3409 Del Park Ter · Louisville, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.8/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
1.5 STORY Home near Shawnee Park. Spacious second story master suite, with two separate closet spaces. Eat-in kitchen Living room covered front porch. LARGE Backyard and Covered patio, Located just minutes from the expressway. Unfinished basement. metal roof. SEE agent notes!!! This property is now active in an online auction. All offers must be submitted through the property's listing page on www.auction.com. The sale will be subject to a 5% buyer's premium pursuant to the Auction Terms & Conditions (minimums may apply). All auction bids will be processed subject to seller approval.
Key facts
- Covered porch
- Hard wood floors
- Flat shaded backyard
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot dimensions approximately 21.5 x 160
- HOA & community: No association fee
Exterior
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas service
- Home design: Single-family bungalow; Two stories; Built in 1923
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Metal roof; Crawl space and poured concrete foundation
- Exterior features: Privacy wood fencing enclosing the yard; Sidewalk on the property; Cleared, level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms total; Two bedrooms on the first floor; One bedroom on the second floor
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the first floor
- Interior features: Six total rooms; Five closets; Unfinished basement; Mud room on the first floor
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in the basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $394 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 5.0% in Louisville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#333 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D+, schools D-.
- Jefferson County (urban): math 19% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #121 of 165 in KY (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 140 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,836 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (1,558 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,221/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($32k/yr) (locally 1483% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $95k implies a 211% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.79%
- DSCR
- 1.79
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $69,485
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 722 S 37th St | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,092 (+2%) | 4mo | $46,000 | $42 | 70 |
| 844 Louis Coleman Jr Dr | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (-6%) | 3mo | $109,000 | $108 | 64 |
| 2620 W Madison St | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 | 1,080 (+1%) | 1mo | $74,000 | $69 | 62 |
| 3425 Vermont Ave | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 912 (-15%) | 4mo | $36,500 | $40 | 60 |
| 3419 Greenwood Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,033 (-3%) | 3mo | $120,000 | $116 | 59 |
| 802 Sutcliffe Ave | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,162 (+9%) | 4mo | $110,000 | $95 | 57 |
| 117 N 34th St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,130 (+6%) | 4mo | $34,000 | $30 | 56 |
| 637 S 27th St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,110 (+4%) | 7mo | $40,000 | $36 | 56 |
| 3212 W Kentucky St | 0.65mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,104 (+3%) | 2mo | $45,000 | $41 | 56 |
| 2831 W Madison St | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 937 (-12%) | 1mo | $108,000 | $115 | 49 |
| 431 Amy Ave | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,223 (+14%) | 5mo | $80,000 | $65 | 47 |
| 3226 W Jefferson St | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 920 (-14%) | 6mo | $48,000 | $52 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.87% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.45×
- Total profit
- $12,032
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- 21.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.98×
- Total profit
- $52,657
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 40211
- Home prices YoY
- -33.4%
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 140
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,221 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$32 /mo · $384/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$256
- Net cashflow
- $394
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3421 River Park Dr Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 994 | $1,250 | $1.26 | 23d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 666 Eastlawn Ave Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $895 | $0.96 | 16d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 701 Hazel St Unit 3 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 832 | $800 | $0.96 | 10d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 652 S 37th St #9 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1070 | $1,095 | $1.02 | 23d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 648 S 37th St #3 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 807 | $850 | $1.05 | 23d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 737 S 33rd St Louisville, KY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1356 | $1,595 | $1.18 | 23d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 627 S 38th St Louisville, KY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,349 | $1.04 | 16d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 803 S 35th St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1486 | $1,350 | $0.91 | 23d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 814 S 33rd St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $1,350 | $1.22 | 3d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 3819 River Park Dr Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1108 | $1,090 | $0.98 | 20d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 628 S 39th St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1448 | $1,220 | $0.84 | 16d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 832 Hazel St Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,095 | $1.52 | 3d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 729 S 39th St Unit 1 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $800 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 823 S 38th St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,195 | $1.09 | 3d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 644 S 40th St Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 2d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 2733 Chase Ct Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 16d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 4018 Vermont Ave Unit 1 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $699 | $1.00 | 3d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 714 S 40th St #2 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 23d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 715 S 41st St Unit 1 Louisville, KY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,295 | $1.29 | 10d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 3122 W Kentucky St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1030 | $1,150 | $1.12 | 23d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2631 W Madison St Unit 2 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 928 | $850 | $0.92 | 23d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 2631 W Madison St Unit 1 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 928 | $950 | $1.02 | 23d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 2631 W Madison St Unit 2 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 928 | $850 | $0.92 | 17d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 110 Hansbrough Pl Unit 101 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $1,080 | $1.17 | 23d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 833 S 41st St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 786 | $1,250 | $1.59 | 23d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 2623 Cedar St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 4129 W Muhammad Ali Blvd Louisville, KY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1224 | $1,500 | $1.23 | 1d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 803 Cecil Ave Louisville, KY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1165 | $1,449 | $1.24 | 10d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 836 S 41st St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,300 | $1.00 | 19d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2724 Garland Ave Unit 202 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $745 | $0.78 | 3d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 247 Cecil Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1083 | $1,305 | $1.20 | 19d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 302 Cecil Ave Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 984 | $1,025 | $1.04 | 16d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 2614 W Jefferson St Unit 2614-4 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $795 | $1.07 | 23d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 2912 Greenwood Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1362 | $1,150 | $0.84 | 16d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 3514 Grand Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1450 | $1,295 | $0.89 | 21d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 2825 Greenwood Ave #2 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $995 | $0.77 | 23d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 2825 Greenwood Ave #4 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1440 | $1,250 | $0.87 | 23d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 2927 Rowan St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,205 | $1.20 | 11d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 714 S 42nd St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1078 | $1,150 | $1.07 | 16d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 2821 Greenwood Ave #1 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1113 | $1,300 | $1.17 | 23d | 1 | 0.82mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-05-20status Pending
-
2026-05-12$95,000 Active
-
2021-01-11soldstatus $30,500 Closed 599-char remark
Show marketing remark (599 chars)
1.5 STORY Home near Shawnee Park. Spacious second story master suite, with two separate closet spaces. Eat-in kitchen Living room covered front porch. LARGE Backyard and Covered patio, Located just minutes from the expressway. Unfinished basement. metal roof. SEE agent notes!!! This property is now active in an online auction. All offers must be submitted through the property's listing page on www.auction.com. The sale will be subject to a 5% buyer's premium pursuant to the Auction Terms & Conditions (minimums may apply). All auction bids will be processed subject to seller approval.
