6415 Wimbledon Villas Dr · Houston, TX 77379

$315,000

4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,725 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 27 Days on market

Built 1981 9,600 sqft lot $116/sqft · 17% below area Est $381k · 17% under $61/mo HOA · 2% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• Cash flow +8.0/30.0
• Schools +4.1/10.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• 1% rule +3.2/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• DSCR +2.1/10.0
• Rent growth +2.0/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

PRICE IMPROVED - MOTIVATED SELLER! NEVER FLOODED Suburban serenity in Wimbledon Estates! These fabulous 4 bedrooms 2½ baths home is a blank canvas for your imagination! Freshly painted interiors, large bedrooms, formal living and dining room, crown moldings, brand new carpet, large family room offers coffered walls and exposed beam ceiling, bricked fireplace and walk in wet bar equipped with wine storage and serving counter is perfect for entertaining and family gatherings. The formal dining and breakfast rooms offer elegant wainscoting details. Kitchen and appliances may need updating but they all work perfectly. This home has been meticulously cared for. The upstairs is super specious, and the bathroom offers an oversize double sink vanity and an amazing amount of built in storage. The backyard is an oversized blank space for a killer outdoor living area or whatever your little heart desires! This home is waiting to be your “NextHome”

Key facts

• Brick fireplace
• Exposed beam ceiling
• Two walk-in closets

Tags

• PRIMARY SUITE DOWNSTAIRS
• OVERSIZED WALK-IN SHOWER
• TWO WALK-IN CLOSETS
• EXPOSED BEAM CEILING
• BRICK FIREPLACE
• BUILT-INS

Property features AI

Finance

• HOA & community: Homeowners association (SBB/Chaparral Management); Annual association fee; Association amenities include park and recreation facilities and community pool

Exterior

• Parking: Detached 2-car garage
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
• Home design: Residential property; Full ownership; Slab foundation; Composition roof; Concrete road access; Subdivision setting
• Construction: Brick and cement siding construction; Built in 1981
• Exterior features: Deck; Patio; Porch; Back yard fence; Association pool

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Microwave; Disposal; Oven; Kitchen island; Pantry
• Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on first floor (17 x 13); Three additional bedrooms on second floor (13 x 11; 13 x 12; 13 x 11)
• Flooring: Carpet; Tile
• Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central electric air conditioning
• Interior features: Wet bar; Crown molding; Double vanity; Kitchen island; Primary bedroom with private bath; Pantry; Tub/shower; Vanity; Window coverings; Ceiling fans; Kitchen/dining combo; One fireplace; 9 total rooms
• Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $315k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-316 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $259k (17.7% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $257k (18.4% below list).
• Recommended offer: $257k (18.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 3.1% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
• Klein ISD (suburban): math 41% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #213 of 826 in TX (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Mittelstadt El (math 38% / reading 43%, grade F, #1,490 of 4,322 statewide, top 35%, 783 students, 66% FRL); Kleb Int (math 40% / reading 53%, grade D+, #443 of 1,662 statewide, top 28%, 1,434 students, 55% FRL); Klein H S (math 58% / reading 67%, grade B-, #234 of 1,632 statewide, top 14%, 3,352 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools average 55% FRL vs 37% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.9%/yr); 634 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($310k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $115k; list at $315k implies a 174% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $257,081 (18.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.82% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.09%
• Cash-on-cash: -4.30%
• DSCR: 0.81
• GRM: 10.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $381,339
• List price: $315,000
• Delta: -17.40%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
16707 Rugby Ct	0.23mi	4/2.5	2,834 (+4%)	4mo	$315,000	$111	80
16819 Coronado Springs Dr	0.32mi	4/3.0	2,674 (-2%)	2mo	$385,000	$144	79
6207 Sandypine Dr	0.39mi	4/3.5	2,666 (-2%)	1mo	$425,000	$159	73
16719 Mandeville Ct	0.35mi	4/3.5	2,860 (+5%)	0mo	$300,000	$105	71
6415 Singing Creek Ln	0.50mi	4/3.5	2,770 (+2%)	1mo	$399,000	$144	69
16327 N Greenfield Dr	0.47mi	4/3.5	2,816 (+3%)	4mo	$420,000	$149	66
16407 Southampton Dr	0.67mi	4/2.5	2,696 (-1%)	3mo	$260,000	$96	64
6910 Chancellor Dr	0.70mi	4/2.5	2,715 (-0%)	3mo	$285,000	$105	64
16606 Brenton Oaks Dr	0.12mi	5/3.5 (+1)	3,102 (+14%)	3mo	$365,000	$118	60
6639 Seaton Valley Dr	0.72mi	4/2.5	2,624 (-4%)	3mo	$249,900	$95	58
6315 Oakmont Creek Dr	0.41mi	3/2.5 (-1)	3,051 (+12%)	2mo	$370,000	$121	54
6611 Trebeck Ln	0.38mi	3/2.5 (-1)	3,109 (+14%)	1mo	$415,000	$133	53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -27.2%
• Equity multiple: 0.11×
• Total profit: $-78,564
• Equity at exit: $46,968

