3731 Avenue G 1/2 · Santa Fe, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +13.4/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$310,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
What a GEM! 3/2/2 with 28x32 workshop, lots of concrete for parking beautiful shaded backyard on 1/2 acre, fenced, covered patio for entertaining.
Key facts
- Fully fenced
- Spacious workshop
- 0.49 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Seller disclosure available
Exterior
- Parking: Garage with workshop
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Residential property; Single-story entry (all bedrooms listed on first level)
- Construction: Brick construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built in 1978
- Exterior features: Cleared lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on the first floor)
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace (1)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $310k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $26k ($316k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($36k rent vs $310k).
- Recommended offer: $301k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 108.1% vs local median 4.5% in Santa Fe — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#550 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Santa Fe ISD (suburban): math 38% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #385 of 826 in TX (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 233 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 3,258 units permitted in Galveston County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Galveston County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $87k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($301k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 11.60% ✓
- Cap rate
- 108.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- 363.74%
- DSCR
- 17.18
- GRM
- 0.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $357,170
- List price
- $310,000
- Delta
- -13.21%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3721 Avenue E | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (+6%) | 4mo | $332,500 | $238 | 58 |
| 11731 Santa Fe Trl | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,356 (+3%) | 4mo | $257,500 | $190 | 56 |
| 11703 Fm 1764 | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,136 (-14%) | 0mo | $310,000 | $273 | 55 |
| 11826 Old Spanish Trl | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,374 (+4%) | 10mo | $269,999 | $197 | 52 |
| 11806 Oregon Trl | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,446 (+10%) | 2mo | $299,900 | $207 | 51 |
| 4234 Chisholm Trl | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,263 (-4%) | 10mo | $250,000 | $198 | 49 |
| 11743 Santa Fe Trl | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,356 (+3%) | 15mo | $259,500 | $191 | 46 |
| 11918 Oregon Trl | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,402 (+6%) | 18mo | $274,000 | $195 | 44 |
| 12241 W 6th St | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,472 (+12%) | 21mo | $175,000 | $119 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 19.73×
- Total profit
- $1,626,018
- Equity at exit
- $46,222
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 42.20×
- Total profit
- $3,575,766
- Equity at exit
- $26,803
Cash invested: $86,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77510
- Home prices YoY
- -15.3%
- Active inventory
- 233
- Price-to-rent
- 0.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $35,951 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,626
- Tax from tax record
- −$336 /mo · $4,032/yr
- Insurance
- −$129
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$7,550
- Net cashflow
- $26,311
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $26,486 | -5% $26,398 | +0% $26,311 | +5% $26,223 | +10% $26,135 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $23,471 | -5% $24,891 | +0% $26,311 | +5% $27,731 | +10% $29,151 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $26,467 | -0.5pp $26,390 | base $26,311 | +0.5pp $26,230 | +1.0pp $26,149 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $77,500
- Closing costs
- $9,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11844 13th St Santa Fe, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1472 | $1,750 | $1.19 | 22d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 4120 Avenue O #10 Santa Fe, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $74,621 | $58.30 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-03days on market $310,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $310,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $310,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $310,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-04-27$310,000 Active 542-char remark
-
2013-07-02soldstatus
-
2013-06-24soldstatus 147-char remark
Show marketing remark (147 chars)
What a GEM! 3/2/2 with 28x32 workshop, lots of concrete for parking beautiful shaded backyard on 1/2 acre, fenced, covered patio for entertaining.
-
2013-05-16historical 147-char remark
Show marketing remark (147 chars)
What a GEM! 3/2/2 with 28x32 workshop, lots of concrete for parking beautiful shaded backyard on 1/2 acre, fenced, covered patio for entertaining.
-
2013-04-06$147,000 147-char remark
Show marketing remark (147 chars)
What a GEM! 3/2/2 with 28x32 workshop, lots of concrete for parking beautiful shaded backyard on 1/2 acre, fenced, covered patio for entertaining.
-
2009-04-06soldstatus
-
1980-12-04soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,032 · $336/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,673 · $473/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,641/yr (+$137/mo · 40.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $431,415
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,365
- − Property taxes
- −$4,032
- − Insurance
- −$1,550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$34,513
- − Management
- −$34,513
- − Depreciation
- −$9,018
- Taxable income
- $330,424
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$79,302
- After-tax cash flow
- $236,426/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Santa Fe ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4839270
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,769
- Composite
- 34.86/100
- National rank
- #5091
- State rank
- #385 of 826 in TX
Livability — Santa Fe
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #550
- US rank
- #10637
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Santa Fe, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,938
Population outlook (Galveston County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 390,640 people
- By 2030
- 425,226 · +8.9%
- By 2040
- 493,765 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 559,698 · +43.3%
- By 2075
- 719,260 · +84.1%
- By 2100
- 819,628 · +109.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 17% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Italian 3% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 10% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Galveston
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.4) · D 35.7% · R 63.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: -19.5pp · 2024: -27.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.4 2020: R+22.6 2016: R+22.6 2012: R+26.9 2008: R+19.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -54.15%
- Current HPI
- 299.2228
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+110.9% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2026-04-27 Listed $310,000 HARMLS
- 2013-07-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2013-06-24 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2013-05-16 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2013-04-06 Listed $147,000 HARMLS
- 2009-04-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1980-12-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $4,032 · +6.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…