1505 E 15th St · Lehigh Acres, FL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.69%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +12.7/30.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$224,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this beautifully newly renovated 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,392 sq ft of comfortable living space. This property has been thoughtfully updated to provide both style and peace of mind, featuring a brand-new roof, new A/C system, and a new water system. The interior offers a functional layout with spacious living areas, updated finishes, and abundant natural light throughout. The kitchen and bathrooms have been refreshed to enhance everyday living, while the renovations make this home truly move-in ready. Ideal for homeowners or investors alike, this property offers major system upgrades already completed, reducing future maintenance costs. Conveniently located near shopping
Key facts
- New water system
- New a/c system
- Updated finishes
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Pets allowed
- HOA & community: Non-gated community; No association fee
Exterior
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Cable not available
- Home design: Single-story property; Resale home; Faces south
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Wood frame construction; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Open patio; Front porch; Rectangular lot; North exposures
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Split bedrooms layout
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric); Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Double-hung windows; Dual sinks; Living/dining room; Split bedroom floor plan; Unfurnished
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-26 ($-311/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $220k (2.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $188k (16.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $188k (16.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.7% in Lehigh Acres — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#826 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, amenities F.
- Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Veterans Park Academy For The Arts (math 41% / reading 45%, grade F, #1,366 of 2,144 statewide, top 64%, 2,133 students, 36% FRL); Oak Hammock Middle School (math 43% / reading 41%, grade D-, #340 of 571 statewide, top 61%, 1,563 students, 56% FRL); Lehigh Senior High School (math 23% / reading 45%, grade F, #394 of 667 statewide, top 60%, 2,476 students, 57% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.3%/yr); 1620 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 164 days — a 12% lower offer ($198k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 164 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.49%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $310,500
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1403 E 13th St | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,380 (0%) | 16mo | $236,000 | $171 | 63 |
| 1220 Washington Ave | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,536 (+11%) | 2mo | $345,000 | $225 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.33% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-33,594
- Equity at exit
- $33,533
- IRR
- -2.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.81×
- Total profit
- $-12,003
- Equity at exit
- $19,445
Cash invested: $62,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33972
- Home prices YoY
- -13.6%
- Rents YoY
- 5.3%
- Active inventory
- 1620
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,877 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,179
- Tax from tax record
- −$235 /mo · $2,826/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$394
- Net cashflow
- $-26
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $101 | -5% $38 | +0% $-26 | +5% $-90 | +10% $-153 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-174 | -5% $-100 | +0% $-26 | +5% $48 | +10% $122 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $87 | -0.5pp $31 | base $-26 | +0.5pp $-84 | +1.0pp $-144 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,225
- Closing costs
- $6,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 805 E 13th St Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1407 | $1,795 | $1.28 | 5d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1221 E 12th St Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1217 | $1,550 | $1.27 | 25d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1943 E 12th St Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,850 | $1.16 | 25d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 503 E 13th St Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $2,300 | $1.84 | 25d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2701 E 18th St Lehigh Acres, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1577 | $2,000 | $1.27 | 25d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 414 E 12th St Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1225 | $1,500 | $1.22 | 25d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1224 Hamilton Ave Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1347 | $1,595 | $1.18 | 18d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 301 E 12th St Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1305 | $1,700 | $1.30 | 25d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1917 Lorna Ave Lehigh Acres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1042 | $1,675 | $1.61 | 25d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1004 E 10th St Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1406 | $2,100 | $1.49 | 12d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1924 Marlay Ave Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1310 | $1,700 | $1.30 | 25d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1920 Latona St Lehigh Acres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1132 | $1,325 | $1.17 | 25d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 225 Rogers St Lehigh Acres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1138 | $1,400 | $1.23 | 12d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 353 Reeves St Lehigh Acres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1132 | $1,299 | $1.15 | 25d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 134 Viewpoint Dr Lehigh Acres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1042 | $1,650 | $1.58 | 5d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $224,900 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $224,900 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $224,900 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $224,900 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $224,900 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $224,900 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $224,900 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $224,900 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $227,900 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $227,900 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $227,900 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-04-08price $227,900
-
2026-02-24price $234,900
-
2026-02-09price $239,900
-
2026-01-08$249,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,826 · $235/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,826 · $235/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 69% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,521
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,598
- − Property taxes
- −$2,826
- − Insurance
- −$1,124
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,802
- − Management
- −$1,802
- − Depreciation
- −$6,543
- Taxable loss
- −$4,173
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,002
- After-tax cash flow
- $690/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lee
- NCES district ID
- 1201080
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,518
- Composite
- 41.49/100
- National rank
- #3458
- State rank
- #42 of 73 in FL
Livability — Lehigh Acres
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #826
- US rank
- #20055
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lehigh Acres, FL
- County
- Lee County · 788,662 people
- City population
- 130,638
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,285
- Household income
- $73,819
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 190.0
Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 871,946 people
- By 2030
- 955,468 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 1,113,587 · +27.7%
- By 2050
- 1,256,891 · +44.1%
- By 2075
- 1,560,270 · +78.9%
- By 2100
- 1,726,848 · +98.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 44% Hispanic / Latino 38% Two or more races 21% Black 13%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 18%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 6% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 27% · Canada, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 61% English-only · Spanish 32% French/Haitian/Cajun 4% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -53.97%
- Current HPI
- 343.484
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.33%
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
-8.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $227,900 FORTMLS
- 2026-02-24 Price Changed $234,900 FORTMLS
- 2026-02-09 Price Changed $239,900 FORTMLS
- 2026-01-08 Listed $249,900 FORTMLS
Property tax history
+8.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,826 · -1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…