91F Buckingham Dr Unit F · Leisure Village, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 67.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.4/30.0
- 1% rule +7.9/10.0
- DSCR +5.8/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- ARV discount +0.5/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great 2 Bedroom 1 Bath Chatham End Unit in Leisure Village! New Carpet in both bedrooms! Luxury Vinyl Flooring in Living Room! Kitchen was Redone in 2017! Six panel doors throughout!! Stackable Washer/Dryer!! Move in Ready!!
Key facts
- New carpet
- Chatham end unit
- Kitchen redone
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area approximately 819; Located in Ocean County, Lakewood area
- HOA & community: HOA present (Leisure Village); HOA fee $377 monthly
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Condominium ownership
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Property is attached (condominium unit)
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating with baseboard; Electric cooling and other cooling
- Interior features: No fireplaces; No basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $150 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
- Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 6.0% in Leisure Village — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#416 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime B+, cost of living B; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Lakewood Township School District (suburban): math 17% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #417 of 472 in NJ (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 419 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,434 units permitted in Ocean County in 2024 (868 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ocean County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 67% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.01%
- DSCR
- 1.18
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $138,411
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47 E Cambridge Ct Unit 100E | 0.10mi | 2/1.0 | 841 (+3%) | 4mo | $156,000 | $185 | 87 |
| 145B Buckingham Dr | 0.15mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 808 (-1%) | 1mo | $179,900 | $223 | 85 |
| 110F Edinburgh Ln | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 | 858 (+5%) | 3mo | $130,000 | $152 | 83 |
| 42 Cambridge Ct Unit H | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 | 841 (+3%) | 6mo | $119,000 | $141 | 83 |
| 44G Cambridge Ct #2007 | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 | 841 (+3%) | 4mo | $155,200 | $185 | 83 |
| 103F Edinburgh Ln | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 | 858 (+5%) | 4mo | $115,000 | $134 | 83 |
| 41E Cambridge Ct | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 | 841 (+3%) | 7mo | $152,900 | $182 | 80 |
| 142B Farrington Ct | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 | 858 (+5%) | 6mo | $145,000 | $169 | 78 |
| 62D Buckingham Dr | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 | 928 (+13%) | 5mo | $115,000 | $124 | 68 |
| 653F Plymouth Dr | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 | 858 (+5%) | 6mo | $125,000 | $146 | 67 |
| 237 Huntington Dr Unit C | 0.31mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 892 (+9%) | 3mo | $155,000 | $174 | 63 |
| 531A Dartmoor Ct | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 | 858 (+5%) | 6mo | $110,000 | $128 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.64×
- Total profit
- $-16,112
- Equity at exit
- $23,842
- IRR
- -0.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.98×
- Total profit
- $-682
- Equity at exit
- $13,825
Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08701
- Active inventory
- 419
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,066 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$200 /mo · $2,398/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$377
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$434
- Net cashflow
- $150
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,975
- Closing costs
- $4,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47L Cambridge Ct Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 841 | $1,795 | $2.13 | 24d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 106A Edinburgh Ln Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 858 | $2,200 | $2.56 | 17d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 341B Canterbury Ct Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 982 | $2,275 | $2.32 | 22d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 335A Canterbury Ct Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 982 | $1,950 | $1.99 | 19d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 219 Buckingham Ct Lakewood, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 663 | $1,900 | $2.87 | 43d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 278C Kingston Ct Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,250 | $2.25 | 2d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1042C Aberdeen Dr Unit C Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 982 | $2,000 | $2.04 | 4d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 824A Balmoral Ct Unit A Toms River, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 982 | $2,200 | $2.24 | 19d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 829A Balmoral Ct Unit 1001 Lakewood, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 663 | $1,600 | $2.41 | 24d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1100 Deer Path Lakewood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1187 | $2,575 | $2.17 | 1d | 4 | 1.43mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $377 · $4,524/yr
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $159,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $159,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $159,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $159,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $159,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 230-char remark
-
2026-06-13$159,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 67% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,786
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,957
- − Property taxes
- −$2,398
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,983
- − Management
- −$1,983
- − HOA
- −$4,524
- − Depreciation
- −$4,652
- Taxable loss
- −$510
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$122
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,919/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This move-in ready home in Leisure Village offers a good condition with recent updates and a great location.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value.
- Rental Trim landscaping — Improves curb appeal and tenant satisfaction.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value. ↑
- Rental Trim landscaping — Improves curb appeal and tenant satisfaction. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lakewood Township School District
- NCES district ID
- 3408220
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,301
- Composite
- 19.21/100
- National rank
- #8813
- State rank
- #417 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Leisure Village
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #416
- US rank
- #14624
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Leisure Village, NJ
- County
- Ocean County · 439,426 people
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 139,149
- Household income
- $64,959
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 5757.0
Population outlook (Ocean County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 586,991 people
- By 2030
- 581,403 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 564,913 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 538,149 · -8.3%
- By 2075
- 468,845 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 350,297 · -40.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 5% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Italian 5% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 9% German/W. Germanic 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ocean
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+36.0) · D 31.4% · R 67.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.6pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -36.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+36.0 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+34.0 2012: R+17.7 2008: R+18.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -682.83%
- Current HPI
- 465.344
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $159,900 MOMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…