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557 Southwest Cutoff #140
B- Composite 66.24
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.6/15.0
  • DSCR +8.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$165,000

557 Southwest Cutoff #140 · Worcester, MA 01607
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 980 sqft · Manufactured · 22 Days on market
Built 1984 Est $186k · 11% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Description: MOVE IN READY!!!!!! Why rent when you can own. Updated spacious mobile home. Recent updates including wall to wall carpeting in Living Room and Bedrooms. Updated Kitchen. Recently installed replacement windows. Freshly painted. Patio. Fees include rental of land, water, sewer, taxes, road maintenance and trash.

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • New water tank
  • Newer roof

Tags

OPEN FLOOR PLANUPDATED BATHROOMSNEW WATER TANKNEWER ROOFSTORAGE SHEDDECK

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Community offers shopping and highway access; Not a senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 open parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric with circuit breakers
  • Home design: Mobile home; Beige exterior
  • Construction: Shingle roof; Built in public-record year (actual)
  • Exterior features: Deck; Level lot; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom with private bathroom
  • Flooring: Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (oil); Window cooling unit(s)
  • Interior features: Total of 4 rooms; Laminate flooring; One fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $165k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $426 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
  • Recommended offer: $163k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 4.1% in Worcester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 87/100 on livability (#9 in MA, #312 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: schools C-, cost of living D.
  • Worcester (urban): math 17% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #280 of 302 in MA (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,293 units permitted in Worcester County in 2024 (1,205 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $38k; list at $165k implies a 334% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $162,525 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  3. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  4. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.20%
Cap rate
9.39%
Cash-on-cash
11.06%
DSCR
1.49
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$186,200
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
47 Washington St #16 0.28mi 2/2.0 980 (0%) 12mo $180,000 $184 76
47 Washington St #7 0.28mi 2/2.0 980 (0%) 14mo $130,000 $133 76
3 Washington St #70 0.16mi 2/2.0 924 (-6%) 10mo $195,000 $211 75
47 Washington St #33 0.28mi 2/1.0 924 (-6%) 1mo $199,900 $216 72
47 Washington St #47 0.28mi 2/2.0 1,056 (+8%) 4mo $204,000 $193 70
557 Southwest Cutoff #60 0.14mi 2/2.0 840 (-14%) 0mo $160,000 $190 69
47 Washington St #45 0.28mi 2/2.0 1,008 (+3%) 16mo $195,000 $193 68
557 Southwest Cutoff #70 0.10mi 2/2.0 896 (-9%) 23mo $170,000 $190 62
47 Washington St #54 0.28mi 2/2.0 1,100 (+12%) 9mo $199,000 $181 59
113 Washington St #17 0.31mi 2/2.0 1,064 (+9%) 19mo $190,000 $179 55
16 Breezy Bnd 0.57mi 2/1.0 840 (-14%) 15mo $138,750 $165 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.2%
Equity multiple
1.01×
Total profit
$417
Equity at exit
$24,602
10-year hold
IRR
9.9%
Equity multiple
1.77×
Total profit
$35,411
Equity at exit
$14,266

Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Massachusetts
20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Cambridge / Boston historically rent-controlled (preempted 1994 but consideration ongoing); strong tenant protections; court backlogs.

ZIP-level market 01607

Home prices YoY
-5.3%
Active inventory
13
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,982 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$865
Tax est. 1.5%
$206 /mo · $2,475/yr
Insurance
$69
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$416
Net cashflow
$426

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,443
Max offer price $165,000
Occupancy floor 74%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $540 -5% $483 +0% $426 +5% $369 +10% $312
Rent -10% $269 -5% $348 +0% $426 +5% $504 +10% $582
Rate -1.0pp $509 -0.5pp $468 base $426 +0.5pp $383 +1.0pp $340

