2232 42nd Ave SE #713 · Salem, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $435 – $905
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$114,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1975
- Listed 8 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Home warranty included; Mobile home make: Prestige; serial number 24X643835UXA; park name Sundial; Handicap amenities available (refer to remarks)
- HOA & community: Adult park (Sundial) with park amenities including garbage, water, and swimming pool; park rent includes other items (refer to remarks)
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: City sewer; Private/community water district; Electric water heater
- Home design: Double wide mobile home; Built in 1975; White exterior with lap siding; Front door entry
- Construction: Pier foundation
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Covered deck; Landscaped yard; Shed (outbuilding)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: Includes a mudroom and workshop (bonus rooms)
- Flooring: Carpet; Luxury Vinyl Plank; Vinyl
- Interior features: High-speed internet available; Carpet and luxury vinyl plank/vinyl flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $757 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
- Cap rate 14.2% vs local median 2.9% in Salem — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#59 in OR, #2,084 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Salem-Keizer SD 24J (urban): math 34% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #103 of 183 in OR (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 133 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,591 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (716 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $794 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.6% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.62% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.24%
- DSCR
- 2.26
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $73,140
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2232 42nd Ave SE #704 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,288 (-7%) | 1mo | $58,000 | $45 | 88 |
| 2232 42nd Ave SE #776 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (-6%) | 12mo | $160,000 | $123 | 80 |
| 2232 42nd Ave SE #327 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (+4%) | 20mo | $55,000 | $38 | 76 |
| 2410 Lancaster Dr SE #962 | 0.20mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,404 (+2%) | 8mo | $75,000 | $53 | 76 |
| 2232 42nd Ave SE #901 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (-3%) | 21mo | $58,500 | $44 | 74 |
| 2410 Lancaster Dr SE #332 | 0.20mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,426 (+3%) | 10mo | $98,000 | $69 | 72 |
| 4497 Essex St SE | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (-6%) | 14mo | $115,000 | $89 | 68 |
| 2410 Lancaster Dr #949 | 0.20mi | 3/3.0 | 1,296 (-6%) | 17mo | $81,000 | $63 | 62 |
| 2730 Oakland Lp SE | 0.30mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,188 (-14%) | 6mo | $35,000 | $29 | 53 |
| 2750 Oakland Loop SE | 0.28mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,188 (-14%) | 9mo | $40,000 | $34 | 51 |
| 4244 Eden St | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,566 (+14%) | 15mo | $92,500 | $59 | 50 |
| 2754 Oakland Lp SE | 0.28mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,188 (-14%) | 21mo | $45,000 | $38 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.62% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.90×
- Total profit
- $28,880
- Equity at exit
- $17,132
- IRR
- 29.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.62×
- Total profit
- $84,276
- Equity at exit
- $9,934
Cash invested: $32,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97317
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 133
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,864 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$65 /mo · $776/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$391
- Net cashflow
- $757
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,725
- Closing costs
- $3,447
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4243 Campbell Dr SE Unit 4243 Salem, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,550 | $1.66 | 14d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 1447 Connecticut St SE Salem, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1258 | $2,675 | $2.13 | 44d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 2728 Lancaster Dr SE Unit 2728-14 Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,195 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 4665 Campbell Dr SE Salem, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 923 | $2,099 | $2.27 | 14d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1569 Whitaker Dr SE Salem, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 933 | $2,299 | $2.46 | 14d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1029 Raffon Ct SE Unit AR7171-3 Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 927 | $1,700 | $1.83 | 23d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 4976 Turquoise Ave SE Salem, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 918 | $1,495 | $1.63 | 14d | 5 | 0.71mi |
| 4776 Buffalo Dr SE Salem, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1369 | $2,150 | $1.57 | 44d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 4807 Chinook Ct SE Salem, OR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1104 | $2,200 | $1.99 | 14d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 5192 Caplinger Rd SE Salem, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 927 | $1,802 | $1.94 | 14d | 25 | 1.01mi |
| 3897 Meadowlawn Loop SE Salem, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 962 | $1,958 | $2.03 | 14d | 26 | 1.14mi |
| 3828 Bayonne Dr SE Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $1,299 | $1.33 | 14d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 3822 Bayonne Dr SE Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $1,299 | $1.33 | 23d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 4836 Tanglewood Ct SE Salem, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1316 | $2,150 | $1.63 | 23d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 4433 Mahrt Ave SE Unit 4435-201 Salem, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 888 | $1,525 | $1.72 | 23d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 4433 Mahrt Ave SE Unit 4437-206 Salem, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 932 | $1,525 | $1.64 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 143 Connecticut Ave SE Unit 145 Salem, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1207 | $1,595 | $1.32 | 14d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 178 Lancaster Dr SE Salem, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 952 | $1,495 | $1.57 | 14d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 124 Stafford Ln NE Unit 124-203 Salem, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1052 | $1,595 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $114,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $114,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $114,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $114,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $114,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-10$114,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $776 · $65/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,115 · $93/mo
- Expected delta
- +$338/yr (+$28/mo · 43.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,365
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,436
- − Property taxes
- −$776
- − Insurance
- −$574
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,789
- − Management
- −$1,789
- − Depreciation
- −$3,343
- Taxable income
- $7,657
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,838
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,249/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Salem-Keizer SD 24J
- NCES district ID
- 4110820
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,632
- Composite
- 37.16/100
- National rank
- #9017
- State rank
- #103 of 183 in OR
Livability — Salem
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #59
- US rank
- #2084
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Salem, OR
- County
- Marion County · 258,219 people
- City population
- 193,601
- Metro
- Salem, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,966
- Household income
- $84,393
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 395.0
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 360,940 people
- By 2030
- 375,178 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 400,914 · +11.1%
- By 2050
- 422,187 · +17.0%
- By 2075
- 460,305 · +27.5%
- By 2100
- 464,025 · +28.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (61%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 17% Asian 2% Pacific Islander 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 26%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Spanish 22% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.5% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.2pp toward R · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: -2.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.0 2020: D+1.1 2016: R+5.0 2012: R+3.5 2008: D+2.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -471.73%
- Current HPI
- 307.3264
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.62%
- Metro
- Salem, OR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Listed $114,900 WVMLS
Property tax history
+4.4%/yrLatest (2025): $776 · +7.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…