10-year hold

• IRR: -42.6%
• Equity multiple: -0.39×
• Total profit: $-122,866
• Equity at exit: $27,235

Cash invested: $88,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 77379

• Home prices YoY: -34.7%
• Rents YoY: -1.9%
• Active inventory: 634
• Price-to-rent: 10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,571 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,652
• Tax from tax record: −$503 /mo · $6,034/yr
• Insurance: −$131
• HOA: −$61
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$540
• Net cashflow: $-316

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,971

Max offer price $259,167

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-138	-5% $-227	+0% $-316	+5% $-405	+10% $-494
Rent	-10% $-519	-5% $-418	+0% $-316	+5% $-215	+10% $-113
Rate	-1.0pp $-157	-0.5pp $-236	base $-316	+0.5pp $-398	+1.0pp $-481

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $78,750
• Closing costs: $9,450
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 6 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
16415 Lapis River Dr Spring, TX	4.0	2.5	2804	$2,500	$0.89	45d	1	0.45mi
6415 Willow Pine Dr Spring, TX	4.0	2.5	2499	$2,800	$1.12	45d	1	0.56mi
6302 Laver Love Dr Spring, TX	4.0	3.5	3553	$3,549	$1.00	7d	1	0.57mi
6511 Misty Spring Ln Spring, TX	3.0	2.0	2686	$2,266	$0.84	1d	1	0.84mi
17734 Moss Point Dr Spring, TX	4.0	3.5	2734	$2,470	$0.90	17d	1	0.92mi
17743 Seven Pines Dr Spring, TX	4.0	2.5	2265	$2,795	$1.23	9d	1	1.20mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $61 · $732/yr

Listing history 20 events

1. 2026-06-13
   days on market $315,000 Pending 27 DOM
2. 2026-06-09
   days on market $315,000 Pending 25 DOM
3. 2026-06-08
   days on market $315,000 Pending 24 DOM
4. 2026-06-07
   days on market $315,000 Pending 23 DOM
5. 2026-06-04
   statusdays on market $315,000 Pending 20 DOM
6. 2026-06-03
   days on market $315,000 Active 19 DOM
7. 2026-06-02
   days on market $315,000 Active 18 DOM
8. 2026-06-01
   days on market $315,000 Active 17 DOM
9. 2026-05-31
   days on market $315,000 Active 16 DOM
10. 2026-05-15
    listed $315,000 Active 909-char remark
11. 2025-04-10
    soldstatus
12. 2025-04-07
    soldstatus Sold 969-char remark

    Show marketing remark (969 chars)

    PRICE IMPROVED - MOTIVATED SELLER! NEVER FLOODED Suburban serenity in Wimbledon Estates! These fabulous 4 bedrooms 2½ baths home is a blank canvas for your imagination! Freshly painted interiors, large bedrooms, formal living and dining room, crown moldings, brand new carpet, large family room offers coffered walls and exposed beam ceiling, bricked fireplace and walk in wet bar equipped with wine storage and serving counter is perfect for entertaining and family gatherings. The formal dining and breakfast rooms offer elegant wainscoting details. Kitchen and appliances may need updating but they all work perfectly. This home has been meticulously cared for. The upstairs is super specious, and the bathroom offers an oversize double sink vanity and an amazing amount of built in storage. The backyard is an oversized blank space for a killer outdoor living area or whatever your little heart desires! This home is waiting to be your “NextHome”

