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6657 Coyote Valley Trl
D- Composite 37.9
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.9/15.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$357,990

6657 Coyote Valley Trl · Fort Worth, TX 76036
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,131 sqft · Other · 74 Days on market
Built 2025 5,750 sqft lot $168/sqft · at area comps Est $361k · at est. $65/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

MLS# 21216653 - Built by Trophy Signature Homes - Jun 2026 completion! ~ Perfect proportions and an abundance of well-placed features make the Oscar a blockbuster design you'll love coming home to. Say hello to the sun as it streams through oversized windows in your primary suite. Just around the corner is your home office, an inviting space that encourages creativity and offers an escape to the back patio or the ultra-modern kitchen when it's time for a break. Life is centered in the great room with a cozy family room, chic dining area and an ultra-modern kitchen. Three additional bedrooms located near the front of the house are private, quiet and serene.

Key facts

  • Cozy family room
  • Great room
  • Oversized windows

Tags

OVERSIZED WINDOWSHOME OFFICEBACK PATIOULTRA-MODERN KITCHENGREAT ROOMCOZY FAMILY ROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath other listed at $358k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-83 ($-990/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $343k (4.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $264k (26.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $264k (26.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.9% in Fort Worth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#49 in TX, #1,954 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F.
  • Crowley ISD (urban): math 23% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #643 of 826 in TX (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 1018 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 18,938 units permitted in Tarrant County in 2024 (8,336 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($98k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tarrant County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($337k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $263,844 (26.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.74%
Cap rate
6.02%
Cash-on-cash
-0.99%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
11.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$360,818
List price
$357,990
Delta
-0.78%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.28% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.7%
Equity multiple
0.35×
Total profit
$-65,312
Equity at exit
$53,377
10-year hold
IRR
-12.5%
Equity multiple
0.28×
Total profit
$-71,921
Equity at exit
$30,952

Cash invested: $100,237 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76036

Home prices YoY
-25.2%
Rents YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
1018
Price-to-rent
11.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,638 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,877
Tax from tax record
$75 /mo · $905/yr
Insurance
$149
HOA
$65
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$554
Net cashflow
$-83

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,743
Max offer price $343,413
Occupancy floor 98%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$89,498
Closing costs
$10,740
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 31 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6732 Denim Dr Crowley, TX 4.0 3.0 2187 $3,100 $1.42 43d 1 0.21mi
9701 Theo TRL Fort Worth, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1021 $2,294 $2.25 1d 50 0.58mi
6520 Pecos Hill Ln Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 2140 $2,700 $1.26 43d 1 0.64mi
8901 Brewer Blvd Fort Worth, TX 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.5 1167 $2,895 $2.48 1d 20 0.82mi
6048 Bee Balm Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 2454 $2,420 $0.99 5d 1 0.84mi
5637 McLanahan Ln Crowley, TX 3.0 2.0 1501 $2,150 $1.43 43d 1 0.86mi
10308 Holycross Ln Crowley, TX 3.0 2.0 1636 $2,400 $1.47 12d 1 0.95mi
10308 Holycross Ln Crowley, TX 3.0 2.0 1636 $2,350 $1.44 24d 1 0.95mi
5601 Portlaw Ln Crowley, TX 4.0 2.5 2338 $2,575 $1.10 24d 1 0.95mi
5609 Cookstown Ln Crowley, TX 4.0 2.5 2095 $2,455 $1.17 24d 1 0.97mi
8409 Hollow Bend St Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1624 $2,050 $1.26 24d 1 0.99mi
8409 Hollow Bend St Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1624 $2,050 $1.26 11d 1 0.99mi
5520 McLanahan Ln Crowley, TX 3.0 2.0 1508 $2,195 $1.46 24d 1 1.00mi
10356 Holycross Ln Crowley, TX 4.0 2.0 1827 $2,500 $1.37 24d 1 1.00mi
10321 Rosegreen Ln Crowley, TX 3.0 2.0 1636 $1,999 $1.22 43d 1 1.03mi
8428 Fawn Creek Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1515 $2,095 $1.38 43d 1 1.05mi
10357 Rosegreen Ln Crowley, TX 3.0 2.0 1898 $2,200 $1.16 43d 1 1.07mi
8301 Bell Ridge Ln Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1487 $1,919 $1.29 22d 1 1.12mi
5916 Pansy Rd Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.5 2084 $2,899 $1.39 5d 1 1.15mi
9729 Wild Prairie Way Crowley, TX 3.0 2.0 1613 $2,500 $1.55 43d 1 1.16mi
9724 Buffalo Ridge Rd Crowley, TX 4.0 2.0 2004 $2,125 $1.06 43d 1 1.18mi
9720 Buffalo Ridge Rd Crowley, TX 4.0 2.0 1838 $2,400 $1.31 24d 1 1.18mi
9069 Summer Creek Dr Unit 9102 Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1451 $2,210 $1.52 43d 1 1.19mi
9069 Summer Creek Dr Fort Worth, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1059 $2,185 $2.06 1d 40 1.20mi
6128 Fall Creek Ln Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.0 2004 $2,399 $1.20 43d 1 1.23mi
8345 High Garden St Fort Worth, TX 4.0 3.0 2320 $2,425 $1.05 5d 1 1.24mi
5841 Fir Tree Ln Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.0 1549 $2,680 $1.73 43d 1 1.32mi
5816 Burgundy Rose Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1441 $1,999 $1.39 43d 1 1.41mi
9808 Mescalbean Blvd Crowley, TX 4.0 2.0 1729 $2,150 $1.24 43d 1 1.43mi
8609 Cloudyway Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 2262 $2,800 $1.24 17d 1 1.48mi
4924 Sassafras Dr Crowley, TX 3.0 2.0 1479 $2,350 $1.59 43d 1 1.50mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$65 · $780/yr

