park of 222 homes located in Valley Center, CA located just minutes from Valley View Casino and Bates Nut Farm. About an hour to beaches, downtown, mountains and desert. Owner may carry on approved credit. ·. Neighborhoods: Skyline Ranch Country Club Complex Features: , ,, ,, ,, ,, Equipment: Range/Oven, Shed(s) Other Fees: 0 Sewer: Sewer Connected Topography: LL

  18. 2019-03-02
    status Pending Sale 1142-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1142 chars)

    Beautiful 2003 3br/2ba Palm Harbor home at Skyline Ranch 55/45 age park. Vaulted ceilings, drywall (no paneling), Skylites, neutral carpeting, tile flooring, open spacious floor plan and more. Kitchen has lots of counter space & tons of storage. Separate dining area. Master BR has adjoining bath with walk in shower & garden tub. Private patio area. Covered carports on each side of home. Storage sheds plus add'l storage under deck. FREE GOLF!!! RV parking on availability. See Supplement. Includes Kitchen appliances, kitchen breakfast bar, separate dining area, skylites/sola tubes, blinds, golf course view and beautiful side yard perfect for entertaining. .. .too much to list here. Newer Water Heater. Skyline Ranch is a 55/45 age gated mobile home park of 222 homes located in Valley Center, CA located just minutes from Valley View Casino and Bates Nut Farm. About an hour to beaches, downtown, mountains and desert. Owner may carry on approved credit. ·. Neighborhoods: Skyline Ranch Country Club Complex Features: , ,, ,, ,, ,, Equipment: Range/Oven, Shed(s) Other Fees: 0 Sewer: Sewer Connected Topography: LL

  19. 2019-03-02
    status Pending 1142-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1142 chars)

    Beautiful 2003 3br/2ba Palm Harbor home at Skyline Ranch 55/45 age park. Vaulted ceilings, drywall (no paneling), Skylites, neutral carpeting, tile flooring, open spacious floor plan and more. Kitchen has lots of counter space & tons of storage. Separate dining area. Master BR has adjoining bath with walk in shower & garden tub. Private patio area. Covered carports on each side of home. Storage sheds plus add'l storage under deck. FREE GOLF!!! RV parking on availability. See Supplement. Includes Kitchen appliances, kitchen breakfast bar, separate dining area, skylites/sola tubes, blinds, golf course view and beautiful side yard perfect for entertaining. .. .too much to list here. Newer Water Heater. Skyline Ranch is a 55/45 age gated mobile home park of 222 homes located in Valley Center, CA located just minutes from Valley View Casino and Bates Nut Farm. About an hour to beaches, downtown, mountains and desert. Owner may carry on approved credit. ·. Neighborhoods: Skyline Ranch Country Club Complex Features: , ,, ,, ,, ,, Equipment: Range/Oven, Shed(s) Other Fees: 0 Sewer: Sewer Connected Topography: LL

  20. 2018-10-28
    price $169,000 1142-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1142 chars)

    Beautiful 2003 3br/2ba Palm Harbor home at Skyline Ranch 55/45 age park. Vaulted ceilings, drywall (no paneling), Skylites, neutral carpeting, tile flooring, open spacious floor plan and more. Kitchen has lots of counter space & tons of storage. Separate dining area. Master BR has adjoining bath with walk in shower & garden tub. Private patio area. Covered carports on each side of home. Storage sheds plus add'l storage under deck. FREE GOLF!!! RV parking on availability. See Supplement. Includes Kitchen appliances, kitchen breakfast bar, separate dining area, skylites/sola tubes, blinds, golf course view and beautiful side yard perfect for entertaining. .. .too much to list here. Newer Water Heater. Skyline Ranch is a 55/45 age gated mobile home park of 222 homes located in Valley Center, CA located just minutes from Valley View Casino and Bates Nut Farm. About an hour to beaches, downtown, mountains and desert. Owner may carry on approved credit. ·. Neighborhoods: Skyline Ranch Country Club Complex Features: , ,, ,, ,, ,, Equipment: Range/Oven, Shed(s) Other Fees: 0 Sewer: Sewer Connected Topography: LL

  21. 2018-08-26
    price $179,000 1142-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1142 chars)

