Triplex
533 Reeves Ave · Yuba City, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 26 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 30 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.3/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +1.2/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$529,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. estimate disagrees with records
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks
Great opportunity to own a piece of YC history with this vintage triplex near the heart of downtown. Tremendous curb appeal and walk to shops and restaurants 1 block away. Built in early 1900's with tons of charm and character. Lots of off street parking, additional garage, storage space, and a full unfinished basement with over 2400 sf for possible conversion to living space or storage income. Potential for 1 to 2 additional rental units with plumbing, electrical, and sewer available at unfinished areas.
Key facts
- Additional garage
- Possible conversion
- Off street parking
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 5-bed/3.0-bath units multifamily listed at $529k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($27k/yr) — positive. Per door: $759/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $529k).
- Recommended offer: $513k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 3.6% in Yuba City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#111 in CA, #3,863 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, schools D, cost of living F.
- Yuba City Unified (urban): math 20% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #263 of 517 in CA (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 149 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 73 units permitted in Sutter County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $7,017/mo this rent would consume 119% of the median local household income ($71k/yr) (locally 1674% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sutter County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.8% rent growth), your $148k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($513k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $230k; list at $529k implies a 130% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1909 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1909 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.44%
- DSCR
- 1.82
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $464,044
- List price
- $529,000
- Delta
- 14.00%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 768 Chestnut St | 0.26mi | 6/1.0 (+1) | 2,868 (+2%) | 12mo | $710,000 | $248 | 61 |
| 739 Sloss Ave | 0.56mi | 4/4.0 (-1) | 2,688 (-4%) | 15mo | $505,000 | $188 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.79% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.34×
- Total profit
- $50,681
- Equity at exit
- $78,876
- IRR
- 17.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.33×
- Total profit
- $196,467
- Equity at exit
- $45,738
Cash invested: $148,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 95991
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 149
- Price-to-rent
- 18.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $7,017 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,774
- Tax from tax record
- −$273 /mo · $3,271/yr
- Insurance
- −$220
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,474
- Net cashflow
- $2,276
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $2,576 | -5% $2,426 | +0% $2,276 | +5% $2,127 | +10% $1,977 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,722 | -5% $1,999 | +0% $2,276 | +5% $2,553 | +10% $2,831 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $2,543 | -0.5pp $2,411 | base $2,276 | +0.5pp $2,139 | +1.0pp $2,000 |
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 5 | 3 | $7,017 |
| #1 | 5 | 3 | $2,339 |
| #2 | 5 | 3 | $2,339 |
| #3 | 5 | 3 | $2,339 |
| Total (3 units) | $7,017 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $132,250
- Closing costs
- $15,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1215 Whyler Rd Yuba City, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1924 | $2,000 | $1.04 | 22d | 1 | 0.92mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $529,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $529,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $529,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $529,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $529,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $529,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $529,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-10statusdays on market $529,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2012-07-26soldstatus $230,000
-
2009-03-18soldstatus $115,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,271 · $273/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,020 · $335/mo
- Expected delta
- +$749/yr (+$62/mo · 22.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 26 unhealthy d/yr today · 30 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $84,204
- − Mortgage interest
- −$29,632
- − Property taxes
- −$3,271
- − Insurance
- −$2,645
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,736
- − Management
- −$6,736
- − Depreciation
- −$15,389
- Taxable income
- $19,794
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,750
- After-tax cash flow
- $22,565/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Yuba City Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0643470
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,923
- Composite
- 31.55/100
- National rank
- #5956
- State rank
- #263 of 517 in CA
Livability — Yuba City
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #111
- US rank
- #3863
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Yuba City, CA
- County
- Sutter County · 81,625 people
- City population
- 81,625
- Metro
- Yuba City, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,579
- Household income
- $70,590
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1674.0
Population outlook (Sutter County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 97,244 people
- By 2030
- 97,170 · -0.1%
- By 2040
- 96,137 · -1.1%
- By 2050
- 93,604 · -3.7%
- By 2075
- 85,008 · -12.6%
- By 2100
- 71,584 · -26.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 41% White 37% Two or more races 19% Asian 12% Black 2% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 36% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Russian 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 24% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 60% English-only · Spanish 28% Other Indo-European 10% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sutter
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.1% · R 64.5% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.7pp toward R · 2008: -16.7pp · 2024: -31.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.4 2020: R+16.4 2016: R+16.3 2012: R+21.8 2008: R+16.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -343.11%
- Current HPI
- 240.3835
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.79%
- Metro
- Yuba City, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+100.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2012-07-26 Sold (Public Records) $230,000 Public Records
- 2009-03-18 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $3,271 · -4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…