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3902 Rosecrest Ave
D+ Composite 48.42
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.8/30.0
  • DSCR +6.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.7/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$189,000

3902 Rosecrest Ave · Baltimore, MD 21215
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,714 sqft · Townhouse public records · 56 Days on market
Built 1949 1,742 sqft lot Est $182k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Fulton Bank, NA acquired this property via foreclosure. All information is provided in good faith without warranty. The property is being sold AS-IS, WHERE IS, and HOW-IS. All certifications and verifications are the buyer's sole responsibility and expense.

Key facts

  • Built 1949
  • Listed 56 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Total below-grade area: 724 (includes finished and unfinished below-grade spaces); Above-grade finished area source: Assessor; Below-grade finished and unfinished area sources: Assessor

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas hot water and heating fuel; Municipal trash not provided
  • Home design: Semi-detached property; Property condition reported as below average; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Brick construction; Block and brick/mortar foundation; Asphalt roof; Building winterized; Year built source: Assessor
  • Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; Tidal water not present; Pets allowed with no pet restrictions; Access to bus stop within one mile and commuter lots within five miles

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (appliances not specified)
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first upper level (Master Bedroom, Bedroom 2, Bedroom 3)
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one on the first upper level, one on the first lower level); One half bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Electric-powered cooling (other type)
  • Interior features: Not furnished; Connecting stairway to basement; Living Room; Dining Room
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry hookups

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $189k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $226 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $189k).
  • Recommended offer: $183k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
  • Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 351 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,116/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($52k/yr) (locally 3644% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($183k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 23% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $183,330 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
7.73%
Cash-on-cash
5.13%
DSCR
1.23
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$181,684
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3901 Mortimer Ave 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,664 (-3%) 9mo $151,000 $91 65
5806 Rubin Ave 0.27mi 3/2.5 1,884 (+10%) 8mo $200,000 $106 64
3601 Clarks Ln #536 0.47mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,623 (-5%) 1mo $56,000 $35 62
5803 Jonquil Ave 0.39mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,816 (+6%) 6mo $260,000 $143 60
5404 Crismer Ave 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,667 (-3%) 1mo $239,900 $144 60
6606 Park Heights Ave #701 0.48mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,604 (-6%) 0mo $50,000 $31 59
4002 Clarks Ln 0.52mi 3/1.5 1,600 (-7%) 3mo $220,000 $138 58
3312 Ludgate Rd 0.54mi 3/2.5 1,906 (+11%) 3mo $155,000 $81 53
6317 Park Heights Ave #404 0.38mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,510 (-12%) 4mo $105,000 $70 52
6317 Park Heights Ave Unit T9 0.38mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,466 (-14%) 7mo $120,000 $82 45
5410 Narcissus Ave 0.73mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,860 (+8%) 3mo $260,000 $140 44
5422 Narcissus Ave 0.72mi 4/3.5 (+1) 1,872 (+9%) 4mo $254,000 $136 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.41% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.0%
Equity multiple
0.67×
Total profit
$-17,348
Equity at exit
$28,181
10-year hold
IRR
-0.3%
Equity multiple
0.98×
Total profit
$-1,138
Equity at exit
$16,341

Cash invested: $52,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City Baltimore
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
Just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr.

ZIP-level market 21215

Rents YoY
2.4%
Active inventory
351
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,116 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$991
Tax from tax record
$376 /mo · $4,509/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$444
Net cashflow
$226