    Beautiful 2003 3br/2ba Palm Harbor home at Skyline Ranch 55/45 age park. Vaulted ceilings, drywall (no paneling), Skylites, neutral carpeting, tile flooring, open spacious floor plan and more. Kitchen has lots of counter space & tons of storage. Separate dining area. Master BR has adjoining bath with walk in shower & garden tub. Private patio area. Covered carports on each side of home. Storage sheds plus add'l storage under deck. FREE GOLF!!! RV parking on availability. See Supplement. Includes Kitchen appliances, kitchen breakfast bar, separate dining area, skylites/sola tubes, blinds, golf course view and beautiful side yard perfect for entertaining. .. .too much to list here. Newer Water Heater. Skyline Ranch is a 55/45 age gated mobile home park of 222 homes located in Valley Center, CA located just minutes from Valley View Casino and Bates Nut Farm. About an hour to beaches, downtown, mountains and desert. Owner may carry on approved credit. ·. Neighborhoods: Skyline Ranch Country Club Complex Features: , ,, ,, ,, ,, Equipment: Range/Oven, Shed(s) Other Fees: 0 Sewer: Sewer Connected Topography: LL

  22. 2018-05-23
    price $189,000 1142-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1142 chars)

    Beautiful 2003 3br/2ba Palm Harbor home at Skyline Ranch 55/45 age park. Vaulted ceilings, drywall (no paneling), Skylites, neutral carpeting, tile flooring, open spacious floor plan and more. Kitchen has lots of counter space & tons of storage. Separate dining area. Master BR has adjoining bath with walk in shower & garden tub. Private patio area. Covered carports on each side of home. Storage sheds plus add'l storage under deck. FREE GOLF!!! RV parking on availability. See Supplement. Includes Kitchen appliances, kitchen breakfast bar, separate dining area, skylites/sola tubes, blinds, golf course view and beautiful side yard perfect for entertaining. .. .too much to list here. Newer Water Heater. Skyline Ranch is a 55/45 age gated mobile home park of 222 homes located in Valley Center, CA located just minutes from Valley View Casino and Bates Nut Farm. About an hour to beaches, downtown, mountains and desert. Owner may carry on approved credit. ·. Neighborhoods: Skyline Ranch Country Club Complex Features: , ,, ,, ,, ,, Equipment: Range/Oven, Shed(s) Other Fees: 0 Sewer: Sewer Connected Topography: LL

  23. 2018-02-06
    listed $169,000 Active 1142-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1142 chars)

    Beautiful 2003 3br/2ba Palm Harbor home at Skyline Ranch 55/45 age park. Vaulted ceilings, drywall (no paneling), Skylites, neutral carpeting, tile flooring, open spacious floor plan and more. Kitchen has lots of counter space & tons of storage. Separate dining area. Master BR has adjoining bath with walk in shower & garden tub. Private patio area. Covered carports on each side of home. Storage sheds plus add'l storage under deck. FREE GOLF!!! RV parking on availability. See Supplement. Includes Kitchen appliances, kitchen breakfast bar, separate dining area, skylites/sola tubes, blinds, golf course view and beautiful side yard perfect for entertaining. .. .too much to list here. Newer Water Heater. Skyline Ranch is a 55/45 age gated mobile home park of 222 homes located in Valley Center, CA located just minutes from Valley View Casino and Bates Nut Farm. About an hour to beaches, downtown, mountains and desert. Owner may carry on approved credit. ·. Neighborhoods: Skyline Ranch Country Club Complex Features: , ,, ,, ,, ,, Equipment: Range/Oven, Shed(s) Other Fees: 0 Sewer: Sewer Connected Topography: LL

  24. 2018-02-06
    listed $199,900 Active 1142-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1142 chars)

