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809 Mlk Blvd
C- Composite 54.36
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.2/15.0
  • DSCR +6.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.1/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,000

809 Mlk Blvd · Corsicana, TX 75110
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,656 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 117 Days on market
Built 1940 5,750 sqft lot $120/sqft · 10% below area Est $222k · 10% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor Opportunity – Tenant Occupied. All Financing Welcome. Please be aware the property is tenant-occupied with long-term tenants. The current lease is active through December 31, 2026, Current rent is $1,300 per month. Charming and freshly updated 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath home in the heart of Corsicana, now offered as a turnkey investment property with tenants in place. This 1,656 sq ft home features inviting living spaces, a bright and welcoming atmosphere, and recent renovations that enhance both comfort and long-term appeal. The practical layout and abundant natural light make this property attractive to renters and easy to maintain. Situated on a 5,750 sq ft lot in an established neighborhood, the home offers convenient access to schools, shopping, and major routes—an ideal location for stable rental demand. Investment Highlights Tenant occupied with an active lease Current rent: $1,300 month Recently updated interior 3 bedrooms 2.5 bathrooms 1,656 sq ft Strong rental location in Corsicana All financing welcome Showing Instructions Showings require proof of funds or a pre-approval letter prior to scheduling. Please do not disturb the tenants.

Key facts

  • 5,750 sq ft lot
  • Built 1940
  • Listed 116 days

Tags

RECENTLY UPDATED INTERIORSTRONG RENTAL LOCATION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $199k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $228 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $199k).
  • Recommended offer: $181k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 4.4% in Corsicana — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#283 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, schools F, crime F.
  • Corsicana ISD (town): math 39% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #471 of 826 in TX (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.5%/yr); 274 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 522 units permitted in Navarro County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Navarro County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 117 days — a 9% lower offer ($181k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $20k; list at $199k implies a 895% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 58% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $181,090 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 117 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.00%
Cap rate
7.67%
Cash-on-cash
4.90%
DSCR
1.22
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$222,338
List price
$199,000
Delta
-10.50%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
712 E 4th Ave 0.31mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,640 (-1%) 10mo $227,000 $138 67
1217 E 6th Ave 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,800 (+9%) 6mo $229,000 $127 64
802 E 14th 0.41mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,652 (-0%) 12mo $240,000 $145 62
708 E 16th Ave 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,633 (-1%) 10mo $200,000 $122 60
1309 E 11th Ave 0.41mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,603 (-3%) 11mo $220,000 $137 58
1314 E 3rd Ave 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,565 (-6%) 10mo $249,000 $159 56
1304 E 4th Ave 0.42mi 3/1.0 1,480 (-11%) 12mo $135,000 $91 53
1401 E 6th Ave 0.34mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,464 (-12%) 7mo $159,600 $109 50
1114 E 11th Ave 0.29mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,457 (-12%) 12mo $233,000 $160 47
507 N Beaton St 0.63mi 3/1.0 1,456 (-12%) 7mo $103,000 $71 44
1320 E 3rd Ave 0.50mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,510 (-9%) 8mo $229,900 $152 44
214 E 15th Ave 0.59mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,525 (-8%) 11mo $256,900 $168 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.0%
Equity multiple
0.58×
Total profit
$-23,575
Equity at exit
$29,672
10-year hold
IRR
-8.0%
Equity multiple
0.56×
Total profit
$-24,393
Equity at exit
$17,206

Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75110

Rents YoY
-1.5%
Active inventory
274
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,995 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,044
Tax from tax record
$222 /mo · $2,665/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$419
Net cashflow
$228

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,707
Max offer price $199,000
Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $340 -5% $284 +0% $228 +5% $171 +10% $115
Rent -10% $70 -5% $149 +0% $228 +5% $307 +10% $385
Rate -1.0pp $328 -0.5pp $278 base $228 +0.5pp $176 +1.0pp $124

