18218 Paradise Mountain Rd Spc 80 Lot 80 · Valley Center, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 10/10 · Severe
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 1 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$195,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2003 LOVELY HOME BOTH INSIDE AND OUTSIDE!! 1786 esf. Offered for only $229,000!! 3 Bedroom, 2 Bath. This stunning home is a must see with a wood burning fireplace, large living areas, and special touches such as a lovely kitchen, a large dining area, great for family gatherings, 3 bedrooms, a large soaking tub in the primary bath, plus much more. There is a covered front deck that is perfect for sitting and enjoying the quiet and the beautiful wildlife that live here in Skyline Ranch. Also, a back covered deck perfect for privacy and Bar-B-ques. This home is located in Skyline Ranch Country Club, a premier Senior Park that sits in Valley Center. Currently offering free golf to all residents, full clubhouse use, dog park, gym, senior community, and more. Skyline Ranch is a land leased park where the monthly space rent is 1750.00. Please come and see this amazing home.
Key facts
- Dog park
- Covered front deck
- Back covered deck
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $196k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($22k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $196k).
- Recommended offer: $172k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.4% vs local median 2.5% in Valley Center — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 52/100 on livability (#1,017 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment A+, housing B; Watch: commute C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Valley Center-Pauma Unified (rural): math 16% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #367 of 517 in CA (top 71%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 165 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 11,759 units permitted in San Diego County in 2024 (7,244 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($127k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Diego County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $55k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 290 days — a 12% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $33k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $150k; 31% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 290 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.94% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 39.72%
- DSCR
- 2.77
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $250,617
- List price
- $195,900
- Delta
- -21.83%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 12 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18218 Paradise Mountain Rd #203 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,784 (-0%) | 0mo | $275,000 | $154 | 94 |
| 18218 Paradise Mountain Rd Spc 89 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,770 (-1%) | 2mo | $215,000 | $121 | 92 |
| 18218 Paradise Mountain Rd Spc 18 Spc 18 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,792 (+0%) | 11mo | $285,000 | $159 | 85 |
| 18218 Paradise Mountain Rd #144 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,680 (-6%) | 12mo | $170,000 | $101 | 75 |
| 18218 Paradise Mountain Rd #20 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,832 (+3%) | 21mo | $110,000 | $60 | 73 |
| 18218 Paradise Mtn Spc 47 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,560 (-13%) | 12mo | $100,000 | $64 | 69 |
| 18218 Paradise Mountaind Rd #174 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,532 (-14%) | 10mo | $149,000 | $97 | 68 |
| 18218 Paradise Mtn Rd #59 | 0.37mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,680 (-6%) | 3mo | $249,900 | $149 | 66 |
| 18218 Paradise Mountain Rd Spc 200 Spc 200 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 2,038 (+14%) | 11mo | $105,000 | $52 | 63 |
| 18218 Paradise Mountain Rd Spc 11 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,560 (-13%) | 21mo | $180,000 | $115 | 61 |
| 18218 Paradise Mountain Rd Spc 150 | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,536 (-14%) | 8mo | $267,500 | $174 | 59 |
| 18218 Paradise Mountain Rd Spc 79 | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,530 (-14%) | 10mo | $115,000 | $75 | 57 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 36.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.53×
- Total profit
- $83,838
- Equity at exit
- $29,209
- IRR
- 42.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.04×
- Total profit
- $221,722
- Equity at exit
- $16,938
Cash invested: $54,852 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92082
- Active inventory
- 165
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,809 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,027
- Tax from tax record
- −$85 /mo · $1,016/yr
- Insurance
- −$82
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$800
- Net cashflow
- $1,815
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $48,975
- Closing costs
- $5,877
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 35 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $195,900 Active 290 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $195,900 Active 289 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $195,900 Active 288 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $195,900 Active 287 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $195,900 Active 285 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $195,900 Active 284 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $195,900 Active 281 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $195,900 Active 280 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $195,900 Active 279 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $195,900 Active 276 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $195,900 Active 275 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $195,900 Active 274 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $195,900 Active 273 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $195,900 Active 272 DOM
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2025-09-01$229,000 Active 881-char remark
Show marketing remark (881 chars)
2003 LOVELY HOME BOTH INSIDE AND OUTSIDE!! 1786 esf. Offered for only $229,000!! 3 Bedroom, 2 Bath. This stunning home is a must see with a wood burning fireplace, large living areas, and special touches such as a lovely kitchen, a large dining area, great for family gatherings, 3 bedrooms, a large soaking tub in the primary bath, plus much more. There is a covered front deck that is perfect for sitting and enjoying the quiet and the beautiful wildlife that live here in Skyline Ranch. Also, a back covered deck perfect for privacy and Bar-B-ques. This home is located in Skyline Ranch Country Club, a premier Senior Park that sits in Valley Center. Currently offering free golf to all residents, full clubhouse use, dog park, gym, senior community, and more. Skyline Ranch is a land leased park where the monthly space rent is 1750.00. Please come and see this amazing home.