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $357,990 Pending 74 DOM
  2. 2026-06-04
    days on market $357,990 Active 73 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $357,990 Active 72 DOM
  4. 2026-06-02
    days on market $357,990 Active 71 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $357,990 Active 70 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $357,990 Active 69 DOM
  7. 2026-03-23
    listed $357,990 Active 664-char remark
    Show marketing remark (664 chars)

    MLS# 21216653 - Built by Trophy Signature Homes - Jun 2026 completion! ~ Perfect proportions and an abundance of well-placed features make the Oscar a blockbuster design you'll love coming home to. Say hello to the sun as it streams through oversized windows in your primary suite. Just around the corner is your home office, an inviting space that encourages creativity and offers an escape to the back patio or the ultra-modern kitchen when it's time for a break. Life is centered in the great room with a cozy family room, chic dining area and an ultra-modern kitchen. Three additional bedrooms located near the front of the house are private, quiet and serene.

  8. 2026-03-22
    listed $357,990 Active 591-char remark
    Show marketing remark (591 chars)

    Perfect proportions and an abundance of well-placed features make the Oscar a blockbuster design you'll love coming home to. Say hello to the sun as it streams through oversized windows in your primary suite. Just around the corner is your home office, an inviting space that encourages creativity and offers an escape to the back patio or the ultra-modern kitchen when it's time for a break. Life is centered in the great room with a cozy family room, chic dining area and an ultra-modern kitchen. Three additional bedrooms located near the front of the house are private, quiet and serene.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$905 · $75/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,551 · $546/mo
Expected delta
+$5,647/yr (+$471/mo · 624.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,661
− Mortgage interest
−$20,053
− Property taxes
−$905
− Insurance
−$1,790
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,533
− Management
−$2,533
− HOA
−$780
− Depreciation
−$10,414
Taxable loss
−$7,346
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,763
After-tax cash flow
$773/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Crowley ISD
NCES district ID
4815910
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$59,810
Composite
25.04/100
National rank
#7549
State rank
#643 of 826 in TX

Livability — Fort Worth

Score
80/100
State rank
#49
US rank
#1954

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fort Worth, TX
County
Tarrant County · 2,033,669 people
City population
911,619
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
36,044
Household income
$97,973
Rent vs Own
23.7% rent · 76.3% own
Severe rent burden
584.0

Population outlook (Tarrant County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,380,417 people
By 2030
2,578,900 · +8.3%
By 2040
2,974,995 · +25.0%
By 2050
3,350,489 · +40.8%
By 2075
4,216,909 · +77.2%
By 2100
4,741,527 · +99.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
White 48% Hispanic / Latino 28% Black 20% Two or more races 14% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 23% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tarrant

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.1) · D 46.7% · R 51.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+6.6pp toward D · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -5.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.1 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+8.7 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+11.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -80.45%
Current HPI
238.6365
Rent YoY
▲ 2.28%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-23 Listed $357,990 NTREIS
  • 2026-03-22 Listed $357,990 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…