53 Summit Dr · Hayden, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.1/30.0
- ARV discount +9.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- 1% rule +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$209,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
SOARING CEILINGS greet you in this wonderful, move-in ready home in Hayden. Large, light filled dining room and a terrific kitchen with stainless appliances! Popular split floor plan with three bedrooms, two full baths, central heat/air and a deck overlooking the oversized .6 acre lot!! Act now to make this one YOURS.
Key facts
- 0.6 acre lot
- Parking
- Built 2008
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Approximately 0.6 acre lot; Located in Lost Mountain Estates subdivision
- HOA & community: No association fee
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking; 1-car carport
- Utilities: Public water; Septic system; Electric water heater; Internet service available
- Home design: Existing single-family home; One main living level layout
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Porch; Covered deck; No pool; No patio; No garden view; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Laminate countertops; Dishwasher (built-in); Refrigerator; Electric stove; Some stainless appliances
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom (main level); Three additional bedrooms (main level)
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Tub/shower combo; Linen closet
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Smooth ceilings; Den/family room; Breakfast room; In-law suite; Master bedroom with attached master bath; Pull-down attic; Has laundry
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Laundry located on main level (laundry closet)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $30 ($362/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $160k (23.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $160k (23.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 4.2% in Hayden — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#137 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Blount County (rural): math 20% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #54 of 129 in AL (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Cleveland Elementary School (math 23% / reading 47%, grade F, #291 of 627 statewide, top 47%, 513 students, 59% FRL).
- Market conditions: 51 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in Blount County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Blount County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask is 121% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $95k; list at $210k implies a 121% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.76% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.62%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 10.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $219,760
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 455 Thomas Rd | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,680 (+2%) | 14mo | $225,000 | $134 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-32,199
- Equity at exit
- $31,297
- IRR
- -7.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.56×
- Total profit
- $-26,005
- Equity at exit
- $18,148
Cash invested: $58,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35079
- Home prices YoY
- -12.4%
- Active inventory
- 51
- Price-to-rent
- 10.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,600 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,101
- Tax from tax record
- −$46 /mo · $552/yr
- Insurance
- −$87
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$336
- Net cashflow
- $30
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $149 | -5% $90 | +0% $30 | +5% $-29 | +10% $-89 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-96 | -5% $-33 | +0% $30 | +5% $93 | +10% $157 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $136 | -0.5pp $84 | base $30 | +0.5pp $-24 | +1.0pp $-80 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,475
- Closing costs
- $6,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 35 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $209,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $209,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $209,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-16pricedays on market $209,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $224,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $224,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $234,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $234,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $234,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $234,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $234,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $234,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $234,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-01pricedays on market $234,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $245,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-05-16historical $245,000
-
2017-05-04soldstatus $95,000
-
2017-01-20soldstatus $60,000 319-char remark
Show marketing remark (320 chars)
SOARING CEILINGS GREET YOU IN THIS WONDERFUL, MOVE-IN READY HOME IN HAYDEN. LARGE, LIGHT FILLED DINING ROOM AND A TERRIFIC KITCHEN WITH STAINLESS APPLIANCES! POPULAR SPLIT FLOOR PLAN WITH THREE BEDROOMS, TWO FULL BATHS, CENTRAL HEAT/AIR AND A DECK OVERLOOKING THE OVERSIZED . 6 ACRE LOT!! ACT NOW TO MAKE THIS ONE YOURS.
-
2017-01-20soldstatus $60,000 320-char remark
Show marketing remark (320 chars)
SOARING CEILINGS GREET YOU IN THIS WONDERFUL, MOVE-IN READY HOME IN HAYDEN. LARGE, LIGHT FILLED DINING ROOM AND A TERRIFIC KITCHEN WITH STAINLESS APPLIANCES! POPULAR SPLIT FLOOR PLAN WITH THREE BEDROOMS, TWO FULL BATHS, CENTRAL HEAT/AIR AND A DECK OVERLOOKING THE OVERSIZED . 6 ACRE LOT!! ACT NOW TO MAKE THIS ONE YOURS.