-
2020-11-24status Pending 599-char remark
Show marketing remark (599 chars)
1.5 STORY Home near Shawnee Park. Spacious second story master suite, with two separate closet spaces. Eat-in kitchen Living room covered front porch. LARGE Backyard and Covered patio, Located just minutes from the expressway. Unfinished basement. metal roof. SEE agent notes!!! This property is now active in an online auction. All offers must be submitted through the property's listing page on www.auction.com. The sale will be subject to a 5% buyer's premium pursuant to the Auction Terms & Conditions (minimums may apply). All auction bids will be processed subject to seller approval.
-
2020-11-08$25,900 Active 599-char remark
Show marketing remark (599 chars)
1.5 STORY Home near Shawnee Park. Spacious second story master suite, with two separate closet spaces. Eat-in kitchen Living room covered front porch. LARGE Backyard and Covered patio, Located just minutes from the expressway. Unfinished basement. metal roof. SEE agent notes!!! This property is now active in an online auction. All offers must be submitted through the property's listing page on www.auction.com. The sale will be subject to a 5% buyer's premium pursuant to the Auction Terms & Conditions (minimums may apply). All auction bids will be processed subject to seller approval.
-
2019-08-11status Pending
-
2019-08-11historical
-
2019-07-31historical Active Under Contract
-
2019-07-31price $13,000
-
2019-05-31price $50,000
-
2019-05-30$55,000 Active
-
2017-12-13historical
-
2017-11-01$27,500 Active
-
2004-04-30historical
-
2003-10-22$35,000
-
1999-04-29soldstatus $32,500
-
1999-04-12$37,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $384 · $32/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $817 · $68/mo
- Expected delta
- +$433/yr (+$36/mo · 112.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,647
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$384
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,172
- − Management
- −$1,172
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $3,359
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$806
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,927/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson County
- NCES district ID
- 2102990
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,885
- Composite
- 23.45/100
- National rank
- #7884
- State rank
- #121 of 165 in KY
Livability — Louisville
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #333
- US rank
- #15887
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Louisville, KY
- County
- Jefferson County · 790,184 people
- City population
- 769,292
- Metro
- Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,407
- Household income
- $31,749
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1483.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 823,112 people
- By 2030
- 849,343 · +3.2%
- By 2040
- 895,696 · +8.8%
- By 2050
- 933,630 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 1,028,262 · +24.9%
- By 2100
- 1,072,675 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 90% White 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+16.6) · D 57.4% · R 40.9% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.5pp toward D · 2008: 12.0pp · 2024: 16.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+16.6 2020: D+20.1 2016: D+13.3 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+12.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -88.22%
- Current HPI
- 176.337
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.87%
- Metro
- Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+153.3% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Pending — Metro Search MLS
- 2026-05-12 Listed $95,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2021-01-11 Sold (MLS) $30,500 Metro Search MLS
- 2020-11-24 Pending — Metro Search MLS
- 2020-11-08 Listed $25,900 Metro Search MLS
- 2019-08-11 Pending — Metro Search MLS
- 2019-08-11 Listing Removed — Metro Search MLS
- 2019-07-31 Contingent — Metro Search MLS
- 2019-07-31 Price Changed $13,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2019-05-31 Price Changed $50,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2019-05-30 Listed $55,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2017-12-13 Listing Removed — Metro Search MLS
- 2017-11-01 Listed $27,500 Metro Search MLS
- 2004-04-30 Listing Removed — Metro Search MLS
- 2003-10-22 Listed $35,000 Metro Search MLS
- 1999-04-29 Sold (MLS) $32,500 Metro Search MLS
- 1999-04-12 Listed $37,500 Metro Search MLS
Property tax history
-0.6%/yrLatest (2025): $384 · -1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…