132 E Utica St Unit N · Buffalo, NY 14209

$159,900

7 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,746 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 17 Days on market

Built 1900 0.28 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +9.1/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Appreciation +5.9/10.0
• Rent growth +4.6/5.0
• Livability +3.9/5.0
• Schools +3.3/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Key facts

• 0.28 acre lot
• Built 1900
• Listed 17 days

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: No garage
• Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
• Home design: Single-story property; Existing/resale condition
• Construction: See remarks for construction details
• Exterior features: Concrete driveway; Rectangular residential lot, approximately 63 x 192

Interior

• Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
• Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Laminate; Varies
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
• Heating & cooling: Oil forced-air heating
• Interior features: Separate/formal dining room; Bedroom on main level; Full basement

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 7-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $160k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $838 ($10k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
• Recommended offer: $158k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
• Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.5%/yr); 56 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $2,262/mo this rent would consume 54% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 959% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $4k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.9% local appreciation)).
• At projected returns (1.9% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $157,501 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.41% ✓
• Cap rate: 12.58%
• Cash-on-cash: 22.46%
• DSCR: 2.00
• GRM: 5.9

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $90,792
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
161 Dodge St	0.40mi	6/2.0 (-1)	2,007 (+15%)	9mo	$104,000	$52	44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.86% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 30.1%
• Equity multiple: 2.68×
• Total profit: $75,107
• Equity at exit: $61,883

10-year hold

• IRR: 34.2%
• Equity multiple: 6.07×
• Total profit: $227,058
• Equity at exit: $88,211

Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 14209

• Home prices YoY: 0.4%
• Rents YoY: 8.5%
• Active inventory: 56
• Price-to-rent: 5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,262 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$839
• Tax from tax record: −$44 /mo · $525/yr
• Insurance: −$67
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$475
• Net cashflow: $838

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,201

Max offer price $159,900

Occupancy floor 58%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $928	-5% $883	+0% $838	+5% $793	+10% $747
Rent	-10% $659	-5% $749	+0% $838	+5% $927	+10% $1,017
Rate	-1.0pp $918	-0.5pp $879	base $838	+0.5pp $796	+1.0pp $754

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $39,975
• Closing costs: $4,797
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
15 Hughes Ave Buffalo, NY	7.0	2.0	1650	$3,000	$1.82	44d	1	1.00mi

Listing history 12 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $159,900 Active 17 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $159,900 Active 16 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $159,900 Active 15 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $159,900 Active 14 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $159,900 Active 12 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $159,900 Active 11 DOM
7. 2026-06-10
   days on market $159,900 Active 9 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $159,900 Active 8 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $159,900 Active 7 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $159,900 Active 6 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $159,900 Active 2 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    listed $159,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $525 · $44/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,614 · $134/mo
• Expected delta: +$1,089/yr (+$91/mo · 207.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $27,142
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,957
• − Property taxes: −$525
• − Insurance: −$800
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,171
• − Management: −$2,171
• − Depreciation: −$4,652
• Taxable income: $7,866
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,888
• After-tax cash flow: $8,167/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Buffalo City School District
• NCES district ID: 3605850
• Math proficiency: 41% ▲ 11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 40% ▲ 7.00%
• Median HH income: $31,665
• Composite: 33.17/100
• National rank: #5544
• State rank: #535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

• Score: 77/100
• State rank: #195
• US rank: #3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Buffalo, NY
• County: Erie County · 714,559 people
• City population: 440,021
• Metro: Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
• Population (ZIP): 8,313
• Household income: $50,046
• Rent vs Own: 66.3% rent · 33.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 959.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 933,037 people
• By 2030: 935,181 · +0.2%
• By 2040: 928,531 · -0.5%
• By 2050: 905,725 · -2.9%
• By 2075: 834,037 · -10.6%
• By 2100: 708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
• Race & ethnicity: White 53% Black 30% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 1%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
• Foreign-born: 9% · Canada, Dominican Republic, China
• Languages at home: 88% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

• 2024 margin: Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 1.86%
• Current HPI: 443.9414
• Rent YoY: ▲ 8.53%
• Metro: Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-06-01 Listed $159,900 WNYREIS

Property tax history

+16.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $525 · +128.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.