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,830
Max offer price $189,000
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,250
Closing costs
$5,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 25 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3709 Fords Ln Baltimore, MD 4.0 3.5 2248 $3,200 $1.42 20d 1 0.23mi
5807 Gist Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 2100 $1,395 $0.66 23d 1 0.36mi
3912 Mortimer Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1204 $2,723 $2.26 43d 1 0.40mi
3809 Clarks Ln Unit 301 Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 1057 $1,600 $1.51 23d 1 0.47mi
3505 Clarks Ln Unit D2 Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1750 $2,500 $1.43 43d 1 0.56mi
6317 Pearce Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 1140 $1,600 $1.40 43d 1 0.57mi
3607 Labyrinth Rd Baltimore, MD 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 925 $2,100 $2.27 19d 5 0.63mi
6609 Eberle Dr Baltimore, MD 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1011 $1,787 $1.77 1d 25 0.80mi
2900 Taney Rd Apt 1A Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 1200 $1,600 $1.33 23d 1 0.82mi
5340 Maple Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,950 $1.62 43d 1 0.97mi
6936 Blanche Rd Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1410 $1,800 $1.28 43d 1 1.02mi
3700 Seven Mile Ln Pikesville, MD 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1063 $1,723 $1.62 1d 13 1.13mi
5000 Litchfield Ave #1 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 43d 1 1.16mi
7220 Park Heights Ave Pikesville, MD 2.0 2.0 1050 $1,565 $1.49 2d 2 1.17mi
7008 Deerfield Rd Pikesville, MD 3.0 1.5 1664 $2,300 $1.38 43d 1 1.19mi
3807 Bowers Ave Gwynn Oak, MD 3.0 1.5 1152 $2,200 $1.91 43d 1 1.25mi
6310 Greenspring Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0–3.0 1.5–2.0 1080 $1,940 $1.80 3d 6 1.26mi
3109 Northbrook Rd Pikesville, MD 4.0 2.5 1957 $3,200 $1.64 10d 1 1.26mi
5801 Western Run Dr Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0–2.0 835 $1,979 $2.37 2d 7 1.27mi
7307 Park Heights Ave Pikesville, MD 2.0 2.0–2.5 1251 $2,506 $2.00 1d 5 1.28mi
4010 Fernhill Ave Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 43d 1 1.29mi
4828 Beaufort Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.5 1200 $1,850 $1.54 23d 1 1.34mi
5115 Pembridge Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1088 $2,150 $1.98 43d 1 1.40mi
3784 Columbus Dr Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1250 $2,200 $1.76 23d 1 1.45mi
19 Warren Park Dr Pikesville, MD 3.0 1.0–2.0 903 $1,700 $1.88 3d 10 1.47mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    status $189,000 Pending 56 DOM
  2. 2026-05-01
    historical Active Under Contract
  3. 2026-04-23
    price $189,000
  4. 2026-03-06
    listed $199,900 Active
  5. 2021-11-16
    price $100,000
  6. 2021-10-30
    status Pending
  7. 2021-10-30
    historical
  8. 2021-10-29
    status Active
  9. 2021-10-24
    status Pending
  10. 2021-10-23
    listed $135,000 Active
  11. 2020-05-05
    soldstatus $185,000
  12. 2004-05-06
    soldstatus $60,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,509 · $376/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,509 · $376/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 23% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,395
− Mortgage interest
−$10,587
− Property taxes
−$4,509
− Insurance
−$945
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,032
− Management
−$2,032
− Depreciation
−$5,498
Taxable loss
−$207
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$50
After-tax cash flow
$2,765/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baltimore City Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400090
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$42,108
Composite
10.08/100
National rank
#9805
State rank
#24 of 24 in MD

Livability — Baltimore

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3396

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Baltimore, MD
County
Baltimore City · 558,601 people
City population
588,727
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
52,229
Household income
$51,587
Rent vs Own
45.2% rent · 54.8% own
Severe rent burden
3644.0

Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
624,249 people
By 2030
621,541 · -0.4%
By 2040
609,756 · -2.3%
By 2050
597,249 · -4.3%
By 2075
552,236 · -11.5%
By 2100
513,934 · -17.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (73%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 73% White 17% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 2% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore

2024 margin
Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -318.58%
Current HPI
291.4926
Rent YoY
▲ 2.41%
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+215.0% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-23 Price Changed $189,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-06 Listed $199,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-11-16 Price Changed $100,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-10-30 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-10-30 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-10-29 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-10-24 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-10-23 Listed $135,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-05-05 Sold (Public Records) $185,000 Public Records
  • 2004-05-06 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,509 · +28.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…