1025 Allison St · Vermillion, SD
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$39,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Gorgeous updated mobile home with 2 beds and 2 baths. Built in 2000 it has 1056 sq feet of living space. An exterior ramp makes this one of the few mobile homes with a level of accessibility. Many updates include appliances, bathroom faucets and skirting around the home.
Key facts
- Front storm door
- Lvp flooring
- New roof
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $40k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $554 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
- Recommended offer: $38k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 23.0% vs local median 2.5% in Vermillion — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#5 in SD, #757 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F, employment F.
- Vermillion School District 13-1 (town): math 44% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #27 of 59 in SD (top 46%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Vermillion Middle School - 02 (math 46% / reading 67%, grade B, #32 of 143 statewide, top 23%, 321 students, 31% FRL); Vermillion High School - 01 (math 42% / reading 72%, grade C, #51 of 151 statewide, top 34%, 430 students, 23% FRL) — zoned schools at 27% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 120 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 28 units permitted in Clay County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clay County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($38k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.56% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 59.52%
- DSCR
- 3.65
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 58.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.58×
- Total profit
- $28,829
- Equity at exit
- $5,949
- IRR
- 63.0%
- Equity multiple
- 7.32×
- Total profit
- $70,554
- Equity at exit
- $3,450
Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Dakota
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 57069
- Home prices YoY
- -32.8%
- Active inventory
- 120
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,022 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$209
- Tax from tax record
- −$27 /mo · $326/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$215
- Net cashflow
- $554
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,975
- Closing costs
- $1,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1000 N Dakota St Vermillion, SD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 790 | $756 | $0.96 | 43d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 105 E Dartmouth St Vermillion, SD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $900 | $1.29 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-04-20status Pending
-
2026-01-27$39,900 Active
-
2024-10-04soldstatus $38,000
-
2024-10-02soldstatus $38,000 Closed 271-char remark
Show marketing remark (271 chars)
Gorgeous updated mobile home with 2 beds and 2 baths. Built in 2000 it has 1056 sq feet of living space. An exterior ramp makes this one of the few mobile homes with a level of accessibility. Many updates include appliances, bathroom faucets and skirting around the home.
-
2024-09-16status Pending 271-char remark
Show marketing remark (271 chars)
Gorgeous updated mobile home with 2 beds and 2 baths. Built in 2000 it has 1056 sq feet of living space. An exterior ramp makes this one of the few mobile homes with a level of accessibility. Many updates include appliances, bathroom faucets and skirting around the home.
-
2024-08-28price $45,000 271-char remark
Show marketing remark (271 chars)
Gorgeous updated mobile home with 2 beds and 2 baths. Built in 2000 it has 1056 sq feet of living space. An exterior ramp makes this one of the few mobile homes with a level of accessibility. Many updates include appliances, bathroom faucets and skirting around the home.
-
2024-07-16$49,000 Active 271-char remark
Show marketing remark (271 chars)
Gorgeous updated mobile home with 2 beds and 2 baths. Built in 2000 it has 1056 sq feet of living space. An exterior ramp makes this one of the few mobile homes with a level of accessibility. Many updates include appliances, bathroom faucets and skirting around the home.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast SD · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $326 · $27/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $523 · $44/mo
- Expected delta
- +$197/yr (+$16/mo · 60.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Heat 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,261
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,235
- − Property taxes
- −$326
- − Insurance
- −$200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$981
- − Management
- −$981
- − Depreciation
- −$1,161
- Taxable income
- $6,378
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,531
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,119/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Vermillion School District 13-1
- NCES district ID
- 4674370
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,421
- Composite
- 43.49/100
- National rank
- #2995
- State rank
- #27 of 59 in SD
Livability — Vermillion
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #5
- US rank
- #757
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Vermillion, SD
- County
- Clay County · 13,091 people
- City population
- 13,091
- Metro
- Vermillion, SD
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,091
- Household income
- $53,327
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 792.0
Population outlook (Clay County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 15,009 people
- By 2030
- 15,554 · +3.6%
- By 2040
- 15,862 · +5.7%
- By 2050
- 16,801 · +11.9%
- By 2075
- 20,880 · +39.1%
- By 2100
- 27,360 · +82.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Native American 5% Asian 3% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 9% Iranian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Chinese 1% Spanish 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clay
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+6.5) · D 52.0% · R 45.5% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.7pp toward R · 2008: 24.2pp · 2024: 6.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+6.5 2020: D+11.0 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+15.5 2008: D+24.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -90.55%
- Current HPI
- 185.1311
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Vermillion, SD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.70%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Utilities | 1 | $1B |
|
||
Price history
-18.6% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Pending — NWIA
- 2026-01-27 Listed $39,900 NWIA
- 2024-10-04 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
- 2024-10-02 Sold (MLS) $38,000 NWIA
- 2024-09-16 Pending — NWIA
- 2024-08-28 Price Changed $45,000 NWIA
- 2024-07-16 Listed $49,000 NWIA
Property tax history
+0.2%/yrLatest (2025): $326 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…