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1014 W Hurlburt St
D+ Composite 47.56
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0

$20,000

1014 W Hurlburt St · Peoria, IL 61605
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,552 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 73 Days on market
Built 1900

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

1014 W Hurlburt St, Peoria, IL 61605 Spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath property offering strong potential for both homeowners and investors. 1552 square feet + basement + . 17 acres! The home features a generous living space and is in need of some TLC, making it an excellent value-add opportunity. Situated on a lot with a deep backyard and an additional side lot, the property also includes alley access with a driveway for convenient off-street parking. The basement is large and well-suited for additional storage. Electricity is currently on and functioning. With new construction and redevelopment taking place in the surrounding area, this property presents a great opportunity to purchase at a ve

Key facts

  • Additional side lot
  • Alley access
  • Strong potential

Tags

DEEP BACKYARDADDITIONAL SIDE LOTALLEY ACCESSLARGE BASEMENTSTRONG POTENTIALVALUE ADD OPPORTUNITY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $20k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $901 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $20k).
  • Recommended offer: $19k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 60.3% vs local median 5.6% in Peoria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#270 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
  • Peoria SD 150 (urban): math 11% / reading 14% proficiency, ranked #554 of 620 in IL (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Manual High School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #659 of 693 statewide, top 100%, 656 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 70% district-wide (70 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 42 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 73 units permitted in Peoria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,356/mo this rent would consume 62% of the median local household income ($26k/yr) (locally 1385% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $265 of equity ($138 loan paydown + $127 appreciation (0.6% local appreciation)).
  • Peoria County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (0.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($19k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $16k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.5% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $18,800 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
6.78%
Cap rate
60.33%
Cash-on-cash
192.99%
DSCR
9.59
GRM
1.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$80,704
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1302 W Butler St 0.33mi 3/1.5 1,596 (+3%) 8mo $27,000 $17 73
1009 W Smith St 0.05mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,408 (-9%) 12mo $48,500 $34 65
1214 W Butler St 0.32mi 3/1.0 1,440 (-7%) 7mo $22,500 $16 65
201 N Charlton St 0.18mi 3/1.5 1,706 (+10%) 18mo $90,000 $53 60
1802 Butler St 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,611 (+4%) 6mo $17,000 $11 57
1812 W Sherman Ave 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,584 (+2%) 10mo $110,500 $70 55
900 S Warren St 0.73mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,552 (0%) 6mo $53,000 $34 54
1713 W Barker Ave 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,452 (-6%) 1mo $75,000 $52 53
725 W Spring Hollow Ln 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,714 (+10%) 4mo $169,500 $99 52
1705 W Sherman Ave 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,520 (-2%) 22mo $162,000 $107 48
1816 W Callender Ave 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,628 (+5%) 11mo $80,000 $49 47
404 N Glenwood Ave 0.53mi 3/1.0 1,448 (-7%) 24mo $113,000 $78 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.63% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
11.25×
Total profit
$57,420
Equity at exit
$6,448
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
23.74×
Total profit
$127,352
Equity at exit
$8,283

Cash invested: $5,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61605

Home prices YoY
0.4%
Active inventory
42
Price-to-rent
1.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,356 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$105
Tax from tax record
$58 /mo · $693/yr
Insurance
$8
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$285
Net cashflow
$901

