7978 State Route 36, Lot 4 · Arkport, NY
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.1/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +9.2/15.0
- 1% rule +8.1/10.0
- Appreciation +7.5/10.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
$99,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 2002 manufactured home is located in a quiet, well-established park and offers a comfortable and functional layout. The home features three bedrooms and two full bathrooms, providing ample space for everyday living. The kitchen comes fully equipped with appliances and opens to a bright living area, ideal for relaxing or entertaining. An attached two-car garage adds convenience and additional storage. With a practical floor plan and a desirable park setting, this home presents a great opportunity for affordable living.
Key facts
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2002
- Listed 175 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $344 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#468 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
- Arkport Central School District (town): math 59% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #223 of 590 in NY (top 38%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 196 units permitted in Steuben County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (5.1% local appreciation)).
- Steuben County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (5.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 175 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 175 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.75%
- DSCR
- 1.66
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $103,950
- List price
- $99,999
- Delta
- -3.80%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7978 State Route 36 Lot 35 | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,848 (-3%) | 2mo | $97,900 | $53 | 89 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.08% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.62×
- Total profit
- $45,463
- Equity at exit
- $57,170
- IRR
- 24.8%
- Equity multiple
- 5.23×
- Total profit
- $118,321
- Equity at exit
- $99,084
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14807
- Home prices YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 13
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,310 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$125 /mo · $1,500/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$275
- Net cashflow
- $344
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $413 | -5% $379 | +0% $344 | +5% $310 | +10% $275 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $241 | -5% $292 | +0% $344 | +5% $396 | +10% $448 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $395 | -0.5pp $370 | base $344 | +0.5pp $318 | +1.0pp $292 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-09statusdays on market $99,999 Pending 175 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $99,999 Active Under Contract 174 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $99,999 Active Under Contract 173 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $99,999 Active Under Contract 170 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $99,999 Active Under Contract 169 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $99,999 Active Under Contract 168 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $99,999 Active Under Contract 167 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $99,999 Active Under Contract 166 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $99,999 Active Under Contract 165 DOM
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2026-05-02historical Active Under Contract 528-char remark
Show marketing remark (528 chars)
This 2002 manufactured home is located in a quiet, well-established park and offers a comfortable and functional layout. The home features three bedrooms and two full bathrooms, providing ample space for everyday living. The kitchen comes fully equipped with appliances and opens to a bright living area, ideal for relaxing or entertaining. An attached two-car garage adds convenience and additional storage. With a practical floor plan and a desirable park setting, this home presents a great opportunity for affordable living.
-
2025-12-16$99,999 Active 528-char remark
Show marketing remark (528 chars)
This 2002 manufactured home is located in a quiet, well-established park and offers a comfortable and functional layout. The home features three bedrooms and two full bathrooms, providing ample space for everyday living. The kitchen comes fully equipped with appliances and opens to a bright living area, ideal for relaxing or entertaining. An attached two-car garage adds convenience and additional storage. With a practical floor plan and a desirable park setting, this home presents a great opportunity for affordable living.
-
2025-09-11soldstatus $100,000 Closed 980-char remark
Show marketing remark (980 chars)
Three-bedroom, 2 full-bath, 68' x 28' manufactured home in The Oaks Development. Big front entry room plus large formal living room. Formal dining room and nice kitchen with appliance package. Lots of cupboard & counter space & the sturdy island counter stools are included. Laundry room, with exit door, has W & D (included), hot water tank, FA furnace & a little pantry closet. Primary bedroom has double closets & attached full bath with tub and sepaate shower. Two other bedrooms & another full bath can be found on the opposite side of the home Enter from the large two-car garage into a good-sized vinyl floored room. .. .great for dry storage or your bench, weights, and exercise bike!! Behind the garage is an attached machine shed and workshop. Out back is a covered patio. Lot rent ($500) includes septic use and maintenance, street cleaning (snow removal) and street lights. Delayed Negotiations until August 23 (Saturday) at noon.
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2025-08-25status Pending 980-char remark
Show marketing remark (980 chars)
Three-bedroom, 2 full-bath, 68' x 28' manufactured home in The Oaks Development. Big front entry room plus large formal living room. Formal dining room and nice kitchen with appliance package. Lots of cupboard & counter space & the sturdy island counter stools are included. Laundry room, with exit door, has W & D (included), hot water tank, FA furnace & a little pantry closet. Primary bedroom has double closets & attached full bath with tub and sepaate shower. Two other bedrooms & another full bath can be found on the opposite side of the home Enter from the large two-car garage into a good-sized vinyl floored room. .. .great for dry storage or your bench, weights, and exercise bike!! Behind the garage is an attached machine shed and workshop. Out back is a covered patio. Lot rent ($500) includes septic use and maintenance, street cleaning (snow removal) and street lights. Delayed Negotiations until August 23 (Saturday) at noon.
