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3541 Oregon Ave Fourplex
B- Composite 69.15
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.5/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$310,000

3541 Oregon Ave · St. Louis, MO 63118
8 bd · 4.0 ba · 3,536 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1924 5,279 sqft lot Est $332k · 7% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

For comp purposes only - Turn key cash flow building with units leased at 1125/mo

Key facts

  • Newer kitchens
  • 5,279 sq ft lot
  • Built 1924

Tags

VACANT 4-FAMILY BUILDINGEXTENSIVE REHABILITATIONEFFICIENT 2 BEDROOM LAYOUTSORIGINAL HARDWOOD FLOORINGNEWER KITCHENSCLEAN UPDATED BATHROOM TILING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Home design: Residential income property (2–4 units)
  • Construction: Brick and stone construction
  • Exterior features: Located in the Gravois Park neighborhood; Lot of approximately 0.12 acres

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Four 2-bedroom units
  • Bathrooms: Four 1-bath units
  • Heating & cooling: Central air
  • Interior features: Central air conditioning

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $310k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($18k/yr) — positive. Per door: $377/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $310k).
  • Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 5.0% in St. Louis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Froebel Elem. (math 8% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,052 of 1,115 statewide, top 95%, 176 students, 98% FRL); Roosevelt High (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #517 of 521 statewide, top 100%, 460 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 80% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 240 active listings in the ZIP; 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $4,261/mo this rent would consume 89% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 1495% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $87k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $310,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.37%
Cap rate
12.13%
Cash-on-cash
20.86%
DSCR
1.93
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$332,384
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3545 Oregon Ave 0.01mi 8/4.0 3,536 (0%) 4mo $359,900 $102 96
3719 Pennsylvania Ave 0.24mi 8/4.0 3,750 (+6%) 2mo $99,900 $27 77
3638-3640 Minnesota Ave 0.20mi 8/4.0 3,876 (+10%) 3mo $250,000 $64 72
3441 Iowa Ave 0.17mi 8/4.0 3,952 (+12%) 2mo $250,000 $63 71
3523 Ohio Ave Unit -25 0.19mi 8/4.0 3,774 (+7%) 20mo $112,500 $30 63
3446 Indiana Ave 0.42mi 7/4.0 (-1) 3,557 (+1%) 23mo $335,000 $94 55
3738 Tennessee Ave 0.53mi 8/6.0 3,711 (+5%) 9mo $350,000 $94 52
2845 Wyoming St 0.47mi 7/4.0 (-1) 3,850 (+9%) 15mo $419,900 $109 46
2856 Wyoming St 0.44mi 7/2.0 (-1) 3,105 (-12%) 6mo $319,900 $103 41
3120 Nebraska Ave 0.63mi 8/4.0 4,058 (+15%) 7mo $349,900 $86 40
3170 Oregon Ave 0.50mi 8/8.0 4,028 (+14%) 22mo $475,000 $118 19

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.89% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.2%
Equity multiple
1.62×
Total profit
$54,020
Equity at exit
$46,222
10-year hold
IRR
25.1%
Equity multiple
3.37×
Total profit
$205,554
Equity at exit
$26,803

Cash invested: $86,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63118

Rents YoY
4.9%
Active inventory
240
Price-to-rent
24.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,261 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,626
Tax from tax record
$102 /mo · $1,228/yr
Insurance
$129
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$895
Net cashflow
$1,509

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,351
Max offer price $310,000
Occupancy floor 60%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,684 -5% $1,597 +0% $1,509 +5% $1,421 +10% $1,334
Rent -10% $1,172 -5% $1,341 +0% $1,509 +5% $1,677 +10% $1,846
Rate -1.0pp $1,665 -0.5pp $1,588 base $1,509 +0.5pp $1,429 +1.0pp $1,347

4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (4 units) $4,261

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$77,500
Closing costs
$9,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $310,000 Active 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $310,000 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $310,000 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $310,000 Active 7 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $310,000 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    remarks 699-char remark
  7. 2026-06-08
    listed $310,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,228 · $102/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,007 · $251/mo
Expected delta
+$1,779/yr (+$148/mo · 144.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$51,132
− Mortgage interest
−$17,365
− Property taxes
−$1,228
− Insurance
−$1,550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,091
− Management
−$4,091
− Depreciation
−$9,018
Taxable income
$13,790
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,310
After-tax cash flow
$14,798/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Louis City
NCES district ID
2929280
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$35,685
Composite
11.54/100
National rank
#9699
State rank
#312 of 324 in MO

Livability — St. Louis

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Louis, MO
County
Saint Louis City · 254,015 people
City population
283,259
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
25,913
Household income
$57,762
Rent vs Own
56.1% rent · 43.9% own
Severe rent burden
1495.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
315,737 people
By 2030
313,865 · -0.6%
By 2040
305,439 · -3.3%
By 2050
296,529 · -6.1%
By 2075
271,028 · -14.2%
By 2100
255,359 · -19.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 44% Black 41% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 5% Vietnamese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Solid D (+64.7) · D 81.4% · R 16.7% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-3.5pp toward R · 2008: 68.2pp · 2024: 64.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+64.7 2020: D+66.2 2016: D+63.7 2012: D+66.6 2008: D+68.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -347.51%
Current HPI
171.5963
Rent YoY
▲ 4.89%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+453.6% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $310,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-01 Rental Removed $875 MARIS
  • 2025-07-02 Listed for Rent $875 MARIS
  • 2022-08-18 Sold (Public Records) $460,000 Public Records
  • 2022-08-09 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-01-23 Sold (Public Records) $175,000 Public Records
  • 2020-01-15 Listed $175,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-01-14 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-07-11 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
  • 2012-12-05 Sold (Public Records) $53,500 Public Records
  • 2012-11-02 Sold (Public Records) $96,000 Public Records
  • 2012-10-31 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-09-28 Listed $52,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-02-28 Sold (Public Records) $56,000 Public Records
  • 2005-01-21 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2000-09-05 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+9.6%/yr

Latest (2022): $1,228 · +67.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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