Break-even live

Break-even rent $216
Max offer price $20,000
Occupancy floor 29%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$5,000
Closing costs
$600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 20 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1401 W Adrian G Hinton Ave Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 1100 $775 $0.70 43d 1 0.27mi
1214 W Butler St Peoria, IL 4.0 1.0 1440 $795 $0.55 43d 1 0.33mi
214 Pecan St Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,595 $1.52 13d 1 0.52mi
818 W Moss Ave Peoria, IL 2.0 2.0 1580 $1,800 $1.14 13d 1 0.61mi
1816 W Callender Ave Peoria, IL 3.0 2.0 1628 $1,650 $1.01 43d 1 0.74mi
945 S Shelley St Peoria, IL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 929 $1,025 $1.10 13d 1 0.77mi
1723 W Fredonia Ave Peoria, IL 4.0 2.5 1219 $2,100 $1.72 13d 1 0.79mi
102 N Cedar Ave West Peoria, IL 4.0 1.0 1272 $995 $0.78 43d 1 0.80mi
928 S Matthew St Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 1080 $748 $0.69 13d 1 0.84mi
100 Walnut St Unit 402 Peoria, IL 3.0 2.0 1464 $2,400 $1.64 21d 1 0.86mi
100 Walnut St Peoria, IL 2.0 2.0 1102 $2,000 $1.81 13d 1 0.86mi
416 W Main St Unit A Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 1050 $950 $0.90 43d 1 0.95mi
123 SW Jefferson Ave Unit E16 NE Peoria, IL 2.0 2.0 1199 $2,250 $1.88 21d 1 1.00mi
123 SW Jefferson Ave Unit E15SW Peoria, IL 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,750 $1.59 13d 1 1.00mi
1019 N Farmington Rd Unit 1017 Peoria, IL 3.0 1.0 1304 $1,600 $1.23 43d 1 1.05mi
501 W Columbia Ter Unit 3 Peoria, IL 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,400 $0.93 43d 1 1.17mi
2320 W Garden St Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 1096 $1,000 $0.91 43d 1 1.35mi
2807 W Howett St Peoria, IL 3.0 2.0 1388 $1,550 $1.12 43d 1 1.36mi
2847 W Howett St Peoria, IL 3.0 2.0 2000 $1,150 $0.57 43d 1 1.36mi
2601 W Kenwood Ave West Peoria, IL 3.0 1.5 1405 $1,500 $1.07 13d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $20,000 Active 73 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $20,000 Active 72 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $20,000 Active 71 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $20,000 Active 70 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $20,000 Active 69 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $20,000 Active 67 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $20,000 Active 66 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $20,000 Active 64 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $20,000 Active 63 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $20,000 Active 62 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $20,000 Active 61 DOM
  12. 2026-03-28
    status Pending
  13. 2026-01-30
    listed $20,000 Active
  14. 2022-03-31
    historical
  15. 2021-08-06
    historical
  16. 2021-08-06
    historical
  17. 2018-10-05
    soldstatus $16,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$693 · $58/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$693 · $58/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,277
− Mortgage interest
−$1,120
− Property taxes
−$693
− Insurance
−$100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,302
− Management
−$1,302
− Depreciation
−$582
Taxable income
$11,178
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,683
After-tax cash flow
$8,125/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Peoria SD 150
NCES district ID
1731230
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
14% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$41,951
Composite
10.92/100
National rank
#9751
State rank
#554 of 620 in IL

Livability — Peoria

Score
73/100
State rank
#270
US rank
#5096

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Peoria, IL
County
Peoria County · 120,495 people
City population
114,670
Metro
Peoria, IL
Population (ZIP)
13,424
Household income
$26,392
Rent vs Own
57.5% rent · 42.5% own
Severe rent burden
1385.0

Population outlook (Peoria County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
183,007 people
By 2030
179,643 · -1.8%
By 2040
171,782 · -6.1%
By 2050
163,508 · -10.7%
By 2075
140,178 · -23.4%
By 2100
114,493 · -37.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
Black 56% White 27% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 7% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Peoria

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.5% · R 46.9% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-9.2pp toward R · 2008: 13.9pp · 2024: 4.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.7 2020: D+6.3 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+4.4 2008: D+13.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.63%
Current HPI
170.5814
Rent YoY
Metro
Peoria, IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+25.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-28 Pending RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-30 Listed $20,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-03-31 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-08-06 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-08-06 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-10-05 Sold (Public Records) $16,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.4%/yr

Latest (2024): $693 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…