Fourplex
3541 Oregon Ave · St. Louis, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +10.5/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$310,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
For comp purposes only - Turn key cash flow building with units leased at 1125/mo
Key facts
- Newer kitchens
- 5,279 sq ft lot
- Built 1924
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Residential income property (2–4 units)
- Construction: Brick and stone construction
- Exterior features: Located in the Gravois Park neighborhood; Lot of approximately 0.12 acres
Interior
- Bedrooms: Four 2-bedroom units
- Bathrooms: Four 1-bath units
- Heating & cooling: Central air
- Interior features: Central air conditioning
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $310k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($18k/yr) — positive. Per door: $377/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $310k).
- Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 5.0% in St. Louis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Froebel Elem. (math 8% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,052 of 1,115 statewide, top 95%, 176 students, 98% FRL); Roosevelt High (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #517 of 521 statewide, top 100%, 460 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 80% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 240 active listings in the ZIP; 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,261/mo this rent would consume 89% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 1495% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $87k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.37% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.86%
- DSCR
- 1.93
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $332,384
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3545 Oregon Ave | 0.01mi | 8/4.0 | 3,536 (0%) | 4mo | $359,900 | $102 | 96 |
| 3719 Pennsylvania Ave | 0.24mi | 8/4.0 | 3,750 (+6%) | 2mo | $99,900 | $27 | 77 |
| 3638-3640 Minnesota Ave | 0.20mi | 8/4.0 | 3,876 (+10%) | 3mo | $250,000 | $64 | 72 |
| 3441 Iowa Ave | 0.17mi | 8/4.0 | 3,952 (+12%) | 2mo | $250,000 | $63 | 71 |
| 3523 Ohio Ave Unit -25 | 0.19mi | 8/4.0 | 3,774 (+7%) | 20mo | $112,500 | $30 | 63 |
| 3446 Indiana Ave | 0.42mi | 7/4.0 (-1) | 3,557 (+1%) | 23mo | $335,000 | $94 | 55 |
| 3738 Tennessee Ave | 0.53mi | 8/6.0 | 3,711 (+5%) | 9mo | $350,000 | $94 | 52 |
| 2845 Wyoming St | 0.47mi | 7/4.0 (-1) | 3,850 (+9%) | 15mo | $419,900 | $109 | 46 |
| 2856 Wyoming St | 0.44mi | 7/2.0 (-1) | 3,105 (-12%) | 6mo | $319,900 | $103 | 41 |
| 3120 Nebraska Ave | 0.63mi | 8/4.0 | 4,058 (+15%) | 7mo | $349,900 | $86 | 40 |
| 3170 Oregon Ave | 0.50mi | 8/8.0 | 4,028 (+14%) | 22mo | $475,000 | $118 | 19 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.89% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.62×
- Total profit
- $54,020
- Equity at exit
- $46,222
- IRR
- 25.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.37×
- Total profit
- $205,554
- Equity at exit
- $26,803
Cash invested: $86,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63118
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 240
- Price-to-rent
- 24.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,261 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,626
- Tax from tax record
- −$102 /mo · $1,228/yr
- Insurance
- −$129
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$895
- Net cashflow
- $1,509
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,684 | -5% $1,597 | +0% $1,509 | +5% $1,421 | +10% $1,334 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,172 | -5% $1,341 | +0% $1,509 | +5% $1,677 | +10% $1,846 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,665 | -0.5pp $1,588 | base $1,509 | +0.5pp $1,429 | +1.0pp $1,347 |
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 2 | 1 | $4,260 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,065 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,065 |
| #3 | 2 | 1 | $1,065 |
| #4 | 2 | 1 | $1,065 |
| Total (4 units) | $4,261 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $77,500
- Closing costs
- $9,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $310,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $310,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $310,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $310,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $310,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-08$310,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,228 · $102/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,007 · $251/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,779/yr (+$148/mo · 144.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $51,132
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,365
- − Property taxes
- −$1,228
- − Insurance
- −$1,550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,091
- − Management
- −$4,091
- − Depreciation
- −$9,018
- Taxable income
- $13,790
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,310
- After-tax cash flow
- $14,798/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Louis City
- NCES district ID
- 2929280
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,685
- Composite
- 11.54/100
- National rank
- #9699
- State rank
- #312 of 324 in MO
Livability — St. Louis
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Louis, MO
- County
- Saint Louis City · 254,015 people
- City population
- 283,259
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,913
- Household income
- $57,762
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1495.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 315,737 people
- By 2030
- 313,865 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 305,439 · -3.3%
- By 2050
- 296,529 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 271,028 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 255,359 · -19.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 44% Black 41% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 5% Vietnamese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.7) · D 81.4% · R 16.7% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.5pp toward R · 2008: 68.2pp · 2024: 64.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.7 2020: D+66.2 2016: D+63.7 2012: D+66.6 2008: D+68.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -347.51%
- Current HPI
- 171.5963
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.89%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+453.6% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listed $310,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-01 Rental Removed $875 MARIS
- 2025-07-02 Listed for Rent $875 MARIS
- 2022-08-18 Sold (Public Records) $460,000 Public Records
- 2022-08-09 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-01-23 Sold (Public Records) $175,000 Public Records
- 2020-01-15 Listed $175,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-01-14 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-07-11 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
- 2012-12-05 Sold (Public Records) $53,500 Public Records
- 2012-11-02 Sold (Public Records) $96,000 Public Records
- 2012-10-31 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-09-28 Listed $52,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-02-28 Sold (Public Records) $56,000 Public Records
- 2005-01-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2000-09-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+9.6%/yrLatest (2022): $1,228 · +67.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…