-
2019-04-12soldstatus $150,000 Closed Sale 1142-char remark
Show marketing remark (1142 chars)
Beautiful 2003 3br/2ba Palm Harbor home at Skyline Ranch 55/45 age park. Vaulted ceilings, drywall (no paneling), Skylites, neutral carpeting, tile flooring, open spacious floor plan and more. Kitchen has lots of counter space & tons of storage. Separate dining area. Master BR has adjoining bath with walk in shower & garden tub. Private patio area. Covered carports on each side of home. Storage sheds plus add'l storage under deck. FREE GOLF!!! RV parking on availability. See Supplement. Includes Kitchen appliances, kitchen breakfast bar, separate dining area, skylites/sola tubes, blinds, golf course view and beautiful side yard perfect for entertaining. .. .too much to list here. Newer Water Heater. Skyline Ranch is a 55/45 age gated mobile home park of 222 homes located in Valley Center, CA located just minutes from Valley View Casino and Bates Nut Farm. About an hour to beaches, downtown, mountains and desert. Owner may carry on approved credit. ·. Neighborhoods: Skyline Ranch Country Club Complex Features: , ,, ,, ,, ,, Equipment: Range/Oven, Shed(s) Other Fees: 0 Sewer: Sewer Connected Topography: LL
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2019-04-12soldstatus $150,000 Sold 1142-char remark
Show marketing remark (1142 chars)
Beautiful 2003 3br/2ba Palm Harbor home at Skyline Ranch 55/45 age park. Vaulted ceilings, drywall (no paneling), Skylites, neutral carpeting, tile flooring, open spacious floor plan and more. Kitchen has lots of counter space & tons of storage. Separate dining area. Master BR has adjoining bath with walk in shower & garden tub. Private patio area. Covered carports on each side of home. Storage sheds plus add'l storage under deck. FREE GOLF!!! RV parking on availability. See Supplement. Includes Kitchen appliances, kitchen breakfast bar, separate dining area, skylites/sola tubes, blinds, golf course view and beautiful side yard perfect for entertaining. .. .too much to list here. Newer Water Heater. Skyline Ranch is a 55/45 age gated mobile home park of 222 homes located in Valley Center, CA located just minutes from Valley View Casino and Bates Nut Farm. About an hour to beaches, downtown, mountains and desert. Owner may carry on approved credit. ·. Neighborhoods: Skyline Ranch Country Club Complex Features: , ,, ,, ,, ,, Equipment: Range/Oven, Shed(s) Other Fees: 0 Sewer: Sewer Connected Topography: LL
-
2019-03-02status Pending Sale 1142-char remark
Show marketing remark (1142 chars)
Beautiful 2003 3br/2ba Palm Harbor home at Skyline Ranch 55/45 age park. Vaulted ceilings, drywall (no paneling), Skylites, neutral carpeting, tile flooring, open spacious floor plan and more. Kitchen has lots of counter space & tons of storage. Separate dining area. Master BR has adjoining bath with walk in shower & garden tub. Private patio area. Covered carports on each side of home. Storage sheds plus add'l storage under deck. FREE GOLF!!! RV parking on availability. See Supplement. Includes Kitchen appliances, kitchen breakfast bar, separate dining area, skylites/sola tubes, blinds, golf course view and beautiful side yard perfect for entertaining. .. .too much to list here. Newer Water Heater. Skyline Ranch is a 55/45 age gated mobile home park of 222 homes located in Valley Center, CA located just minutes from Valley View Casino and Bates Nut Farm. About an hour to beaches, downtown, mountains and desert. Owner may carry on approved credit. ·. Neighborhoods: Skyline Ranch Country Club Complex Features: , ,, ,, ,, ,, Equipment: Range/Oven, Shed(s) Other Fees: 0 Sewer: Sewer Connected Topography: LL
-
2019-03-02status Pending 1142-char remark
Show marketing remark (1142 chars)
