1840 N Us Highway 35 · Knox, IN
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2-3 bedroom 1 bath 1 story home North of town on 2.36 acres, 20x28 garage with 1 car overhead door and large workshop area. Property has 2 road frontages and the rear 1 acre is all wooded. Has great yard area for garden, pool, play!
Key facts
- Oversize driveway
- Main floor laundry
- Eat-in kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking; Driveway; Gravel parking areas; Additional parking available; Detached garage with 1 garage space
- Utilities: Electricity connected (100 amp service); Natural gas connected; Well water; Septic tank sewer
- Home design: One-level (single story); Built in 1948
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Asphalt shingle roof; Built in 1948
- Exterior features: Rural view; Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof
Interior
- Kitchen: No major appliances included (none listed)
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom; Second bedroom
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Country-style kitchen; Laminate countertops
- Laundry & utility: Main level laundry room; Utility room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $439 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 3.8% in Knox — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#583 in IN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D-, amenities F.
- Knox Community School Corporation (town): math 27% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #242 of 301 in IN (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 146 active listings in the ZIP; 58 units permitted in Starke County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Starke County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $77k; list at $130k implies a 69% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.68%
- DSCR
- 1.74
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.19×
- Total profit
- $6,907
- Equity at exit
- $19,369
- IRR
- 14.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.15×
- Total profit
- $41,969
- Equity at exit
- $11,231
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46534
- Home prices YoY
- -19.2%
- Active inventory
- 146
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,610 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax from tax record
- −$31 /mo · $372/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$338
- Net cashflow
- $439
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $513 | -5% $476 | +0% $439 | +5% $402 | +10% $366 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $312 | -5% $376 | +0% $439 | +5% $503 | +10% $566 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $505 | -0.5pp $472 | base $439 | +0.5pp $406 | +1.0pp $371 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $129,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $129,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16price $129,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $139,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $139,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-12remarks 393-char remark
-
2026-06-12$139,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $372 · $31/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $738 · $62/mo
- Expected delta
- +$366/yr (+$31/mo · 98.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,321
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$372
- − Insurance
- −$1,447
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,546
- − Management
- −$1,546
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable income
- $3,355
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$805
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,465/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Knox Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1805340
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,955
- Composite
- 25.64/100
- National rank
- #7401
- State rank
- #242 of 301 in IN
Livability — Knox
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #583
- US rank
- #20938
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 11,029
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,029
Population outlook (Starke County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 21,860 people
- By 2030
- 21,024 · -3.8%
- By 2040
- 19,041 · -12.9%
- By 2050
- 16,881 · -22.8%
- By 2075
- 11,880 · -45.7%
- By 2100
- 7,217 · -67.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Starke
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.0) · D 23.2% · R 75.3% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -55.3pp toward R · 2008: 3.2pp · 2024: -52.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.0 2020: R+46.8 2016: R+42.0 2012: R+10.6 2008: D+3.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -58.15%
- Current HPI
- 244.2216
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+75.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $139,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-08-02 Sold (MLS) $77,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-05-21 Listed $79,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+17.9%/yrLatest (2024): $372 · +14.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…