CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
No image
C+ Composite 62.35
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.7/10.0
  • Schools +5.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$235,000

5108 Escambia St · Milton, FL 32570
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,343 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 116 Days on market
Built 1900 0.63 ac lot Est $298k · 21% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This exceptional home, built in the early 1900s, is bursting with unique character and historic charm that you won’t find anywhere else. Situated on a generous . 628-acre lot, the property offers plenty of outdoor space surrounded by nature, perfect for gardening, entertaining, or quiet relaxation. Inside, you’ll be greeted by an open floor plan designed for today’s lifestyle, seamlessly connecting living, dining, and kitchen areas to create a spacious and inviting environment. Soaring 12-foot ceilings enhance the sense of space and allow abundant natural light to pour in through large windows, highlighting original architectural details and warm hardwood floors. This blen

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Generous lot
  • Soaring ceilings

Tags

GENEROUS LOTOPEN FLOOR PLANSOARING CEILINGSORIGINAL ARCHITECTURAL DETAILSHARDWOOD FLOORS

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 covered parking spaces; 2-car carport; Guest parking; Rear entrance
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Electric with circuit breakers
  • Home design: Single-story; Resale property; Not attached to another property; Paved public road access
  • Construction: Block construction; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Clay tile or slate roof; Built on one level
  • Exterior features: Porch; Corner lot; Public water

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric water heater
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Cooling present with multiple units; Ceiling fans for additional cooling
  • Interior features: Baseboards; Ceiling fans; High ceilings; Bonus room; Office/Study
  • Laundry & utility: Washer/Dryer hookups

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $235k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $260 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $233k (0.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $214k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 4.6% in Milton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#166 in FL, #2,480 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D-, commute F.
  • Santa Rosa (suburban): math 63% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #8 of 73 in FL (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 360 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,983 units permitted in Santa Rosa County in 2024 (128 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Santa Rosa County population projected at +31% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 116 days — a 9% lower offer ($214k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 12 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $100k; list at $235k implies a 135% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $213,850 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 116 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.99%
Cap rate
7.96%
Cash-on-cash
5.96%
DSCR
1.27
GRM
8.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$297,561
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5108 Escambia St 0.00mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,383 (+2%) 0mo $180,000 $76 92
6733 Jackson Ln 0.56mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,155 (-8%) 15mo $273,500 $127 43
6773 Taylor St 0.61mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,124 (-9%) 9mo $379,900 $179 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.7% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.2%
Equity multiple
0.66×
Total profit
$-22,186
Equity at exit
$35,039
10-year hold
IRR
-0.2%
Equity multiple
0.99×
Total profit
$-789
Equity at exit
$20,319

Cash invested: $65,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32570

Home prices YoY
-15.1%
Rents YoY
2.7%
Active inventory
360
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,328 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,232
Tax from tax record
$182 /mo · $2,184/yr
Insurance
$98
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$489
Net cashflow
$260

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,998
Max offer price $235,000
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$58,750
Closing costs
$7,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5431 Munson Hwy Milton, FL 3.0 2.0 2412 $2,100 $0.87 23d 1 1.19mi

