11820 Big Tower Rd · Briley, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +7.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 11820 Big Tower Rd in Atlanta, MI — a spacious 4-bedroom, 1-bath home situated on approximately 1.3 acres with plenty of room to enjoy the peaceful northern Michigan setting. Offering about 2,130 sq ft of living space, this home features a comfortable layout with multiple living areas, a large sunroom, generous natural light, and a nice mix of tile, hardwood, and LVP flooring throughout. Several important updates are already in place, including a metal roof, newer water heater, brand-new drain field, updated bathroom finishes, natural gas, well, central air, and a furnace reported to be in good condition. Outside, the property includes a storage shed, wooded surroundings, and ample yard space with room to make it your own. With its size, acreage, and setting, this property offers a great opportunity for a buyer looking for space, privacy, and value in the Atlanta area.
Key facts
- 1.27 acre lot
- Built 1900
- Listed 25 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property listed as residential single family
- HOA & community: Homeowners association present
Exterior
- Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One-level home
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; 2,130 above-grade finished square feet
- Exterior features: Lot about 1.27 acres; Lot size (land area) approximately 1.27 acres
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
- Interior features: Crawl space basement; Total of 5 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $264 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $134k (0.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $133k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Atlanta Community Schools (rural): math 25% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #546 of 760 in MI (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 56 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $14k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Montmorency County population projected at -38% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($133k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $103k; 31% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.38%
- DSCR
- 1.37
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $227,982
- List price
- $135,000
- Delta
- -40.78%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 8 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11862 M-32 | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,988 (-7%) | 4mo | $105,000 | $53 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 30.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.39×
- Total profit
- $90,276
- Equity at exit
- $121,619
- IRR
- 26.3%
- Equity multiple
- 7.68×
- Total profit
- $252,497
- Equity at exit
- $262,275
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49709
- Home prices YoY
- 13.5%
- Active inventory
- 56
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,341 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$31 /mo · $375/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$282
- Net cashflow
- $264
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $135,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $135,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $135,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-16price $135,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $145,000 Active 22 DOM
Show marketing remark (898 chars)
Welcome to 11820 Big Tower Rd in Atlanta, MI — a spacious 4-bedroom, 1-bath home situated on approximately 1.3 acres with plenty of room to enjoy the peaceful northern Michigan setting. Offering about 2,130 sq ft of living space, this home features a comfortable layout with multiple living areas, a large sunroom, generous natural light, and a nice mix of tile, hardwood, and LVP flooring throughout. Several important updates are already in place, including a metal roof, newer water heater, brand-new drain field, updated bathroom finishes, natural gas, well, central air, and a furnace reported to be in good condition. Outside, the property includes a storage shed, wooded surroundings, and ample yard space with room to make it your own. With its size, acreage, and setting, this property offers a great opportunity for a buyer looking for space, privacy, and value in the Atlanta area.
-
2026-06-13days on market $145,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $145,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $145,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-09status $145,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-04statusdays on market $145,000 Pending 15 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $145,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $145,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $145,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $145,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-06historical
Show marketing remark (898 chars)
Welcome to 11820 Big Tower Rd in Atlanta, MI — a spacious 4-bedroom, 1-bath home situated on approximately 1.3 acres with plenty of room to enjoy the peaceful northern Michigan setting. Offering about 2,130 sq ft of living space, this home features a comfortable layout with multiple living areas, a large sunroom, generous natural light, and a nice mix of tile, hardwood, and LVP flooring throughout. Several important updates are already in place, including a metal roof, newer water heater, brand-new drain field, updated bathroom finishes, natural gas, well, central air, and a furnace reported to be in good condition. Outside, the property includes a storage shed, wooded surroundings, and ample yard space with room to make it your own. With its size, acreage, and setting, this property offers a great opportunity for a buyer looking for space, privacy, and value in the Atlanta area.
-
2026-04-29$145,000 Active
Show marketing remark (898 chars)
Welcome to 11820 Big Tower Rd in Atlanta, MI — a spacious 4-bedroom, 1-bath home situated on approximately 1.3 acres with plenty of room to enjoy the peaceful northern Michigan setting. Offering about 2,130 sq ft of living space, this home features a comfortable layout with multiple living areas, a large sunroom, generous natural light, and a nice mix of tile, hardwood, and LVP flooring throughout. Several important updates are already in place, including a metal roof, newer water heater, brand-new drain field, updated bathroom finishes, natural gas, well, central air, and a furnace reported to be in good condition. Outside, the property includes a storage shed, wooded surroundings, and ample yard space with room to make it your own. With its size, acreage, and setting, this property offers a great opportunity for a buyer looking for space, privacy, and value in the Atlanta area.
-
2026-04-29$145,000 Active
Show marketing remark (898 chars)
Welcome to 11820 Big Tower Rd in Atlanta, MI — a spacious 4-bedroom, 1-bath home situated on approximately 1.3 acres with plenty of room to enjoy the peaceful northern Michigan setting. Offering about 2,130 sq ft of living space, this home features a comfortable layout with multiple living areas, a large sunroom, generous natural light, and a nice mix of tile, hardwood, and LVP flooring throughout. Several important updates are already in place, including a metal roof, newer water heater, brand-new drain field, updated bathroom finishes, natural gas, well, central air, and a furnace reported to be in good condition. Outside, the property includes a storage shed, wooded surroundings, and ample yard space with room to make it your own. With its size, acreage, and setting, this property offers a great opportunity for a buyer looking for space, privacy, and value in the Atlanta area.
-
2019-10-09soldstatus $103,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $375 · $31/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,227 · $102/mo
- Expected delta
- +$852/yr (+$71/mo · 227.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,093
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$375
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,287
- − Management
- −$1,287
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $979
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$235
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,933/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Atlanta Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2603570
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▲ 10.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,004
- Composite
- 27.59/100
- National rank
- #12347
- State rank
- #546 of 760 in MI
Livability — Briley
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,524
Population outlook (Montmorency County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 8,233 people
- By 2030
- 7,575 · -8.0%
- By 2040
- 6,202 · -24.7%
- By 2050
- 5,081 · -38.3%
- By 2075
- 3,119 · -62.1%
- By 2100
- 1,923 · -76.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Lithuanian 7% Slovak 6%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montmorency
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.3) · D 26.6% · R 72.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -37.2pp toward R · 2008: -8.2pp · 2024: -45.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.3 2020: R+43.4 2016: R+44.2 2012: R+17.4 2008: R+8.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 42.88%
- Current HPI
- 361.3052
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+31.1% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Price Changed $135,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-15 Price Changed $135,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-08 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-06-08 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-03 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-06-03 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-26 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-26 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-06 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-29 Listed $145,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-29 Listed $145,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-10-09 Sold (Public Records) $103,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-8.9%/yrLatest (2024): $375 · -43.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…