Beautiful 2003 3br/2ba Palm Harbor home at Skyline Ranch 55/45 age park. Vaulted ceilings, drywall (no paneling), Skylites, neutral carpeting, tile flooring, open spacious floor plan and more. Kitchen has lots of counter space & tons of storage. Separate dining area. Master BR has adjoining bath with walk in shower & garden tub. Private patio area. Covered carports on each side of home. Storage sheds plus add'l storage under deck. FREE GOLF!!! RV parking on availability. See Supplement. Includes Kitchen appliances, kitchen breakfast bar, separate dining area, skylites/sola tubes, blinds, golf course view and beautiful side yard perfect for entertaining. .. .too much to list here. Newer Water Heater. Skyline Ranch is a 55/45 age gated mobile home park of 222 homes located in Valley Center, CA located just minutes from Valley View Casino and Bates Nut Farm. About an hour to beaches, downtown, mountains and desert. Owner may carry on approved credit. ·. Neighborhoods: Skyline Ranch Country Club Complex Features: , ,, ,, ,, ,, Equipment: Range/Oven, Shed(s) Other Fees: 0 Sewer: Sewer Connected Topography: LL
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2018-10-28price $169,000 1142-char remark
Show marketing remark (1142 chars)
Beautiful 2003 3br/2ba Palm Harbor home at Skyline Ranch 55/45 age park. Vaulted ceilings, drywall (no paneling), Skylites, neutral carpeting, tile flooring, open spacious floor plan and more. Kitchen has lots of counter space & tons of storage. Separate dining area. Master BR has adjoining bath with walk in shower & garden tub. Private patio area. Covered carports on each side of home. Storage sheds plus add'l storage under deck. FREE GOLF!!! RV parking on availability. See Supplement. Includes Kitchen appliances, kitchen breakfast bar, separate dining area, skylites/sola tubes, blinds, golf course view and beautiful side yard perfect for entertaining. .. .too much to list here. Newer Water Heater. Skyline Ranch is a 55/45 age gated mobile home park of 222 homes located in Valley Center, CA located just minutes from Valley View Casino and Bates Nut Farm. About an hour to beaches, downtown, mountains and desert. Owner may carry on approved credit. ·. Neighborhoods: Skyline Ranch Country Club Complex Features: , ,, ,, ,, ,, Equipment: Range/Oven, Shed(s) Other Fees: 0 Sewer: Sewer Connected Topography: LL
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2018-08-26price $179,000 1142-char remark
Show marketing remark (1142 chars)
Beautiful 2003 3br/2ba Palm Harbor home at Skyline Ranch 55/45 age park. Vaulted ceilings, drywall (no paneling), Skylites, neutral carpeting, tile flooring, open spacious floor plan and more. Kitchen has lots of counter space & tons of storage. Separate dining area. Master BR has adjoining bath with walk in shower & garden tub. Private patio area. Covered carports on each side of home. Storage sheds plus add'l storage under deck. FREE GOLF!!! RV parking on availability. See Supplement. Includes Kitchen appliances, kitchen breakfast bar, separate dining area, skylites/sola tubes, blinds, golf course view and beautiful side yard perfect for entertaining. .. .too much to list here. Newer Water Heater. Skyline Ranch is a 55/45 age gated mobile home park of 222 homes located in Valley Center, CA located just minutes from Valley View Casino and Bates Nut Farm. About an hour to beaches, downtown, mountains and desert. Owner may carry on approved credit. ·. Neighborhoods: Skyline Ranch Country Club Complex Features: , ,, ,, ,, ,, Equipment: Range/Oven, Shed(s) Other Fees: 0 Sewer: Sewer Connected Topography: LL
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2018-05-23price $189,000 1142-char remark
Show marketing remark (1142 chars)
