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949 Kettering Ave 🏷️ Likely Rental
B Composite 73.43
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$108,700

949 Kettering Ave · Pontiac, MI 48340
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,107 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1956 3,920 sqft lot Est $162k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming 1,100 sq ft ranch on a quiet street. Perfect for future owner occupant. Tenant occupied - 24-hour notice required. Do not disturb tenant.

Key facts

  • 3,920 sq ft lot
  • Built 1956
  • Listed 9 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Subdivision: NEWTON ESTATE; Directions: South off of Perry or north off E Madison (east of Perry); Cross streets: Perry & Madison

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Sewer available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Entry at ground level
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.09 acres (40 x 102.16)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Five total rooms; Ground-level entry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $108,700 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$161,622) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $109k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $435 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $109k).
  • Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 6.7% in Pontiac — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#499 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, crime F.
  • Pontiac City School District (urban): math 8% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #514 of 540 in MI (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 83 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($48k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $752 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $30k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 11 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $12k; list at $109k implies a 806% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $108,700

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.30%
Cap rate
11.10%
Cash-on-cash
17.16%
DSCR
1.76
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$161,622
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
933 Cameron Ave 0.11mi 3/1.0 1,108 (+0%) 10mo $104,000 $94 87
1005 Emerson Ave 0.12mi 3/1.0 1,030 (-7%) 3mo $150,000 $146 81
811 Melrose St 0.34mi 3/1.0 1,108 (+0%) 6mo $89,500 $81 79
962 Kettering Ave 0.04mi 3/1.5 1,040 (-6%) 10mo $155,000 $149 78
735 Cameron Ave 0.42mi 3/1.0 1,102 (-0%) 5mo $142,000 $129 75
715 Kenilworth Ave 0.47mi 3/1.0 1,102 (-0%) 3mo $130,000 $118 75
791 Cameron Ave 0.32mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,104 (-0%) 8mo $202,500 $183 69
853 Melrose St 0.28mi 3/1.0 949 (-14%) 9mo $123,500 $130 56
778 4th Ave 0.61mi 3/1.5 1,053 (-5%) 7mo $170,000 $161 56
710 Melrose St 0.49mi 3/1.0 952 (-14%) 3mo $142,000 $149 52
794 Clara Ave 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,018 (-8%) 6mo $159,900 $157 46
674 Parkwood Ave 0.66mi 3/1.0 961 (-13%) 3mo $100,000 $104 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.73% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.3%
Equity multiple
1.41×
Total profit
$12,590
Equity at exit
$16,208
10-year hold
IRR
20.7%
Equity multiple
2.88×
Total profit
$57,235
Equity at exit
$9,398

Cash invested: $30,436 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48340

Rents YoY
4.7%
Active inventory
83
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,417 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$570
Tax from tax record
$69 /mo · $825/yr
Insurance
$45
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$298
Net cashflow
$435

Break-even live

Break-even rent $866
Max offer price $108,700
Occupancy floor 64%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,175
Closing costs
$3,261
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
750 Scottwood St Pontiac, MI 3.0 1.0 920 $1,395 $1.52 12d 1 0.49mi
505 Old Oak Ct Pontiac, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,299 $1.18 44d 1 0.64mi
695 1st Ave Pontiac, MI 3.0 1.0 986 $1,295 $1.31 44d 1 0.68mi
505 Old Oak Ct Unit 7 Pontiac, MI 2.0 1.0 950 $1,279 $1.35 44d 1 0.68mi
957 Perry St Pontiac, MI 1.0–3.0 1.0 835 $1,099 $1.32 44d 1 0.77mi
611 E Madison Ave Pontiac, MI 3.0 1.5 950 $1,395 $1.47 44d 1 0.79mi
863 Amanda Ln Pontiac, MI 3.0 2.0 1434 $1,800 $1.26 20d 1 0.94mi
860 Walton Blvd Pontiac, MI 2.0 2.0 1025 $1,295 $1.26 2d 3 0.94mi
1221 Colony Ln Pontiac, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 950 $1,250 $1.32 2d 3 0.99mi
672 Linda Vista Dr Pontiac, MI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,500 $1.67 3d 1 1.04mi
1173 Featherstone Rd Pontiac, MI 3.0 1.5 970 $1,495 $1.54 24d 1 1.06mi
188 Vernon Dr Pontiac, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 24d 1 1.14mi
264 Nelson St Pontiac, MI 3.0 1.0 1478 $1,590 $1.08 44d 1 1.30mi
16 Victory Dr Unit 18 Pontiac, MI 2.0 1.0 1118 $1,150 $1.03 44d 1 1.37mi
16 Victory Dr Unit 18 Pontiac, MI 2.0 1.0 1114 $1,150 $1.03 24d 1 1.37mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-04-18
    status Pending 146-char remark
    Show marketing remark (146 chars)

    Charming 1,100 sq ft ranch on a quiet street. Perfect for future owner occupant. Tenant occupied - 24-hour notice required. Do not disturb tenant.