13. 2025-04-02
    status Pending 969-char remark

    Show marketing remark (969 chars)

    PRICE IMPROVED - MOTIVATED SELLER! NEVER FLOODED Suburban serenity in Wimbledon Estates! These fabulous 4 bedrooms 2½ baths home is a blank canvas for your imagination! Freshly painted interiors, large bedrooms, formal living and dining room, crown moldings, brand new carpet, large family room offers coffered walls and exposed beam ceiling, bricked fireplace and walk in wet bar equipped with wine storage and serving counter is perfect for entertaining and family gatherings. The formal dining and breakfast rooms offer elegant wainscoting details. Kitchen and appliances may need updating but they all work perfectly. This home has been meticulously cared for. The upstairs is super specious, and the bathroom offers an oversize double sink vanity and an amazing amount of built in storage. The backyard is an oversized blank space for a killer outdoor living area or whatever your little heart desires! This home is waiting to be your “NextHome”

14. 2025-03-24
    status Pending, Continue to Show 969-char remark

    Show marketing remark (969 chars)

    PRICE IMPROVED - MOTIVATED SELLER! NEVER FLOODED Suburban serenity in Wimbledon Estates! These fabulous 4 bedrooms 2½ baths home is a blank canvas for your imagination! Freshly painted interiors, large bedrooms, formal living and dining room, crown moldings, brand new carpet, large family room offers coffered walls and exposed beam ceiling, bricked fireplace and walk in wet bar equipped with wine storage and serving counter is perfect for entertaining and family gatherings. The formal dining and breakfast rooms offer elegant wainscoting details. Kitchen and appliances may need updating but they all work perfectly. This home has been meticulously cared for. The upstairs is super specious, and the bathroom offers an oversize double sink vanity and an amazing amount of built in storage. The backyard is an oversized blank space for a killer outdoor living area or whatever your little heart desires! This home is waiting to be your “NextHome”

15. 2025-02-05
    price $339,900 969-char remark

    Show marketing remark (969 chars)

    PRICE IMPROVED - MOTIVATED SELLER! NEVER FLOODED Suburban serenity in Wimbledon Estates! These fabulous 4 bedrooms 2½ baths home is a blank canvas for your imagination! Freshly painted interiors, large bedrooms, formal living and dining room, crown moldings, brand new carpet, large family room offers coffered walls and exposed beam ceiling, bricked fireplace and walk in wet bar equipped with wine storage and serving counter is perfect for entertaining and family gatherings. The formal dining and breakfast rooms offer elegant wainscoting details. Kitchen and appliances may need updating but they all work perfectly. This home has been meticulously cared for. The upstairs is super specious, and the bathroom offers an oversize double sink vanity and an amazing amount of built in storage. The backyard is an oversized blank space for a killer outdoor living area or whatever your little heart desires! This home is waiting to be your “NextHome”

16. 2024-11-12
    price $359,000 969-char remark

    Show marketing remark (969 chars)

    PRICE IMPROVED - MOTIVATED SELLER! NEVER FLOODED Suburban serenity in Wimbledon Estates! These fabulous 4 bedrooms 2½ baths home is a blank canvas for your imagination! Freshly painted interiors, large bedrooms, formal living and dining room, crown moldings, brand new carpet, large family room offers coffered walls and exposed beam ceiling, bricked fireplace and walk in wet bar equipped with wine storage and serving counter is perfect for entertaining and family gatherings. The formal dining and breakfast rooms offer elegant wainscoting details. Kitchen and appliances may need updating but they all work perfectly. This home has been meticulously cared for. The upstairs is super specious, and the bathroom offers an oversize double sink vanity and an amazing amount of built in storage. The backyard is an oversized blank space for a killer outdoor living area or whatever your little heart desires! This home is waiting to be your “NextHome”

