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15051 S Thorn Lake Loop Loop
B- Composite 65.23
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$74,900

15051 S Thorn Lake Loop Loop · Wascott, WI 54838
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,008 sqft · Other · 54 Days on market
Built 1976 0.94 ac lot $74/sqft · 70% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to your chance to own a piece of Northwoods tradition! Located on quiet and scenic Thorn Lake in Wascott Township, this 2-bedroom year-round cabin has been cherished by the same family as a recreational retreat for 55 years—and now it’s ready for new memories to be made. This isn’t a fancy showplace—it’s a true up-north cabin designed for relaxing, exploring, and enjoying everything the Northwoods has to offer. Enjoy the property and the peaceful lake views and the sounds of nature, with regular visits from Trumpeter Swans, Loons, Eagles, Deer, and more. Perfect as a basecamp for outdoor enthusiasts, with easy access to Snowmobile & UTV trails, hunting land and outdoor recreation, fishing and boating on nearby lakes, golf courses and great local bars and restaurants. Just a short drive from the famous crystal-clear Eau Claire Lakes Chain, where you can enjoy swimming, fishing, boating, and all kinds of water fun. If you’ve been looking for an affordable Northwoods escape with character, history, and endless recreation nearby—this could be it.

Key facts

  • Hunting land
  • Fishing and boating
  • Golf courses

Tags

PEACEFUL LAKE VIEWSHUNTING LANDFISHING AND BOATINGGOLF COURSESEAU CLAIRE LAKES CHAINAFFORDABLE NORTHWOODS ESCAPE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot is about 0.94 acres (zoned Recreational/Residential); Lake size approximately 29 acres, lake depth about 6 ft

Exterior

  • Utilities: Privy/outhouse
  • Home design: Single-family, 1-story seasonal/4-season home; Approximately 1,008 finished above-grade square feet
  • Construction: Aluminum exterior
  • Exterior features: Deck; Storage shed; Waterfrontage on Thorn Lake; Lake with 101–199 ft frontage and muck bottom

Interior

  • Kitchen: Freezer; Range/Oven; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom (Main) — 11 x 11; Bedroom 2 (Main) — 9 x 8
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; LP gas fuel; Wall A/C
  • Interior features: Circuit breakers; High-speed internet

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $285 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($941 rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Northwood School District (rural): math 30% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #391 of 426 in WI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 40 active listings in the ZIP; 110 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $518 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Douglas County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $72,653 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.26%
Cap rate
10.86%
Cash-on-cash
16.32%
DSCR
1.73
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$249,867
List price
$74,900
Delta
-70.02%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.3%
Equity multiple
1.29×
Total profit
$6,011
Equity at exit
$11,168
10-year hold
IRR
16.6%
Equity multiple
2.36×
Total profit
$28,540
Equity at exit
$6,476

Cash invested: $20,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Wisconsin
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; Madison / Milwaukee have some local enforcement.

ZIP-level market 54838

Home prices YoY
-5.8%
Active inventory
40
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$941 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$34 /mo · $411/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$198
Net cashflow
$285

Break-even live

Break-even rent $580
Max offer price $74,900
Occupancy floor 65%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,725
Closing costs
$2,247
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $74,900 Active 54 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $74,900 Active 53 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $74,900 Active 52 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $74,900 Active 51 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $74,900 Active 50 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $74,900 Active 49 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $74,900 Active 48 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $74,900 Active 45 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $74,900 Active 44 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $74,900 Active 43 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $74,900 Active 41 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $74,900 Active 39 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $74,900 Active 38 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $74,900 Active 37 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $74,900 Active 36 DOM
  16. 2026-04-24
    listed $74,900 Active 1072-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1112 chars)

    Welcome to your chance to own a piece of Northwoods tradition! Located on quiet and scenic Thorn Lake in Wascott Township, this 2-bedroom year-round cabin has been cherished by the same family as a recreational retreat for 55 years—and now it’s ready for new memories to be made. This isn’t a fancy showplace—it’s a true up-north cabin designed for relaxing, exploring, and enjoying everything the Northwoods has to offer. Enjoy the property and the peaceful lake views and the sounds of nature, with regular visits from Trumpeter Swans, Loons, Eagles, Deer, and more. Perfect as a basecamp for outdoor enthusiasts, with easy access to Snowmobile & UTV trails, hunting land and outdoor recreation, fishing and boating on nearby lakes, golf courses and great local bars and restaurants. Just a short drive from the famous crystal-clear Eau Claire Lakes Chain, where you can enjoy swimming, fishing, boating, and all kinds of water fun. If you’ve been looking for an affordable Northwoods escape with character, history, and endless recreation nearby—this could be it.

