CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
533 Reeves Ave Triplex
C+ Composite 61.82
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +1.2/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$529,000

533 Reeves Ave · Yuba City, CA 95991
5 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,804 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 45 Days on market
Built 1909 0.30 ac lot $189/sqft · 14% above area Est $464k · 14% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. estimate disagrees with records

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks

Great opportunity to own a piece of YC history with this vintage triplex near the heart of downtown. Tremendous curb appeal and walk to shops and restaurants 1 block away. Built in early 1900's with tons of charm and character. Lots of off street parking, additional garage, storage space, and a full unfinished basement with over 2400 sf for possible conversion to living space or storage income. Potential for 1 to 2 additional rental units with plumbing, electrical, and sewer available at unfinished areas.

Key facts

  • Additional garage
  • Possible conversion
  • Off street parking

Tags

VINTAGE TRIPLEXOFF STREET PARKINGADDITIONAL GARAGESTORAGE SPACEFULL UNFINISHED BASEMENTPOSSIBLE CONVERSION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3 × 5-bed/3.0-bath units multifamily listed at $529k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($27k/yr) — positive. Per door: $759/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $529k).
  • Recommended offer: $513k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 3.6% in Yuba City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#111 in CA, #3,863 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, schools D, cost of living F.
  • Yuba City Unified (urban): math 20% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #263 of 517 in CA (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 149 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 73 units permitted in Sutter County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $7,017/mo this rent would consume 119% of the median local household income ($71k/yr) (locally 1674% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sutter County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.8% rent growth), your $148k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($513k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $230k; list at $529k implies a 130% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1909 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $513,130 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1909 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.33%
Cap rate
11.46%
Cash-on-cash
18.44%
DSCR
1.82
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$464,044
List price
$529,000
Delta
14.00%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
768 Chestnut St 0.26mi 6/1.0 (+1) 2,868 (+2%) 12mo $710,000 $248 61
739 Sloss Ave 0.56mi 4/4.0 (-1) 2,688 (-4%) 15mo $505,000 $188 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.79% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.8%
Equity multiple
1.34×
Total profit
$50,681
Equity at exit
$78,876
10-year hold
IRR
17.0%
Equity multiple
2.33×
Total profit
$196,467
Equity at exit
$45,738

Cash invested: $148,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 95991

Rents YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
149
Price-to-rent
18.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$7,017 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,774
Tax from tax record
$273 /mo · $3,271/yr
Insurance
$220
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,474
Net cashflow
$2,276

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,136
Max offer price $529,000
Occupancy floor 63%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $2,576 -5% $2,426 +0% $2,276 +5% $2,127 +10% $1,977
Rent -10% $1,722 -5% $1,999 +0% $2,276 +5% $2,553 +10% $2,831
Rate -1.0pp $2,543 -0.5pp $2,411 base $2,276 +0.5pp $2,139 +1.0pp $2,000

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $7,017

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$132,250
Closing costs
$15,870
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1215 Whyler Rd Yuba City, CA 4.0 2.0 1924 $2,000 $1.04 22d 1 0.92mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $529,000 Active 45 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $529,000 Active 44 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $529,000 Active 43 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $529,000 Active 42 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $529,000 Active 41 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $529,000 Active 39 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $529,000 Active 38 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    statusdays on market $529,000 Active 36 DOM
  9. 2012-07-26
    soldstatus $230,000
  10. 2009-03-18
    soldstatus $115,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,271 · $273/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,020 · $335/mo
Expected delta
+$749/yr (+$62/mo · 22.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 26 unhealthy d/yr today · 30 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$84,204
− Mortgage interest
−$29,632
− Property taxes
−$3,271
− Insurance
−$2,645
− Repairs & maintenance
−$6,736
− Management
−$6,736
− Depreciation
−$15,389
Taxable income
$19,794
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,750
After-tax cash flow
$22,565/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Yuba City Unified
NCES district ID
0643470
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$50,923
Composite
31.55/100
National rank
#5956
State rank
#263 of 517 in CA

Livability — Yuba City

Score
75/100
State rank
#111
US rank
#3863

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime D+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Yuba City, CA
County
Sutter County · 81,625 people
City population
81,625
Metro
Yuba City, CA
Population (ZIP)
42,579
Household income
$70,590
Rent vs Own
49.3% rent · 50.7% own
Severe rent burden
1674.0

Population outlook (Sutter County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
97,244 people
By 2030
97,170 · -0.1%
By 2040
96,137 · -1.1%
By 2050
93,604 · -3.7%
By 2075
85,008 · -12.6%
By 2100
71,584 · -26.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 41% White 37% Two or more races 19% Asian 12% Black 2% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 36% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Russian 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
24% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
60% English-only · Spanish 28% Other Indo-European 10% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sutter

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.1% · R 64.5% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
-14.7pp toward R · 2008: -16.7pp · 2024: -31.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.4 2020: R+16.4 2016: R+16.3 2012: R+21.8 2008: R+16.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -343.11%
Current HPI
240.3835
Rent YoY
▲ 1.79%
Metro
Yuba City, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+100.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2012-07-26 Sold (Public Records) $230,000 Public Records
  • 2009-03-18 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,271 · -4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…