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,250
Closing costs
$4,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
394 Greenwood St Unit B Millbury, MA 2.0 1.0 900 $2,200 $2.44 15d 1 0.88mi
19 Kosta St Unit 3 Worcester, MA 2.0 1.0 1055 $1,700 $1.61 44d 1 1.20mi
78 Greenwood St Unit 2 Worcester, MA 3.0 1.0 1000 $2,200 $2.20 15d 1 1.22mi
28 Ekman St Apt 1 Worcester, MA 3.0 1.0 900 $2,200 $2.44 44d 1 1.32mi
6 Ekman St Unit 3 Worcester, MA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,700 $1.89 24d 1 1.33mi
19 Reeves St Unit 2 Worcester, MA 2.0 1.0 1100 $2,200 $2.00 24d 1 1.34mi
19 Reeves St Unit 3 Worcester, MA 2.0 1.0 1100 $2,199 $2.00 24d 1 1.34mi
19 Reeves St Unit 1 Worcester, MA 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,300 $2.09 24d 1 1.34mi
9 Reeves St Unit C Worcester, MA 2.0 1.0 1000 $2,000 $2.00 44d 1 1.36mi
9 Reeves St Unit B Worcester, MA 2.0 1.0 935 $2,100 $2.25 44d 1 1.36mi
21 Whipple St #3 Worcester, MA 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,900 $1.73 24d 1 1.38mi
10 Henry Ter Worcester, MA 2.0 1.0 875 $1,975 $2.26 24d 1 1.40mi
10 Oswald St Unit 1 Worcester, MA 2.0 1.0 835 $1,700 $2.04 15d 1 1.43mi
6 Oswald St Unit 1 Worcester, MA 1.0 1.0 800 $1,500 $1.88 15d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $165,000 Active 22 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $165,000 Active 21 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $165,000 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $165,000 Active 19 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $165,000 Active 17 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $165,000 Active 14 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $165,000 Active 13 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $165,000 Active 12 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $165,000 Active 11 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $165,000 Active 8 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $165,000 Active 7 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $165,000 Active 6 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $165,000 Active 5 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    statusdays on market $165,000 Active 4 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $165,000 New 3 DOM
  16. 2026-05-27
    listed $165,000 New
  17. 2009-09-24
    soldstatus $38,000 Sold 326-char remark
    Show marketing remark (326 chars)

    Description: MOVE IN READY!!!!!! Why rent when you can own. Updated spacious mobile home. Recent updates including wall to wall carpeting in Living Room and Bedrooms. Updated Kitchen. Recently installed replacement windows. Freshly painted. Patio. Fees include rental of land, water, sewer, taxes, road maintenance and trash.

  18. 2009-08-28
    historical Under Agreement 326-char remark
    Show marketing remark (326 chars)

    Description: MOVE IN READY!!!!!! Why rent when you can own. Updated spacious mobile home. Recent updates including wall to wall carpeting in Living Room and Bedrooms. Updated Kitchen. Recently installed replacement windows. Freshly painted. Patio. Fees include rental of land, water, sewer, taxes, road maintenance and trash.

  19. 2009-08-05
    listed $44,900 New 326-char remark
    Show marketing remark (326 chars)

    Description: MOVE IN READY!!!!!! Why rent when you can own. Updated spacious mobile home. Recent updates including wall to wall carpeting in Living Room and Bedrooms. Updated Kitchen. Recently installed replacement windows. Freshly painted. Patio. Fees include rental of land, water, sewer, taxes, road maintenance and trash.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,790
− Mortgage interest
−$9,243
− Property taxes
−$2,475
− Insurance
−$825
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,903
− Management
−$1,903
− Depreciation
−$4,800
Taxable income
$2,641
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$634
After-tax cash flow
$4,477/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Worcester
NCES district ID
2513230
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$45,063
Composite
20.3/100
National rank
#8615
State rank
#280 of 302 in MA

Livability — Worcester

Score
87/100
State rank
#9
US rank
#312

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living D Crime A+ Employment C Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Worcester, MA
County
Worcester County · 487,911 people
City population
207,324
Metro
Worcester, MA-CT
Population (ZIP)
8,706
Household income
$78,727
Rent vs Own
54.5% rent · 45.5% own
Severe rent burden
379.0

Population outlook (Worcester County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
850,858 people
By 2030
860,403 · +1.1%
By 2040
869,902 · +2.2%
By 2050
869,110 · +2.1%
By 2075
870,120 · +2.3%
By 2100
829,703 · -2.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 20% Black 19% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 16% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 9% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
24% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
62% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Worcester

2024 margin
D (+10.0) · D 53.9% · R 43.9% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-3.8pp toward R · 2008: 13.8pp · 2024: 10.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.0 2020: D+17.8 2016: D+10.5 2012: D+9.2 2008: D+13.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -20.31%
Current HPI
365.7055
Rent YoY
Metro
Worcester, MA-CT
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.28%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+267.5% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $165,000 MLS PIN
  • 2009-09-24 Sold (MLS) $38,000 MLS PIN
  • 2009-08-28 Contingent MLS PIN
  • 2009-08-05 Listed $44,900 MLS PIN

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…