    Beautiful 2003 3br/2ba Palm Harbor home at Skyline Ranch 55/45 age park. Vaulted ceilings, drywall (no paneling), Skylites, neutral carpeting, tile flooring, open spacious floor plan and more. Kitchen has lots of counter space & tons of storage. Separate dining area. Master BR has adjoining bath with walk in shower & garden tub. Private patio area. Covered carports on each side of home. Storage sheds plus add'l storage under deck. FREE GOLF!!! RV parking on availability. See Supplement. Includes Kitchen appliances, kitchen breakfast bar, separate dining area, skylites/sola tubes, blinds, golf course view and beautiful side yard perfect for entertaining. .. .too much to list here. Newer Water Heater. Skyline Ranch is a 55/45 age gated mobile home park of 222 homes located in Valley Center, CA located just minutes from Valley View Casino and Bates Nut Farm. About an hour to beaches, downtown, mountains and desert. Owner may carry on approved credit. ·. Neighborhoods: Skyline Ranch Country Club Complex Features: , ,, ,, ,, ,, Equipment: Range/Oven, Shed(s) Other Fees: 0 Sewer: Sewer Connected Topography: LL

  25. 2018-02-01
    historical
  26. 2018-01-31
    historical
  27. 2017-10-05
    listed $219,000 Active
  28. 2017-10-05
    listed $219,000
  29. 2009-09-30
    soldstatus $95,000
  30. 2009-05-06
    price $129,000
  31. 2009-01-05
    listed $129,000
  32. 2008-12-31
    historical
  33. 2008-12-31
    historical
  34. 2007-09-10
    listed $159,000
  35. 2007-09-10
    listed $159,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,016 · $85/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,489 · $124/mo
Expected delta
+$473/yr (+$39/mo · 46.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 10/10 Extreme
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 1 d/yr ≥97°F today · 3 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$45,706
− Mortgage interest
−$10,973
− Property taxes
−$1,016
− Insurance
−$980
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,657
− Management
−$3,657
− Depreciation
−$5,699
Taxable income
$19,726
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,734
After-tax cash flow
$17,051/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Valley Center-Pauma Unified
NCES district ID
0600069
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$74,438
Composite
24.32/100
National rank
#7705
State rank
#367 of 517 in CA

Livability — Valley Center

Score
52/100
State rank
#1017
US rank
#24938

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C- Cost of living F Crime B- Employment A+ Housing B Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
San Diego County · 3,178,799 people
City population
21,727
Metro
San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
Population (ZIP)
21,727
Household income
$126,544
Rent vs Own
11.7% rent · 88.3% own
Severe rent burden
241.0

Population outlook (San Diego County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,678,185 people
By 2030
3,856,546 · +4.8%
By 2040
4,171,407 · +13.4%
By 2050
4,421,607 · +20.2%
By 2075
4,831,599 · +31.4%
By 2100
4,832,502 · +31.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 49% Hispanic / Latino 38% Two or more races 23% Native American 4% Asian 3% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 33%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
74% English-only · Spanish 22% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · San Diego

2024 margin
D (+16.8) · D 56.9% · R 40.1% · Other 2.9%
2008→2024 swing
+6.6pp toward D · 2008: 10.2pp · 2024: 16.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+16.8 2020: D+22.8 2016: D+17.8 2012: D+5.1 2008: D+10.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -293.00%
Current HPI
294.6017
Rent YoY
Metro
San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+44.0% since first listed
21 events — show timeline
  • 2025-09-01 Listed $229,000 CRMLS
  • 2019-04-12 Sold (MLS) $150,000 SDMLS
  • 2019-04-12 Sold (MLS) $150,000 CRMLS
  • 2019-03-02 Pending CRMLS
  • 2019-03-02 Pending SDMLS
  • 2018-10-28 Price Changed $169,000 SDMLS
  • 2018-08-26 Price Changed $179,000 SDMLS
  • 2018-05-23 Price Changed $189,000 SDMLS
  • 2018-02-06 Listed $199,900 SDMLS
  • 2018-02-06 Listed $169,000 CRMLS
  • 2018-02-01 Listing Removed SDMLS
  • 2018-01-31 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2017-10-05 Listed $219,000 SDMLS
  • 2017-10-05 Listed $219,000 CRMLS
  • 2009-09-30 Sold (MLS) $95,000 CRMLS
  • 2009-05-06 Price Changed $129,000 SDMLS
  • 2009-01-05 Listed $129,000 CRMLS
  • 2008-12-31 Listing Removed SDMLS
  • 2008-12-31 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2007-09-10 Listed $159,000 SDMLS
  • 2007-09-10 Listed $159,000 CRMLS

Property tax history

-4.8%/yr

Latest (2013): $1,016 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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