118 Sassafras Dr · Vermilion, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$399,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this beautifully updated 3 bedroom, 2 bath ranch in Vermilion Township—perfect for buyers seeking comfort and convenience. This home offers an open floor plan with a spacious vaulted great room and dining area, seamlessly connected to a large kitchen featuring a custom-designed island ideal for entertaining and culinary pursuits. A thoughtfully designed three-season room overlooks the expansive backyard, providing a versatile space for relaxation and gatherings. The generous owner’s suite includes a large bathroom, walk-in closet, and vaulted ceiling. Two additional bedrooms share a conveniently located second full bath. Additional highlights include a full basement, a cozy front porch, and an extended, heated and cooled two-car attached garage—perfect for extra vehicles or hobbies requiring ample space. A shed at the back of the lot adds extra storage. Situated on a quiet dead-end street near Route 2 and just minutes from Historical Downtown Vermilion, this property offers both privacy and easy access to amenities. Currently used as an Airbnb, it’s also ideal as a permanent residence or vacation retreat. Don’t miss your opportunity to own this unique home—schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Three season room
- Expansive backyard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $399k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($48k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($8k rent vs $399k).
- Recommended offer: $387k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.4% vs local median 6.2% in Vermilion — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#96 in OH, #1,481 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F.
- Vermilion Local (suburban): math 56% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #316 of 656 in OH (top 48%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 145 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 128 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $8,362/mo this rent would consume 139% of the median local household income ($72k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Erie County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $112k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($387k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $330k; 21% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 43.06%
- DSCR
- 2.92
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $292,563
- List price
- $399,000
- Delta
- 36.38%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 608 Chardonnay Cir | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,590 (+3%) | 11mo | $320,000 | $201 | 70 |
| 5001 Hollyview | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,573 (+2%) | 7mo | $335,000 | $213 | 57 |
| 5057 Hollyview Dr | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 | 1,512 (-2%) | 17mo | $237,400 | $157 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 39.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.71×
- Total profit
- $190,710
- Equity at exit
- $59,492
- IRR
- 46.2%
- Equity multiple
- 5.43×
- Total profit
- $494,966
- Equity at exit
- $34,498
Cash invested: $111,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44089
- Active inventory
- 145
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $8,362 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,092
- Tax from tax record
- −$338 /mo · $4,060/yr
- Insurance
- −$166
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,756
- Net cashflow
- $4,009
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $4,235 | -5% $4,122 | +0% $4,009 | +5% $3,896 | +10% $3,783 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $3,348 | -5% $3,679 | +0% $4,009 | +5% $4,339 | +10% $4,670 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $4,210 | -0.5pp $4,111 | base $4,009 | +0.5pp $3,906 | +1.0pp $3,800 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $99,750
- Closing costs
- $11,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5012 Hollyview Dr Unit 1496126P Vermilion, OH | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1679 | $8,362 | $4.98 | 45d | 1 | 0.75mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $399,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $399,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $399,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $399,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $399,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $399,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $399,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $399,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $399,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $399,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $399,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $399,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $399,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $399,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-04-22$399,000 Active 1250-char remark
Show marketing remark (1250 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully updated 3 bedroom, 2 bath ranch in Vermilion Township—perfect for buyers seeking comfort and convenience. This home offers an open floor plan with a spacious vaulted great room and dining area, seamlessly connected to a large kitchen featuring a custom-designed island ideal for entertaining and culinary pursuits. A thoughtfully designed three-season room overlooks the expansive backyard, providing a versatile space for relaxation and gatherings. The generous owner’s suite includes a large bathroom, walk-in closet, and vaulted ceiling. Two additional bedrooms share a conveniently located second full bath. Additional highlights include a full basement, a cozy front porch, and an extended, heated and cooled two-car attached garage—perfect for extra vehicles or hobbies requiring ample space. A shed at the back of the lot adds extra storage. Situated on a quiet dead-end street near Route 2 and just minutes from Historical Downtown Vermilion, this property offers both privacy and easy access to amenities. Currently used as an Airbnb, it’s also ideal as a permanent residence or vacation retreat. Don’t miss your opportunity to own this unique home—schedule your showing today!
-
2022-05-06soldstatus $330,000 Closed
-
2022-04-25status Pending
-
2022-04-23$330,000 Active
-
2021-10-13status Pending
-
2021-10-13soldstatus $222,500 Closed
-
2021-09-18historical Contingent
-
2021-09-09$235,000 Active
-
2010-09-09soldstatus $155,000
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2010-09-09soldstatus $155,000
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2010-06-04$164,900
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2007-09-25historical
-
2007-05-25$174,900
-
1989-02-02soldstatus $21,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,060 · $338/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,142 · $429/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,082/yr (+$90/mo · 26.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $100,344
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,350
- − Property taxes
- −$4,060
- − Insurance
- −$1,995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$8,028
- − Management
- −$8,028
- − Depreciation
- −$11,607
- Taxable income
- $44,277
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$10,626
- After-tax cash flow
- $37,482/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Vermilion Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904682
- Math proficiency
- 56% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,091
- Composite
- 49.61/100
- National rank
- #1981
- State rank
- #316 of 656 in OH
Livability — Vermilion
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #96
- US rank
- #1481
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Erie · 78,232 people
- Metro
- Sandusky, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,873
- Household income
- $72,045
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 5.8
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 73,204 people
- By 2030
- 71,341 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 66,771 · -8.8%
- By 2050
- 62,512 · -14.6%
- By 2075
- 56,154 · -23.3%
- By 2100
- 49,045 · -33.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.1) · D 42.5% · R 56.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.0pp toward R · 2008: 13.9pp · 2024: -14.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.1 2020: R+11.6 2016: R+9.8 2012: D+11.3 2008: D+13.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -122.76%
- Current HPI
- 206.8223
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+1721.9% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Listed $399,000 MLSNOW
- 2022-05-06 Sold (MLS) $330,000 MLSNOW
- 2022-04-25 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2022-04-23 Listed $330,000 MLSNOW
- 2021-10-13 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2021-10-13 Sold (MLS) $222,500 MLSNOW
- 2021-09-18 Contingent — MLSNOW
- 2021-09-09 Listed $235,000 MLSNOW
- 2010-09-09 Sold (Public Records) $155,000 Public Records
- 2010-09-09 Sold (MLS) $155,000 MLSNOW
- 2010-06-04 Listed $164,900 MLSNOW
- 2007-09-25 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2007-05-25 Listed $174,900 MLSNOW
- 1989-02-02 Sold (Public Records) $21,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.5%/yrLatest (2025): $4,060 · -0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…