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,750
Closing costs
$5,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
421 N 5th St Corsicana, TX 4.0 2.0 1664 $2,400 $1.44 45d 1 0.43mi
1624 E Collin St Corsicana, TX 3.0 2.0 1339 $2,000 $1.49 45d 1 0.55mi
1306 Liveoak Ave Corsicana, TX 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,300 $1.20 6d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $199,000 Active 117 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $199,000 Active 115 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $199,000 Active 114 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $199,000 Active 113 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $199,000 Active 112 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $199,000 Active 111 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $199,000 Active 109 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $199,000 Active 108 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $199,000 Active 105 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $199,000 Active 104 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $199,000 Active 103 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $199,000 Active 98 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $199,000 Active 97 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $199,000 Active 96 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $199,000 Active 95 DOM
  16. 2026-02-24
    listed $199,000 Active 1217-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1217 chars)

    Investor Opportunity – Tenant Occupied. All Financing Welcome. Please be aware the property is tenant-occupied with long-term tenants. The current lease is active through December 31, 2026, Current rent is $1,300 per month. Charming and freshly updated 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath home in the heart of Corsicana, now offered as a turnkey investment property with tenants in place. This 1,656 sq ft home features inviting living spaces, a bright and welcoming atmosphere, and recent renovations that enhance both comfort and long-term appeal. The practical layout and abundant natural light make this property attractive to renters and easy to maintain. Situated on a 5,750 sq ft lot in an established neighborhood, the home offers convenient access to schools, shopping, and major routes—an ideal location for stable rental demand. Investment Highlights Tenant occupied with an active lease Current rent: $1,300 month Recently updated interior 3 bedrooms 2.5 bathrooms 1,656 sq ft Strong rental location in Corsicana All financing welcome Showing Instructions Showings require proof of funds or a pre-approval letter prior to scheduling. Please do not disturb the tenants.

  17. 2026-01-12
    historical
  18. 2025-12-09
    status Active
  19. 2025-12-01
    listed $253,099 Active
  20. 2022-07-01
    soldstatus
  21. 2010-08-31
    soldstatus
  22. 2001-03-08
    soldstatus $20,000
  23. 1994-12-07
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,665 · $222/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,642 · $303/mo
Expected delta
+$977/yr (+$81/mo · 36.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 58% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,944
− Mortgage interest
−$11,147
− Property taxes
−$2,665
− Insurance
−$995
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,916
− Management
−$1,916
− Depreciation
−$5,789
Taxable loss
−$483
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$116
After-tax cash flow
$2,849/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Corsicana ISD
NCES district ID
4815330
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$39,948
Composite
31.89/100
National rank
#5862
State rank
#471 of 826 in TX

Livability — Corsicana

Score
71/100
State rank
#283
US rank
#6570

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Corsicana, TX
County
Navarro County · 31,552 people
City population
31,552
Metro
Corsicana, TX
Population (ZIP)
31,552
Household income
$57,370
Rent vs Own
39.1% rent · 60.9% own
Severe rent burden
663.0

Population outlook (Navarro County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
48,397 people
By 2030
48,096 · -0.6%
By 2040
47,394 · -2.1%
By 2050
46,541 · -3.8%
By 2075
44,940 · -7.1%
By 2100
42,288 · -12.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
White 41% Hispanic / Latino 37% Two or more races 16% Black 13% Pacific Islander 2% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 34%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada
Languages at home
68% English-only · Spanish 29% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Navarro

2024 margin
Solid R (+51.8) · D 23.7% · R 75.6%
2008→2024 swing
-18.7pp toward R · 2008: -33.1pp · 2024: -51.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+51.8 2020: R+45.5 2016: R+48.8 2012: R+42.4 2008: R+33.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -248.01%
Current HPI
224.5566
Rent YoY
▼ -1.47%
Metro
Corsicana, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+895.0% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-24 Listed $199,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-01-12 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2025-12-09 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2025-12-01 Listed $253,099 NTREIS
  • 2022-07-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2010-08-31 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2001-03-08 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
  • 1994-12-07 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+11.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,665 · +19.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…