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7978 State Route 36, Lot 4
B+ Composite 76.1
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.1/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +9.2/15.0
  • 1% rule +8.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.5/10.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0

$99,999

7978 State Route 36, Lot 4 · Arkport, NY 14807
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,904 sqft · Manufactured · 175 Days on market
Built 2002 Poor condition $53/sqft · at area comps Est $104k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 2002 manufactured home is located in a quiet, well-established park and offers a comfortable and functional layout. The home features three bedrooms and two full bathrooms, providing ample space for everyday living. The kitchen comes fully equipped with appliances and opens to a bright living area, ideal for relaxing or entertaining. An attached two-car garage adds convenience and additional storage. With a practical floor plan and a desirable park setting, this home presents a great opportunity for affordable living.

Key facts

  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2002
  • Listed 175 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $344 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#468 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Arkport Central School District (town): math 59% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #223 of 590 in NY (top 38%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 196 units permitted in Steuben County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (5.1% local appreciation)).
  • Steuben County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (5.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 175 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $87,999 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 175 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.31%
Cap rate
10.42%
Cash-on-cash
14.75%
DSCR
1.66
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$103,950
List price
$99,999
Delta
-3.80%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7978 State Route 36 Lot 35 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,848 (-3%) 2mo $97,900 $53 89

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.08% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.8%
Equity multiple
2.62×
Total profit
$45,463
Equity at exit
$57,170
10-year hold
IRR
24.8%
Equity multiple
5.23×
Total profit
$118,321
Equity at exit
$99,084

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14807

Home prices YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
13
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,310 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax est. 1.5%
$125 /mo · $1,500/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$275
Net cashflow
$344

Break-even live

Break-even rent $875
Max offer price $99,999
Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $413 -5% $379 +0% $344 +5% $310 +10% $275
Rent -10% $241 -5% $292 +0% $344 +5% $396 +10% $448
Rate -1.0pp $395 -0.5pp $370 base $344 +0.5pp $318 +1.0pp $292

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    statusdays on market $99,999 Pending 175 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,999 Active Under Contract 174 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,999 Active Under Contract 173 DOM
  4. 2026-06-05
    days on market $99,999 Active Under Contract 170 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,999 Active Under Contract 169 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,999 Active Under Contract 168 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,999 Active Under Contract 167 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,999 Active Under Contract 166 DOM
  9. 2026-05-30
    days on market $99,999 Active Under Contract 165 DOM
  10. 2026-05-02
    historical Active Under Contract 528-char remark
    Show marketing remark (528 chars)

    This 2002 manufactured home is located in a quiet, well-established park and offers a comfortable and functional layout. The home features three bedrooms and two full bathrooms, providing ample space for everyday living. The kitchen comes fully equipped with appliances and opens to a bright living area, ideal for relaxing or entertaining. An attached two-car garage adds convenience and additional storage. With a practical floor plan and a desirable park setting, this home presents a great opportunity for affordable living.

  11. 2025-12-16
    listed $99,999 Active 528-char remark
    Show marketing remark (528 chars)

    This 2002 manufactured home is located in a quiet, well-established park and offers a comfortable and functional layout. The home features three bedrooms and two full bathrooms, providing ample space for everyday living. The kitchen comes fully equipped with appliances and opens to a bright living area, ideal for relaxing or entertaining. An attached two-car garage adds convenience and additional storage. With a practical floor plan and a desirable park setting, this home presents a great opportunity for affordable living.

  12. 2025-09-11
    soldstatus $100,000 Closed 980-char remark
    Show marketing remark (980 chars)

    Three-bedroom, 2 full-bath, 68' x 28' manufactured home in The Oaks Development. Big front entry room plus large formal living room. Formal dining room and nice kitchen with appliance package. Lots of cupboard & counter space & the sturdy island counter stools are included. Laundry room, with exit door, has W & D (included), hot water tank, FA furnace & a little pantry closet. Primary bedroom has double closets & attached full bath with tub and sepaate shower. Two other bedrooms & another full bath can be found on the opposite side of the home Enter from the large two-car garage into a good-sized vinyl floored room. .. .great for dry storage or your bench, weights, and exercise bike!! Behind the garage is an attached machine shed and workshop. Out back is a covered patio. Lot rent ($500) includes septic use and maintenance, street cleaning (snow removal) and street lights. Delayed Negotiations until August 23 (Saturday) at noon.

  13. 2025-08-25
    status Pending 980-char remark
    Show marketing remark (980 chars)

    Three-bedroom, 2 full-bath, 68' x 28' manufactured home in The Oaks Development. Big front entry room plus large formal living room. Formal dining room and nice kitchen with appliance package. Lots of cupboard & counter space & the sturdy island counter stools are included. Laundry room, with exit door, has W & D (included), hot water tank, FA furnace & a little pantry closet. Primary bedroom has double closets & attached full bath with tub and sepaate shower. Two other bedrooms & another full bath can be found on the opposite side of the home Enter from the large two-car garage into a good-sized vinyl floored room. .. .great for dry storage or your bench, weights, and exercise bike!! Behind the garage is an attached machine shed and workshop. Out back is a covered patio. Lot rent ($500) includes septic use and maintenance, street cleaning (snow removal) and street lights. Delayed Negotiations until August 23 (Saturday) at noon.