17. 2024-09-30
    price $370,000 969-char remark

    Show marketing remark (969 chars)

    PRICE IMPROVED - MOTIVATED SELLER! NEVER FLOODED Suburban serenity in Wimbledon Estates! These fabulous 4 bedrooms 2½ baths home is a blank canvas for your imagination! Freshly painted interiors, large bedrooms, formal living and dining room, crown moldings, brand new carpet, large family room offers coffered walls and exposed beam ceiling, bricked fireplace and walk in wet bar equipped with wine storage and serving counter is perfect for entertaining and family gatherings. The formal dining and breakfast rooms offer elegant wainscoting details. Kitchen and appliances may need updating but they all work perfectly. This home has been meticulously cared for. The upstairs is super specious, and the bathroom offers an oversize double sink vanity and an amazing amount of built in storage. The backyard is an oversized blank space for a killer outdoor living area or whatever your little heart desires! This home is waiting to be your “NextHome”

18. 2024-09-12
    listed $395,000 Active 969-char remark

    Show marketing remark (969 chars)

    PRICE IMPROVED - MOTIVATED SELLER! NEVER FLOODED Suburban serenity in Wimbledon Estates! These fabulous 4 bedrooms 2½ baths home is a blank canvas for your imagination! Freshly painted interiors, large bedrooms, formal living and dining room, crown moldings, brand new carpet, large family room offers coffered walls and exposed beam ceiling, bricked fireplace and walk in wet bar equipped with wine storage and serving counter is perfect for entertaining and family gatherings. The formal dining and breakfast rooms offer elegant wainscoting details. Kitchen and appliances may need updating but they all work perfectly. This home has been meticulously cared for. The upstairs is super specious, and the bathroom offers an oversize double sink vanity and an amazing amount of built in storage. The backyard is an oversized blank space for a killer outdoor living area or whatever your little heart desires! This home is waiting to be your “NextHome”

19. 2006-02-17
    soldstatus
20. 1993-04-09
    soldstatus $114,975

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $6,034 · $503/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $6,034 · $503/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $30,850
• − Mortgage interest: −$17,645
• − Property taxes: −$6,034
• − Insurance: −$1,575
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,468
• − Management: −$2,468
• − HOA: −$732
• − Depreciation: −$9,164
• Taxable loss: −$9,236
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$2,217
• After-tax cash flow: $-1,576/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Klein ISD
• NCES district ID: 4825740
• Math proficiency: 41% ▼ -12.00%
• Reading proficiency: 48% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $78,288
• Composite: 40.91/100
• National rank: #3615
• State rank: #213 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

• Score: 74/100
• State rank: #184
• US rank: #4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Harris County · 4,702,590 people
• City population: 3,226,434
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• Population (ZIP): 85,190
• Household income: $107,486
• Rent vs Own: 25.9% rent · 74.1% own
• Severe rent burden: 2220.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 5,571,493 people
• By 2030: 6,089,821 · +9.3%
• By 2040: 7,142,806 · +28.2%
• By 2050: 8,185,864 · +46.9%
• By 2075: 10,574,329 · +89.8%
• By 2100: 12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
• Race & ethnicity: White 49% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 15% Black 11% Asian 11%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 13% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 1%
• Common ancestry: Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
• Foreign-born: 19% · Canada, Vietnam, China
• Languages at home: 71% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 5% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

• 2024 margin: Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -116.58%
• Current HPI: 218.9608
• Rent YoY: ▼ -1.95%
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

+174.0% since first listed

13 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-11 Pending — HARMLS
• 2026-06-04 Pending — HARMLS
• 2026-05-15 Listed $315,000 HARMLS
• 2025-04-10 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2025-04-07 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
• 2025-04-02 Pending — HARMLS
• 2025-03-24 Pending — HARMLS
• 2025-02-05 Price Changed $339,900 HARMLS
• 2024-11-12 Price Changed $359,000 HARMLS
• 2024-09-30 Price Changed $370,000 HARMLS
• 2024-09-12 Listed $395,000 HARMLS
• 2006-02-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 1993-04-09 Sold (Public Records) $114,975 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,034 · -3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.