115 Warren St · Anna, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$23,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
2 Bedroom Investment property close to the grade school and the hospital. Vinyl windows
Key facts
- Vinyl windows
- 5,000 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area reported from assessor; Approximately 868 total square feet (per assessor)
- HOA & community: No master association fees (not required)
Exterior
- Parking: 2 parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 100 amp electric service with circuit breakers
- Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story property; Fee simple ownership; Built over 100 years ago; Asphalt roof; Vinyl siding
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Asphalt roof; Crawl space foundation; Originally built before 1978
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 50 x 100; Less than 0.25 acre lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (approx. 13 x 13)
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms total; Master bedroom on main level (approx. 13 x 13); Second bedroom on main level (approx. 12 x 13)
- Flooring: Hardwood flooring in living room and master bedroom; Laminate flooring in second bedroom; Vinyl flooring in kitchen
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Window air conditioning unit(s)
- Interior features: Full attic; Crawl space basement; 4 total rooms; Double pane and insulated windows throughout
- Laundry & utility: Separate laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $23k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $408 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($750 rent vs $23k).
- Recommended offer: $20k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 27.6% vs local median 5.7% in Anna — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,184 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Anna Jonesboro Chsd 81 (town): math 20% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #623 of 919 in IL (top 68%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Anna-Jonesboro High School (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #430 of 693 statewide, top 66%, 497 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 10 units permitted in Union County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $159 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $690 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Union County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 128 days — a 12% lower offer ($20k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $14k; list at $23k implies a 64% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; built in 1896 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 128 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1896 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 27.58%
- Cash-on-cash
- 76.01%
- DSCR
- 4.38
- GRM
- 2.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 76.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.46×
- Total profit
- $22,281
- Equity at exit
- $3,429
- IRR
- 79.6%
- Equity multiple
- 9.22×
- Total profit
- $52,967
- Equity at exit
- $1,989
Cash invested: $6,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62906
- Home prices YoY
- -13.6%
- Active inventory
- 38
- Price-to-rent
- 2.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $750 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$121
- Tax from tax record
- −$54 /mo · $652/yr
- Insurance
- −$10
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$158
- Net cashflow
- $408
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $5,750
- Closing costs
- $690
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 204 W Jefferson St Apt 3A Anna, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $750 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.33mi |
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $23,000 Active 128 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $23,000 Active 127 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $23,000 Active 126 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $23,000 Active 125 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $23,000 Active 123 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $23,000 Active 122 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $23,000 Active 119 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $23,000 Active 118 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $23,000 Active 117 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $23,000 Active 116 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $23,000 Active 113 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $23,000 Active 112 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $23,000 Active 111 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $23,000 Active 110 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $23,000 Active 109 DOM
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2026-02-10$23,000 Active
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2021-08-06historical
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2021-08-06historical
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2021-08-06historical
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2018-09-30historical
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2014-08-12soldstatus $14,000
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2014-08-12soldstatus $14,000
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2014-06-23$20,000
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2014-06-23$20,000
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2011-04-27historical
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2008-09-09soldstatus $17,000
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2008-09-09soldstatus $17,000
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2008-04-19$23,500
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2008-04-19$23,500
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2004-04-13soldstatus $17,900
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2004-01-14$19,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $652 · $54/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $652 · $54/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,288
- − Property taxes
- −$652
- − Insurance
- −$115
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$720
- − Management
- −$720
- − Depreciation
- −$669
- Taxable income
- $4,835
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,160
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,735/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Anna Jonesboro Chsd 81
- NCES district ID
- 1703780
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,213
- Composite
- 24.33/100
- National rank
- #13113
- State rank
- #623 of 919 in IL
Livability — Anna
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #1184
- US rank
- #22395
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Anna, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,218
Population outlook (Union County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 16,606 people
- By 2030
- 16,055 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 14,875 · -10.4%
- By 2050
- 13,645 · -17.8%
- By 2075
- 10,704 · -35.5%
- By 2100
- 7,880 · -52.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Union
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.2) · D 27.8% · R 71.0% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.3pp toward R · 2008: -11.9pp · 2024: -43.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.2 2020: R+40.2 2016: R+39.8 2012: R+21.9 2008: R+11.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -20.17%
- Current HPI
- 128.4925
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+15.6% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-10 Listed $23,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-06 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-06 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-06 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-09-30 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-08-12 Sold (MLS) $14,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-08-12 Sold (MLS) $14,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-06-23 Listed $20,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-06-23 Listed $20,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-04-27 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-09-09 Sold (MLS) $17,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-09-09 Sold (MLS) $17,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-04-19 Listed $23,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-04-19 Listed $23,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-04-13 Sold (MLS) $17,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-01-14 Listed $19,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2024): $652 · +10.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…