-
2025-08-15$89,900 Active 980-char remark
Show marketing remark (980 chars)
Three-bedroom, 2 full-bath, 68' x 28' manufactured home in The Oaks Development. Big front entry room plus large formal living room. Formal dining room and nice kitchen with appliance package. Lots of cupboard & counter space & the sturdy island counter stools are included. Laundry room, with exit door, has W & D (included), hot water tank, FA furnace & a little pantry closet. Primary bedroom has double closets & attached full bath with tub and sepaate shower. Two other bedrooms & another full bath can be found on the opposite side of the home Enter from the large two-car garage into a good-sized vinyl floored room. .. .great for dry storage or your bench, weights, and exercise bike!! Behind the garage is an attached machine shed and workshop. Out back is a covered patio. Lot rent ($500) includes septic use and maintenance, street cleaning (snow removal) and street lights. Delayed Negotiations until August 23 (Saturday) at noon.
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2020-04-28soldstatus $58,000
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2020-01-15$68,000
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2019-06-17soldstatus $39,900
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2019-04-29$39,900
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2018-09-20soldstatus $49,000
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2018-05-08$52,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,726
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,601
- − Property taxes
- −$1,500
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,258
- − Management
- −$1,258
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $2,699
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$648
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,483/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This 2002 manufactured home requires extensive repairs and maintenance, including exterior siding, roof, flooring, HVAC/mechanicals, and landscaping. Significant investment is needed to bring it up to a livable condition.
Repairs flagged
- Major exterior siding — Significant wear and tear
- Major roof — No visible damage, but snow suggests potential water damage
- Major flooring — No visible flooring, but snow suggests potential water damage
- Major HVAC/mechanicals — No visible interior, but snow suggests potential water damage
- Major landscaping — Snow-covered yard with minimal vegetation
Value-add opportunities
- Both exterior siding repair — Improves curb appeal and structural integrity
- Both roof repair — Prevents water damage and improves structural integrity
- Both landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and property value
- Both HVAC/mechanicals — Ensures comfort and energy efficiency
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| exterior siding · Significant wear and tear | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| roof · No visible damage, but snow suggests potential water damage | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| flooring · No visible flooring, but snow suggests potential water damage | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| HVAC/mechanicals · No visible interior, but snow suggests potential water damage | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| landscaping · Snow-covered yard with minimal vegetation | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 5 items | $75,000–250,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both exterior siding repair — Improves curb appeal and structural integrity ↑
- Both roof repair — Prevents water damage and improves structural integrity ↑
- Both landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and property value ↑
- Both HVAC/mechanicals — Ensures comfort and energy efficiency ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Arkport Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3603240
- Math proficiency
- 59% ▲ 4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 65% ▲ 15.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,995
- Composite
- 52.24/100
- National rank
- #1601
- State rank
- #223 of 590 in NY
Livability — Arkport
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #468
- US rank
- #8163
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Arkport, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,865
Population outlook (Steuben County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 93,062 people
- By 2030
- 89,793 · -3.5%
- By 2040
- 82,353 · -11.5%
- By 2050
- 74,286 · -20.2%
- By 2075
- 55,589 · -40.3%
- By 2100
- 37,587 · -59.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Steuben
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.8) · D 34.1% · R 65.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.0pp toward R · 2008: -16.8pp · 2024: -31.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.8 2020: R+29.6 2016: R+36.2 2012: R+16.4 2008: R+16.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.08%
- Current HPI
- 296.229
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+89.0% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-02 Contingent — UNYREIS
- 2025-12-16 Listed $99,999 UNYREIS
- 2025-09-11 Sold (MLS) $100,000 UNYREIS
- 2025-08-25 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2025-08-15 Listed $89,900 UNYREIS
- 2020-04-28 Sold (MLS) $58,000 UNYREIS
- 2020-01-15 Listed $68,000 UNYREIS
- 2019-06-17 Sold (MLS) $39,900 UNYREIS
- 2019-04-29 Listed $39,900 UNYREIS
- 2018-09-20 Sold (MLS) $49,000 UNYREIS
- 2018-05-08 Listed $52,900 UNYREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…