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3028 Powhattan Pkwy Duplex
D+ Composite 47.39
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.7/30.0
  • DSCR +6.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.0/15.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$188,900

3028 Powhattan Pkwy · Toledo, OH 43606
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,192 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 17 Days on market
Built 1950 Est $175k · 8% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

MINT CONDITION, OWNER OCCUPIED DUPLEX. NEWER ROOF, NEW FURNACES, UPDATED ELECTRICAL, NEW STEEL ENTRY DOORS ON BACK & SIDE ENTRANCES, NEW REPLACEMENTS WINDOWS IN FRONT, NEW CENTRAL A/C. NEW CARPET & PAINT IN UPPER UNIT. NEW CARPET IN LOWER UNIT. QUALITY WINDOW TREATMENTS, CLEAN, DRY DIVIDED BASEMENT FOR STORAGE, DETACHED GARAGE W/ 2 DOORS EACH W/ AN OPENER.

Key facts

  • Fenced yard
  • Divided basement
  • Large double lot

Tags

LARGE DOUBLE LOTFULL BRICK DUPLEXDIVIDED BASEMENTFENCED YARDCLOSE TO TOLEDO HOSPITAL

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Home design: One-story property; Built in 1950
  • Construction: 2192 living area
  • Exterior features: Located in the Ottawa subdivision

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $189k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $255 ($3k/yr) — positive. Per door: $128/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $189k).
  • Recommended offer: $186k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D-, crime F.
  • Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 93 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($186k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $84k; list at $189k implies a 125% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $186,066 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.07%
Cap rate
7.92%
Cash-on-cash
5.80%
DSCR
1.26
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$175,360
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2929 Northwood Ave 0.17mi 4/2.0 2,120 (-3%) 22mo $170,000 $80 68
2820 Northwood Ave 0.26mi 4/2.0 2,058 (-6%) 13mo $176,500 $86 67
3437 Douglas Rd 0.44mi 4/2.0 2,146 (-2%) 22mo $170,000 $79 57
3037 Algonquin Pkwy 0.04mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,476 (+13%) 22mo $141,110 $57 53
3350 Wyckliffe Pkwy 0.40mi 4/2.0 1,867 (-15%) 5mo $150,800 $81 52
2647 Gunckel Blvd 0.38mi 4/2.0 2,406 (+10%) 22mo $152,000 $63 48
2826 Upton Ave 0.67mi 4/2.0 1,944 (-11%) 6mo $155,500 $80 45
3712 Douglas Rd 0.71mi 4/2.0 1,944 (-11%) 8mo $188,250 $97 42
3414 Wyckliffe Pkwy 0.43mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,876 (-14%) 13mo $165,000 $88 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.29% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.1%
Equity multiple
0.70×
Total profit
$-15,719
Equity at exit
$28,166
10-year hold
IRR
0.5%
Equity multiple
1.03×
Total profit
$1,683
Equity at exit
$16,333

Cash invested: $52,892 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43606

Home prices YoY
-15.5%
Rents YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
93
Price-to-rent
15.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,012 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$991
Tax from tax record
$265 /mo · $3,176/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$423
Net cashflow
$255

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,689
Max offer price $188,900
Occupancy floor 82%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,012

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,225
Closing costs
$5,667
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2632 Algonquin Pkwy Toledo, OH 3.0 1.5 1568 $800 $0.51 23d 1 0.38mi
3121 Cheltenham Rd Toledo, OH 4.0 2.0 1691 $1,800 $1.06 44d 1 0.62mi
2645 Drummond Rd Toledo, OH 5.0 2.0 2007 $1,900 $0.95 44d 1 0.80mi
3716 Rushland Ave Unit NA Toledo, OH 3.0 1.5 1559 $1,650 $1.06 14d 1 0.80mi
3948 Grantley Rd Toledo, OH 4.0 1.5 1600 $1,500 $0.94 23d 1 1.15mi
1436 Palmetto Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1678 $1,400 $0.83 23d 1 1.21mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    days on market $188,900 Active 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-14
    days on market $188,900 Active 15 DOM
  3. 2026-06-10
    days on market $188,900 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-09
    days on market $188,900 Active 11 DOM
  5. 2026-06-08
    days on market $188,900 Active 10 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    days on market $188,900 Active 9 DOM
  7. 2026-06-05
    days on market $188,900 Active 6 DOM
  8. 2026-06-03
    days on market $188,900 Active 5 DOM
  9. 2026-06-02
    days on market $188,900 Active 4 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $188,900 Active 3 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $188,900 Active 2 DOM
  12. 2026-05-30
    remarks 424-char remark
  13. 2026-05-30
    listed $188,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,176 · $265/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,176 · $265/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 52% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,144
− Mortgage interest
−$10,581
− Property taxes
−$3,176
− Insurance
−$944
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,932
− Management
−$1,932
− Depreciation
−$5,495
Taxable income
$83
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$20
After-tax cash flow
$3,045/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Toledo City
NCES district ID
3904490
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$32,137
Composite
15.76/100
National rank
#9276
State rank
#634 of 656 in OH

Livability — Toledo

Score
66/100
State rank
#645
US rank
#11442

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Toledo, OH
County
Lucas County · 380,724 people
City population
280,811
Metro
Toledo, OH
Population (ZIP)
24,898
Household income
$66,917
Rent vs Own
44.1% rent · 55.9% own
Severe rent burden
843.0

Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,751 people
By 2030
410,187 · -2.5%
By 2040
384,019 · -8.7%
By 2050
355,125 · -15.6%
By 2075
291,683 · -30.7%
By 2100
233,670 · -44.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 29% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Italian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
92% English-only · Arabic 2% Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lucas

2024 margin
D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
2008→2024 swing
-18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -41.19%
Current HPI
224.695
Rent YoY
▲ 2.29%
Metro
Toledo, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+104.2% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-30 Listed $188,900 FSBO.com
  • 2025-10-14 Price Changed $150,000 NORIS
  • 2025-10-14 Price Changed $84,000 NORIS
  • 2015-09-15 Sold (Public Records) $84,000 Public Records
  • 2015-09-11 Sold (MLS) $84,000 NORIS
  • 2014-10-05 Listed $89,900 NORIS
  • 2013-09-30 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2013-05-19 Listed $110,000 NORIS
  • 2004-07-02 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
  • 2004-06-30 Sold (MLS) $150,000 NORIS
  • 2004-05-26 Listed $154,900 NORIS
  • 1995-04-12 Sold (Public Records) $92,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,176 · -0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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