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11820 Big Tower Rd
B Composite 71.91
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +7.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.9/10.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$135,000

11820 Big Tower Rd · Briley, MI 49709
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,130 sqft · SingleFamily · 25 Days on market
Built 1900 1.27 ac lot $63/sqft · 41% below area Est $228k · 41% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 11820 Big Tower Rd in Atlanta, MI — a spacious 4-bedroom, 1-bath home situated on approximately 1.3 acres with plenty of room to enjoy the peaceful northern Michigan setting. Offering about 2,130 sq ft of living space, this home features a comfortable layout with multiple living areas, a large sunroom, generous natural light, and a nice mix of tile, hardwood, and LVP flooring throughout. Several important updates are already in place, including a metal roof, newer water heater, brand-new drain field, updated bathroom finishes, natural gas, well, central air, and a furnace reported to be in good condition. Outside, the property includes a storage shed, wooded surroundings, and ample yard space with room to make it your own. With its size, acreage, and setting, this property offers a great opportunity for a buyer looking for space, privacy, and value in the Atlanta area.

Key facts

  • 1.27 acre lot
  • Built 1900
  • Listed 25 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property listed as residential single family
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association present

Exterior

  • Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One-level home
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; 2,130 above-grade finished square feet
  • Exterior features: Lot about 1.27 acres; Lot size (land area) approximately 1.27 acres

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
  • Interior features: Crawl space basement; Total of 5 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $264 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $134k (0.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $133k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Atlanta Community Schools (rural): math 25% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #546 of 760 in MI (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 56 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $14k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Montmorency County population projected at -38% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($133k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $103k; 31% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $132,975 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.99%
Cap rate
8.64%
Cash-on-cash
8.38%
DSCR
1.37
GRM
8.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$227,982
List price
$135,000
Delta
-40.78%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
8 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
11862 M-32 0.50mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,988 (-7%) 4mo $105,000 $53 58

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
30.4%
Equity multiple
3.39×
Total profit
$90,276
Equity at exit
$121,619
10-year hold
IRR
26.3%
Equity multiple
7.68×
Total profit
$252,497
Equity at exit
$262,275

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49709

Home prices YoY
13.5%
Active inventory
56
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,341 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$31 /mo · $375/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$282
Net cashflow
$264

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,007
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 75%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $135,000 Active 25 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $135,000 Active 24 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $135,000 Active 23 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    price $135,000 Active 22 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $145,000 Active 22 DOM
    Show marketing remark (898 chars)

    Welcome to 11820 Big Tower Rd in Atlanta, MI — a spacious 4-bedroom, 1-bath home situated on approximately 1.3 acres with plenty of room to enjoy the peaceful northern Michigan setting. Offering about 2,130 sq ft of living space, this home features a comfortable layout with multiple living areas, a large sunroom, generous natural light, and a nice mix of tile, hardwood, and LVP flooring throughout. Several important updates are already in place, including a metal roof, newer water heater, brand-new drain field, updated bathroom finishes, natural gas, well, central air, and a furnace reported to be in good condition. Outside, the property includes a storage shed, wooded surroundings, and ample yard space with room to make it your own. With its size, acreage, and setting, this property offers a great opportunity for a buyer looking for space, privacy, and value in the Atlanta area.

  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $145,000 Active 20 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $145,000 Active 19 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $145,000 Active 16 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    status $145,000 Active 15 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    statusdays on market $145,000 Pending 15 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $145,000 Active 14 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $145,000 Active 13 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $145,000 Active 12 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $145,000 Active 11 DOM
  15. 2026-05-06
    historical
    Show marketing remark (898 chars)

    Welcome to 11820 Big Tower Rd in Atlanta, MI — a spacious 4-bedroom, 1-bath home situated on approximately 1.3 acres with plenty of room to enjoy the peaceful northern Michigan setting. Offering about 2,130 sq ft of living space, this home features a comfortable layout with multiple living areas, a large sunroom, generous natural light, and a nice mix of tile, hardwood, and LVP flooring throughout. Several important updates are already in place, including a metal roof, newer water heater, brand-new drain field, updated bathroom finishes, natural gas, well, central air, and a furnace reported to be in good condition. Outside, the property includes a storage shed, wooded surroundings, and ample yard space with room to make it your own. With its size, acreage, and setting, this property offers a great opportunity for a buyer looking for space, privacy, and value in the Atlanta area.

  16. 2026-04-29
    listed $145,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (898 chars)

    Welcome to 11820 Big Tower Rd in Atlanta, MI — a spacious 4-bedroom, 1-bath home situated on approximately 1.3 acres with plenty of room to enjoy the peaceful northern Michigan setting. Offering about 2,130 sq ft of living space, this home features a comfortable layout with multiple living areas, a large sunroom, generous natural light, and a nice mix of tile, hardwood, and LVP flooring throughout. Several important updates are already in place, including a metal roof, newer water heater, brand-new drain field, updated bathroom finishes, natural gas, well, central air, and a furnace reported to be in good condition. Outside, the property includes a storage shed, wooded surroundings, and ample yard space with room to make it your own. With its size, acreage, and setting, this property offers a great opportunity for a buyer looking for space, privacy, and value in the Atlanta area.

  17. 2026-04-29
    listed $145,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (898 chars)

    Welcome to 11820 Big Tower Rd in Atlanta, MI — a spacious 4-bedroom, 1-bath home situated on approximately 1.3 acres with plenty of room to enjoy the peaceful northern Michigan setting. Offering about 2,130 sq ft of living space, this home features a comfortable layout with multiple living areas, a large sunroom, generous natural light, and a nice mix of tile, hardwood, and LVP flooring throughout. Several important updates are already in place, including a metal roof, newer water heater, brand-new drain field, updated bathroom finishes, natural gas, well, central air, and a furnace reported to be in good condition. Outside, the property includes a storage shed, wooded surroundings, and ample yard space with room to make it your own. With its size, acreage, and setting, this property offers a great opportunity for a buyer looking for space, privacy, and value in the Atlanta area.

  18. 2019-10-09
    soldstatus $103,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$375 · $31/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,227 · $102/mo
Expected delta
+$852/yr (+$71/mo · 227.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,093
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$375
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,287
− Management
−$1,287
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable income
$979
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$235
After-tax cash flow
$2,933/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Atlanta Community Schools
NCES district ID
2603570
Math proficiency
25% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▲ 10.00%
Median HH income
$35,004
Composite
27.59/100
National rank
#12347
State rank
#546 of 760 in MI

Livability — Briley

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
3,524

Population outlook (Montmorency County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
8,233 people
By 2030
7,575 · -8.0%
By 2040
6,202 · -24.7%
By 2050
5,081 · -38.3%
By 2075
3,119 · -62.1%
By 2100
1,923 · -76.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 11% Lithuanian 7% Slovak 6%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montmorency

2024 margin
Solid R (+45.3) · D 26.6% · R 72.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-37.2pp toward R · 2008: -8.2pp · 2024: -45.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+45.3 2020: R+43.4 2016: R+44.2 2012: R+17.4 2008: R+8.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 42.88%
Current HPI
361.3052
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+31.1% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Price Changed $135,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-15 Price Changed $135,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-08 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-08 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-03 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-03 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-26 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-26 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-06 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $145,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $145,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2019-10-09 Sold (Public Records) $103,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-8.9%/yr

Latest (2024): $375 · -43.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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