Beautiful 2003 3br/2ba Palm Harbor home at Skyline Ranch 55/45 age park. Vaulted ceilings, drywall (no paneling), Skylites, neutral carpeting, tile flooring, open spacious floor plan and more. Kitchen has lots of counter space & tons of storage. Separate dining area. Master BR has adjoining bath with walk in shower & garden tub. Private patio area. Covered carports on each side of home. Storage sheds plus add'l storage under deck. FREE GOLF!!! RV parking on availability. See Supplement. Includes Kitchen appliances, kitchen breakfast bar, separate dining area, skylites/sola tubes, blinds, golf course view and beautiful side yard perfect for entertaining. .. .too much to list here. Newer Water Heater. Skyline Ranch is a 55/45 age gated mobile home park of 222 homes located in Valley Center, CA located just minutes from Valley View Casino and Bates Nut Farm. About an hour to beaches, downtown, mountains and desert. Owner may carry on approved credit. ·. Neighborhoods: Skyline Ranch Country Club Complex Features: , ,, ,, ,, ,, Equipment: Range/Oven, Shed(s) Other Fees: 0 Sewer: Sewer Connected Topography: LL
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2018-02-06$169,000 Active 1142-char remark
Show marketing remark (1142 chars)
Beautiful 2003 3br/2ba Palm Harbor home at Skyline Ranch 55/45 age park. Vaulted ceilings, drywall (no paneling), Skylites, neutral carpeting, tile flooring, open spacious floor plan and more. Kitchen has lots of counter space & tons of storage. Separate dining area. Master BR has adjoining bath with walk in shower & garden tub. Private patio area. Covered carports on each side of home. Storage sheds plus add'l storage under deck. FREE GOLF!!! RV parking on availability. See Supplement. Includes Kitchen appliances, kitchen breakfast bar, separate dining area, skylites/sola tubes, blinds, golf course view and beautiful side yard perfect for entertaining. .. .too much to list here. Newer Water Heater. Skyline Ranch is a 55/45 age gated mobile home park of 222 homes located in Valley Center, CA located just minutes from Valley View Casino and Bates Nut Farm. About an hour to beaches, downtown, mountains and desert. Owner may carry on approved credit. ·. Neighborhoods: Skyline Ranch Country Club Complex Features: , ,, ,, ,, ,, Equipment: Range/Oven, Shed(s) Other Fees: 0 Sewer: Sewer Connected Topography: LL
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2018-02-06$199,900 Active 1142-char remark
Show marketing remark (1142 chars)
Beautiful 2003 3br/2ba Palm Harbor home at Skyline Ranch 55/45 age park. Vaulted ceilings, drywall (no paneling), Skylites, neutral carpeting, tile flooring, open spacious floor plan and more. Kitchen has lots of counter space & tons of storage. Separate dining area. Master BR has adjoining bath with walk in shower & garden tub. Private patio area. Covered carports on each side of home. Storage sheds plus add'l storage under deck. FREE GOLF!!! RV parking on availability. See Supplement. Includes Kitchen appliances, kitchen breakfast bar, separate dining area, skylites/sola tubes, blinds, golf course view and beautiful side yard perfect for entertaining. .. .too much to list here. Newer Water Heater. Skyline Ranch is a 55/45 age gated mobile home park of 222 homes located in Valley Center, CA located just minutes from Valley View Casino and Bates Nut Farm. About an hour to beaches, downtown, mountains and desert. Owner may carry on approved credit. ·. Neighborhoods: Skyline Ranch Country Club Complex Features: , ,, ,, ,, ,, Equipment: Range/Oven, Shed(s) Other Fees: 0 Sewer: Sewer Connected Topography: LL
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2018-02-01historical
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2018-01-31historical
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2017-10-05$219,000 Active
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2017-10-05$219,000
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2009-09-30soldstatus $95,000