  17. 2026-04-24
    listed $74,900 Active 1072-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1112 chars)

    Welcome to your chance to own a piece of Northwoods tradition! Located on quiet and scenic Thorn Lake in Wascott Township, this 2-bedroom year-round cabin has been cherished by the same family as a recreational retreat for 55 years—and now it’s ready for new memories to be made. This isn’t a fancy showplace—it’s a true up-north cabin designed for relaxing, exploring, and enjoying everything the Northwoods has to offer. Enjoy the property and the peaceful lake views and the sounds of nature, with regular visits from Trumpeter Swans, Loons, Eagles, Deer, and more. Perfect as a basecamp for outdoor enthusiasts, with easy access to Snowmobile & UTV trails, hunting land and outdoor recreation, fishing and boating on nearby lakes, golf courses and great local bars and restaurants. Just a short drive from the famous crystal-clear Eau Claire Lakes Chain, where you can enjoy swimming, fishing, boating, and all kinds of water fun. If you’ve been looking for an affordable Northwoods escape with character, history, and endless recreation nearby—this could be it.

  18. 2026-04-24
    listed $74,900 Active 1072-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1112 chars)

    Welcome to your chance to own a piece of Northwoods tradition! Located on quiet and scenic Thorn Lake in Wascott Township, this 2-bedroom year-round cabin has been cherished by the same family as a recreational retreat for 55 years—and now it’s ready for new memories to be made. This isn’t a fancy showplace—it’s a true up-north cabin designed for relaxing, exploring, and enjoying everything the Northwoods has to offer. Enjoy the property and the peaceful lake views and the sounds of nature, with regular visits from Trumpeter Swans, Loons, Eagles, Deer, and more. Perfect as a basecamp for outdoor enthusiasts, with easy access to Snowmobile & UTV trails, hunting land and outdoor recreation, fishing and boating on nearby lakes, golf courses and great local bars and restaurants. Just a short drive from the famous crystal-clear Eau Claire Lakes Chain, where you can enjoy swimming, fishing, boating, and all kinds of water fun. If you’ve been looking for an affordable Northwoods escape with character, history, and endless recreation nearby—this could be it.

  19. 2026-04-24
    listed $74,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (1112 chars)

    Welcome to your chance to own a piece of Northwoods tradition! Located on quiet and scenic Thorn Lake in Wascott Township, this 2-bedroom year-round cabin has been cherished by the same family as a recreational retreat for 55 years—and now it’s ready for new memories to be made. This isn’t a fancy showplace—it’s a true up-north cabin designed for relaxing, exploring, and enjoying everything the Northwoods has to offer. Enjoy the property and the peaceful lake views and the sounds of nature, with regular visits from Trumpeter Swans, Loons, Eagles, Deer, and more. Perfect as a basecamp for outdoor enthusiasts, with easy access to Snowmobile & UTV trails, hunting land and outdoor recreation, fishing and boating on nearby lakes, golf courses and great local bars and restaurants. Just a short drive from the famous crystal-clear Eau Claire Lakes Chain, where you can enjoy swimming, fishing, boating, and all kinds of water fun. If you’ve been looking for an affordable Northwoods escape with character, history, and endless recreation nearby—this could be it.

  20. 2026-04-24
    listed $74,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (1112 chars)

    Welcome to your chance to own a piece of Northwoods tradition! Located on quiet and scenic Thorn Lake in Wascott Township, this 2-bedroom year-round cabin has been cherished by the same family as a recreational retreat for 55 years—and now it’s ready for new memories to be made. This isn’t a fancy showplace—it’s a true up-north cabin designed for relaxing, exploring, and enjoying everything the Northwoods has to offer. Enjoy the property and the peaceful lake views and the sounds of nature, with regular visits from Trumpeter Swans, Loons, Eagles, Deer, and more. Perfect as a basecamp for outdoor enthusiasts, with easy access to Snowmobile & UTV trails, hunting land and outdoor recreation, fishing and boating on nearby lakes, golf courses and great local bars and restaurants. Just a short drive from the famous crystal-clear Eau Claire Lakes Chain, where you can enjoy swimming, fishing, boating, and all kinds of water fun. If you’ve been looking for an affordable Northwoods escape with character, history, and endless recreation nearby—this could be it.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$411 · $34/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$898 · $75/mo
Expected delta
+$487/yr (+$41/mo · 118.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,294
− Mortgage interest
−$4,196
− Property taxes
−$411
− Insurance
−$374
− Repairs & maintenance
−$904
− Management
−$904
− Depreciation
−$2,179
Taxable income
$2,327
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$558
After-tax cash flow
$2,865/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Northwood School District
NCES district ID
5509720
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$45,488
Composite
26.65/100
National rank
#12588
State rank
#391 of 426 in WI

Livability — Wascott

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,302

Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
42,505 people
By 2030
41,269 · -2.9%
By 2040
37,829 · -11.0%
By 2050
34,043 · -19.9%
By 2075
25,892 · -39.1%
By 2100
19,487 · -54.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 5% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 11% Romanian 4% Scottish 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Douglas

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.3) · D 52.0% · R 46.6% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-27.9pp toward R · 2008: 33.2pp · 2024: 5.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.3 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+7.6 2012: D+31.3 2008: D+33.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -13.66%
Current HPI
221.918
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.10%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $74,900 WWRA
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $74,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $74,900 LSAR
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $74,900 SAAR
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $74,900 RANWW

Property tax history

-0.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $411 · -21.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…