-
2017-01-20soldstatus $60,000 Sold
Show marketing remark (320 chars)
SOARING CEILINGS GREET YOU IN THIS WONDERFUL, MOVE-IN READY HOME IN HAYDEN. LARGE, LIGHT FILLED DINING ROOM AND A TERRIFIC KITCHEN WITH STAINLESS APPLIANCES! POPULAR SPLIT FLOOR PLAN WITH THREE BEDROOMS, TWO FULL BATHS, CENTRAL HEAT/AIR AND A DECK OVERLOOKING THE OVERSIZED . 6 ACRE LOT!! ACT NOW TO MAKE THIS ONE YOURS.
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2017-01-18soldstatus $60,000
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2016-12-27historical
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2016-12-22status Pending
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2016-12-10status Active
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2016-12-09status Pending
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2016-12-07status Active
-
2016-11-21historical
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2016-09-15status Pending
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2016-09-02status Active
-
2016-08-31status Pending
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2016-08-30price $84,000
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2016-05-05$95,000 Active
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2016-04-28$84,000 319-char remark
Show marketing remark (320 chars)
SOARING CEILINGS GREET YOU IN THIS WONDERFUL, MOVE-IN READY HOME IN HAYDEN. LARGE, LIGHT FILLED DINING ROOM AND A TERRIFIC KITCHEN WITH STAINLESS APPLIANCES! POPULAR SPLIT FLOOR PLAN WITH THREE BEDROOMS, TWO FULL BATHS, CENTRAL HEAT/AIR AND A DECK OVERLOOKING THE OVERSIZED . 6 ACRE LOT!! ACT NOW TO MAKE THIS ONE YOURS.
-
2016-04-28$84,000 320-char remark
Show marketing remark (320 chars)
SOARING CEILINGS GREET YOU IN THIS WONDERFUL, MOVE-IN READY HOME IN HAYDEN. LARGE, LIGHT FILLED DINING ROOM AND A TERRIFIC KITCHEN WITH STAINLESS APPLIANCES! POPULAR SPLIT FLOOR PLAN WITH THREE BEDROOMS, TWO FULL BATHS, CENTRAL HEAT/AIR AND A DECK OVERLOOKING THE OVERSIZED . 6 ACRE LOT!! ACT NOW TO MAKE THIS ONE YOURS.
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2008-06-13soldstatus $108,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $552 · $46/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $861 · $72/mo
- Expected delta
- +$309/yr (+$26/mo · 56.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,205
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,758
- − Property taxes
- −$552
- − Insurance
- −$1,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,536
- − Management
- −$1,536
- − Depreciation
- −$6,106
- Taxable loss
- −$3,333
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$800
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,162/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Blount County
- NCES district ID
- 0100420
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -25.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,961
- Composite
- 27.79/100
- National rank
- #6891
- State rank
- #54 of 129 in AL
Livability — Hayden
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #137
- US rank
- #13359
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,388
Population outlook (Blount County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 57,983 people
- By 2030
- 57,405 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 55,602 · -4.1%
- By 2050
- 53,393 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 48,248 · -16.8%
- By 2100
- 44,190 · -23.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Blount
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+81.0) · D 9.2% · R 90.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.5pp toward R · 2008: -69.5pp · 2024: -81.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+81.0 2020: R+80.0 2016: R+81.4 2012: R+74.1 2008: R+69.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -36.00%
- Current HPI
- 255.3136
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+126.9% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Coming Soon $245,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2017-05-04 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
- 2017-01-20 Sold (MLS) $60,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2017-01-20 Sold (MLS) $60,000 SAARMLS
- 2017-01-20 Sold (MLS) $60,000 VMLS
- 2017-01-18 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 2016-12-27 Delisted — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2016-12-22 Pending — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2016-12-10 Relisted — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2016-12-09 Pending — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2016-12-07 Relisted — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2016-11-21 Delisted — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2016-09-15 Pending — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2016-09-02 Relisted — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2016-08-31 Pending — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2016-08-30 Price Changed $84,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2016-05-05 Listed $95,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2016-04-28 Listed $84,000 SAARMLS
- 2016-04-28 Listed $84,000 VMLS
- 2008-06-13 Sold (Public Records) $108,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.3%/yrLatest (2024): $552 · +15.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…