  14. 2025-08-15
    listed $89,900 Active 980-char remark
    Show marketing remark (980 chars)

    Three-bedroom, 2 full-bath, 68' x 28' manufactured home in The Oaks Development. Big front entry room plus large formal living room. Formal dining room and nice kitchen with appliance package. Lots of cupboard & counter space & the sturdy island counter stools are included. Laundry room, with exit door, has W & D (included), hot water tank, FA furnace & a little pantry closet. Primary bedroom has double closets & attached full bath with tub and sepaate shower. Two other bedrooms & another full bath can be found on the opposite side of the home Enter from the large two-car garage into a good-sized vinyl floored room. .. .great for dry storage or your bench, weights, and exercise bike!! Behind the garage is an attached machine shed and workshop. Out back is a covered patio. Lot rent ($500) includes septic use and maintenance, street cleaning (snow removal) and street lights. Delayed Negotiations until August 23 (Saturday) at noon.

  15. 2020-04-28
    soldstatus $58,000
  16. 2020-01-15
    listed $68,000
  17. 2019-06-17
    soldstatus $39,900
  18. 2019-04-29
    listed $39,900
  19. 2018-09-20
    soldstatus $49,000
  20. 2018-05-08
    listed $52,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,726
− Mortgage interest
−$5,601
− Property taxes
−$1,500
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,258
− Management
−$1,258
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$2,699
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$648
After-tax cash flow
$3,483/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

This 2002 manufactured home requires extensive repairs and maintenance, including exterior siding, roof, flooring, HVAC/mechanicals, and landscaping. Significant investment is needed to bring it up to a livable condition.

Repairs flagged

  • Major exterior siding — Significant wear and tear
  • Major roof — No visible damage, but snow suggests potential water damage
  • Major flooring — No visible flooring, but snow suggests potential water damage
  • Major HVAC/mechanicals — No visible interior, but snow suggests potential water damage
  • Major landscaping — Snow-covered yard with minimal vegetation

Value-add opportunities

  • Both exterior siding repair — Improves curb appeal and structural integrity
  • Both roof repair — Prevents water damage and improves structural integrity
  • Both landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and property value
  • Both HVAC/mechanicals — Ensures comfort and energy efficiency

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
exterior siding · Significant wear and tear Major $15,000–50,000
roof · No visible damage, but snow suggests potential water damage Major $15,000–50,000
flooring · No visible flooring, but snow suggests potential water damage Major $15,000–50,000
HVAC/mechanicals · No visible interior, but snow suggests potential water damage Major $15,000–50,000
landscaping · Snow-covered yard with minimal vegetation Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 5 items $75,000–250,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both exterior siding repair — Improves curb appeal and structural integrity
  • Both roof repair — Prevents water damage and improves structural integrity
  • Both landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and property value
  • Both HVAC/mechanicals — Ensures comfort and energy efficiency

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Arkport Central School District
NCES district ID
3603240
Math proficiency
59% ▲ 4.00%
Reading proficiency
65% ▲ 15.00%
Median HH income
$44,995
Composite
52.24/100
National rank
#1601
State rank
#223 of 590 in NY

Livability — Arkport

Score
69/100
State rank
#468
US rank
#8163

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Arkport, NY
Population (ZIP)
2,865

Population outlook (Steuben County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
93,062 people
By 2030
89,793 · -3.5%
By 2040
82,353 · -11.5%
By 2050
74,286 · -20.2%
By 2075
55,589 · -40.3%
By 2100
37,587 · -59.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Steuben

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.8) · D 34.1% · R 65.9%
2008→2024 swing
-15.0pp toward R · 2008: -16.8pp · 2024: -31.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.8 2020: R+29.6 2016: R+36.2 2012: R+16.4 2008: R+16.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.08%
Current HPI
296.229
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+89.0% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-02 Contingent UNYREIS
  • 2025-12-16 Listed $99,999 UNYREIS
  • 2025-09-11 Sold (MLS) $100,000 UNYREIS
  • 2025-08-25 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2025-08-15 Listed $89,900 UNYREIS
  • 2020-04-28 Sold (MLS) $58,000 UNYREIS
  • 2020-01-15 Listed $68,000 UNYREIS
  • 2019-06-17 Sold (MLS) $39,900 UNYREIS
  • 2019-04-29 Listed $39,900 UNYREIS
  • 2018-09-20 Sold (MLS) $49,000 UNYREIS
  • 2018-05-08 Listed $52,900 UNYREIS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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