656 E Saint Germain St · St. Cloud, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$224,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Wonderful, rehabbed property with new paint, new carpet, new SS appliances. Beautiful kitchen with adjacent dining room. 2 bedrooms on main level as well as new bathroom. 2 rooms upstairs can be bedrooms or a bedroom/loft area. Basement is ready to be finished and has a 3/4 bath. 2 car detached garage with additional parking in alley. New Furnace 2018.
Key facts
- Brand-new roof
- Granite countertops
- 3/4 bathroom
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached concrete driveway; 2-car garage (approx. 24 x 22)
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Natural gas
- Home design: Residential property; One-and-one-half story; Brick/mortar foundation; Pitched asphalt roof
- Construction: Brick/mortar foundation; Vinyl exterior; Asphalt pitched roof
- Exterior features: Vinyl siding; Chain link fencing; Porch; Medium tree coverage; Public transit within about 6 blocks
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Stainless steel appliances; Kitchen window
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms total (Main level primary and other bedrooms on main; additional loft on upper level)
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: Main-floor full bathroom; Basement three-quarter bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Hardwood floors; Kitchen window; Main-floor primary bedroom; Front porch
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $35 ($418/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $185k (17.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $185k (17.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.9% in St. Cloud — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Cloud Public School District (urban): math 27% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #264 of 301 in MN (top 88%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.8%/yr); 116 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 82 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 11 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $137k; list at $225k implies a 64% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.66%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.79% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-32,790
- Equity at exit
- $33,533
- IRR
- -4.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-19,712
- Equity at exit
- $19,445
Cash invested: $62,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 56304
- Home prices YoY
- -21.4%
- Rents YoY
- 3.8%
- Active inventory
- 116
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,851 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,179
- Tax from tax record
- −$154 /mo · $1,854/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$389
- Net cashflow
- $35
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,225
- Closing costs
- $6,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1540 State Highway 23 Saint Cloud, MN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1050 | $1,325 | $1.26 | 2d | 10 | 0.66mi |
| 1205 11th St SE Saint Cloud, MN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1416 | $2,450 | $1.73 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1225 13th St SE Saint Cloud, MN | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $2,450 | $1.63 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1277 15th St NE Sauk Rapids, MN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 933 | $1,235 | $1.32 | 24d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $224,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $224,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-17$224,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,854 · $154/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,186 · $182/mo
- Expected delta
- +$332/yr (+$28/mo · 17.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,215
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,598
- − Property taxes
- −$1,854
- − Insurance
- −$1,124
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,777
- − Management
- −$1,777
- − Depreciation
- −$6,543
- Taxable loss
- −$3,459
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$830
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,248/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Cloud Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2733510
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,638
- Composite
- 27.91/100
- National rank
- #6866
- State rank
- #264 of 301 in MN
Livability — St. Cloud
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Cloud, MN
- County
- Sherburne County · 120,363 people
- City population
- 60,914
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,473
- Household income
- $58,148
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1175.0
Population outlook (Benton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 41,796 people
- By 2030
- 42,497 · +1.7%
- By 2040
- 43,143 · +3.2%
- By 2050
- 42,809 · +2.4%
- By 2075
- 39,973 · -4.4%
- By 2100
- 36,969 · -11.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Black 17% Two or more races 9% Asian 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Native American 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 6% Romanian 5% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Vietnam, Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 3% Vietnamese 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Benton
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+35.9) · D 31.1% · R 67.0% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: -9.8pp · 2024: -35.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+35.9 2020: R+31.9 2016: R+36.3 2012: R+13.7 2008: R+9.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -60.11%
- Current HPI
- 220.2539
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.79%
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
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Price history
+81.5% since first listed30 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Listed $224,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-05-21 Sold (MLS) $137,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-04-30 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-04-26 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-04-18 Listed $139,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-12-07 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records
- 2018-06-30 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-06-06 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-02-20 Price Changed $94,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-12-17 Listed $99,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-05-16 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-05-09 Relisted — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-04-14 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-03-24 Price Changed $85,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-02-19 Listed $95,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-01-01 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-10-18 Listed $99,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-11-26 Sold (MLS) $97,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-11-18 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-11-06 Listed $99,950 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-02-28 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-02-28 Sold (MLS) $137,600 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-02-28 Sold (MLS) $137,600 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-02-08 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-01-06 Listed $134,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-01-06 Listed $134,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-08-21 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-02-01 Listed $134,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-10-04 Sold (MLS) $126,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-07-15 Listed $123,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,854 · -3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…