Listing history 35 events

  1. 2026-05-04
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-13
    status Active
  3. 2026-03-13
    historical Contingent
  4. 2026-02-08
    status Pending
  5. 2026-02-08
    status Active
  6. 2025-08-16
    historical
  7. 2025-07-04
    price $235,000
  8. 2025-07-04
    price $235,000
  9. 2025-06-13
    listed $265,000 Active
  10. 2025-06-12
    listed $265,000 Active
  11. 2025-06-06
    historical $2,200
  12. 2025-06-06
    historical
  13. 2025-06-04
    price $2,200
  14. 2025-06-03
    price $265,000
  15. 2025-06-03
    price $265,000
  16. 2025-05-21
    price $268,000
  17. 2025-05-21
    price $268,000
  18. 2025-05-13
    listed $2,400
  19. 2025-04-30
    listed $279,900 Active
  20. 2025-04-30
    listed $279,900 Active
  21. 2025-04-09
    historical
  22. 2025-03-18
    price $260,000
  23. 2025-02-05
    listed $290,000 Active
  24. 2025-02-03
    price $290,000
  25. 2024-10-02
    soldstatus $100,000
  26. 2024-07-10
    soldstatus $190,000
  27. 2024-04-13
    historical $2,000
  28. 2024-02-07
    listed $2,000
  29. 2024-01-24
    listed $349,900 Active
  30. 2017-11-28
    soldstatus $98,000
  31. 2016-03-16
    soldstatus $75,000
  32. 2016-03-16
    soldstatus $75,000
  33. 2016-03-04
    listed $95,000
  34. 2016-01-01
    historical
  35. 2014-12-11
    listed $95,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,184 · $182/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,184 · $182/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,937
− Mortgage interest
−$13,164
− Property taxes
−$2,184
− Insurance
−$1,972
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,235
− Management
−$2,235
− Depreciation
−$6,836
Taxable loss
−$690
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$165
After-tax cash flow
$3,291/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Santa Rosa
NCES district ID
1201650
Math proficiency
63% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$58,161
Composite
53.12/100
National rank
#1511
State rank
#8 of 73 in FL

Livability — Milton

Score
78/100
State rank
#166
US rank
#2480

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Milton, FL
County
Santa Rosa County · 194,764 people
City population
69,025
Metro
Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
Population (ZIP)
37,197
Household income
$77,222
Rent vs Own
30.6% rent · 69.4% own
Severe rent burden
590.0

Population outlook (Santa Rosa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
195,978 people
By 2030
209,782 · +7.0%
By 2040
235,293 · +20.1%
By 2050
256,408 · +30.8%
By 2075
298,074 · +52.1%
By 2100
303,216 · +54.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Two or more races 7% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Santa Rosa

2024 margin
Solid R (+51.0) · D 24.1% · R 75.0%
2008→2024 swing
-3.0pp toward R · 2008: -47.9pp · 2024: -51.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+51.0 2020: R+46.5 2016: R+53.5 2012: R+52.6 2008: R+47.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -51.06%
Current HPI
287.7469
Rent YoY
▲ 2.70%
Metro
Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+147.4% since first listed
35 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Pending PARMLS
  • 2026-03-13 Relisted PARMLS
  • 2026-03-13 Contingent PARMLS
  • 2026-02-08 Pending PARMLS
  • 2026-02-08 Relisted PARMLS
  • 2025-08-16 Listing Removed PARMLS
  • 2025-07-04 Price Changed $235,000 ECAR
  • 2025-07-04 Price Changed $235,000 PARMLS
  • 2025-06-13 Listed $265,000 ECAR
  • 2025-06-12 Listed $265,000 PARMLS
  • 2025-06-06 Rental Removed $2,200 PARMLS
  • 2025-06-06 Listing Removed PARMLS
  • 2025-06-04 Price Changed $2,200 PARMLS
  • 2025-06-03 Price Changed $265,000 ECAR
  • 2025-06-03 Price Changed $265,000 PARMLS
  • 2025-05-21 Price Changed $268,000 ECAR
  • 2025-05-21 Price Changed $268,000 PARMLS
  • 2025-05-13 Listed for Rent $2,400 PARMLS
  • 2025-04-30 Listed $279,900 ECAR
  • 2025-04-30 Listed $279,900 PARMLS
  • 2025-04-09 Listing Removed PARMLS
  • 2025-03-18 Price Changed $260,000 PARMLS
  • 2025-02-05 Listed $290,000 ECAR
  • 2025-02-03 Price Changed $290,000 PARMLS
  • 2024-10-02 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
  • 2024-07-10 Sold (Public Records) $190,000 Public Records
  • 2024-04-13 Rental Removed $2,000 PARMLS
  • 2024-02-07 Listed for Rent $2,000 PARMLS
  • 2024-01-24 Listed $349,900 PARMLS
  • 2017-11-28 Sold (Public Records) $98,000 Public Records
  • 2016-03-16 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
  • 2016-03-16 Sold (MLS) $75,000 PARMLS
  • 2016-03-04 Listed $95,000 PARMLS
  • 2016-01-01 Listing Removed PARMLS
  • 2014-12-11 Listed $95,000 PARMLS

Property tax history

+4.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,184 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…