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2009-05-06price $129,000
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2009-01-05$129,000
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2008-12-31historical
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2008-12-31historical
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2007-09-10$159,000
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2007-09-10$159,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,016 · $85/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,489 · $124/mo
- Expected delta
- +$473/yr (+$39/mo · 46.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 10/10 Extreme
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 1 d/yr ≥97°F today · 3 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $45,706
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,973
- − Property taxes
- −$1,016
- − Insurance
- −$980
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,657
- − Management
- −$3,657
- − Depreciation
- −$5,699
- Taxable income
- $19,726
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,734
- After-tax cash flow
- $17,051/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Valley Center-Pauma Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0600069
- Math proficiency
- 16% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $74,438
- Composite
- 24.32/100
- National rank
- #7705
- State rank
- #367 of 517 in CA
Livability — Valley Center
- Score
- 52/100
- State rank
- #1017
- US rank
- #24938
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- San Diego County · 3,178,799 people
- City population
- 21,727
- Metro
- San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,727
- Household income
- $126,544
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 241.0
Population outlook (San Diego County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,678,185 people
- By 2030
- 3,856,546 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 4,171,407 · +13.4%
- By 2050
- 4,421,607 · +20.2%
- By 2075
- 4,831,599 · +31.4%
- By 2100
- 4,832,502 · +31.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Hispanic / Latino 38% Two or more races 23% Native American 4% Asian 3% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 33%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Spanish 22% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · San Diego
- 2024 margin
- D (+16.8) · D 56.9% · R 40.1% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.6pp toward D · 2008: 10.2pp · 2024: 16.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+16.8 2020: D+22.8 2016: D+17.8 2012: D+5.1 2008: D+10.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -293.00%
- Current HPI
- 294.6017
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
+44.0% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2025-09-01 Listed $229,000 CRMLS
- 2019-04-12 Sold (MLS) $150,000 SDMLS
- 2019-04-12 Sold (MLS) $150,000 CRMLS
- 2019-03-02 Pending — CRMLS
- 2019-03-02 Pending — SDMLS
- 2018-10-28 Price Changed $169,000 SDMLS
- 2018-08-26 Price Changed $179,000 SDMLS
- 2018-05-23 Price Changed $189,000 SDMLS
- 2018-02-06 Listed $199,900 SDMLS
- 2018-02-06 Listed $169,000 CRMLS
- 2018-02-01 Listing Removed — SDMLS
- 2018-01-31 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2017-10-05 Listed $219,000 SDMLS
- 2017-10-05 Listed $219,000 CRMLS
- 2009-09-30 Sold (MLS) $95,000 CRMLS
- 2009-05-06 Price Changed $129,000 SDMLS
- 2009-01-05 Listed $129,000 CRMLS
- 2008-12-31 Listing Removed — SDMLS
- 2008-12-31 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2007-09-10 Listed $159,000 SDMLS
- 2007-09-10 Listed $159,000 CRMLS
Property tax history
-4.8%/yrLatest (2013): $1,016 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…