  2. 2026-04-18
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (146 chars)

    Charming 1,100 sq ft ranch on a quiet street. Perfect for future owner occupant. Tenant occupied - 24-hour notice required. Do not disturb tenant.

  3. 2026-04-09
    listed $108,700 Active
    Show marketing remark (146 chars)

    Charming 1,100 sq ft ranch on a quiet street. Perfect for future owner occupant. Tenant occupied - 24-hour notice required. Do not disturb tenant.

  4. 2026-04-09
    listed $108,700 Active 146-char remark
    Show marketing remark (146 chars)

    Charming 1,100 sq ft ranch on a quiet street. Perfect for future owner occupant. Tenant occupied - 24-hour notice required. Do not disturb tenant.

  5. 2008-07-25
    soldstatus $12,000 214-char remark
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    Lender REO - Great opportunity on this ranch home with good exterior appeal and fenced yard. Home is in need of interior repairs, but priced to compensate. See "agent only" remarks for offer instructions.

  6. 2008-07-25
    soldstatus $12,000
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    Lender REO - Great opportunity on this ranch home with good exterior appeal and fenced yard. Home is in need of interior repairs, but priced to compensate. See "agent only" remarks for offer instructions.

  7. 2008-07-24
    historical
  8. 2008-05-27
    listed $14,900 214-char remark
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    Lender REO - Great opportunity on this ranch home with good exterior appeal and fenced yard. Home is in need of interior repairs, but priced to compensate. See "agent only" remarks for offer instructions.

  9. 2008-05-27
    listed $14,900
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    Lender REO - Great opportunity on this ranch home with good exterior appeal and fenced yard. Home is in need of interior repairs, but priced to compensate. See "agent only" remarks for offer instructions.

  10. 2008-05-20
    historical
  11. 2008-05-20
    historical
  12. 2007-12-26
    listed $14,900
  13. 2007-12-26
    listed $14,900
  14. 2007-05-30
    historical
  15. 2007-01-30
    listed $67,500
  16. 2006-11-16
    historical
  17. 2006-10-24
    listed $72,500
  18. 2006-10-22
    historical
  19. 2006-07-22
    listed $69,997
  20. 2003-12-05
    soldstatus $66,000
  21. 2003-11-28
    soldstatus $66,000
  22. 2003-11-28
    soldstatus $66,000
  23. 2003-11-04
    historical
  24. 2003-06-27
    listed $69,900
  25. 2003-06-27
    listed $69,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$825 · $69/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,250 · $104/mo
Expected delta
+$424/yr (+$35/mo · 51.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,001
− Mortgage interest
−$6,089
− Property taxes
−$825
− Insurance
−$544
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,360
− Management
−$1,360
− Depreciation
−$3,162
Taxable income
$3,661
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$879
After-tax cash flow
$4,343/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pontiac City School District
NCES district ID
2628740
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$33,888
Composite
10.12/100
National rank
#9802
State rank
#514 of 540 in MI

Livability — Pontiac

Score
64/100
State rank
#499
US rank
#14703

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pontiac, MI
County
Oakland County · 1,009,092 people
City population
44,593
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
25,669
Household income
$47,891
Rent vs Own
54.3% rent · 45.7% own
Severe rent burden
1460.0

Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,335,747 people
By 2030
1,375,100 · +2.9%
By 2040
1,435,385 · +7.5%
By 2050
1,469,250 · +10.0%
By 2075
1,531,946 · +14.7%
By 2100
1,450,485 · +8.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.73)
Race & ethnicity
Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 31% White 29% Two or more races 22% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 18% Puerto Rican 7%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, China
Languages at home
74% English-only · Spanish 23% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Oakland

2024 margin
D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -295.80%
Current HPI
177.961
Rent YoY
▲ 4.73%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+55.5% since first listed
25 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-18 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-18 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $108,700 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $108,700 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2008-07-25 Sold (MLS) $12,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2008-07-25 Sold (MLS) $12,000 REALCOMP
  • 2008-07-24 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2008-05-27 Listed $14,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2008-05-27 Listed $14,900 REALCOMP
  • 2008-05-20 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2008-05-20 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-12-26 Listed $14,900 REALCOMP
  • 2007-12-26 Listed $14,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-05-30 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2007-01-30 Listed $67,500 REALCOMP
  • 2006-11-16 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2006-10-24 Listed $72,500 REALCOMP
  • 2006-10-22 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2006-07-22 Listed $69,997 REALCOMP
  • 2003-12-05 Sold (Public Records) $66,000 Public Records
  • 2003-11-28 Sold (MLS) $66,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2003-11-28 Sold (MLS) $66,000 REALCOMP
  • 2003-11-04 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2003-06-27 Listed $69,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2003-06-27 Listed $69,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

-0.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $825 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…